The 2025 Longshot Thread

Desijo said:
Chatty Girl 3.10 m Rasen
Won well first time out at Newbury in a decent looking bumper.
Looked a little green that day and looks sure to Improve.
Looks a huge each way price at 33/1 with bet 365.
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In.to 22/1 with bet 365 and only 14/1 on the exchanges.
 
Court In The Act 3.35 Windsor
Is the stables 2nd string on jockey bookings, but won as he liked in a lesser race last time out.
Jumped fluently that day and may have one or two of these in trouble.
A speculative each way.
Currently 33/1.
 
Move it like Minnie 2.50 Ascot tomorrow 33/1.
Has behaved badly in the past, but has definite ability
Finished 4th last time out and if building on that looks a huge price for a stable who know the time of day.
Can't see the price lasting.
Good luck if you play
 
Fonzerelli 3.05 Haydock tomorrow
A former listed hurdle winner
Ran ok first time up at Carlisle
If back to form 40/1 is a huge price.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Windsor 3.35 - Hardy Du Seuil, 4 places, 33/1 - joint-third top on my figures on his best form but the claimer takes off 7lbs and he has a very good record for the yard from few rides. If he's worth 5lbs of the seven (and assuming the horse is trying) he's entitled to be in the mix. Not my main bet in the race, though.
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Bugger.

Short-headed for fourth by my main [win only] bet Navajo Indy, which ran a strange race. HDS was off for its life and well enough ridden so no complaints.
 
Peter Marsh - Chambard 40/1 (B365) - only three places on offer anywhere, which is a bit of a disappointment in this day and age. Won the 2022 Kim Muir, won last season’s Becher by 13 lengths off 140 so is feasibly handicapped now too off 142. Might be targeting Cheltenham again so enthusiasm is duly tempered and not my main bet in the race anyway.
 
Rabinal 10.45 Lingfield 40/1 bet 365
Has a half decent record here at Lingfield
Looks likely to get the run of the race and is a huge each way price in an open looking race.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Peter Marsh - Chambard 40/1 (B365) - only three places on offer anywhere, which is a bit of a disappointment in this day and age. Won the 2022 Kim Muir, won last season’s Becher by 13 lengths off 140 so is feasibly handicapped now too off 142. Might be targeting Cheltenham again so enthusiasm is duly tempered and not my main bet in the race anyway.
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Out to 66/1 generally which is a worry but not enough of one to stop me going in again to smaller stakes.
 
I mentioned on the ante-post thread that I've taken Mondo Man for the Triumph ahead of the 12.30 at Ascot but in that same race I've taken small punts on two of the outsiders. St Pancras (40/1) has a decent Flat level and should be a single-figure price based on that. Wyld Bill (125/1) is a guess. From the same connections as Burdett Road, East India Dock and one or two others, I can't help thinking they would choose a much lesser race if it was that bad.
 
Desijo said:
Move it like Minnie 2.50 Ascot tomorrow 33/1.
Has behaved badly in the past, but has definite ability
Finished 4th last time out and if building on that looks a huge price for a stable who know the time of day.
Can't see the price lasting.
Good luck if you play
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Ran a fine race to finish 3rd
Backed from 33s into 20s
Nice bit of place money👍🏻
 
Thyestes - I got 20/1 My Immortal yesterday evening (thought I'd put it on here) and have added Bushmans Pass at 33/1 (5 places both).

MI might have a real shout if he can improve 10lbs on his hurdles form. Bushmans Pass appeared to take a big step forward last time and if he does the same again could spring a wee surprise.
 
Bushmans Pass managed fifth so covered the two longshot bets. Pleased for the brother who backed Nick Rockett.
 
Military Tycoon 1.28 Donc

Done nothing so far but I've followed this one in the past and wonder whether he might have an ew chance here at big odds
 
Happygolucky Cheltenham tomorrow 50/1 general
Been off for a long time, but finished 2nd in the ultima off much higher when trained by kim Bailey.
 
Docpickedme 3.15 Donny tomorrow 20 /1 bet 365
Finished 2nd last time out over c/d
Looks closely weighted with 1st and 3rd from that race, but is much bigger odds.
 
Frisby 2.05 Donny tomorrow 66/1 bet 365.
A speculative selection.
Finished 3rd in a modest Catterick hurdle last time.
Prior to this was 2nd to a very promising type from lucinda russells in a bumper.
That horse has won in a much higher grade since and the step up to 3 miles should bring about some improvement.
Looks a huge price to small stakes.
 
yorick said:
Military Tycoon 1.28 Donc

Done nothing so far but I've followed this one in the past and wonder whether he might have an ew chance here at big odds
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No chance on hurdles form but Flat form more than good enough if he can translate that ability across in due course.

Trainer more than up to disguising its form with a long term plan in mind.
 
Sure Touch 3.15 Doncaster tomorrow
This fella may benefit from the step up in trip with stamina in his pedigree being by Yeats out of Liberthine and has slipped to a mark only 2lb above his Summer Plate win.
28/1 with William Hill (5 places)
 
Desijo said:
Frisby 2.05 Donny tomorrow 66/1 bet 365.
A speculative selection.
Finished 3rd in a modest Catterick hurdle last time.
Prior to this was 2nd to a very promising type from lucinda russells in a bumper.
That horse has won in a much higher grade since and the step up to 3 miles should bring about some improvement.
Looks a huge price to small stakes.
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The 66/1 won't be available for long with bet 365 its down to 25s with a few others.
 
1.08 Lingfield - Star Of Sussex 100/1 ( Generally ) 0.50pt EW

Poor form with only one place in thirteen starts, with an official rating of just 49 - down from an initial mark of 75. Was entitled to need his run last time out when last of eight here over 10 furlongs, his first outing for nine months. This is a truly dreadful contest and if you take out High Court Judge & Largo Bay then nothing else has shown much recently. Hard to see him winning but may run better than the odds suggest and a minimum stakes interest in the hope of a minor place.
 
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