Another Newbie

[Danny]

Do you drop that line in general conversation down the pub ? Thats a foul ref ! This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it. The hunters chicken is delightful. This is not a recommendation eat what you will. The toilets here are a disgrace, This is not a recommendation take a piss there if you like but its entirely at your own risk!

Hobbit I have seen some funny onions in my time on racing forums, you're right up there with the best of them. That's my opinion and you can have as much as you want on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Friday 12th September 2025 - First 3 picks

• 13:05 hrs @ Chester - I am laying Going Commando
• 13:15 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Maxi King
• 13:50 hrs @ Dancaster - I am laying Frescobaldi

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.

I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

1. A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day
2. Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses
3. The jockey is changed on a stronger horse
4. Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

• 13:05 hrs @ Chester - I am laying Going Commando + 250
• 13:15 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Maxi King + 250
• 13:50 hrs @ Dancaster - I am laying Frescobaldi + 250

250 + 250 + 250 = 750

I am done for the day.

Have fun one and all.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Question;

Does anyone on here cover the US races?

 

[Gullible]

There are experts on ALL horse racing on here

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

There are experts on ALL horse racing on here

Ok.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Saturday 13th September 2025 - First 3 picks

• 13:15 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Point of Contact
• 13:25 hrs @ Lingfield - I am laying One Million Dreams
• 14:15 hrs @ Leopardstown - I am laying Teewinot

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.

I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

1. A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day
2. Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses
3. The jockey is changed on a stronger horse
4. Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Saturday 13th September 2025 - First 3 picks

• 13:15 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Point of Contact
• 13:25 hrs @ Lingfield - I am laying One Million Dreams
• 14:15 hrs @ Leopardstown - I am laying Teewinot

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.

I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

1. A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day
2. Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses
3. The jockey is changed on a stronger horse
4. Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

• 13:15 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Point of Contact + 250
• 13:25 hrs @ Lingfield - I am laying One Million Dreams + 250
• 14:15 hrs @ Leopardstown - I am laying Teewinot + 250

250 + 250 + 250 =750

I am done for the day.
Have fun one and all

 

[The Fortune Teller]

"Have fun one and all"

Shouldn't this read...

Have fun one and all, this is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

You can all take the piss as much as you like, I will not be removing the disclaimer

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Sunday 14th September 2025 - First 3 picks

• 13:20 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Bluecoltrane
• 13:30 hrs @ Curragh - I am laying Keke
• 14:30 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Defence Minister

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.

I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

1. A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day
2. Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses
3. The jockey is changed on a stronger horse
4. Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Sunday 14th September 2025 - First 3 picks

• 13:20 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Bluecoltrane
• 13:30 hrs @ Curragh - I am laying Keke
• 14:30 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Defence Minister

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.

I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

1. A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day
2. Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses
3. The jockey is changed on a stronger horse
4. Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

• 13:20 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Bluecoltrane + 250
• 13:30 hrs @ Curragh - I am laying Keke + 250
• 14:30 hrs @ Doncaster - I am laying Defence Minister + 250

250 + 250 + 250 =750

I am done for the day.
Have fun one and all.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Monday 15th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:00 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = No Risk With You
14:12 hrs @ Brighton - I am laying = Gone Rogue
14:30 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = Lucky Diamond

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Monday 15th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:00 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = No Risk With You
14:12 hrs @ Brighton - I am laying = Gone Rogue
14:30 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = Lucky Diamond

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

14:00 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = No Risk With You + 250
14:12 hrs @ Brighton - I am laying = Gone Rogue + 250
14:30 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = Lucky Diamond + 250

250 + 250 + 250 =750

I am done for the day.
Have fun one and all.

 

[Ian_Davies]

14:00 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = No Risk With You + 250
14:12 hrs @ Brighton - I am laying = Gone Rogue + 250
14:30 hrs @ Worcester - I am laying = Lucky Diamond + 250

250 + 250 + 250 =750

I am done for the day.
Have fun one and all.

Bottle merchant - taking the early profit and running.

Now your satchel is full you should play it up so you're reversing the 4x4 into the ring after racing to get it all in the boot.

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[Danny]

750 a day will certainly keep the doctor away tbf.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Bottle merchant - taking the early profit and running.

Now your satchel is full you should play it up so you're reversing the 4x4 into the ring after racing to get it all in the boot.

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

LOL

I will ALWAYS take the profit and exit.
The alternative is we give it back... No thanks!

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

750 a day will certainly keep the doctor away tbf.

This has been a good run to be fair. You may remember the first two days when I posted, they were battles and only just worked out ok.
There is no such thing as perfect. I try to avoid them but I usually end up with a few "battle" days per month.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Tuesday 16th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:48 hrs @ Punchestown - I am laying = Touted Plan
15:03 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Willowinghurn
15:10 hrs @ Uttoxeter - I am laying = Aslukwoodhavit

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Tuesday 16th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:48 hrs @ Punchestown - I am laying = Touted Plan
15:03 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Willowinghurn
15:10 hrs @ Uttoxeter - I am laying = Aslukwoodhavit

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

14:48 hrs @ Punchestown - I am laying = Touted Plan + 250
15:03 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Willowinghurn + 250
15:10 hrs @ Uttoxeter - I am laying = Aslukwoodhavit + 250

250 + 250 + 250 =750

I am done for the day.
Have fun one and all.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Wednesday 17th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:05 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Sub Thirteen
14:25 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Arnaz
15:35 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Chantilly Lace

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

Races on Wednesday 17th September 2025 - First 3 picks

14:05 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Sub Thirteen
14:25 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Arnaz
15:35 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Chantilly Lace

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

14:05 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Sub Thirteen + 250
14:25 hrs @ Redcar - I am laying = Arnaz + 250
15:35 hrs @ Sandown - I am laying = Chantilly Lace + 250

250 + 250 + 250 = 750

I am done for the day on UK / Irish.

I will however see if my analysis can be put to good use on the US races today.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

It is starting to feel like this is a Thread that only benefits me

Does everyone else on Talking Horses focus purely on backing horses?

 

[2017diary]

It is starting to feel like this is a Thread that only benefits me

Does everyone else on Talking Horses focus purely on backing horses?

Nope, I sometimes lay yours (but not the bigger priced ones).

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

USA Races on Wednesday 17th September 2025 - First 3 picks

First race in a few minutes, times based on the UK time zone.

17:45 hrs @ Churchill Downs - I am laying = Mink Stole
18:00 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Dorths Sol Dancer
18:58 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Makar ** Changed from the Horse I intended to cover earlier **

Backers stake will be limited to 100 per horse. Slight concern over liquidity.

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

 

[TheHobbitsReturn]

USA Races on Wednesday 17th September 2025 - First 3 picks

First race in a few minutes, times based on the UK time zone.

17:45 hrs @ Churchill Downs - I am laying = Mink Stole
18:00 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Dorths Sol Dancer
18:58 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Makar ** Changed from the Horse I intended to cover earlier **

Backers stake will be limited to 100 per horse. Slight concern over liquidity.

Caveats =

I Ignore prices the day before, they frequently change and are often misleading.

I am only interested in horses that I believe cannot win.
I often drop a horse from the list on the day, if the race is altered in any way;

A stronger horse becomes a non runner on the day

Rain does not prevent the race, but is unfavourable to stronger horses

The jockey is changed on a stronger horse

Worst scenario = Several horses become non runners

Finally, I always stop when I have achieved even a penny over my desired target, or if any of the above affects the remaining choices, whichever comes first.

Oh and ....

This is not a recommendation, I am just sharing my own opinion, not suggesting anyone else act on it.

17:45 hrs @ Churchill Downs - I am laying = Mink Stole + 100
18:00 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Dorths Sol Dancer + 100
18:58 hrs @ Finger Lakes - I am laying = Makar ** Changed from the Horse I intended to cover earlier ** + 100

100 + 100 + 100 = 300