Originally posted by clivex@Jan 2 2007, 03:38 PM
More shelf-life nonsense. Regardless, Hans Blix (Chief UN Weapons Inspector - perhaps best placed to make the call??) seemed just about as certain as was possible. Either way, Saddam was totally contained, and certainly not capable of launching a WMD strike in 45 minutes as was claimed as part of the rationale for going to war.
Second part is probably true. First is frankly beyond belief. He may have been proved right, but at that time how on earth could he be certain that tehre wasnt one chemical/atomic/ germ weapon in the whole of iraq?
Maybe he could have asked the marsh arabs or the jurds for their view?
How can I be sure there isn't one chemical/atomic/germ weapon in your garage, clivex? You display all the right-wing leanings of the classic mountain militia man. Who's to say you haven't cooked-up some nooks in your still?
There can never be
absolute certainty. Anyone who suggests as much, hasn't looked at a map, because Iraq is a fair bit bigger than your garage, and there's lots of crannies to hid nooks in.
However, with weapons inspectors there, and (albeit late) Iraqi co-operation manifesting itself in 2001, the lid was on the problem.
Indeed, in 2003, Saddam issued a Presidential decree prohibiting development of WMD. Not worth the paper it was written on? Perhaps, but I mention it, just to mention it.
Saddam had no motive to use WMD. He had no capacity to launch them, even if he had a motive.
As far as could reasonably be ascertained at the time, and with a reasonably high degree of certainty (given that the UN team were eventually given unrestricted and unannounced access to any site they thought interesting, after 2001), Iraq did not have a WMD capability prior to the Iraq War.
Personally, I'd rather that we had kept those UN inspectors in there for years to come, carrying out their 'tedious' task of ensuring a WMD capability could not be developed, than simply make shit-up in order that we could go to war with a country that was on its knees anyway.