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Rendlesham Hurdle

The best trial/pointer race for this is the Ascot Long Walk Hurdle Stakes 3m 97y Grade1 21/12/2024, since 2000, 9 horses have gone from the Long Walk to the following Rendlesham Hurdle and 9 have won and 6 have placed.
Out of the current decs the following have come from that race and shown is there finishing positions in the Long Walk
Beauport (3), Botox Has (8)
 
I suspect Beauport will win but might look for the market without him with a view to backing Nemean Lion whose only entry to date at the festival is for the Stayers’ Hurdle.

Nemean Lion was 13/2 when I wrote that and I took 7/2 without Beauport. NL is now 4/1 outright so Beauport can win all it wants as long as NL chases it home :)

I also took Nemean Lion for the Stayers' Hurdle (50/1) but can't remember if I mentioned it last night. (These days I'm lucky if I can remember what I had for breakfast.)
 
Though the numbers suggest Beauport should comfortably have his measure, Botox Has seems to come to life at Haydock Park and, though I royally detest the yard, I suspect he may go very close to winning the race again.
 
I was on Beauport the last day and he ran his heart out. I wonder how hard a race that was, I mean granted he's had a decent break since then, but given he's been pulled up a couple times, I just have enough of a doubt as to whether he'll back it up tomorrow.

I'd have Nemean Lion as favourite, and I think he's an orthodox selection.

An unorthodox left fielder who I reckon will out run the odds is Kerryhill.

He won a graded novice hurdle so there's ability there somewhere, and he's still very lightly raced. He was pulled up last time but that was three or four months ago, and given he stopped quickly the wind operation afterwards could prove interesting.

At the current prices I'll take my chance.
 
Neman Lion has leapfrogged Beauport and Botox Has into 9/4f. That's quite a jump from 13/2 on Thursday and gives me lots of hope.
 
I've always had Nemean Lion down as a horse who likes deep ground and, as we've discussed, it was never shaping up to be like that there today.
 
I don't care who the owners are, Luke. I know who the bookies are 🤣

Decades ago I had a letter published in the Update (might have been the RP) after Barnbrook Again, hot fav for the Sweeps Hdle (before it was a handicap), in which I said I suspected the bookies had paid connections not to run, thus keeping all the ante-pose money they'd taken and blowing the market wide open.

I've suspected them ever since: 22-runner fields coming down to 21, 16-runner fields down to 15, 8 to 7. Happens all the time.
 
I don't care who the owners are, Luke. I know who the bookies are 🤣

Decades ago I had a letter published in the Update (might have been the RP) after Barnbrook Again, hot fav for the Sweeps Hdle (before it was a handicap), in which I said I suspected the bookies had paid connections not to run, thus keeping all the ante-pose money they'd taken and blowing the market wide open.

I've suspected them ever since: 22-runner fields coming down to 21, 16-runner fields down to 15, 8 to 7. Happens all the time.
Check out who the owner is. Barnbrook Again landed a massive punt to win the Sweeps Hurdle.
 
Don't take me too seriously, Luke, but it might have been BA going for a second win in the race. Definitely withdrawn a day or two before the race when odds-on fav.
 
The year that Davy Russell had 3 or 4 big priced winners a friend of mine was waiting on a Mark Johnson maiden at Wolverhampton that night for 35 K.People speculated that Paddy Power would pay off the jockey.The horse was beaten but the reality is €35K was completely insignificant to PP on Gold Cup day.
 
Possibly. A long time ago. I kept that letter for years until I got rid of all my archived stuff when I moved house three years ago.
 
GMB couldn't win handicaps this season then goes and wins that. Talk about another race falling apart.

This is turning into one hell of a day for punters. I'm very lucky my bigger bets bets have been non-runners so far so I have to be thankful for that.
 
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