JPW RACING TIPSTER

punjabipal

Amateur Rider
Joined
May 26, 2024
Messages
14
Location
Exeter
He gave me 3 horses a couple of weeks ago....2 won so out my winnings , I spent £39.99 to follow him for the flat season.
He states that he has come out winning 15 out of 16 years so here goes................
He does not tip every day.

2:35 Epsom
BLUE FOR YOU 12/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W (5 places, 1/5 odds)
DUTCH DECOY 12/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W (5 places, 1/5 odds)



We have 2 selections in this race.

BLUE FOR YOU has a race like this in him and with Jamie Spencer booked to ride, I think they have mapped this one out for him. Over jumps I always say the best time to catch a horse after a wind operation is his second run, as the horse has learned he can breathe again. You don't see many wind operations on the flat but for me it is the same logic. BLUE FOR YOU went for a wind operation last October and returned at York to come home 4th of 17 to Point Lynas. It was a decent effort that showed he retains ability and BLUE FOR YOU can build on that. Admittedly Epsom is a course he has not run at and he is a York Specialist. I do think the undulations may suit and Epsom does have a long straight like York, so there is every possibility it will suit.
He is drawn in 16 which is not ideal on paper, but he is not a front runner and will be BLUE FOR YOU will be waited with in typical Jamie Spencer fashion, being unleashed when they come around the bend.
He has been dropped to a mark of 99 which is the same handicap mark that he won off at York last July.
At the price I think he is overpriced and with 5 places on offer, he is excellent value. E/W.

DUTCH DECOY came home 2nd in this race last year off a handicap mark of 87. He is up 6lb to a handicap mark of 93 but since this race last year he has gone on to run some huge races, in some big handicap races. He is a much better horse than last year and off today's mark he can get involved. He comes into the race a very fit horse after 4 runs since 23rd March, including two 2nds at Newmarket. He likes to be up with the pace so a draw in 1 will mean he can get out fast and grab the rail and when they turn in for home, be a couple of lengths ahead of the closing pack.
One thing DUTCH DECOY does is see out his races well and he can grind it out. Again with 5 places on offer and he has already shown he likes it around Epsom, he is excellent value. E/W.

3:10 Epsom
HAMISH 17/2 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W (2 places, 1/4 odds)

With rain forecast at the course today and tomorrow morning, this can set up perfectly for HAMISH. He loves cut in the ground and has won his last 5 runs. Admittedly they were all group 3 races so he has to step it up here, but the last time he ran in a group 1, he was only just beaten by Kyprios, so we know he can run big races at this level. I find it very interesting that William Haggas skipped Chester this season after winning at the meeting for the last two years and was then a non runner at York because of the ground. He clearly has him in tip top shape and I think would have been trained to peak for this race absolutely primed. He has strong opposition in Emily Upjohn but she flopped last time out while the same can be said about Luxembourg who also flopped last time out.
HAMISH rarely runs a bad race and he has not been outside the first two since November 2021.
Tom Marquand takes the ride and he knows HAMISH inside out as he has won on him 5 times.
He is a big value in a small field and I think the more rain that falls, the shorter he will become. E/W.

3:45 Epsom
LIBERTY LANE 6/1 generally - 0.75 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)

My NAP of the day is LIBERTY LANE who will have to carry top weight to success but I think he is well up to it. In fact on his day I think he is a group horse. He is only a 4 year old who is just getting better with each start and was an easy winner at Newmarket at the start of the month. He has gone up the handicap 5lb for that success but he seemed to have lots in hand.
He is also a horse who won't mind cut in the ground as he won on soft twice before. He is a versatile horse when it comes to ground in all fairness so whatever the ground is, it won't be a problem. He is drawn in 7 so he can get a nice position from the off and I think Epsom is a course which will suit. E/W.

5:40 Epsom
SPANISH STAR 13/2 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)

SPANISH STAR won this race last year off a handicap mark of 90 and is 1lb lower this year with a handicap mark of 89. He is another horse who goes well with cut in the ground so any rain will only enhance his chances, although at the same time, he won this race on good to firm ground, so he is very versatile. He comes into this race on the back of two good runs when 4th in both races and will be a very fit horse.
Once again we have Tom Marquand in the saddle and I am expecting a big run. E/W.

Good Luck
 
I think blue for you will be aimed at bigger prizes.but who knows with O'Meara.

I must admit I've done Orbaan16/1 now 9 yrs old but is 3lb lower than when he won the golden mile..
 
Derby Day from JPW

Blue For You and Dutch Decoy were beaten fair and square.

Hamish was a big gamble and just couldn't get to Luxembourg and we had to settle for 2nd and each way money.

Liberty Lane was giving a shocker by Clifford Lee. I don't normally blame jockeys but he travelled very well and gap after gap closed on him. I ask anyone to watch the replay back if you haven't already. He had many chances turning to get closer but decided to wait and on making that decision, the gaps kept getting closed. He should have placed at the very least but that is the way it goes sometimes.

Spanish Star was beaten fair and square.

It is Derby Day today and we look to bounce back with 3 selections.

We will start with our usual Saturday each way trixie of 0.10 Points which is equal to 0.8 Points.

0.10 EACH WAY TRIXIE ON THE 3 BELOW SELECTIONS = 0.80 POINTS

SINGLE SELECTIONS BELOW


2:35 Epsom
REGAL REALITY 4/1 generally - 1 POINT WIN

REGAL REALITY won this race last year when defeating another of today's runners in Highland Avenue off level weights. He meets the same horse in this race off 3lb better terms so it is hard to see why that form won't be turned around. The drying ground will also play to his strengths and Ryan Moore in the saddle as he was last year is another massive bonus.
I am expecting a big run as he comes into this race on the back of two runs and will be a very fit horse. WIN.

3:45 Epsom
CLARENDON HOUSE 11/2 generally - 0.75 POINTS E/W (4 places, 1/5 odds)

I believe CLARENDON HOUSE is a group horse running in a handicap and he only knows one speed and that is fast. It doesn't get much faster than the Dash at Epsom. He was 3rd in this race last year but I have no doubt he is a much better horse this time around. He won at York last time out and even back in January he was 4th in a group 2 race at Meydan, showing that he is group level on his day.
Tom Marquand gets the ride once again and he was on board when winning at York. The drying ground will only mean they will go faster which again means they will only enhance his chances. We will cover each way due to the size of the field. E/W.

4:30 Epsom
CITY OF TROY 11/4 generally - 1.25 POINTS WIN

I have gone over this race in my head all week and I have finally decided I want to side with CITY OF TROY. Some will question the decision as he flopped in the 2000 guineas but he does not go from being one of the best horses Aiden O'Brien has trained (trainers words), to a bad horse overnight.
If we go back to last year, Auguste Rodin did exactly the same in the 2000 guineas yet went on to win this race.
I believe he wasn't fully wound up for the 2000 guineas as the money from breeding is not when winning the 2000 guineas but when winning the Derby. CITY OF TROY has to be peak for one day only and that is the Derby, as the money from breeding is next level when you have a Derby winning horse.
CITY OF TROY is also bred to get today's trip and although as a 2 year old he was winning over a 1 mile, he was not bred to excel over that trip but was bred to excel over today's trip.
I think we are going to see a special horse today, the one that we got to know last year and he is going to keep stretching further and further clear,coming down the hill.

I wouldn't put anyone off the reverse forecast with Los Angeles either, as I believe those two horses are head and shoulders above the rest of the field.
 
Spanish Star, 'beaten fair and square'.

Aye, but still finished sixth despite being too far back throughout. He's better than that. Another day I reckon.
 
Today's tip from JPW

A profitable day as City Of Troy won the Derby for us. We got everything spot on with the write up and City Of Troy is a serious serious horse who is going on to great things. The improvement this trip brought out was huge and he will keep going from strength to strength.

Regal Reality was beaten fair and square while Clarendon House did not jump out of the gates, something he has not done before, you just can't write it sometimes.

Nice to get the Derby winner on the board though and know my eagle eye and the way I read horses, breeding and overall assessment of things, is still spot on.

We have one selection tomorrow from Chantilly and the French Derby.

3:05 Chantilly
DIEGO VELAZQUEZ 7/2 generally - 1 POINT WIN

A bit like today with City Of Troy, this boy is bred to want a trip and this step up to 1m 2 1/2f should bring out plenty of improvement. DIEGO VELAZQUEZ is a half brother to Broome and Point Lonsdale (both dams side) and both those named horses have won over 1m 6f and 2m, which once again shows how important a step up in trip is for DIEGO VELAZQUEZ. He was going to the English Derby but the decided to swerve that race to go over to France and Aiden O'Brien and Ryan Moore can be rewarded with a 2nd Derby in two days. He was a two time winner last season over 7f and 1m and was 4th of 13 on his only start this season at Longchamp, over 1m. He will come on loads for that run and I am expecting him to go very close. The ground should be no problem and if anything will put further emphasis on his stamina which he no doubt has in abundance. WIN.

Good Luck
 
Thanks Desert,
I think everyone had a poor National Hunt season with all the rain about but .......Courses are drying out and unless the rain starts again, you would expert some good results from JPW.
I only backed City of Troy as a single yesterday and I did a small trixie on his 3 tips.
When I get or if I get a good win....I will up my bets but until then ....small bets are the order of the day.
 
Today's tip from JPW

A profitable day as City Of Troy won the Derby for us. We got everything spot on with the write up and City Of Troy is a serious serious horse who is going on to great things. The improvement this trip brought out was huge and he will keep going from strength to strength.

Regal Reality was beaten fair and square while Clarendon House did not jump out of the gates, something he has not done before, you just can't write it sometimes.

Nice to get the Derby winner on the board though and know my eagle eye and the way I read horses, breeding and overall assessment of things, is still spot on.

We have one selection tomorrow from Chantilly and the French Derby.

3:05 Chantilly
DIEGO VELAZQUEZ 7/2 generally - 1 POINT WIN

A bit like today with City Of Troy, this boy is bred to want a trip and this step up to 1m 2 1/2f should bring out plenty of improvement. DIEGO VELAZQUEZ is a half brother to Broome and Point Lonsdale (both dams side) and both those named horses have won over 1m 6f and 2m, which once again shows how important a step up in trip is for DIEGO VELAZQUEZ. He was going to the English Derby but the decided to swerve that race to go over to France and Aiden O'Brien and Ryan Moore can be rewarded with a 2nd Derby in two days. He was a two time winner last season over 7f and 1m and was 4th of 13 on his only start this season at Longchamp, over 1m. He will come on loads for that run and I am expecting him to go very close. The ground should be no problem and if anything will put further emphasis on his stamina which he no doubt has in abundance. WIN.

Good Luck
GL<
Alcantor in the French Derby for me,took 11/1 (4pl B/f)) in the early hours,trained by the maestro and fully expect a profit from the bet.
 
Yeah got to say, anyone bigging themselves up for 'getting' City Of Troy...."Nice to get the Derby winner on the board though and know my eagle eye and the way I read horses, breeding and overall assessment of things, is still spot on" - is stating something that's pretty much laughable.

Every single one of us knew what was possible without needing anyone to tell us, right!!.

No offence, Punjabipal, and appreciate you posting, but seems to me this guy is just picking pretty obvious stuff. Which means he'll get some winners, but no more than anyone will pick up just by following a number of threads here.
 
Did I mention I backed City of Troy :D :D :D :D

The guy was on Facebook every day with free tips but disappeared after a disaterous Cheltenham and Aintree.
 
Yeah got to say, anyone bigging themselves up for 'getting' City Of Troy...."Nice to get the Derby winner on the board though and know my eagle eye and the way I read horses, breeding and overall assessment of things, is still spot on" - is stating something that's pretty much laughable.

Every single one of us knew what was possible without needing anyone to tell us, right!!.

No offence, Punjabipal, and appreciate you posting, but seems to me this guy is just picking pretty obvious stuff. Which means he'll get some winners, but no more than anyone will pick up just by following a number of threads here.
I just put them up and if you wanna back them , you can . I think with all the rain we had over the last 6 months, most punters lost money.
Now it is drying out, winners can be easier to find.
My luck was terrible but in the last few weeks, I have been winning a few quid again.
That is horse racing for you.
 
From JPW today.



3:25 Hamilton
PAWS FOR THOUGHTS 10/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W (4 places Sky Bet, Bet 365 and Paddy Power)


I am going to take a chance on PAWS FOR THOUGHT bouncing back to form here at a track he won at last July. Following his win here last July he went up to a handicap mark of 94 but since then he has slowly come down the handicap and now sits on a mark of 88. Donald McCain is also using 7lb claimer Charlie Maggs which actually brings the mark down to 81. When winning here in July he was rated 87, so 6lb lower less than a year later.
He has not been in that form since although he did run a nice race at Southwell back at the end of April when 3rd of 11. Drawn right down the middle is ideal as he will have horses either side to take him into the race and help him concentrate that bit better.
At 9/1 he is decent value and worth an each way bet.

6:30 Leopardstown
FORMAL DISPLAY 3/1 generally - 1 POINT WIN


A decent looking race and I am happy to side with the improving 3 year old, FORMAL DISPLAY who is trained by Ger Lyons and Collin Keane takes the ride. I feel like I know where I stand with the favourite TARAWA who is a 4 year old and has previously been held at this level. That is not to say she can't win the race but I am more interested in the improvement to come from FORMAL DISPLAY, especially now stepped up in trip. He was a good winner at Dundalk on his final start and prior to that he ran in a group 2 so they clearly think a lot of the horse. This is his first start of this season but he has looked like a horse who would develop mentally and physically. Ger Lyons is a master with this type of horse and hopefully he can go on to bigger and better things from here. FORMAL DISPLAY is also very well related as the Dam Passage Of Time has produced the likes of Time Test, Tempus, as well as winning a group 1 when racing. WIN.
 
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