NRNB whoopsies !

Danny

Danny

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Joined
Feb 27, 2013
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O.k I have no antepost book for Cheltenham for a change and I'm not really bothered this year myself as I'm on a different project. Someone the other week was saying there is no value in NRNB for Cheltenham, however they do make mistakes which can lead to the bookies having egg on there face if a certain set of circumstances arise.

William hill quote 10/1 for Sir gino for the champion hurdle NRNB . This really is a no lose situation and you can fill your boots if you want. The most likely event is a refund as he runs in the Arkle most probably. If he did turn up for a Champion hurdle with an absolute full cast there, is he not 2nd favourite behind CH ? But more than that what are the circumstances that would lead to him being switched to the champion hurdle ? The most likely one is a problem with Constitution Hill. Sir Gino was only subbed in to the fighting fifth as an after thought once Constitution hill was out and O.K Donnelly has other options here but does she have better options. With no CH Sir gino is favourite imo and probably wins. Personally I think its probably worth a wild swing. If perhaps your up to your neck in CH ante-post I think it certainly would be worth taking out a free insurance policy in case the worst happens.

I won't be looking for many more of these as I'm leaving Cheltenham until the event and I'm really not over hyped about it as I'm more interested in project payday. But this is a different usually pain free approch to ante-post and see if you guys can spot anymore.
 
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Only by Night 7s for the Mares. She's really impressed me this year but there's a possibility Gav keeps her in Ireland. With Limerick Lace shitting the bed the last day that might change (his other entrant looks a bit too boaty). As for the top end of the market Dinoblue looks like she's regressed, Impervious has surely been absent too long and Allegorie de Vassy is soft as shite.
 
Hewick will never win a Gold Cup, but if it was no worse than good to soft, he's well capable of making his presence felt in the stayers. 33/1 nrnb, 66s can be got without.
Very tempted at that. Interesting that they swerved another King George, for the G1 Hurdele race at Leopardstown till the weather put paid to that.
 
My mate just told me he's gone to get on Sir Gino at William Hill and its 3/1. I just thought i'd go see what time the price changed thinking it may have been the heavy hitters from talking horses shifting prices but apparently it says the closing price last night was 7/2 so must have been a glitch on oddschecker or something. Apologies fellas.
 
If I owned Il Est Francais I would be very tempted to go for a shorter race....I just feel even with the undulations and stiff uphill finish the Ryanair could be too much of a stamina test. The QMCC looks pretty ordinary and he could lead them a merry gallop and be very hard to go with and peg back...8/1 NRNB with bet365 could be worth a bet
 
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