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The 2025 Long Walk Hurdle

Will be very interested in this market. Would expect Inpose Toi and Strong Leader to be the top two but Crambo might be a nice price - I have no idea why he was in the Ascot Hurdle last time over 2 and a half and the way he was positioned in the race suggested to me he was just there to blow the cobwebs away. Strong Leader is best on a flat lh track, Nemean Lion isn't a 3 miler, Potters Charm is trained by a bellend - could be a juicy market.
 
If Doddiethegreat (14/1) can put a clean round of jumping together, he won’t be far away. The horse has a knack of getting hampered or letting his hind legs into the hurdle. His form over his last five runs is ultra-consistent, though. It’s a very weak, shallow race and he hasn’t much to find with the top of the market.
 
Love putting these Big-Race threads up at an ante-post stage, but no bet for me until I see the final declarations on Thursday. #justbackfuckingrunners
 
11 declared.

Altobelli Bryan Carver
Beauport Tom Bellamy
Colonel Mustard John Shinnick
Crambo Jonathan Burke
Doddiethegreat James Bowen
Gwennie May Boy Charlie Deutsch
Honesty Policy Mark Walsh
Impose Toi Nico de Boinville
Jet Blue Harry Cobden
Potters Charm Sam Twiston-Davies
Strong Leader Sean Bowen

Betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/2025-12-20-ascot/14:25/winner
 
Last edited:
Ian_Davies said:
11 declared.

Altobelli Bryan Carver
Beauport Tom Bellamy
Colonel Mustard John Shinnick
Crambo Jonathan Burke
Doddiethegreat James Bowen
Gwennie May Boy Charlie Deutsch
Honesty Policy Mark Walsh
Impose Toi Nico de Boinville
Jet Blue Harry Cobden
Potters Charm Sam Twiston-Davies
Strong Leader Sean Bowen

Betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/2025-12-20-ascot/14:25/winner
Click to expand...
I agree with Slim inasmuch as I think 22/1 Doddiethegreat is too big - every chance of getting in the frame and I'd have him half that - but, for me, 11/2 Strong Leader (or 5/1 four places) is "the wrong price" one in this.

He's no certainty, but I'd have him favourite.
 
I love this race -the ultimate test of stamina for a staying hurdler.The betfair market should be very interesting in the 2 or 3minutes before the off.I thought Crambo could barely raise a gallop last time out and would expect his betfair sp to be closer to 20/1 than 8/1.Colonel Mustard won't get the distance in my opinion.
 
Colonel Mustard arguably ran the race of his life to win the Lismullen Hurdle over 2m4f at Navan last time out.

If he's equally effective over 3m110yds round Ascot after a bit of rain, he won't be out of the frame on Saturday.

If he's isn't, it will be a Hell of a long way home from two out.
 

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