Betfair has a hard earned reputation as a good and fair operator. The company’s public relations have been an object lesson to others in the industry. Right now though the company faces its biggest ever challenge. The decision to void bets on the 2.00 at Leopardstown on 28th December could be a watershed moment in Betfair’s history. Betfair must act now to protect that reputation and they should immediately invite in an independent body to review what went on. I think that should involve the Gambling Commission, in fact I would say that the Gambling Commission should already be ensconced in Betfair’s head office making sure they get to the bottom of this.
Let’s be clear there is no scandal yet. The decision to void bets may be shown to be entirely justifiable. The bottom line though is that punters’ bets to the tune of £23 million are not being paid. It’s the biggest disputed bet settlement of all time. The Gambling Commission has a remit to ensure that gambling transactions are ‘open and fair’. We need to see some openness from Betfair in order to ensure what happened was fair. If that judgement is left to an internal Betfair investigation that would constitute a scandal.
The Gambling Commission has been a sleeping giant since its inception. This is a perfect opportunity for it to show its worth.
Betfair has said that the bet in question was offered by a single customer who had ‘exceeded his exposure limit’ due to a ‘technical fault’. Well, I’m sorry but that’s nowhere near enough information. They have gone on to state that this individual has no commercial link to Betfair.
This public statement from Betfair effectively rules out what must surely be the most logical explanation. My initial reaction was that only Betfair’s own in house ‘bot’ could be operating with that degree of financial latitude. Only Betfair’s own (under reported) trading activity within markets could operate with effectively a ‘no limit’ credit facility ‘underwritten’ by the company. The public statements already made rule this out though. Betfair have said it wasn’t them or anyone acting for them. So theory one goes out the window.
Unfortunately the public statements of the company, who have refused various interview requests, do not give answers to several pressing questions.
We are, apparently, dealing with a single customer who somehow managed to ‘exceed his exposure limit’ and get that bet fed into the market, and failed to cancel that bet, and watched as Betfair too allowed the bet to stand for several minutes during the race. The line that I’ve seen quoted that 29 was available as the mare crossed the line and was therefore ‘clearly wrong’ is of course nonsense. The odds in question were offered throughout most of the race. Besides which the ‘palpable error’ rule does not hold in the exchange environment. If it did we could all claim back for every misclick we’ve ever made.
The rogue/phantom bet then somehow managed to match the offers of scores of backers. What was the backers money being matched by? Thin air? It is a fundamental principle of the exchange platform that offers are matched only against available equivalent counter offers. If c£800,000 of backers bets were matched, and they clearly were, what were they matched against?
If the liability of greater than £22 million was outside of the customers exposure limit was it also outside of his available funds? If the answer to that is yes, then how on earth did it happen? How and why could Betfair keep trading that day against the knowledge that it was possible for legitimate customers to have their bets matched by fantasy money?
Unless of course this is a regular occurrence? Unless some accounts are allowed to operate on the never never on the basis that their M.O. means they will never lose? Problem is who picks up the tab when such bots go bad?
A forensic accounting investigation is now imperative. The Gambling Commission needs to find out everything there is to know about this particular account. How has it operated in the past? Does it have a track record of exceeding its available funds? If so, how was that possible? Who underwrites it? Who is responsible for any errors it makes?
Of course there may be a lot of smoke here and no fire at all. It may be that a small scale private customer tried to bet £2 and somehow that got converted into £20 million and somehow his account exposure limit was over ridden, and somehow his available funds limit was overridden and somehow real money was matched against his imaginary money and somehow this was allowed to continue for minutes and it was all down to a technological fault which applied only to his account and not one other account in the whole system. It’s possible. I do think it’s in Betfair’s own interests though to invite in a trusted, independent and objective third party to confirm what happened.
I’ve been shocked at how sanguine the media has been about all this. There are millions of pounds of punters’ winnings at stake here. Let’s hope the Gambling Commission takes this a bit more seriously than some pundits have