Lazy stats selections

EC1

EC1

On a break
Joined
May 7, 2007
Messages
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late 1960's early 70's
I'll post some lazy stats selections up over the next few weeks and see how rubbish the results are..no form study used and some stats will have ..imo..no real relevance..so these should give really bad results

12.10 Cheltenham - Irish Saint
12.40 Cheltenham - Rajdhani Express
13.15 Cheltenham - Shoegazer
14.25 Cheltenham - Grand Crus
15.35 Cheltenham - Reve De Sivola
 
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12.10 Cheltenham - Irish Saint
12.40 Cheltenham - Rajdhani Express
13.15 Cheltenham - Shoegazer
14.25 Cheltenham - Grand Crus
15.35 Cheltenham - Reve De Sivola WON 15/8

After Day one..

strike rate 20%
LSP -2.1 pts

not bad after spending 0 hours looking at the form book..many will have done worse after hours of form study
 
forgot about this..must be getting lazy;)

Ryanair Chase

Age 8 to 10
Finished in first 3 last time or ran in the King George
Won over 2m 5f or more
Won a Graded chase at Cheltenham
Won a grade 1 chase
Finished in first 3 in last year’s Ryanair
1st 3 in betting
between 1 & 4 runs this season

8 Riverside Theatre
6 Ghizao
6 Champion Court
5 Menorah
5 Alberta's Run
5 Cue Card
5 First Lieutenant
3 For Non Stop

1 pt win Riverside Theatre

===============================================

World Hurdle

Aged 6 to 8 (or a previous winner of the World Hurdle)
Previously run at least 8 times over hurdles
Run 1 to 4 times this season & finished in first 2 on all runs
Won over 3M+
Course and distance winner
Won a graded 1 or 2 hurdle this season
Previously finished in first 2 in a grade 1 hurdle (ideally won)
Finished in the first 2 in last year’s race
First 4 in the betting

8 Reve De Sivola
6 Oscar Whisky
6 Zaidpour
5 Solwhit
4 Smad Place
4 Bog Warrior
4 Peddlers Cross
3 So Young
3 Get Me Out Of Here
3 Celestial Halo
3 Cross Kennon
2 Wonderful Charm
2 Oscara Dara

1pt win Reve De Sivola
 
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Grey said:
This is worrying, I fancy all three of them.
Click to expand...

see..you could have saved all that time studying form and just gone on stats:lol:

i'll bet some punters are performing worse than these selections after burning the midnight oil..only 4.1pts down at the moment

3 winners today there for you Grey i reckon..easy;)
 
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Stats can be as useful as anything else. It’s understanding when a stat is significant or not. Different tools should be used in different combinations to get the job done.
 
SteveM said:
Stats can be as useful as anything else. It’s understanding when a stat is significant or not. Different tools should be used in different combinations to get the job done.
Click to expand...

i'm only using lazy ones Steve..minimum input.

over a period of time i think they will prove to show that a similar level of success can be gleaned compared to form reading

i think there is a bit of snobbery about stats..hence the first time just one fails form readers jump all over the one failing stat...but when a form selection fails they just move on

it doesn't matter if a key stat is broke..i just see which horse passes most stats..simple process

just an experiment really
 
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Winter Derby

1 pt win Farraaj

===============================================

Midlands National
9 One In A Milan
8 Fill The Power
7 Global Power
7 Chac Du Cadran
6 Big Occasion
6 Rebeccas's Choice
5 Major Malarkey
4 Master Overseer
4 You Know Yourself
4 Cool Operator
3 Carruthers

1 pt win One In A Milan
1 pt win Fill The Power
===============================================

Results

Irish Saint
Rajdhani Express
Shoegazer
Grand Crus
Reve De Sivola WON 15/8
Riverside Theatre
Reve De Sivola
Our Conor WON 4/1[/B]
At Fishers Cross WON 11/8
Sir Des Champes

SR = 30%
LSP = 0.00
 
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Some fairly lazy selections for tomorrow, probably a day too late, I held off posting today and there were 2 good priced winners!

Miss Tracy Waggott:

Last 7 days (since 17th) 9 runners, 5 winners, 2 seconds and 2 unplaced.

Prior to that, her previous 18 runners managed just 2 placed efforts.

Tomorrow at Newcastle she runs:

5.45 King Pin
6.20 Solar Spirit 16/1
6.50 Running Reef 33/1
7.20 Valantino Oyster 14/1
7.50 Border Bandit 12/1 & Croftamie 14/1

May be worth a few small e/w multiples.
 
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