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The 2026 Grimthorpe Handicap Chase

Ian_Davies

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Joined
May 7, 2023
Messages
5,668
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Hampshire
Tbh, this was a bit of a nothing race back in the day - it's been 2m150yds and it's been 4m100yds, but it's evolved into a decent 3m2f Handicap Chase nowadays, the distance the Great Yorkshire in January used to be over.

Anyway, it's got a decent entry - and the betting is open - so I reckon it's worth a thread.

Ante-Post Betting: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-r...ational-hunt/grimthorpe-handicap-chase/winner
 
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I took 10/1 on Kelce the other day as it won well for me on its latest start at Musselburgh where it looked the winner throughout the race.
Interesting to see that all three Neil Mulholland horses have stood their ground.
 
I took 10/1 on Kelce the other day as it won well for me on its latest start at Musselburgh where it looked the winner throughout the race.
Interesting to see that all three Neil Mulholland horses have stood their ground.
WIll be interesting to see how they price up Mullhollands Rubber Ball in the 2 10 at Newbury. Beat Tutti Quanti this time last year over c/d. Off the same mark now, after showing nothing since.
 
here's a funangle from chatGPT. I loaded last 10 years of trends from Horseracebase. Based on thise, this is what chatGPT came up with.

Strongest Trend Fits (Non-Cheltenham Model)​


🟢 1. Theformismighty (9yo, 118, 32 days, 12/1)​


  • Age ideal
  • Fresh enough
  • Big RPR (147)
  • Mid-range price
  • Not favourite
  • Stayer profile

Most complete trend alignment.




🟢 2. Destroytheevidence (8yo, 12/1)​


  • Slight age negative (8 not ideal but acceptable)
  • OR 134 workable
  • Price sweet spot
  • Trainer Bailey historically strong in this race



🟢 3. Lord Accord (11yo, 20/1)​


  • Age perfect
  • Big price (race allows this)
  • Only concern: 98 days off

If fit, fits race pattern extremely well.
 
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