Champion Hurdle 2014

Old Guard beating TNO will mean nout. Unless he wins a furlong.

so an 157 beating(or coming close) to an 162-167 horse at level weights may mean nothing to you but for handicappers will mean OG continued his improvement.
 
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point was on the other thread, TNO is still the best 2 miler in England rated 167 at his best and I said if when they'll meet in February, Old Guard beats or gets close to him its a sign of OG improvement. People then said TNO couldn't win a CH, I made a point here that he was unlucky to not win the one in 2014 so we'll def. learn something about OG when he'll meet TNO.

Fair enough. I took a similar view on TNO last March and was disappointed. I still see one big run in him, where he'll exceed expectations, but probably not in the Champion Hurdle.

The last I saw he had a training setback. This is either code for 'he's a 3 miler and now we know it'...or 'we are pretending he's past it in anticipation he'll surprise a few in the Christmas Hurdle.'

I.E trainer talk. :)
 
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sounds like long term losing... how can you seriously think that when an improving horse beats a higher rated one at level weights that will mean nothing...every piece of puzzle tells something.
 
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sounds like long term losing... how can you seriously think that when an improving horse beats a higher rated one at level weights that will mean nothing...every piece of puzzle tells something.

I guess the fundamental difference between our approaches is that I discard information I consider to be erroneous, misleading or irrelevant, when I make up my mind.

Each to their own though.
 
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