Queen Anne Stakes

I always thought picking winners was the key to successful punting.... Its only if you can do that successfully that value then becomes a critical factor in maximising returns and subsequently turning a profit.
 
Less than a week to go and exchanges apart no one has priced up the SJP or the POW yet. Compared to Cheltenham the anticipation for this meeting is nowhere.
 
Why would you compare it to Cheltenham? The entire flat season does not revolve around Royal Ascot!
 
I know, but with Frankel and Black Caviar running there should be more of a buzz about the thing.

Instead we have two dodgy looking Ballydoyle favourites (So You Think and Power) but nothing to take them on with.

We also have three monster flat horses all over here and all in training but with the very real possibility that none of them will ever meet.
 
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Aragorn said:
I always thought picking winners was the key to successful punting.... Its only if you can do that successfully that value then becomes a critical factor in maximising returns and subsequently turning a profit.
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Bingo! In a nutshell it's a combination of that and of course money management. Sometimes you can pick a winner and not play it because the price was not right. That mindset will stop you from backing a lot of losers as well. G is showing on his exceptional thread how identifying potential winners at the right price goes hand in hand. Don't think he would play many of those at SP.
 
Euronymous said:
I know, but with Frankel and Black Caviar running there should be more of a buzz about the thing.

Instead we have two dodgy looking Ballydoyle favourites (So You Think and Power) but nothing to take them on with.

We also have three monster flat horses all over here and all in training but with the very real possibility that none of them will ever meet.
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Does it not also have to do with the fact that it is absolutely not clear who will be running in these races with a few exceptions. The handicaps are always priced up because there is more info out there on which horse might run where. I have no idea right now which French horses might show up for the showcase events, and with the ground the way it is I wouldn't be getting stuck in anyway.
 
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It is not about picking winners. It is about understanding the true probability of a horse's chances of winning, betting from that where there is value over and above best available odds and ensuring that you stake appropriately with respect to the value a bet is.
 
12/1 So You Think (ew) might be the way to go.
If he runs, he's an absolute lock for the first 3, and if his pacemaker also runs Frankel won't be winning as easily as he did the Lockinge.
 
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