Diamond Geezer
Gone But Not Forgotten
- Joined
- May 2, 2003
- Messages
- 13,884
Highway One O Two (third favourite) won't be running, waits for Aintree.
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Sky are offering 25/1 about any horse winning this and following up by winning any race at the festival.
That strikes me as a decent bet because the majority are entered in both and would an Imperial Cup winner, under a penalty be 25/1 in whichever race they run in ?
That looks a rick. Surely it's a 12/1 shot max.
You are actually betting that Christopher Wood, Leoncavallo, Zanza, Cliffs Of Dover or The Plotting Shed win, nothing else will qualify with a 6Lb penalty.
I like the Plotting shed, already on for one bonus when he beat WHo Dares Wins at Plumpton. but he's available at 50/1 NRNB for the only race entered at the meeting (think that's a mistake by 365) and if they fancy their chances, why would they jeopardise it!
Paddy Power worked it out...Free advertising!
Ratings range of the last three County Hurdles:
2019 153-123
2018 154-133
2017 158-134
I'm not sure what the circumstances were last year that allowed the floor to go so low - unusually heavy ground? - but it would mean Main Fact would have to win on Saturday to have any real chance of getting in.
He'll go up to 128 under his penalty. Does anyone know for certain if another 5lbs penalty will accrue or will it be a 'compound' penalty of, say, 7lbs?
It might just end up a brilliant bit of campaigning by Pipe to get him into the bottom of the Imperial Cup - he'll make the cut - and maybe the County.
I'd love him to pull it off. He strikes me as much more honest and affable than his old man.
Main Fact has just put down a serious marker for the Pipes. Was up 12lb today and gave them a fair beating. will get in at the bottom of the weights with a penalty.
14/1 with Bet365 is a fair enough price.
It Used to be 4Lb....last two years, 6Lb
I read this forum with interest but don’t really contribute much because you guys are in a different league when it comes to form!
However, yesterday I was at Wetherby and backed Main Fact so I was watching him closely through my binos. Down the back I said to my old man he was struggling big time and his race was done, but he obviously picked up later and won nicely. The only thing I took out of it was the back straight and bottom corner was horrible ground yesterday, yet the home straight was drying all the time. Could this have been a factor?
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