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The 2025 York August Meeting Day 3 (Friday) Thread

I backed the wrong Richard Fahey horse on Thursday, as he had the second at 66/1!
Northern Express ran his race on what looked a tricky day for each way angles, with the favourites winning a few.

Several musings for horses I want to keep on side on Friday..

1.50 Austrian Theory used to be trained by Charlie Johnston, then went to Tim Easterby. Firstly, I'm drawing a line through the last couple of efforts. Before that he ran really a fine race when three and a quarter lengths behind Fox Legacy in the John Smiths Cup. The history of his form shows when he drops to a low enough mark, that he can be very competitive. He dropped to 94 in 2022, winning a class 2 at Hamilton. He dropped to 91, then won a class 2 at Epsom in 2023. He dropped to 79, winning last season at Pontefract, albeit only at class four level. He's dropping again in the handicap, racing off the rating of 83 tomorrow. Perhaps I'm clutching at straws, but I think he's good each way value, if such a thing exists. I'm hoping he'll be alright over this 1M4F. I'm also having a win only bet on Insanity, who I think has great chance if he handles this left handed track and can get a reasonable early position.

3:35 I was interested in She's Quality, who I thought should have won the last day, but was allowed to wander a bit too far to the rear of the field by her jockey for my liking, after a good early start from the stalls. That said, I've caught Rumstar right once or twice before, and so loyalty, plus a gut feeling that he'll be like a pig in shit with the pace they go, at a slighter bigger price to boot, swings my vote in his favour.

4.10 Bint Al Daar is a very interesting horse here. She had some half decent form from last season, and Kevin Frost will trying to rejuvenate her. I've no idea who the seven pound claimer is, but every pound counts. I've just got a feeling this mare can run a big race on Friday, if the cheekpieces can do the trick. Another each way value bet, if such a thing exists.

5:20 Yah Mo Be There ran really well on its penultimate start, staying on like a train at Ascot. He was slow away last time but did still run with credit, and David Egan now taking the reins can't be a bad thing. Connections know how to land a gamble, so keep your eyes on Oddschecker! :)

Now as you were....
 
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4.10 Bint Al Daar is a very interesting horse here. She had some half decent form from last season, and Kevin Frost will trying to rejuvenate her. I've no idea who the seven pound claimer is, but every pound counts. I've just got a feeling this mare can run a big race on Friday, if the cheekpieces can do the trick. Another each way value bet, if such a thing exists.

5:20 Yah Mo Be There ran really well on its penultimate start, staying on like a train at Ascot. He was slow away last time but did still run with credit, and David Egan now taking the reigns can't be a bad thing. Connections know how to land a gamble, so keep your eyes peeled to Oddschecker! :)

Now as you were....
The 4.10 is another very, very tricky York Fillies Handicap. I was interested in Bint Al Daar too. She is down 6lb from a good run in this when 2nd last year and, as you say, they have stuck cheekpieces on for the first time. I had never heard of Alfie Gee either, but checked his record and see he has only ever had 18 rides - all this season. Incredibly, 2 of those have won, 5 seconds and 6 thirds - so 13 of the 18 in the first 3. However, the total earnings from those 13 efforts is less than half the value of this race. So it is very big day for him.

There are several unexposed 3yo’s in this, including from the stables of Haggas, Gosden and Balding, so I’ll be treading carefully and low stakes. I did back Brielle earlier in the week at 16/1 though. She is another 3yo and the least experienced in the field. David O’Meara trains and she has already reached a good level after 3 runs.

Power of Destiny was 9/2 for this last season, off a pound higher, but ran a stinker. She could run well too, at about 16/1.

I agree, Yah Mo Be There has an excellent chance in the 5.20. He was 8th in the Guineas after being hampered at the start. He has other very good form and his first Handicap effort was a good one, hampered by a slow start and Jamie Spencer failing to get a clear run in the closing stages. Dividend also runs in this. I thought he had been sold to race overseas after his excellent run in the Britannia, but he turns up here and could be a danger.
 
That Euronymous is one tough audience!

And there was me quite looking forward to it.
That said, I would say this York meeting, while having the edge on Glorious Goodwood, isn't a patch on Royal Ascot in terms of overall quality across the meeting.

Only comment I'd make on today is my "Ebfolio" NR French Duke runs in the opener.

He's down a pound after getting a shocking ride at Goodwood, dropped out at the back off an obvious moderate early gallop and consequently left with no chance at the business end, as the leaders weren't stopping.

The Yorkshire Oaks time confirmed it's quite quick there, on the round course at least, and while French Duke is effective on Good to Firm, I think his very best form so far has been on Soft - that would be my main concern with him today.
 
Quite like Sweet William in the Lonsdale, but can't see Rab outriding WB jn a pace judgement battle.
Intriguing watch though.
 
Had another look as it doesn't feel right not having a bet on a Festival card and come down on Night Raider in the Nunthorpe. I'll be backing to lay him. He was at the wrong side at Goodwood and he ran well here in the Duke of York over a trip that's obv too far. Comical Point went in my 2yo tracker after his run in the Coventry and promptly exited it after an abysmal effort in the July Stakes but he led that day and maybe if he gets a lead today he'll fare better. Worth a wee go at 10/1.
 
The first Nunthorpe was in 1922. The first 2yo to win it was in 1953. In total, five juveniles have won it, most recently in 2007. Others have run well in defeat. 2yos can win it, but five in over 100 years suggests you'd need a smart juvenile at a big price to want to back one.
 

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