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Filtered One Rating System

Alex

Amateur Rider
Joined
Feb 23, 2025
Messages
371
Location
Liverpool
Good evening,

I have to be honest I have wanted to start a new thread on a winning day, the fact that it happened at the beginning of the week works well to.

I like this system because, on the whole it is quite easy to operate. All class and most disciplines of Handicap races are included. There are a few filters, the main one being that there needs to be 8 and no more than 11 declared runners. The strange thing is that it's the bottom 3 in the ratings that provide the selection's.

These were the two races I bet on today. I posted them earlier on my Filtered Two Ratings system thread which will now close.

P 4.53
Ravenscraig Castle - 4/1 ew
Carnet De Stage - 35/1 win

S 6.15
Amestris - 14/1 ew (4pl)
Jungle Drums - 20/1 win

I used the following staking plan

3/1 or less = win saver
100/30 - 7/2 = 3.00pts win
4/1 - 5/1 = 2.50pts ew
11/2 - 13/2 = 2.25pts ew
7/1 - 8/1 = 2.00pts ew
17/2 - 19/2 = 1.75pts ew
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.25pts ew
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.00pts ew
20/1 - 25/1 = 0.75pts ew
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.50pts ew
35/1 + = 0.25pts ew

4/1+ Win Only bets are 1/2pts of the above staking + 0.25pts

Each Way 3pl unless stated
Using BOG bookies

Today it produced a 12.70pts profit. I will post tomorrow morning, hopefully before 10am, but I am catching a train tomorrow, which is my main priority 😃.
 
Last edited:
Balance: 00.00pts
Yesterday: +12.70pts
Today's Balance: +12.70pts

-----------------------

A 2.40
Zaphea
Jm Jhingree
Classy Al

A 3.10
[td width="174px"]Sixcor[/td] [td]Novamay[/td] [td]Superior Council

A 3.40
Homer Stokes
Golden Valour
Zebra Star

A 4.10
Chiefman
Arc Shadowfax
Love Games
[/td]

A 4.40
Ajdayet
Cisco Disco
Spioradalta

W 8.30
[td width="174px"]Sheikh Raj[/td] [td]Adorla Of Achill[/td] [td]American State[/td]
 
Balance: 00.00pts
Yesterday: +12.70pts
Today's Balance: +12.70pts

-----------------------

A 2.40
Jm Jhingree - 20/1 win
Classy Al - 11/1 ew

A 3.40
Homer Stokes - 9/1 win
Zebra Star - 6/1 ew

A 4.10
Chiefman - 40/1 ew
Arc Shadowfax - 18/1 ew


A 4.40
Cisco Disco - 12/1 win
Spioradalta - 4/1 ew

W 8.30
Sheikh Raj - 4/1 win
American State - 9/2 win
could consider reverse forecast


-------------
 
Classy Al (my name sake 😃), made sure yesterday was profitable, backed in from 11/1 to 6/1. Today looks difficult, I was in two minds whether to bother, but at this stage I don't want to leave out what in theory could be a good price winner. Tomorrow looks as if it could be busy.

Balance: +12.70pts
Yesterday: +3.50pts
Today's Balance: +16.20pts

B 5.00
Saisons D'or - 9/1 ew
Lastchancezouloon - 14/1 win
Evocative Spa - 16/1 (0.50pt saver)

T 8.00
Marajito - 17/2 win
DC Cogent - 9/1 win
Tees Aggregates - 10/1 win

--------------
 
Morning All,

Balance: +16.20pts
Yesterday: -5.85pts
Today's Balance: +10.35pts

Today I have enough races, to by the end of this day, know if I am filtering correctly or not.

I HAVE BACKED THESE FIRST 4 RACES BUT NOT THE OTHER 7 RACES

U 3.38
Imac Wood - 15/2 ew
Sally Gardens - 18/1 win

C 4.00
Let's Go Hugo - 15/2 ew
Lady Bouquet - 16/1 win

Y 7.40
Jimmy Knocker - 4/1 ew
Mollymook - 25/1 win

Y 8.40
Noble Guest - 9/2 ew
Ararat - 9/1 win

-----------------------------

C 2.30 (Amateur)
Miaswell - 20/1
Stellarmasterpiece - 9/2

U 2.38 (Novice)
Mcgregors Charge - 6/1
Thais Toir - 9/2

U 4.08
Sleeping Satellite - 8/1
Crown Of India - 9/1
Dog Fox - 9/2

B 4.53
Rebel Cove - 11/2
Fact Or Fable - 13/2

FL 7.30
Roach Power - 5/2
Cabeza De Llave - 9/2
Tino Pai - 6/1

FL 8.30
Respiro Solitario - 11/2
Breathe Again - 12/1

FL 9.00 (Confined)
Zambezi Magic - 7/2
Lawn Ranger - N/R
Maundy Thursday - N/R

--------------------
 
Morning All,

Balance: +10.35pts
Yesterday: +26.25pts
Today's Balance: +36.60pts

A good day yesterday, I have not got a lot of time, but the filtering worked quite well. Feel okay about not doing Dr Fox less so about Respiro Solitario, but that's in hindsight, how was I to know he would drift out to 8/1 and win 😀.

H 2.20
Six Angel - 100/30 win

Sixor - 6/1 (2pts win)

L 3.00
Ricardo Phillips - 5/1 ew

Muhib - 12/1 win

H 3.55
Yermanthere - 15/2 (ew 4pl)
Empirestateofmind - 10/1 win
Hosanna Power - 12/1 (0.50pt saver)

L 4.05
Bernalda - 4/1 ew
Holy Smoker - 22/1 win

H 4.55
Sea Master - 4/1 ew
Come On John - 11/1 win

L 5.10
Rokuni - 100/30 win
Off The Bench - 8/1 win

W 8.55
Noble Recall - 7/2 win
Ben Lomond - 22/1 ew

--------

There are non runners about, I will have
another look at these 3 races later.

E 6.30
Jet Packer
Royal Pleasure
Starshiba

W 8.25
Little Miller
Orange Diamond
Sweet Serene

E 8.40
Apple Of My Eye
Jersey Maverick
Play Me

---------------------
 
Last edited:
I have just had a second look. I will just keep to the one race tonight, the lucky last 😃.

I am presently would you believe -0.06pts down. Please could someone give me a like, so that I don't feel I am all alone 😔.
 
Morning All,

Balance: +36.60pts
Yesterday: +00.59pts
Today's Balance: +37.19pts

Thanks for your support Simmo, so far this system is doing well. What is encouraging is that I have found one that does seem to work on both the flat turf and all weather and also over the Jumps in most types of Handicaps, providing that there are between 8 and 11 declared runners. I have not tested in Ireland, but I am finding I have enough to do, still testing in the UK see below😆. Another good thing about this system is it's entertaining, there is plenty of action, tomorrow looks a really busy day. If I am looking for negatives then change of going, and Saturday's might be weaknesses, we will have a better idea after tomorrow. I am off to Haydock today, to hopefully see this system working at first hand 😀.

H 2.05
Young Fire - 8/1 win
Flatley - 6/1 ew

N 2.25
Warrnambool - 8/1 (ew 4pl)
Thiscouldbefun - 12/1 (0.50pt saver)
Darn Hot Mystery - 10/1 win

H 3.15
Harrys Halo - 4/1 ew
Raffles Angel - 15/2 win

H 3.50
Lord Abama - 9/1 win
Justcallmepete - 11/2 win
Pal Joey - 11/1 (0.50pt saver)

N 6.25
Lady Of Andros 2/1 - 1.50pt double
with N 8.10 Waistcoat 3/1

P 6.45
Light Speed - 10/1 win
Mudamer - 6/1 ew

N 7.00
Jacquelina - 8/1 win
Coup De Force - 15/2 ew

N 8.10
Ernies Valentine - 11/1 win
- 1.50pt double
Waistcoat 3/1 - 0.50pt saver +
1.50pt double with
6.25 Lady Of Andros 2/1

P 9.00
One Of Our Own 11/2 (ew 3pl)
Fletchers Dream 11/1 win

-------------

JUST TESTING THESE

N 3.25 Confined
Not won more than 1 race
Impulse Buy - 50
Miss Hathaway - 7
Clover Time - 11/4

H 4.25 (4 -Too many ???)
Melakaz - 14
Beauld As Brass - 14
Paggane - 7/2
In The Breeze - 16

N 4.31 Confined
Not won race in 2025
Toby Two Scoops - 4
Lilac Wine - 15/2
Darlo Lady - 25

-------
 
I am at Haydock, since I did not have a bet in 2.40, 5.00, 5.35 races, and decided I would not do 4.25 because to many qualifiers. I decided to do the 2 Confined races at Nottingham as apart from the word, I am not sure there is an issue with them. Just as well I did because Miss Hathaway (9/1) has just one the 3.25 the other Confined race I have done is 4.31

Toby Two Scoops
Lilac Wine
 
Morning All,

Balance: +37.19pts
Yesterday: +4.38pts
Today's Balance: +41.57pts

Ridiculously busy today, will the balance survive Saturday?

MR 2.05
Mostly Sunny (IRE) - 5/1 ew
Djo Dela Barriere (FR) - 12/1 win

N'b 2.25
Contacto - 4/1 ew
Wonder Legend - 8/1 win

R 3.17
Leadenhall - 6/1 ew
Draupnir - 8/1 win

MR 3.50
Gods Own Getaway - 7/1 ew
Clean Getaway - 25/1 win

C 4.00
No But I Will - 15/2 ew
Cloughroe (IRE) - 9/1 win
High Moon - 12/1 (0.50pt saver)

C 4.35
Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) - 9/1 ew
Iturgeon Du Breuil (FR) - 11/1 win
Euchan Falls (IRE) - 20/1 win

R 5.05
Captain Cess - 3/1 (3.50pts win)
Sweet Kiss - 7/1 ew (3pl 365)

D 5.15
Level Up (IRE) - 8/1 win
Midnight Lir (IRE) - 4/1 ew

N'b 5.20
British Blue - 15/2 ew
Mollie Foster (IRE) - 15/2 win
Bela Sonata - 9/1 (0.75pts saver)

R 5.38 Confined (2025)
Eldeyaar - 10/1 win

N 6.00 Confined (1 win)
Something Splendid - 7/2 win
Savvy Stellar - 22/1 win
Borderline Madness - 28/1 win

D 6.15
Finn Ironside - 8/1 ew 4pl
Royal Jet - 18/1 win

N 6.35
Thats My Boy Luke - 4/1 ew
Siam Fox (IRE) - 11/2 win

D 6.45
See Paris (GER) - 100/30 win
Travis - 6/1 ew

H 6.55
The Lost Canvas - 20/1 win
Drumcondra (IRE) - 22/1 win
Seventy - 12/1 win

N 7.38
King Of Charm - 12/1 ew 4pl
Tempus - 22/1 ew 4pl

D 7.45
Shaws Phoenix (IRE) - 16/1 ew 4pl
Operation Gimcrack (IRE) - 4/1 ew 4pl

H 8.00
Eves Boy - 5/1 ew
Padua (IRE) - 7/1 win
Yes Im Mali - 9/1 (0.75pts saver)

D 8.45
Kentucky River (IRE) - 6/1 ew
The Grand Visir - 25/1 win

H 9.00
Mersea - 7/1 ew
Peregrine Falcon - 9/1 win

---------------------
 
Morning All,

Balance: +41.57pts
Yesterday: -3.30pts
Today's Balanc: +38.27pts

Please excuse me for being a bit exhausted this morning, yesterday for me was a bit crazy. I don't know how I ended up just 3.30pts down, I lost on the first 7 races I bet in, my balance had been wiped and I thought that was the end of this system.

If I took no account of the effort I had put in then 3.30pts down would not be an issue. Going forward what I have got to decide, is whether I should avoid Saturday/weekend betting or was it just down to the change in ground conditions that meant that I did not win a fortune 🤔 😀 .

If my Mrs was not on holiday, there is no way I would get away with spending this amount of time on this. I have had a look at Today's racing, and the issues regarding ground conditions/N/R's are obviously still about. I have not decided whether to bet or not, however I have checked the prices.

R 2.18
Eighteen Fourteen 9/1 ew
Flamborough Road 11/1 win
Crimson Road 14/1 saver

These next two races (3.13 & 3.25) look competitive, I might look nearer race time at the prices. I would like to see an obvious gap, in which case I would back the shortest price ew, middle win and outsider saver, otherwise probably would not bet.

S 3 13
Majestic 15/2
Coastguard Station 9/1
Glory And Honour 10/1

R 3.25
Team Endeavour 12/1
Bodygroove 14/1
Somebodycomegether 16/1

R 4.35
Due Respect 8/1 ew
Lunar Rorce 14/1 win

S 4.58
Killer Kane 9/1 win

S 5.33
Bahtiyar 9/1 win

NA 5.17
Mersey Street 9/2 win
Firefly Lane 17/2 win

R 5.45
Happier 12/1 ew

---------------
 
Since I am staying in this afternoon to keep an eye on the golf, I am going to wait until 5 mins before each race, to decide on the betting strategy.

If I have 3 selections, the shortish priced one will be ew, the middle one will be win, and the longest priced will be used as a saver. If all 3 are priced close together I will forget betting on the race altogether.
 
Son now says he wants to go and see 28 days later at the cinema. So I will have to abandon my quiet afternoon 🙃.

So I have just done my later bets, have not bet in the 3.13 or 3.25, lost 5.50pts in 2.18.

R 4.35
Due Respect 13/2 ew
Lunar Rorce 12/1 win

S 4.58
Killer Kane 12/1 win
Floating Rock 14/1 win (extra bet)

S 5.33
Bahtiyar 10/1 win

NA 5.17
Mersey Street 11/2 ew (MGM 3pl)
Firefly Lane 8/1 win

R 5.45
Happier 12/1 ew

---------
 
Last edited:
Morning All,

Balance: +38.27pts
Yesterday: -2.70pts
Today's Balance: +35.57pts

Since the weekend is now over, I will decide whether to bet next weekend when it arrives.

C 2.12
Slip Of The Tongue (IRE) - 16/1 win
Burgundy Man (FR) - 12/1 ew

C 2.42
Final Edgar (IRE) - 22/1 win
Coup De Gold (IRE) - 17/2 ew
Positive Mindset (IRE) - 25/1 win

A 4.40
Falcon Nine - 12/1 ew
Cisco Disco (IRE) - 20/1 win

W 7.10
Cindy Lou Who - 11/1 win
Phoenix Of Dreams (IRE) - 15/2 ew

W 7.40
Nanino Niyati - 11/1 win
Kathleen Mary - 8/1 ew

B 7.50
Wath Court - 12/1 win
Shes A Goldigger - 7/1 ew

B 8.20
1.50pt combination forecast = 3.00pts
Have You A Minute
Inspiring Speeches (IRE)

B 8.50
Whatacracker - 9/2 ew

---------------------
 
Morning All,

Balance: +35.57pts
Yesterday: -4.47pts
Today's Balance: +31.10pts

L 2.15
Coolree (IRE) - 20/1 ew (4pl)
Uppercase - 9/2 ew (4pl)
Molly Valentine - 20/1 ew (4pl)

M 3.30
Transfuse (IRE) - 28/1 win
Night Horn - 25/1 win
Max The Tiger - 22/1 ew

M 4.00
Miss Brazen - 7/2
Ready Freddie Go (IRE) - 9/1 win

L 4.50
Havana Gila - 10/1 ew
Fiorella Princess (IRE) - 18/1
M 5.00
The Sweet Escape - 18/1 win
Shahnaz (IRE) - 10/1 ew

W 8.00
Penelope Valentine - 11/2 ew
Arlecchinos Rex - 8/1 win

W 8.30 - Maiden Handicap
Retraction (IRE) - 5/1 ew
Skyelight - 11/1 win

--------------
 
I am going to have to accept this system in it's present form has stopped working lost 27.75pts today, which was more or less the balance.

It's not the loss that has convinced me, it was when I checked where the winners were in the ratings. In each race I bet in today, the winner was yes you have guessed it 😀, in the top 3 of the ratings.

One thing for shore is I can't back both the top 3 and bottom 3 😁. I could now swap to doing the top 3 again, which is a thought, there was a 10/1 today. At least it seems to be patches of time when it's the top 3 then the bottom 3. I might try the top 3 tomorrow, I will post if I decide to do so.
 
😃, Well I can only go by what I have looked at over the last 3 month's, and the strange thing is they rarely do come from the middle. What is also odd, is that the horse that the horse occupied 3rd spot, wins more than 1st and 2nd spot 🤪. I think I have room to include that selection as either a win or saver. And since the balance still has not gone negative, I will give it a go.
 
Morning All,

3/1 or less = saver
100/30 - 7/2 = 5.00pts win
4/1 - 5/1 = 4.50pts win
11/2 - 13/2 = 2.25pts ew
7/1 - 8/1 = 2.00pts ew
17/2 - 19/2 = 1.75pts ew
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.25pts ew
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.00pts ew
20/1 - 25/1 = 0.75pts ew
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.50pts ew
35/1 + = 0.25pts ew

11/2 + Win Only bets are 1/2pts of the above staking + 0.25pts

Each Way 3pl unless stated
Using BOG bookies

Balance: 00.00pts
Today's Balance: 00.00pts

Below are horses that occupy 3rd place in Today's ratings, I will take a break now, and then look at the bottom 3 of the ratings and post them in around 1 hours time.

C 3.30
Emerald Army - 5/1 win

C 4.00
Cardinal Point - 8/1 win

S 4.20
Nelson Rose - 28/1 win

C 5.00
Miss Rainbow - 4/1 win

L 5.30
Lady Monroe - 80/1 (0.25pts win)

L 6.30
Percys Daydream - 4/1 win

L 8.08
My Mate Beattie - 9/1 win

___________
 
C 3.30
Emerald Army - 5/1 win
Petra Celera - 11/1 win
Woodleigh - 12/1 win

C 4.00
Cardinal Point - 8/1 win
Hickton (IRE) - 110/1 (0.25pt win)
Himself (IRE) 18/1 ew

S 4.20
Nelson Rose - 28/1 win
Media Guest (FR) - 33/1 win
Phoenix Moon (IRE) - 4/1 ew
Tilsworth Ony Ta - 33/1 win

C 5.00
Miss Rainbow - 4/1 win
Quercus (IRE) - 6/1 ew
Hyrcanian - 110/1 (0.25pt win)

L 5.30
Lady Monroe - 80/1 win (0.25pt win)
Platinum Babe - 18/1 win
Jimmy Henry (IRE)- 18/1 win

L 6.30
Percys Daydream - 4/1 win
Timeless Charm - 8/1 win
Word Of Mouth - 15/2 win

L 8.08
My Mate Beattie - 9/1 win
Melissa Honey - 33/1 win
Toota - 5/2 (1.50pt win saver)
Wild Embers - 28/1 win

___________
 
What’s the point of doing ratings if you're picking the horses at the bottom? I don’t think your system is any better than just picking horses numbered 5, 7, and 11 in every race.
 
With the introduction of 3rd place in the ratings, I feel I need to nail down my staking plan, it did not affect yesterday's profit, but could easily do so today as it's quite busy.

When I say it did not affect yesterday, it actually did, because if I had staked on the races where I had a selection priced 7/2 or less and saved on them, I would have had two more nice priced winners 😔.

Staking plan

7/2 or less = will always be a win saver
The following will either be win or ew, this will be stated next to the price taken.
4/1 - 5/1 = either 4.50pts win or 2.50pts ew
11/2 - 13/2 = 3.50pts win or 2.25pts ew
7/1 - 8/1 = 3.00pts win or 2.00pts ew
17/2 - 19/2 = 2.00pts win or 1.50pt ew
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.50pts or 1.25pts ew
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.25pts win or 1.00pt ew
20/1 - 25/1 = 1.00pt win or 0.75pts ew
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.75pts win or 0.50pts ew
Bigger than 33/1, stake will be stated.
 
Morning All,

Balance: 00.00pts
Yesterday: +35.75pts
Today's Balance: +35.75pts

A good start yesterday, pleased that two winners came from 3rd place in the ratings and a third came from the bottom 3 which benefited from BOG drifting out from 6/1 to 10/1. The first selection shown is the 3rd place horse in the ratings, there are two in D 2.35 because they had the same score.

S 2.10
Jenever - 3/1 (2pt win saver)
-------
Blind Beggar - 9/1 win
Cloud King - 7/1 ew

D 2.35
Golden Pharaoh - 5/1 win
Autumn Festival - 11/1 win
-------
Flag Of Love (IRE) - 14/1 win
Jack Daniel (IRE) - 10/1 win

D 3.10
Harbour Vision - 8/1 win
--------
Electric Lightning - 10/1 ew
Sir Maxi - 28/1 win

D 4.20
Rich Rhythm - 12/1 win
--------
Highland Olly - 12/1 win
One Night Thunder - 9/2 ew

S 4.30
Sweet Reward - N/R
---------
Man Of Desert - 15/8 (1pt win saver)
Croeso Cymraeg - 12/1 win

D 4.55
Telepathic - 6/1 win
---------
Bentbasa - 28/1 win
Very Muddy Waters - 18/1 (ew 4pl)

S 5.00
Little Miss India - 11/2 win
--------
Gloryous - 7/1 (ew 4pl)
Nunc Est Bibendum 10/1 (ew 4pl)

I might post again later this afternoon, but I think that will be it for today.

----------------------
 

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