Welsh Grand National - 27th December

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Edmund Kean could run a good race from the bottom of the weights.

He ran a good 3rd in a valuable hurdle in 2013, where Many Clouds was only a nose in front in 2nd, (Whisper was back in 4th & he has gone on to better things). Looks a decent race in hindsight. He showed a bit of class that day.

I remember Edmund Kean's first start over fences in a handicap when he won quite well at Leicester, looked a chaser to follow.
He then beat The Romford Pele, (who has really improved since that performance, now rated 150).

So Edmund Kean is still worth another chance. The big three bookmakers are swerving him.

I always make sure I look early as I love the race, I hope to see Edmund Kean in the final declarations...:)
 
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I backed the winner of the Welsh Grand National..........in 1987 when Playschool won it and again when Master Oats won it but have never come close since.

It's the toughest race in the world to find the winner of IMO...Chepstow imo is the worst course in the country for upsets

My tip is whatever I pick this year is whatever you do don't back it. If I picked won in running at the 3rd last.. guaranteed it would finish tailed off
 
Winners I have backed include Bindaree and Dream Alliance. I love having a bet mate. A good omen for my fancy Edmund Kean is that a horse named Edmond has already won it - yes that's the 1999 edition where Edmond galloped to victory. :)
 
Edmund Kean and Hawkes Point are my 2 against the field. Hopefully both run.

I had thought Edmund Kean was going to have a run over hurdles but Peter Bowen must have decided against it. When I watched Hawkes Point reappear a couple of weeks ago I thought his run had Welsh National stamped all over it.
 
My only win in this race was Notre Pere.

I backed him ante-post at like 12/1 I think and he drifted to 26 on the machine prior to the off. SP 16s.
 
Surely Tours Des Champs has to get close in one of these soon from a mark 10Ibs lower than last year. OK he pulled up last season, but had run twice already. He's come 4th in a Scottish National off 134, and since his no show last season he's come third in the Racing Post Trophy and fifth in the Festival handicap that threw up Holywell, Ma Fieulle. With Harry Topper missing the race he should get in towards the foot of the handicap, and perhaps the weather isn't going to turn up the usual Cheppie bog this season
 
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The S.O. [who looks at weather forecasts] said that Chepstow will be very muddy by Saturday.
 
Well he's won in heavy before Colin (ran like a drain too) but he should get in off something like 10.2, so you'd hope there's a few above him stopping first. He's 7Ibs lower than when seeing out the 33F's at Ayr, which would have put him right alongside Godsmejudge (well a length or two behind him) but enough to make 33/1 backable. I'd have been happier if Nigel had given him 20F's over flights first but I'm interepreting his no show to date this season as a declaration of intent and preference to defend what looks like a very handy mark now. He does slip in the odd clunker at a fence but Chepstow isn't really a fallers course. He has been known to tear off as well before. I'd be slightly concerned about that first time out, but there's reasons he's the price he is so you have to accept that
 
Re your questions re Edmund Keen it must be obvious to everyone how difficult a horse to train he is. However he has the talent and we will be trying something new again.
 
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