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The 2025 Longshot Thread

Desert Orchid said:
The market did indeed tell the story. Clearly either not ready yet or not off. The main bet was L'Homme Presse and I'm still writing through clenched teeth thinking about the ride it got. I don't believe a horse that was good enough to finish third in a King George should have struggled for pace in a handicap in which the opponents are rated 146 and less. Maybe this was just a prep for something down the line.
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It'll probably be a return visit at the end of January for the Cotswold Chase again. ( Grey Dawning could run in that unless the ground is heavy.)
I heard Warren Greatrex say some time ago that the main target for Herakles Westwood in the first half of the season was the Welsh National. He could still run in that as he didn't have too hard a race, and looks to need further on possibly softer ground.
 
edgt said:
Khaadem is one of those prices this weekend in Sha Tin HKsprint.
The Lion In Winter is 16/1 for the HK mile.
Juicy prospect for an ew double methinks.
Pity I just missed Mags Mullins' Cheltenham winner to fund it....
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Thanks for heads up - Khaadem one of my cliff horses too!
 
Desert Orchid said:
The market did indeed tell the story. Clearly either not ready yet or not off. The main bet was L'Homme Presse and I'm still writing through clenched teeth thinking about the ride it got. I don't believe a horse that was good enough to finish third in a King George should have struggled for pace in a handicap in which the opponents are rated 146 and less. Maybe this was just a prep for something down the line.
Click to expand...
National, I'm guessing
 
edgt said:
Khaadem is one of those prices this weekend in Sha Tin HKsprint.
The Lion In Winter is 16/1 for the HK mile.
Juicy prospect for an ew double methinks.
Pity I just missed Mags Mullins' Cheltenham winner to fund it....
Click to expand...
Thankfully I follow Paul Willis’s runners because Adam trains for him. I only spotted the colours at the last minute and then followed the wrong horse throughout the race because his horses usually run in cheek pieces. Having given up on it I suddenly realised at the end of the race that he’d won!
 
L'HP for the Natinal would be a barge pole job for me, not because he'd struggle with the fences or trip but just because off a mark in the 160s he'd struggle to give a stone to a Mullins horse that is probably a 170 horse getting in off around 150, as NIck Rockett and I Am Maximus were.
 

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