Just the one for me tomorrow:
Morando - 3.40 Goodwood 4/1 Ew
I'm going to take on the favourite, Aggagio, here. I know he's turning into a bit of a course specialist but he'll have record a lifetime best to win here and I'm not thinking that the 7/4 about him is value, really. He looks underpriced, to me.
On the other hand, with Morando, we're looking at a colt who has won Three Gp 3's and a listed race in his career to date and I really am attracted to his chances in handicap company here. His big weight wouldn't scare me at all.
Firstly, will he stay? I think most certainly and for proof of that I go back to his run behind Trueshan. He had Stradivarius and a host of good stayers behind him that day and stayed on towards the post; he would have grabbed 2nd with another 50yds. That is proof positive to me. One might argue that he's been disappointing since but his last run over a shorter distance behind Shirty was promising, running on over what must surely have been too short a trip.
There's no doubt he's a better horse with some cut in the ground and tomorrow's ground is described as g/sft. That will enhance his chances alright and even better if the course gets hit by the thunderstorms that will be roaming the area tomorrow.
Yes, he hasn't run since early July but he's won after a break before and all in all, he does look very good value at 4/1. He's even worth an ew at that price with 1/4 odds.
Win or lose, he simply must be done imo.
Morando - 3.40 Goodwood 4/1 Ew
I'm going to take on the favourite, Aggagio, here. I know he's turning into a bit of a course specialist but he'll have record a lifetime best to win here and I'm not thinking that the 7/4 about him is value, really. He looks underpriced, to me.
On the other hand, with Morando, we're looking at a colt who has won Three Gp 3's and a listed race in his career to date and I really am attracted to his chances in handicap company here. His big weight wouldn't scare me at all.
Firstly, will he stay? I think most certainly and for proof of that I go back to his run behind Trueshan. He had Stradivarius and a host of good stayers behind him that day and stayed on towards the post; he would have grabbed 2nd with another 50yds. That is proof positive to me. One might argue that he's been disappointing since but his last run over a shorter distance behind Shirty was promising, running on over what must surely have been too short a trip.
There's no doubt he's a better horse with some cut in the ground and tomorrow's ground is described as g/sft. That will enhance his chances alright and even better if the course gets hit by the thunderstorms that will be roaming the area tomorrow.
Yes, he hasn't run since early July but he's won after a break before and all in all, he does look very good value at 4/1. He's even worth an ew at that price with 1/4 odds.
Win or lose, he simply must be done imo.
