Ian_Davies
Conditional
Silver Lining 20/1 best now.
Sure to get in whateverI've taken 14s on Destroytheevidence at Powers. He's much shorter at Hills and shaped as if he needed a step up in trip last time.
I think it's only L'homme that needs to come out.L'Homme Presse, Mr Vango and Resplendent Grey all need to come out for My Silver Lining to get in, I think - without that trio she's certainly not 25/1.
You're right - I'd been looking at how many needed to come out for My Silver Lining to run off her correct mark which is entirely separate.I think it's only L'homme that needs to come out.
Myretown is also entered at Kelso on Sunday.Myretown looks a bet-to-nothing at 7/2.
If L’Homme Presse runs, he carries 10-06 and three come out. Myretown goes off shorter.
If L’Homme Presse doesn’t run, a high-class rival disappears. His chance improves.
Either way, there’s more upside than downside.
Myretown is also entered at Kelso on Sunday.
I was surprised too - I didn't even look at the Kelso entries until literally a minute before I posted the double entry.I'm surprised at that. Not jocked up for either. The Kels. race makes some sense in ways.
I'm surprised at that. Not jocked up for either. The Kelso race makes some sense in ways.
Yes, you'd think, having gone direct for the Coral Gold Cup first time out, they'd target a £57,000 race over an £8,000 race - hopefully he's just in at Kelso as a weather precaution, but it would be enough to stop me backing him ante-post at Warwick just in case he's actually not declared Thursday morning.Can’t see it, myself. They expect big things from Myretown and I’d have thought there’s no benefit in going to Kelso unless a bit worried about any after effects of the fall last time. Even then, they wouldn’t want to destroy his mark for a relatively tiny pot.
But the Warwick race is for 57K,and a simpler target?Yes, you'd think, having gone direct for the Coral Gold Cup first time out, they'd target a £57,000 race over an £8,000 race - hopefully he's just in at Kelso as a weather precaution, but it would be enough to stop me backing him ante-post at Warwick just in case he's actually not declared Thursday morning.
I know that, back in my youth, this race seemed to hardly ever take place - it was abandoned due to snow and frost seven times in 11 years 1978-1988 and I only ever saw it live once (Bonum Omen, 1983) while at Warwick University.
I really hope I'm wrong, obviously, but Storm Goretti may put paid to it.
Unless they've increased the race distance to five miles and transferred it to The Somme in the event of Warwick being abandoned, I'm unsure myself.Why has Mr Vango been cut everywhere today?
I wouldn't mind having Myretown onside for the National ahead of this race, assuming it goes ahead.
Currently rated 142 it will need to go up at least 5lbs to have any chance of getting in at Aintree so will probably need to win between now and mid-February.
It holds an entry in the Gold Cup so is presumably thought to be a 160+ horse and I think the yard won this with One For Arthur en route to the big one.
The problem is only Hills and 888 are going 33/1. The former don't let me bet with them and I closed my 888 account over the fuss they made of my trying to withdraw winnings from them.
Just as I was typing that I remembered they don't know me in the local WH shop so I might pop down there in the morning to see if I can get something on. (Maybe my friend Stan the postman, a regular there, can help me get on if necessary. Failing that I might ask the brother to try and get it on in his local shop but his nosebleed at the thought of putting on the bet might raise a flag.)
Do you bet over the counter only at this Hills?