The 2025 Longshot Thread

Court In The Act 3.35 Windsor
Is the stables 2nd string on jockey bookings, but won as he liked in a lesser race last time out.
Jumped fluently that day and may have one or two of these in trouble.
A speculative each way.
Currently 33/1.
 
Move it like Minnie 2.50 Ascot tomorrow 33/1.
Has behaved badly in the past, but has definite ability
Finished 4th last time out and if building on that looks a huge price for a stable who know the time of day.
Can't see the price lasting.
Good luck if you play
 
Windsor 3.35 - Hardy Du Seuil, 4 places, 33/1 - joint-third top on my figures on his best form but the claimer takes off 7lbs and he has a very good record for the yard from few rides. If he's worth 5lbs of the seven (and assuming the horse is trying) he's entitled to be in the mix. Not my main bet in the race, though.

Bugger.

Short-headed for fourth by my main [win only] bet Navajo Indy, which ran a strange race. HDS was off for its life and well enough ridden so no complaints.
 
Peter Marsh - Chambard 40/1 (B365) - only three places on offer anywhere, which is a bit of a disappointment in this day and age. Won the 2022 Kim Muir, won last season’s Becher by 13 lengths off 140 so is feasibly handicapped now too off 142. Might be targeting Cheltenham again so enthusiasm is duly tempered and not my main bet in the race anyway.
 
Rabinal 10.45 Lingfield 40/1 bet 365
Has a half decent record here at Lingfield
Looks likely to get the run of the race and is a huge each way price in an open looking race.
 
Peter Marsh - Chambard 40/1 (B365) - only three places on offer anywhere, which is a bit of a disappointment in this day and age. Won the 2022 Kim Muir, won last season’s Becher by 13 lengths off 140 so is feasibly handicapped now too off 142. Might be targeting Cheltenham again so enthusiasm is duly tempered and not my main bet in the race anyway.

Out to 66/1 generally which is a worry but not enough of one to stop me going in again to smaller stakes.
 
I mentioned on the ante-post thread that I've taken Mondo Man for the Triumph ahead of the 12.30 at Ascot but in that same race I've taken small punts on two of the outsiders. St Pancras (40/1) has a decent Flat level and should be a single-figure price based on that. Wyld Bill (125/1) is a guess. From the same connections as Burdett Road, East India Dock and one or two others, I can't help thinking they would choose a much lesser race if it was that bad.
 
Move it like Minnie 2.50 Ascot tomorrow 33/1.
Has behaved badly in the past, but has definite ability
Finished 4th last time out and if building on that looks a huge price for a stable who know the time of day.
Can't see the price lasting.
Good luck if you play
Ran a fine race to finish 3rd
Backed from 33s into 20s
Nice bit of place money👍🏻
 
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