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What are you backing Today? Part 2

This is what I posted on Twitter earlier for anyone that maybe interested


Athletics World Championships - Womens 800m Lilian Odira 1pt Win at 50/1 ( Gen ) & 3pts to win a medal at 5/1 ( Paddy Power ) looks far to generous to me. Keely ( too short ) aside it looks an open event, the 5's for any colour medal looks particularly tempting.
Odira beat Mary Moraa last year in a Kenyan Olympic qualifier, and was runner up at the African Championship - and made the Olympic semi finals, this after returning to athletics after giving birth. This year she broke her PB running 1.58:31 at the end of May in Nairobi.
In June she retained her Kenyan title, and the following month won the 800m Kenyan trials for the WC. She further lowered her PB in the Kamila Skolimowska Memorial Diamond League meet running 1.56:52 when runner up to Keely Hodgkinson.
Odira is clearly in good form and has improved since becoming a Mum -whatever way I look at this the odds make little sense to me - Win/Lose or Draw. The humidity should pose no problems to her ( but may inconvenience others ) and I'm hopeful of a better run than her odds suggest.
Top class
 
Nuevo slovo 545F 16/1
Hot race.hasnt run since a fast finishing 6th at Royal Ascot over 5f.today 6f but going an unknown.
I guess this is the reason I lay rather than back.

My analysis suggests the following contenders for that race

Charles Fort

Howdyadoit

Chicago Call

Sir Alfie (ADDITION) I will add Sir Alfie as an each way bet as well.

I might consider Nuevo slovo 545F 16/1 as an each way bet.

I should point out that I am not trying to dissuade you from your view.
If you believe in it, ignore me.

When I ask for tips on horses to back, I run my own analysis. If both match, I cover with a small amount.
I am far more successful at laying than I am backing, so I take a very cautious approach.
 
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Backing two outsiders in the 5.38 Leicester with Ladbrokes

Albert Cee @ 14-1...Win
Skellig Isle @ 20-1...each way [4 places]

My analysis suggests the following contenders for that race

Kranjcar = I like Kranjcar as an each way bet.

Wichahpi

Connie's Rose

Albert Cee is now a non runner.

I like Skellig Isle @ 20-1... as an each way bet.
 
My analysis suggests the following contenders for that race

Kranjcar = I like Kranjcar as an each way bet.

Wichahpi

Connie's Rose

Albert Cee is now a non runner.

I like Skellig Isle @ 20-1... as an each way bet.

Kranjcar = I like Kranjcar as an each way bet. + 102.50

I like Skellig Isle @ 20-1... as an each way bet. - 20

102 - 20 = 82.50
 
I guess this is the reason I lay rather than back.

My analysis suggests the following contenders for that race

Charles Fort

Howdyadoit

Chicago Call

Sir Alfie (ADDITION) I will add Sir Alfie as an each way bet as well.

I might consider Nuevo slovo 545F 16/1 as an each way bet.

I should point out that I am not trying to dissuade you from your view.
If you believe in it, ignore me.

When I ask for tips on horses to back, I run my own analysis. If both match, I cover with a small amount.
I am far more successful at laying than I am backing, so I take a very cautious approach.

Sir Alfie (ADDITION) I will add Sir Alfie as an each way bet as well. - 20

I might consider Nuevo slovo 545F 16/1 as an each way bet. =. I skipped this as others seemed to be far stronger.

- 20
 
I could be tempted to back Chico Dulce in the 14:15 hrs at Lingfield.

It would be an each way bet for me though

Interested to know everyone else's thoughts.
 

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