Crikey Kriz, your post is obsolete already, as regards the 2,000 dead Americans it would appear.
I'm not suggesting the RG are going to reform as a conventional fighting force. The Americans are fond of calling them cowards for their refusal to fight them on the battlefield. Well let's be honest? That's no cowardice, that's just common sense. Who in their right mind is going to stand in a desert with an AK47 and an IED, and take on an enemy who can shoot a 'fire and forget' missile from 5 miles away that creeps up on you, unlocks your fridge drinks your beer, and then re-programmes your video, before blowing you up?
The analogy I quite like is with the one with the Hydra to be honest, as there's a whole host of well motivated, reasonably well funded and well trained sub groups all moving towards the same objective, but largely from different perspectives and on different agendas. We call it an insurgency in the West (another example of right wing political correctness which I was highlighting a few months ago). In truth it embodies many of the characteristics of the 'Popular Fronts' that sprung up all over Europe in the 1930's, with the pursuit of a common enemy the primary goal, whilst jockeying for a position post occupation.
You've basically got Saddamists, Nationalists, Religious extremists, Foreign Fighters, AQ, Opportune terrorists and gangsters, and heaven knows how many tribal and sub religious factions on this hydra, with the consequence that no single individual can speak for all its heads.
In a strange way it reminds of that scene from the Magnificent Seven I think it was? Where Yul Brynner is rigging up the village with a series of traps, and the Mexican peasent points out that it won't keep the bandits out. "I'm not trying to keep them out. I'm trying to keep them in".
Bear in mind that the IRA was only ever reckoned to be between 250 - 500 strong at any given time. It is this kind of fighter/ campaign that I expect former remnants of the RG to evolve into, and it won't take many of them. Every prisoner abuse, and every innocent killed, will just feed the supply chain with volunteers (and that's before you factor in anything happening in Israel). Cut off one head, and another three grow etc
Partitioning carries so many dangers too, as its going to leave a vacuum and a civil war tinder box capable of rolling out into a regional conflict at the smallest provocation. I really don't know how you reconcile it now, as just about every scenario short of staying there indefinately seems to come back to a wider regional conflict. Asking Iran and Syria to expand their borders, is just totally unpalatable and equally fraught with danger, both in terms of security and economically. I've even started thinking the seemingly ridiclious and wondering if Kuwait, with its infinately richer economy might not be able to absorb part of Southern Iraq (or strictly speaking be reunited with it), and operate as an American protectorate? Despite the geographical and population disparities, Kuwait might very well be an equal partner? God knows it looks desperate
The tragedy of this of course is that it was so unnecessary, and so mis-judged.
Wrong war, wrong target, wrong reason, wrong time