2022 Cesarewitch

Marb said:
I see Inchicore runs and is shorter in the betting than she was. I have mentioned her a few times this season and maybe last season aswell. I'm not sure though. The Byrnes runner must have a big chance and Vino Victrix looks a big improver.

I am tempted to leave the race alone and play reverse forecasts on tricasts on the above three just for fun.
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Decided to have something on Inchicore.

She is totally new at the trip and while Alan King has had one or two critics on here over the years I feel there's a good chance she will improve for the step up in trip and he has known this all along.

So what the hell. I am backing the one I would kick myself the most were I to leave her unbacked and she won!! See how I go.
 
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I looked at the race last night and Call My Bluff came out top in my little ratings system. Is there still a draw bias or doesn’t it matter with fewer horses than usual running?
 
Dettori seemed happy not to be drawn wide this morning. A wide draw is hardly a help and the smaller field will reduce the disadvantage but, to be honest, I didn't look at the draw at all when arriving at my selections.

I reckon I've now finished my race bets:

Adagio 10pts win NR
AHWNN 8pts win 5/1
Gibraltar 3pts win 16/1
Not So Sleepy 1pt ew 40/1
Withhold 1 pt ew 40/1

I've also taken the odd win-only nibble at longer on the exchange for the outsiders.

The other one seriously on my radar is Run For Oscar but I can't bring myself to back him at the price [as well as AHWNN].
 
Marb said:
I see Inchicore runs and is shorter in the betting than she was. I have mentioned her a few times this season and maybe last season aswell. I'm not sure though. The Byrnes runner must have a big chance and Vino Victrix looks a big improver.

I am tempted to leave the race alone and play reverse forecasts on tricasts on the above three just for fun.
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Vino Victrix a real mover in the market I see.

He is my main bet now with a saver on Inchicore.

Good luck all today.
 
Another I'll be backing in the Ces is Land Of Winter.

I've been a quiet fan of this one since his win for me at Nottingham last back-end. A true stayer, ideally he needs softer ground but I thought he ran a very promising race lto. Lightly raced, he's one I'd never forgive myself missing, like you with Inchicore, Marb.
 
I can't get the way Ahorsewithnoname 9/2 picked up and galloped away from her rivals at York out of my mind.

It was absolutely effortless and I reckon she'll love this trip and with AOB's out she has very little to fear from any of her rivals at the weights.

Run for Oscar beat trees I think he could struggle here.

Gibralter should prove to be the best on WPM's runners

Best outsider Bascule ew 7 places at25/1
 
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Run For Oscar wins by 3 lengths. I thgen expect him to follow up in a Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle, well backed, in 2026.
 
Marb said:
The Byrnes runner must have a big chance and Vino Victrix looks a big improver.

I am tempted to leave the race alone and play reverse forecasts on tricasts on the above three just for fun.
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Ah well..at least I suggested a reverse forecast.

We have to thank Slim and Al though. They knew.

I am sure some saddo out there that never posts followed the forecast in.
 
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