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What are you backing Today? Part 2
- Thread starter dvds2000
- Start date
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
Danger for sure. I took a nice price about Al Aasy when prices came out, couldn't understand why he was longer, much monger than stablemate Hamish who imo is on the decline. I may cover with AW.
Only other bets are a Hyland/Transmission dutch in the 2.20 Chelt. The former is still ok handicapped based on reasonable runs at Kempton, a course that plainly doesn't suit him as much as headquarters. I backed Transmission in the NHC where he was given a ride that would have made Maureen Haggas mad if she was married to Mulholland. With Patrick off the horse now I make him a bet - his form with Haiti C off the same mark is a bit rampant
Jayhawk
Amateur Rider
It would spoil my day if Snipe - 3:55 Kelso - won today and I didn't have a small bet on him. He's 13/2, and is running over a much more suitable trip than when he stayed on into fourth over two and a half miles at Worcester in September. Famous Bridge ( 5/1) is another of my favourites and he finished second in this race last year.
Looks like this fella was only here for the day out and Conman John was the one
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Well done TCB backers 
I only had sweetie money on Backmersackme but I reckon it would have won if it could jump. He just seemed to lack smoothness at the fences and came out of nearly every one half-a-length to a length behind where those around him were going into the fences. Sea Music was also getting competitive again after losing ground when it decided the fourth last wasn't worth jumping. Fascile Mode seemed to give up after one mistake at halfway.
The Skelton horse looked like it was a proper job beaten. The form will be strong.
Very little at stake for me in the race but I backed TCB a few times last season but it never convinced me it could jump fences well enough to win a big one. Maybe just getting the hang of things.
I only had sweetie money on Backmersackme but I reckon it would have won if it could jump. He just seemed to lack smoothness at the fences and came out of nearly every one half-a-length to a length behind where those around him were going into the fences. Sea Music was also getting competitive again after losing ground when it decided the fourth last wasn't worth jumping. Fascile Mode seemed to give up after one mistake at halfway.
The Skelton horse looked like it was a proper job beaten. The form will be strong.
Very little at stake for me in the race but I backed TCB a few times last season but it never convinced me it could jump fences well enough to win a big one. Maybe just getting the hang of things.
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
TCB I've always had done as a horrendous bookies horse. Was a shit price today but sometimes they win.
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
What an absolute train wreck. 3CB and Hamish. f%*& off.
Desperate Dan
Senior Jockey
Hope you all backed the winner of the 3-50 @ Donny
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Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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For the life of me I can't understand why Pied Piper is 7/1 here. I'd have it a short favourite.
sending my prayers for your cat thats been undoubtedly booted across the living room
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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I looked right for most of the final half-mile there but it looked like it didn't get home.
I can't say it would have won if they hadn't taken the fences out because it smashed a few of them on the way round. Not a natural jumper.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Still, I had a wee ew treble with Electric Mason and Backmersackme so should still have a wee bit of sweetie money for the Old Roan.
Jayhawk
Amateur Rider
The wait goes on. Snipe jumped and travelled well, but didn't pick up on the long run-in with the final two fences omitted. Softer ground may help. Famous Bridge was a non-runner ( unsuitable going ).
f$%^ing hate Skelton and these f$%^ing hero rides. Better horse won, but never gave it a f$%^ing chance.
It looked to me like he stuck his head in the air and refused to go by the winner. But i need to see it again
Think Pied Piper has the same disease as Singlefarmpayment if you remember that absolute dog.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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I thought it did go by the other one but just ran out of steam. Kennedy appeared to be nursing it from the home turn so maybe he had doubts about its stamina.
I'll have another watch.
I'll have another watch.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Just watched it again. I don't see the head going up and it did move ahead briefly.
It had never run beyond 3m before and never won beyond 2m7f. Today was 3m1f with several fences taken out which tends to place more emphasis on stamina. I reckon today's race would have felt more like a 3m3f race.
I can forgive it for now but will be wary in future. Maybe the big 3m handicap chase at Kempton in February would suit with its sharp track, short straight and short run-in.
Plenty of time for me to have forgotten all about him by then...
Still, I was right about the price being wrong.
It had never run beyond 3m before and never won beyond 2m7f. Today was 3m1f with several fences taken out which tends to place more emphasis on stamina. I reckon today's race would have felt more like a 3m3f race.
I can forgive it for now but will be wary in future. Maybe the big 3m handicap chase at Kempton in February would suit with its sharp track, short straight and short run-in.
Plenty of time for me to have forgotten all about him by then...
Still, I was right about the price being wrong.
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
Speaking of dogs, I've backed Hitman in the Old Roan.
The Fortune Teller
Journeyman
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Galway 2.35 Buddy One.
I think this 'will win'.
I think this 'will win'.
Now we are into the Hong Kong racing season I'm having a look at the 845 Sha Tin - Premier Bowl (Group 2 Handicap) (3yo+) (Course A) (Turf) 3yo+ : Prize Money £308230.45
I have current fav Helios Express clear top on my card , then Packing Hermod 2nd top, so I will be going with those but more weighted towards the fav.
Cross referencing the race against all the other HK pattern races, plus those in UK/IRE/FR I get one race , where any runners from the last renewal are competing today and shows any worthwhile stats. That is the Sha Tin Queens Silver Jubilee Cup Flat Stakes 7f Group1 in Feb, since 2017 , 20 runners from that have gone on to the following Premier Bowl and 4 (20%) have won and 9 (45%) have won or placed. The runners today who were in that race and their finishing positions are :-
Helios Express (AUS)(2), Invincible Sage (AUS)(7), Mugen (AUS)(9)
I have current fav Helios Express clear top on my card , then Packing Hermod 2nd top, so I will be going with those but more weighted towards the fav.
Cross referencing the race against all the other HK pattern races, plus those in UK/IRE/FR I get one race , where any runners from the last renewal are competing today and shows any worthwhile stats. That is the Sha Tin Queens Silver Jubilee Cup Flat Stakes 7f Group1 in Feb, since 2017 , 20 runners from that have gone on to the following Premier Bowl and 4 (20%) have won and 9 (45%) have won or placed. The runners today who were in that race and their finishing positions are :-
Helios Express (AUS)(2), Invincible Sage (AUS)(7), Mugen (AUS)(9)
Blurgh the closest I got was 3rd, the winner Tomodachi Kokoroe was 5th on my online card, the first 3 home were all in my top 5 out of 14 runners
