Filtered Two Ratings System

[Slim]

Hi,

I could not risk having a go, just to win a tenner. I have left out the races in Bold (too many selections). I have also left out anything that was priced between 10/1 and 18/1, the reason being all yesterday winners were priced 9/1 or less. I have included 20/1 plus, because there maybe value in those.

H 1.30
End Of Story (IRE) - 33/1 ew (3pl)
Tees Aggregates (IRE) - 22/1
Mearall (IRE) - 100/30

H 2.05
Ammes (IRE) - 17/2
Last Galileo (IRE)
Novelista (IRE)
Bonnie Moon (FR)

B 3.23
Fair Call (IRE)
Angelic Bugler (IRE)
Invincible Crown (IRE) - 33/1 ew (4pl)
Alfa Sea Breeze (IRE) - 17/2

S 4.12
Defence Minister - 7/1
The Fingal Raven (IRE) - 20/1
Gilet (IRE) - 9/1

H 4.25
Inside Matters (FR) - Joint
Intrusively - Joint
-------
Photosynthesis (IRE)
Cerulean Bay (IRE)
Jumby (IRE)

H 4 55
Fan Mail - 22/1
Rogue Invader (IRE) - 8/1
Santa Savana - 7/1

C 5.00
Ramon Di Loria (IRE) - 22/1
Dazy Mazy - 13/2
Parisiac (IRE) - 17/2
Deputy (IRE) - 22/1

L 5.10
Jester Queen (USA) - 40/1 ew (4pl)
Ricardo Phillips - 100/30
Fasnelli (IRE) - 40/1 ew (4pl)
Formal Address - 28/1

S 5.15
Max Mayhem - 11/2
See Hector (GER) - 28/1
Sean (GER) - 40/1 win

C 5.37
(4th qualifier, would mean backing 3 more)
Achnamara
Throne Hall
Bodygroove

L 5 47
How Impressive (IRE)
Carron (IRE) - 11/2
Primrose Path

N 5 53
Star Zia
Ran Amok (IRE)
Heaven Knows - 11/2
Fenlander

C 6.12
Yermanthere (IRE) - Joint
Tempus - Joint
--------
Swift Salian (IRE)
Look Back Smiling (IRE)
Blufferonthebus (IRE)

C 6 42
Oselton
Diligent Henry
Arranmore - 5/1

C 7.12
Shark Two One - 100/30
Evoluir (IRE)
Unthinkable (IRE) - 40/1 win

N 8.23
Queens Palace - Joint
Bevy (IRE) - Joint
-----
Cushty (IRE)
Space Raider
Jack Andrea

N 8.53
San Francisco Bay (IRE) - 5/1
Steps In Time (IRE) - 13/2
Bondi Man - 20/1

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There is absolutely no logic to your opening paragraph. You really need to stop overthinking betting.

 

[Alex]

There is absolutely no logic to your opening paragraph. You really need to stop overthinking betting.

Yes I am aware of this, there also no logic why the bottom 3 in the ratings are winning more often than the top this week and last.

 

[Slim]

Yes I am aware of this, there also no logic why the bottom 3 in the ratings are winning more often than the top this week and last.

Probably because the ratings aren't predictive.

 

[Alex]

Since Saturday, when I lost 12.00pts, I have been keeping an eye on the result's. Today would you believe the system would have produced 10/1, 18/1, 22/1 and 40/1 winners. So after that I am in no rush to start betting .

But from those result's, I have concluded that the staking will be win only, with the following plan should I ever start.

BOG bookies, win only.

7/2 or less = Saver only
4/1 - 5/1 = 3.50pts
11/2 - 13/2 = 3.00pts
7/1 - 8/1 = 2.50pts
17/2 - 19/2 = 2.00pts
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.50pts
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.25pts
20/1 - 25/1 = 1.00pts
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.75pts
35/1 + = 0.50pts

These would be tomorrow selections, but I am just checking result's at present.

C 2.20 (Apprentice)
John Kirkup
Going Underground
Rain Cap

C 3.50
Invincible Ruby (IRE)
Sherlock (IRE)
Marry The Night

C 4.50
Waiting For Love
Flag Of Love (IRE)
Miss Willows

Y 4.40
Little Tiger
Mcted
Naughty Niall

Y 5.10
Ironist (IRE)
Noisy Music (IRE)
El Fox

K 7.20
Hydroplane (IRE)
Moel Arthur (USA)
Capone (GER)

K 8.25
Capuchinero
Pacific Prince
Racing Country (IRE)

K 8.55
Prefer The Sister (IRE)
Francesi (IRE)
Midnight Ravens (IRE)

After today I suspect these will all lose tomorrow, but at least my finances won't have taken a hit .

-------------

 

[Alex]

Morning All, what keeps dragging me back to this, I don't know, perhaps it's the thought of my Mrs going on holiday next week .

BOG bookies

3/1 or less Win Saver
100/30 - 7/2 = 3.00pts win
4/1 - 5/1 = 2.50pts ew
11/2 - 13/2 = 2.25pts ew
7/1 - 8/1 = 2.00pts ew
17/2 - 19/2 = 1.75pts ew
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.25pts ew
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.00pts ew
20/1 - 25/1 = 0.75pts ew
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.50pts ew
35/1 + = 0.25pts ew

Each Way 3pl unless stated

N 1.50
War Hawk - 8/1 win
Marhaba Ghaiyyath - 11/2 ew

A 2.00
Be Frank - 9/1 (0.75pts Saver)
Mythical Guest - 13/2 ew
Chalk Mountain - 7/1 win

A 3.45
Tattycoram - 7/1 ew
Orionis - 9/1 win

A 4.20
Casa De Salinas - 50/1 0.25pts ew
Tribal Wisdom - 25/1 0.50pts ew
Son Of Man - 25/1 0.50pts ew

Y 4.32
Spirit Of Leros - 14/1 win
Withoutfurtherado - 12/1 ew (4pl)

N 5.20
Jenever - 9/1 ew
Emperor Spirit - 14/1 win

Y 5.40
Promethean - 5/1 ew
Trojan Storm - 14/1 win

Ches 7 55
Lets Dream - 12/1 win
Patagonia Girl - 7/1 ew

Ches 8.25
Paws For Thought - 12/1 win
Nazron - 9/2 ew
Maharajas Express - 14/1 win

------------

 

[Alex]

BOG bookies

3/1 or less 3.50pts win (saver ?)
100/30 - 7/2 = 3.00pts win
4/1 - 5/1 = 2.50pts ew
11/2 - 13/2 = 2.25pts ew
7/1 - 8/1 = 2.00pts ew
17/2 - 19/2 = 1.75pts ew
10/1 - 12/1 = 1.25pts ew
14/1 - 18/1 = 1.00pts ew
20/1 - 25/1 = 0.75pts ew
28/1 - 33/1 = 0.50pts ew
35/1 + = 0.25pts ew
Each Way 3pl unless stated

Unless stated 4/1+ Win bets are 1/2 ew pts above + 0.25pts
---

N 2.12
Saariselka - 14/1 win
Havana Pusey - 12/1 ew

A 2.57
Creatif (IRE) - 7/2 (3pts win)
Clockmaker - 12/1 (0.50pts win saver)
Calvert - 11/2 (2pts win)

C 4.20
Run Of Luck - 6/1 ew
Lesrico - 25/1 win

Y 4.45
Marbuzet - 7/1 ew
Weddell Sea - 16/1 win

H 7.00
Monsieur Kodi - 5/1 (2.75pts win)
Catherine Chroi - 12/1 (0.50pts win saver)
Top Juggler - 9/2 (2.75pts win)

H 8.00
Hes Got Game - 16/1 ew

H 8.30
Roman Harry - 4/1 ew
Keats House - 9/1 (1.75pts win)
Zebra Star - 9/1 (1.75pts win)

H 9.00
Lights Go Down - 3/1 win
The Lost Canvas - 12/1 ew

--------

 

[Alex]

P 4.53
Ravenscraig Castle - 4/1 ew
Carnet De Stage - 35/1 win

S 6.15
Amestris - 14/1 ew (4pl)
Jungle Drums - 20/1 win

 

[Alex]

This thread is now closed, and a new one "Filtered One Rating System" has started.