Nervous Chase Thread

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SlimChance

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Chepstow 3.25

The World End makes his debut over fences. I like Now McGinty a lot but the good ground is a negative. Terry The Fish looks a very big price at 9/2 or 4/1 in the betting w/o market. You can also play Bet365 fixed odds forecast. The combined odds work out at jut over 4/1.

1st The World End
2nd Terry The Fish

7.77

1st Terry The Fish
2nd The World End

16.46
 
Shocking round of jumping from Terry. Decent run out for The Worlds End, hard to grasp where he is at though.
 
Would imagine Tom George will be delighted with that. Jumped well but interesting to see if that holds up under more pressure


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Fakenham 2.30 tomorrow sees Movewiththetimes take on former crack Irish PTP talking horse Knocknanuss. Does anyone know why Movewithtimes was made a non runner at Cheltenham on Saturday? Knocknanuss was very free last time and could set this up. I'm betting The Linksman at 6s.
 
Movewiththetimes pulled at Cheltenham because of the slight ease in the ground after the rain there according to Nicholls at the course. Strange considering it eased to good/soft and the horse has won its only race on that ground.


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Kauto Abu said:
Movewiththetimes pulled at Cheltenham because of the slight ease in the ground after the rain there according to Nicholls at the course. Strange considering it eased to good/soft and the horse has won its only race on that ground.


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I have to take him on tomorrow although after how badly the w/o market was priced today I'll certainly have a look.
 
I’m with him myself. I think the run behind Finian’s Oscar & Coo Star Sivola last year is the best chase form on offer.


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I wouldn't touch MWTT with a barge pole tomorrow.

It wouldn't be my kind of race in any event but it looks ripe for MWTT not to win it.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I wouldn't touch MWTT with a barge pole tomorrow.

It wouldn't be my kind of race in any event but it looks ripe for MWTT not to win it.
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I really like Novice chases. Nothing is as good about the jumps as seeing good horses jump fences for the first time. They are also really good betting heats.
 
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If you’re going to get a short one beaten, novice chases are usually the place for it to happen. I’m just not sure you have anything much to take MWTT on with, as he has both a class and a chasing-experience advantage over the others.

Probably better opportunities to turn-over shorties later in the week, where you have more running for you in opposition.

FWIW, I doubled MWTT with Didtheyleaveuoutto in the opener. Pays around 11/10.
 
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I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.
 
Grasshopper said:
If you’re going to get a short one beaten, novice chases are usually the place for it to happen. I’m just not sure you have anything much to take MWTT on with, as he has both a class and a chasing-experience advantage over the others.

Probably better opportunities to turn-over shorties later in the week, where you have more running for you in opposition.

FWIW, I doubled MWTT with Didtheyleaveuoutto in the opener. Pays around 11/10.
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Same bet for me but with Olly Murphy’s bumper horse in there too. Pays 3/1.


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SlimChance said:
I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.
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You could be right here, especially with Knockanuss who always races too keenly in a small field. The Linksman can be keen too which could well set up the scenario you envisage.


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SlimChance said:
I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.
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Non-Runners
Race Horse and Trainer Reason
2:00pm MINELLA ROCCO (IRE), trained by Jonjo O'Neill. Vets Cert (Bruised Foot)
4:20pm BACK ON THE LASH, trained by Martin Keighley. Self Cert (Lame)
4:55pm MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE), trained by Paul
Nicholls.
Vets Cert (Lame)
5:30pm IMPERIAL ALCAZAR (IRE), trained by Fergal O'Brien. Going
(changed since declaration)
 
Stratford 1.40 is right good match race and I'm having a proper bet today. Thomas Campbell takes on Stowaway Magic over 2m 4f. He was running over 3 miles over hurdles. Stowaway Magic has a rogues formbook over fences with three short price defeats trading low in running each time but it's wrong to label him a hound. His run 7 days ago in Carlisle looks really strong form and he battled all the way to the line. He'll go to the front today and if Thomas Campbell gets outpaced or puts in a slow one at any stage he's getting beat.

I'd have Stowaway Magic favourite and am trying to get matched at 2.2 on Matchbook.
 
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