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The 2025 Glorious Goodwood Day 4 (Friday) thread

Going stick 5.7 (sunny forecast, no rain).

The last race yesterday, when the ground was presumably at its worst, was 4.83s slow for 1m, 0.6s slow per furlong, and was narrowly won in a bunch finish by a 3yo who was OR 88 going into the race.

The stick suggests it will be testing today, but that last race time suggests it won't actually be that bad.
 
Some think Asfoora won't handle the ground.

Quite apart from it not being that bad, she has winning Group 3 form on ground at least described as Soft in Australia.
 
I've really been tearing what little hair I have left trying to finalise my Golden Mile selection today.

Arisaig was a horse, who I thought could do well this year. After her first start this season, when fifth at Newbury, this view was solidified, but then she disappointed and so I gave up on her.

Then all of a sudden, she shows a excellent turn of foot finishing second to Classic, who franked the form in the International. Hence, in theory I'm reckoning that, on this strict line of form, Arisaig could be the 7lbs or so well in, that you want to be in a race like this.

In terms of what horse what I could kick myself most if they won and I wasn't on, Arisaig would be high on the list.

There might be a doubt about how she'll handle cut in the ground, but I'm not so sure she won't handle it.

Afterall, apart from one career run on heavy ground, she hasn't had an opportunity to run on ground like this.

Jamie Spencer rides and hopefully he can cut through the pack at the business end like a knife though butter.
 
Ian_Davies said:
Going stick 5.7 (sunny forecast, no rain).

The last race yesterday, when the ground was presumably at its worst, was 4.83s slow for 1m, 0.6s slow per furlong, and was narrowly won in a bunch finish by a 3yo who was OR 88 going into the race.

The stick suggests it will be testing today, but that last race time suggests it won't actually be that bad.
Click to expand...
Probably correct.
My first two picks, Tashakan + Lattam, shortened up quite a bit last night. On the drift again now.
 
Jesus Christ was like Mill Reef - ideally suited by top of the ground, but had such a light, daisy cutter action he barely made a print in mud or - according to The Testament - on water.

His Godform rating was higher than Arkle's and Frankel's combined - with a big P to boot.
 
Could my luck finally be changing?

I managed to top-rate KOL in the opener today and since I'm only betting in two races I've managed to claw back half of yesterday's losses.

If I'm lucky enough to find the winner of the Golden Mile I might also claw back Wednesday's losses but it's a tricky renewal and I can be no more than hopeful of a return.
 
The Fortune Teller said:
I've really been tearing what little hair I have left trying to finalise my Golden Mile selection today.

Arisaig was a horse, who I thought could do well this year. After her first start this season, when fifth at Newbury, this view was solidified, but then she disappointed and so I gave up on her.

Then all of a sudden, she shows a excellent turn of foot finishing second to Classic, who franked the form in the International. Hence, in theory I'm reckoning that, on this strict line of form, Arisaig could be the 7lbs or so well in, that you want to be in a race like this.

In terms of what horse what I could kick myself most if they won and I wasn't on, Arisaig would be high on the list.

There might be a doubt about how she'll handle cut in the ground, but I'm not so sure she won't handle it.

Afterall, apart from one career run on heavy ground, she hasn't had an opportunity to run on ground like this.

Jamie Spencer rides and hopefully he can cut through the pack at the business end like a knife though butter.
Click to expand...
N/R
 
1754054696521.png

The handicapper is saying Skukuza should win this but it probably isn’t as simple as that. For a start, there is, for me, a question mark about the form which earned him his new rating but even so others have managed to get themselves very handy marks and Skukuza is drawn very wide. I have backed it but not with confidence. Given the way things have gone this week, I’m feeling quite phlegmatic about this race when normally it’s one I look forward to for weeks and weeks. I’ll probably back Greek Order and Arisaig purely on the figures and because they have single-figure draws and will have some sickness insurance on Blue For You. I’ll also have something on Fantastic Fox purely out of gut instinct.
 
Ian_Davies said:
If the forecast rain arrives, I think Rhoscolyn, drawn 3, track-proven mudlover well in on old form, yada, yada, yada, might do rather better than he did today.

I can't get on with Paddy Power, who it turns out aren't quite as bold about taking on punters as their marketing might suggest, but 40/1 six places might start to look alright if it devolves into a bog.
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Ah, smug mode:
 
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Well THAT was rather nice! :cheerleader: I wouldn't have thought about him quite so much if I hadn't spoken to owners on Wednesday. But he surely loves it here. Had a little squeak on the Hughes horse too as he was quite bullish
 
Ian_Davies said:
I've organised 40/1 and 33/1 Rhoscolyn on his own and as stated above got him in each-way doubles with Zinc White (20/1) and Vino Victrix (16/1) - also bet on their own - in the opener.

I won't by any means be copping the lot, or even having it right off, as the first two legs of my six-figure soup monster multiple blew out, but if one or both go in I'm liable to be in narcissistic overdrive for days, so I'd advise logging off TH and going for a walk - a long one. 😂
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Well done with Rhoscolyn. Nice one.
 
Ian_Davies said:
I've organised 40/1 and 33/1 Rhoscolyn on his own and as stated above got him in each-way doubles with Zinc White (20/1) and Vino Victrix (16/1) - also bet on their own - in the opener.

I won't by any means be copping the lot, or even having it right off, as the first two legs of my six-figure soup monster multiple blew out, but if one or both go in I'm liable to be in narcissistic overdrive for days, so I'd advise logging off TH and going for a walk - a long one. 😂
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Nice one
I only got 12s, but a nice profit nonetheless
Thanks for sharing.
 
Well done Rhoscolyn backers, especially those that got the big odds. I couldn't bring myself to back it at the shorter prices but did think again about it when Tudhope jumped on to it from Mirsky (was that the plan all along?)

Blue For You wasn't off an inch, unfortunately, the jockey holding on to it and tucking in behind a wall of horses from a good position half a mile out when he had the chance to make his move wide.

It will be the big mile hcap for him at York probably...
 
jinnyj said:
Well THAT was rather nice! :cheerleader: I wouldn't have thought about him quite so much if I hadn't spoken to owners on Wednesday. But he surely loves it here. Had a little squeak on the Hughes horse too as he was quite bullish
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Nice one Jin,
A couple of years ago or last year I put Real gain in my notebook and put it up a/p at 33/1 for the Hunt cup and after about a week it was 6/1 favourite
 
Outsider said:
Nice one Jin,
A couple of years ago or last year I put Real gain in my notebook and put it up a/p at 33/1 for the Hunt cup and after about a week it was 6/1 favourite
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It won't let me edit and I posted before I'd finished.

It never run in the hunt cup and rarely seen.it was a cracking run after a long lay off.
Maybe the Balmorai will be on the radar.
 

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