Royal Ascot 2015

Lucida is a classy filly alright...never travelled a yard throughout the race for me (jockey was asking for more and niggling a long way out) but sheer class brought her home for third.

A simiiar comment applied to the second today in the lesser handicap race afterwards, with Ajman Bridge, who was in a bad position throughout. niggled along...but came home strongly in any event with rider's whip knocked out of hand.

Limato travelled more smoothly than the aforementioned Lucida and Ajman Bridge, but again...having been last out the stalls you can't help but think he's ran really well.

Some nice prices floating about on horses with rock solid form tomorrow, I don't even think at our beloved Cheltenham you have horses at double figure prices with form that would win feature events on most Saturdays.

I won't bore anyone with my selections tomorrow but needless to say I've not been scared to back 16/1 shots e/w, likewise..backing horses like Postponed has to be done, even at 3/1, as that in itself is a good price for a potential winner.
 
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Yeah, I've done Postponed. Telescope was longer for this last season and this renewal is far tougher. Due Diligence each way in the Jubilee as some firms are paying four places. He plainly wasn't off first time out.
 
I'll take Eagle Top.
Having only the 4th race of his life in the King George, his inexperience showed when switched round the field he hung even wider, but - when he realised what was required - finished better than anything bar the winner. No Taghrooda's in this race, and he certainly ought to reverse the form with Telescope.
 
been reading some punters comments around the forums about Ryan Moore..the old hackneyed phrases like..well he rides the best horses..makes me laugh a bit that one..does he always ride the best horse in a race? Well obviously if that was the case then they would always be odds on and his performance when measured against odds would be 100%. A few weeks ago when Sean Bowen was doing really well his performance against expectation was something like 460%..showing he was riding out of skin compared to horse chance of winning.

At Ascot this week Ryan Moore's performance v price expectation is 180%....which shows he is getting lots more out of horses than their odds suggest..and bearing in mind a few of those were falsely short just due to him being on them. If each horse had been priced on chance of winning without the Moore factor then he would be at 300% probably.

average would be about 85/90% for most jockeys..R Hughes this year is 73%..Buick 105%..Moore 91%...De Souza 126%..Doyle 94%.

De Sousa is probably the best jock overall for eeking out conisistently the best a horse has got..over the period of this year on turf anyway
 
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Had a day off yesterday and don't really fancy anything today.

A horse who caught my eye last time out was Dinkum Diamond 28/1

Sure to be much bigger on the machine I am having a few bob on just in case today is the day
 
He's a class act EC. Been superb for a long time now.
The he's on the best horses is just a lazy argument. As you say not all of them are short prices either.
 
2.30 Tonkinese..cover Sixth Sense
3.05 Provenance..cover sennokian star
3.40 Eagle Top
4.20 Tropics..cover bet Gordon Lord Byron
5.00 Huntsmans Close
5.35 Marzocco
 
After taking trends into calculation I have decided to back these three in the Wokingham Stakes:

1) Watchable
2) Robert Le Diable
3) Interception

All backed e/w with main stakes going on the first named.

Good luck everyone.
 
Solow, the fortunate Free Eagle and Mahsoob aside this has been a pretty brutal week.

The jollies in the next and last, with Watchable in the Wokingham need to pull something out.
 
marble said:
Major Jack will surely benefit from a faster pace in the Wokingham for Roger Charlton...25/1 in a place, wouldn't put anyone off!
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Major Jack didn't make the race but the horse who beat him at Ascot and in the form of his life has done, (Basil Berry)..so I'm throwing a tenner e/w on Basil Berry in the Wokingham.
 
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Toffee said:
After taking trends into calculation I have decided to back these three in the Wokingham Stakes:

1) Watchable 5th :cool:
2) Robert Le Diable 2nd :)
3) Interception 1st :D

All backed e/w with main stakes going on the first named.

Good luck everyone.
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Really enjoyed RA this year. Decent profit for the week obviously made it more so and was lucky enough to bag some hospitality yesterday


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I thought it was a great RA - really enjoyed it despite having minimal bets this week (off on holiday next week so can't splurge) & made do with the FF competition. But I thought we saw some great performances both human and equine. And I know a lot of you loathe the C4 coverage but I thought it was very good this week. They had majorly panned down the fashion coverage and what there was, was acceptable (although I am at a loss to understand just why every fashion editor they interviewed looked appalling!). Even Rishi had improved bar the usual comment "how did it feel to ride a Royal Ascot winner....."
 
edgt said:
Juddmonte should hook up with Pat Smullen after his ride in Hardwicke; absolute magic.
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I was was thinking that -problem is he looks guaranteed to be Irish Champion for next couple of years and his retained stable is surfing a wave of success.I'd say they would have to offer him a serious retainer to tempt him.
 
Looking ahead to potential clashes. The Sussex stakes. Who would you fancy in a Solow v Gleneagles?
 
Solow is the best horse in Europe according to many and AOB says Gleneagle is the best miler he has ever had.

My money would be on Canford Cliffs to stuff them both

Probably the S v G will never happen but it sells racing
 
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Frankel said:
Looking ahead to potential clashes. The Sussex stakes. Who would you fancy in a Solow v Gleneagles?
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No doubt Gleneagles but I would imagine the clash will be at Deauville in the Marois, From there on ground will dictate where Gleneagles runs, It would be great to see him on champions day but I can't see it.
 
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