Melbourne Cup, 4:00 am

icebreaker

icebreaker

At the Start
Joined
Jun 12, 2005
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In a few hours time, the richest handicap in the world. Any views on the runners?

My initial selection would have been Fawkner, but had a tough race in the Cox Plate last week -- so swerving that one.
Swerving Protectionist also for reasons I can't quite articulate, even with one R Moore in the saddle.

Admire Rakti a deserving fav, although topweight. Impressive winner of the Caulfield Cup -- a run that emphasized his class.
Gatewood. Gosden's, but has yet to run at this distance.


My three against the field:
Sign-Off. Carries a penalty for winning a big handicap on Saturday, but is still bottom-weight on 51kg.
Opinion. Complete outsider, but runner-up in the Sidney Cup over tonight's distance a couple of months ago. Will bet E/W.
Mutual Regard. Ebor winner. Trained by Johnny Murtagh, and for that (emotional) reason alone warrants a very small little E/W bet of my money. :rolleyes:


Good luck with your own selections if you play tonight.
 
I've had a really good go:

Signoff 8/1 (William Hill)

5 places with Betfair Sportsbook

Mutual Regard 10/1
Who Shot Thebarman 20/1
Junoob 25/1
My Ambivalent 25/1
Precedence 100/1
Unchain My Heart 250/1
 
No doubt the anti's down under will go to town on the unfortunate outcome of the race -- Admire Rakti collapsing and dying; Araldo fracturing a pastern bone and being put down.
Last year's single fatality caused enough of a outcry as it was.
 
I think it may have been tongue in cheek Moe but very eagled eyed of you - Makybe Diva's second win came from #7
 
11 is the winningmost draw,and I didn't back Protectionist [backed just about every other horse in the race as well]....
 
.....I have an old pre internet book that I used to jot notes down in and I just have a list that reads 21,22,13,3,14,7,14,10,10,8. Of course I hadn't written what the numbers meant but at least I knew it wasn't the age of the horse...
 
moehat said:
I thought one won from stall 7 about 10 years ago?
Click to expand...
Yes, absolutely spot-on ! Makybe Diva won from stall#7 in 2004. My error, and I hold meh hands up. :o

I was going by this:

"Which Melbourne Cup Barriers Are Worst?

There have historically been a few awful Melbourne Cup barriers. The worst leading up to the 2013 Melbourne Cup barrier draw are:




And there was me -- thinking that all you read on the intarweb is true and authentic. :whistle:
 
..in my little notebook there is a bit in the bottom corner that says 'Draw; 11 or 14'. Wish I'd read it properly yesterday.
 
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