chaumi
Well-known member
Happy Valley 10.40 This is the lowest class you can get in HK racing - a 46k Class 5. The rank outsider Turf Phoenix might be able to do something here. I'll probably only chance a small bet if it looks like 50+ might be available on the pool or the UK bookies go big enough. Turf is now 5, potentially heading toward a peak. His last/latest 6f race gave some small indication that 5 might be the answer. Won't take much winning if it is.
** Got squeezed out slightly when in rear on the bend, difficult to know if he'd have made any headway but for that. But looked outpaced generally anyway. Maybe OK for another try over 6, but not at anything less than 80.
Natalia Lupini's Zoustar runner - Thaloria - looked interesting at 100 a couple of mins pre race in the 3.32 at Dundalk. Had a nice sized bet. NICE, almost never in doubt
Got a few for Kempton tonight, but that has set up the day in no uncertain style. A Zoustar runner in a Dundalk 0-60, fill em.
There are two Time Test's in the Dundalk maiden at 4.32. Need to keep an eye but logically can't see either being able to beat any of the market top 3. The Ghaiyyath runner looks interesting, but can't be doing with 4/5.9 given the unknowns here. ** No show from any of these. Handicaps for the Time Test's, probably just too early for the Ghaiyyath.
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Can't split Hamaleel and Ebn Sabt in the 6.00. The BF RFC is showing 22 about 15 mins pre-race. That might be the answer, with small cover win bets on both. Hamaleel was my first thought, but Mr Muir thinks Ebn has a good run in him and (I think) may turn out to be a class above these.
Ebn Sabt 6, Hama 10s just before the off 22 the forecast Fair enough
Hamaleel wins nicely! Ebn 3rd Hamaleel actually went off over 12 BF SP, threw a bit away there.
I stuck Hamaleel in some EW trebles, EW 4 fold with 3 others later with Hills. Unlikely, but would be nice to stick it to WH. They don't like it up 'em Mr Mannering.
Next up Adace to come last to first down the outside. Not overly hopeful
**Tried to come down the inside last to first, you silly sod Egan. Looked like a nice move for a bit though, maybe went too early?
Already had a payback from Adace, what was it 3 years ago? Chelmsford I think. We discussed it here. Likely too much to expect it again (at a big price, anyway).
** My others blew out. Galileo Charm was disappointing in the 7.30, but never went anywhere near it, far too short on the BF markets. Two in the maiden at 7.00 were worth watching - Oro Palacio was too short to take a 4 places interest but ran well enough in 5th to suggest there's a race in him somewhere. The Zoustar Tonyfromhr went off at a massive price but only around 12s that I saw 4 places - not big enough to take an interest and did nowt but will be worth watching for a handicap.
For the 8.30 - interesting that Shadow Dance has gone from RV to Rebecca Menzies. Think it was last year's Ebor we were discussing winning potential, might have been year before. This is the first run for RM and first on AW. Maybe she'll have him ready, but the percentage call is not. Low 30s on BF currently (15 mins before the off).
** Got squeezed out slightly when in rear on the bend, difficult to know if he'd have made any headway but for that. But looked outpaced generally anyway. Maybe OK for another try over 6, but not at anything less than 80.
Natalia Lupini's Zoustar runner - Thaloria - looked interesting at 100 a couple of mins pre race in the 3.32 at Dundalk. Had a nice sized bet. NICE, almost never in doubt
Got a few for Kempton tonight, but that has set up the day in no uncertain style. A Zoustar runner in a Dundalk 0-60, fill em.
There are two Time Test's in the Dundalk maiden at 4.32. Need to keep an eye but logically can't see either being able to beat any of the market top 3. The Ghaiyyath runner looks interesting, but can't be doing with 4/5.9 given the unknowns here. ** No show from any of these. Handicaps for the Time Test's, probably just too early for the Ghaiyyath.
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Can't split Hamaleel and Ebn Sabt in the 6.00. The BF RFC is showing 22 about 15 mins pre-race. That might be the answer, with small cover win bets on both. Hamaleel was my first thought, but Mr Muir thinks Ebn has a good run in him and (I think) may turn out to be a class above these.
Ebn Sabt 6, Hama 10s just before the off 22 the forecast Fair enough
Hamaleel wins nicely! Ebn 3rd Hamaleel actually went off over 12 BF SP, threw a bit away there.
I stuck Hamaleel in some EW trebles, EW 4 fold with 3 others later with Hills. Unlikely, but would be nice to stick it to WH. They don't like it up 'em Mr Mannering.
Next up Adace to come last to first down the outside. Not overly hopeful
**Tried to come down the inside last to first, you silly sod Egan. Looked like a nice move for a bit though, maybe went too early?Already had a payback from Adace, what was it 3 years ago? Chelmsford I think. We discussed it here. Likely too much to expect it again (at a big price, anyway).
** My others blew out. Galileo Charm was disappointing in the 7.30, but never went anywhere near it, far too short on the BF markets. Two in the maiden at 7.00 were worth watching - Oro Palacio was too short to take a 4 places interest but ran well enough in 5th to suggest there's a race in him somewhere. The Zoustar Tonyfromhr went off at a massive price but only around 12s that I saw 4 places - not big enough to take an interest and did nowt but will be worth watching for a handicap.
For the 8.30 - interesting that Shadow Dance has gone from RV to Rebecca Menzies. Think it was last year's Ebor we were discussing winning potential, might have been year before. This is the first run for RM and first on AW. Maybe she'll have him ready, but the percentage call is not. Low 30s on BF currently (15 mins before the off).
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