UK AW Track Bets Today 17/02/2026 - Betting Tips & Information, Race & Runner Analysis

[davewatts50]

Here are my bets for the UK's all-weather races today. Initial selections are from the Wolverhampton meeting. There may be more to follow later.

Note, the point of writing up these selections is always to illustrate which horses are carrying my personal bets. And those bets are always derived/determined from the processes outlined in the book: UK All-Weather Racing: A Specialist's Guide to Finding Value on the AW

Wolverhampton 19:30 - Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (0-70) (5) 4yo+ 1M 142y

MR NUGGET - He's an inform and arguably an improving 5 year old gelding, who's a course & distance winner. He has 3 course wins from 10 to date, a nice 30% strike rate at the course. He last ran 15 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 5 over 9 furlongs, finishing 1st winning by a neck. Today, he runs in the same class and over the same C&D. His highest winning mark is 67 and he's off 70 today. I'm a little concerned that he has another weight rise but his finishing sectionals look strong in what was a slightly below par race.

CORUNDUM - He's also inform and an improving 5 year old gelding who looks to be fairly well handicapped. He has never won a race as yet having finished 2nd LTO. He last ran 42 days ago at Wolverhampton in a Class 6 over 9 furlongs, finishing 2/9 and beaten by 1.75 lengths. That race was 1.07 seconds faster than par. He is up in class today and over the same C&D.

I have short listed this race to 4 horses Corundum, Mr Nugget, Starliner and possibly Eagle Day. The selections that I have put up have the strongest form in the race. I believe we will be looking at an even to strong pace as Eagle Day, How's The Guvnor and American State like to go forwards. This will suit both Corundum who is drawn well and likes to sit just off the pace and Mr Nugget who generally runs as a hold up horse but has also run in midfield position. Mr Nugget is drawn in 1 which is a slight concern as he may get trapped but he should be able to get a position.

I've had win bets on both at the prices detailed below. My stronger of the two bets is on Mr Nugget purely as he knows how to win. Corundum has the ability to win this, he is up in class but the times he's been running suggest he should handle the step up. The danger for me is Starliner


MR NUGGET win bet @ 5.0

CORUNDUM win bet @ 3.95

 

[davewatts50]

Wolverhampton 18:30 - Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (0-55) (6) 4yo+ 5F​

FOREVER NOAH - He's an in form 5 year old gelding. Who last ran 9 days ago at Chelmsford in a Class 6 over 6 furlongs, finishing 1st winning by 0.50 lengths. He's running in the same class and he's down in distance to 5f. His highest winning mark is 52 and is off 57 which includes a 5lbs penalty for last time out win today.

I think there will be plenty of early pace on in the race with both Forever Noah and Captain Kinsella both liking to go forwards. Both are also drawn well in low draws which has a significant bias over 5F. Forever Noah comes out of 4 and Captain Kinsella out of 2. Captain Kinsella is quick away but he very often fades away having exerted too much energy early on. Colours of Freedom would have been a main selection as she too has early pace but today is drawn in 7 which isn't ideal. I think the shape of the race will suit Forever Noah. However, I believe it will be Colours of Freedom chasing home Forever Noah or maybe picking the bits up if the pace up front is too strong.

As mentioned above he is coming of a win at Chelmsford over 6F where he took it from the gate and lead to the line. I don't believe the drop in distance will hinder him. The weight increase is probably the biggest concern but the jockey has a 3lbs claim which hopefully balances things out.

FOREVER NOAH win bet @ 3.75 BOG
COLOURS OF FREEDOM EW bet @ 5 BOG

 

[davewatts50]

Have a look at Duskaura in the Wolves 19:00
Last 2 times out she was running in listed company. She finished well down in both but I think Archie Watson knows his horses. He must have thought she had something about her as a two year old. Now Tony Carroll has her and it’s her first run anything is possible. She’s a big price so the market thinks not but I wouldn’t be surprised if she gets something out of this.

 

[chaumi]

Have a look at Duskaura in the Wolves 19:00
Last 2 times out she was running in listed company. She finished well down in both but I think Archie Watson knows his horses. He must have thought she had something about her as a two year old. Now Tony Carroll has her and it’s her first run anything is possible. She’s a big price so the market thinks not but I wouldn’t be surprised if she gets something out of this.

Seen him do it before with first run after moving - Betsen is a good example (won at 40-1, can't remember exactly but think he was 80+ on Betfair).

Not so sure with a break on top of a switch.