Daily picks.

Done little preview at swell poor card first meeting back but interesting to see how track rides..


12.40

Poor race Schottische has never run in this grade before at swell and it at best would be a strong fav winning off 57 last season in better race than this but has always been pretty unreliable but chance is there to see over this c/d.Incurs four faults looked an improver last sesson winning off 61 at hamilton looked progressive at lowly level then went backwards,hasn't recaptured that form this season on the turf and has gone down to 53 even struggling off that mark.The positive is the last run over 6fs here was in a maiden against red primo back in april 2014 anything remoptely near that run and the way the horse runs from the front would have a great chsnce in this very poor race,possibility of big gamble if stable think horse is better on this surface as was certainly the case in 2014..

Incurs four faults,Schottische

1.10

The probability is one of the lightly raced horses will be better than the course form runners but as they havn't run here then the two c/d winners general tufto now aged 10 and roger thorpe would be the ones to look at,general tufto was very consistent last season even runs well in better races than this when mood takes him but dependant on a strong pace.He hasn't run in this grade since jan 2015 winning twice off 51 then 58 getting upton 70,if he retains ability he could run well in this terrible race and he may yet win again this season over this c/d.
Roger thorpe beat general tutfo when winning off 60 may 2014 and a 3rd off 62 in the following december against different class horses to these over c/d,deborah sanderson trains with egan booked could be a gamble as trainer does ok on the aw and the horse likes the surface.Runs in this grade for the first time also..

Roger thorpe,General tufto

1.40

Impossible looking handicap plenty look to have chances on course form and quite a few have run against each other,just because of draw a token pick with caras request finished well behind be royale l;ast season over c/d but has big pull in the weights but may get to lead from 1 draw and will be a big price.Solar spirit has never run at swell before is off falling mark and been running in better races than this on the turf,likes catterick is drawn wide but may suit he is still capable of winning in this weaker grade and could be a decent price.I wouldn't rule out piceno either thrown in on last years second to two moons over c/d off 75 and runs of lowest ever aw mark tomorrow of 64 has shown vert litle this season although scott dixon usually gets them right for the aw season would be surprised if piceno doesn't pop up at swell over the next 5/6 months and get overlooked.The negative for him and caras request is that llewellyn the 3 of them will be taking each other on so will need the track to be favouring front runners..

Caras request,Solar spirit.Piceno...

2.10

No form to g on so maybe worth looking at the lightly raced ones mick appleby has a runner out of decent sire elusive pimpernel been running over 5 and 6fs you would imagine even this bare 7fs would be a minimum on pedigree off just a mark of 60 looks interesting in a terribl;e race,sires only had 6 runners on the aw 3 have won and an roi of 277%.Mango chutney ran well in a better race than this last time out against far higher rated horeses,out of sleeping indian could well take to the surface and with unfashionable trainer that has few winners may get over[priced in a very poor race..

Mollies girl,Mango chutney

2.40

Nothing really to go on and some interesting runners on pedigree out of decent sires that look to be running over far to short a trips so a few in here worth looking out for in future,there's very little form to go on otherwise.Belle mare plage ran in what looks a reasonable maiden at windsor seems unlikely maiden winner but has the experiebnce so could be interesting and george baker rides for david brown and Andrew mullen rides another his runners always worth a seconfd look especially in what could be a weak maiden and with a fair few runners needing further..

Belle mare page,Bit of a lad,Time again

3.10

Brassbound looks obvious starting point,he's not looking well handicapped now but there maybe another race to be won on this surface beat lexington bay by 3ls last run here,that runner went on to win by 6ls next time out if he's going to win again will be this race as looks very weak on paper.The quarter jack sire has decent strike rate on fibresand out of haafhd has never run on the surface yet so might run well
at a big price if fav is very short..

Brassbound,The quarterjack

It's another wheelbarrow job got 13/2 nice little fcsst betting 2s and 13/2 cracking race to bet in!!!!Another day at swell....:lol::cool:

The quarterjack has run at swell was second off 73 over 1m6fs that form doesn't amount to much but still respectable in context of race...

3.40

Hard to make a strong case for anything in this race the gary moore horse was a group horse in 2014 now running in a claimer,has shown nothing in 12 months and this looks desperation stakes they will have knowhere to go if not winning this,was a glimmer of form last time out although very slowly run race at kempton.Usually these are good races for an ew bet as horses like Dabidiyan frequently flop on surface but this race is fuill of horses that have flopped themselves on the surface so even finding an ew alternative is guessing,northside prince possibly the one that might fill a place very hard to predict though..

Dabidiyan,Northside prince

4.10

Similar to the claimer the few that have form look unreliable,lamps of heaven started with a few decent runs on debut then went backwards
if running to the shackled n drawn and lady killar form on debut at wolves and translating that to swell would be a hot fav to win this.Has been beaten in far weaker races since although the drop to 5fs and maybe surface will help,drawn low as well if ever going to win will be this very poor race.



Lamps of heaven
 
£9.46 fcast

That fav looks well handicapped at wolves although I can't back it at that price...
 
Done little preview at swell poor card first meeting back but interesting to see how track rides..


12.40

Poor race Schottische has never run in this grade before at swell and it at best would be a strong fav winning off 57 last season in better race than this but has always been pretty unreliable but chance is there to see over this c/d.Incurs four faults looked an improver last sesson winning off 61 at hamilton looked progressive at lowly level then went backwards,hasn't recaptured that form this season on the turf and has gone down to 53 even struggling off that mark.The positive is the last run over 6fs here was in a maiden against red primo back in april 2014 anything remoptely near that run and the way the horse runs from the front would have a great chsnce in this very poor race,possibility of big gamble if stable think horse is better on this surface as was certainly the case in 2014..

Incurs four faults,Schottische

1.10

The probability is one of the lightly raced horses will be better than the course form runners but as they havn't run here then the two c/d winners general tufto now aged 10 and roger thorpe would be the ones to look at,general tufto was very consistent last season even runs well in better races than this when mood takes him but dependant on a strong pace.He hasn't run in this grade since jan 2015 winning twice off 51 then 58 getting upton 70,if he retains ability he could run well in this terrible race and he may yet win again this season over this c/d.
Roger thorpe beat general tutfo when winning off 60 may 2014 and a 3rd off 62 in the following december against different class horses to these over c/d,deborah sanderson trains with egan booked could be a gamble as trainer does ok on the aw and the horse likes the surface.Runs in this grade for the first time also..

Roger thorpe,General tufto

1.40

Impossible looking handicap plenty look to have chances on course form and quite a few have run against each other,just because of draw a token pick with caras request finished well behind be royale l;ast season over c/d but has big pull in the weights but may get to lead from 1 draw and will be a big price.Solar spirit has never run at swell before is off falling mark and been running in better races than this on the turf,likes catterick is drawn wide but may suit he is still capable of winning in this weaker grade and could be a decent price.I wouldn't rule out piceno either thrown in on last years second to two moons over c/d off 75 and runs of lowest ever aw mark tomorrow of 64 has shown vert litle this season although scott dixon usually gets them right for the aw season would be surprised if piceno doesn't pop up at swell over the next 5/6 months and get overlooked.The negative for him and caras request is that llewellyn the 3 of them will be taking each other on so will need the track to be favouring front runners..

Caras request,Solar spirit.Piceno...

2.10

No form to g on so maybe worth looking at the lightly raced ones mick appleby has a runner out of decent sire elusive pimpernel been running over 5 and 6fs you would imagine even this bare 7fs would be a minimum on pedigree off just a mark of 60 looks interesting in a terribl;e race,sires only had 6 runners on the aw 3 have won and an roi of 277%.Mango chutney ran well in a better race than this last time out against far higher rated horeses,out of sleeping indian could well take to the surface and with unfashionable trainer that has few winners may get over[priced in a very poor race..

Mollies girl,Mango chutney

2.40

Nothing really to go on and some interesting runners on pedigree out of decent sires that look to be running over far to short a trips so a few in here worth looking out for in future,there's very little form to go on otherwise.Belle mare plage ran in what looks a reasonable maiden at windsor seems unlikely maiden winner but has the experiebnce so could be interesting and george baker rides for david brown and Andrew mullen rides another his runners always worth a seconfd look especially in what could be a weak maiden and with a fair few runners needing further..

Belle mare page,Bit of a lad,Time again

3.10

Brassbound looks obvious starting point,he's not looking well handicapped now but there maybe another race to be won on this surface beat lexington bay by 3ls last run here,that runner went on to win by 6ls next time out if he's going to win again will be this race as looks very weak on paper.The quarter jack sire has decent strike rate on fibresand out of haafhd has never run on the surface yet so might run well
at a big price if fav is very short..

Brassbound,The quarterjack

The quarterjack has run at swell was second off 73 over 1m6fs that form doesn't amount to much but still respectable in context of race...

3.40

Hard to make a strong case for anything in this race the gary moore horse was a group horse in 2014 now running in a claimer,has shown nothing in 12 months and this looks desperation stakes they will have knowhere to go if not winning this,was a glimmer of form last time out although very slowly run race at kempton.Usually these are good races for an ew bet as horses like Dabidiyan frequently flop on surface but this race is fuill of horses that have flopped themselves on the surface so even finding an ew alternative is guessing,northside prince possibly the one that might fill a place very hard to predict though..

Dabidiyan,Northside prince

4.10

Similar to the claimer the few that have form look unreliable,lamps of heaven started with a few decent runs on debut then went backwards
if running to the shackled n drawn and lady killar form on debut at wolves and translating that to swell would be a hot fav to win this.Has been beaten in far weaker races since although the drop to 5fs and maybe surface will help,drawn low as well if ever going to win will be this very poor race.



Lamps of heaven

Another destruction job at swell lovely sp that was its racel,also makes me up some nice multiples....
 
Wolves preview,got a spare day after no racing on flat yesterday and today a pity the cards weren't a bit better..

4.40

The filly kelvin hall ran well on debut the mile race she ran in at haydock was only 1.2 seconds slower than the hot handicap won by empress ali on the same card with mitchum swagger runner up,disappointed next run,she will look extremely well handicapped on that debut run if she doesn't win today and will be one for nurserys maybe over further,johnston stables horses have been running [poorly so would explain price.The rest of the form in the race looks mediocre and not a penny for the newcomers would be very disappointing if neither of the newcomers couldn't figure with their pedigrees from the biotti and Dunlop stable..

Kelvin hall,Hweeya


5.10

Arlecchino's leap now steps up in class and although not looking well handicapped has looked mildly progressive probably place chances but it's difficult to make any strong cases for any of the runners in a very competitive race.Rich again has slipped down the weights to a mark of 75,started a winning run off 64 on the aw over c/d november 2014 then winning off 69,71,75 and 80 3 of those wins over c/d was also 3rd to oriental relation off 83 at chelmsford so this race is right grade to show previous form now back down to 75..


Arlecchinos leap.Rich again

5.40

Desperate race unreliable types but broughtons berry showed improvement in this grade last time out the time was decent for grade with first 3 pulling well clear,i could see one last dream getting closer this time at a bigger price was 4ls behind broughtons berry but strictly on that running shouldn't finish infront of it.The most interesting runner is probably feeltherhythm trained by des donovan ran in a better handicap at cork after massive lay off of 2 years and came second out of yeats the one that is open to most progression..

Broughtons berry,Feltheryhthm

6.10

Jassur was huge improver last time out at chelmsford winning by 7ls cost 140,000 usd decent pedigree but running in low grade races the time at chelmsford was good for ease of win suggests even with a 14 pound rise that maybe a mark of 70+ is not beyond him will be very short and disappointing loser if doesn't win,the slight ? is the track as ran poorly here previously.I have looked through the race for an ew alternative hard to pick anything as most of the runners have yet to prove they stay a mile yet beyond,the only positive seems to be sark has been running in better races than this and crept into this race after dropping in weights.Looking at the Chelmsford run there is some hope of staying as was making ground at finish over a mile,betting will be interesting in a very weak race for evans stable..

Jassur Sark

Who's the daddy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!On at 16s.....:lol::cool:not a bad days work...:lol:

6.40

Competitve race there's a chance reggie bond may yet again bounce back as he has done on a few occasions after going up in the weights has won 4 times over c/d and ran ok last time out when 5th to inturlude in similar race than tomorrows maybe has reached his optimum mark now and a place probably best he can hope for.Jack of diamonds is hard to win with hasn't been in the best of form recently,but ran well when 6th to minurownbusiness last season in a hot race over c/d and was only beaten 3ls so wouldn't be total surprise if ran well at big prices,probably stable in this class of races a slight negative as hasn't been in best of form but this doesn't look that strong a race for grade.

Reggie bond,Jack of diamonds

7.10

On the recent times run at wolves outlaw torn appears to have a chance although does not look well handicapped after his lsst win over a furlong further at the track probably place chances.A more speculative pick would be miss lillie has shown very little in recent runs and you'd have to forgive her recent runs but last time she ran over c/d won off 69 in different class race and she's now off 64 and lifetuime low mark,she's still only had the 10 runs and at some point will go in at a big price same stable as jack opf diamonds earlier on card that's been out of form.Lord of reasons form behind clarentine has worked out well from lingfield,although he ran poorly at this track you could possibly forgive that run which was run in a slow time..

Outlaw torn,Lord of reason,Miss lillie


7.40

Some weak races on the card and this is the worst,duke of dunton has probably the best recent aw form with other stable runner whether he will repeat it as looks thoroughly unreliable, ivory also runs tangramm ran ok after year off only had 4 runs so open to slight improvement if they both run to their best form they could fight out the finish,a very bad race to end the card..

Duke of dunton,Tangramm
 
:lol::lol:
Wolves preview,got a spare day after no racing on flat yesterday and today a pity the cards weren't a bit better..

4.40

The filly kelvin hall ran well on debut the mile race she ran in at haydock was only 1.2 seconds slower than the hot handicap won by empress ali on the same card with mitchum swagger runner up,disappointed next run,she will look extremely well handicapped on that debut run if she doesn't win today and will be one for nurserys maybe over further,johnston stables horses have been running [poorly so would explain price.The rest of the form in the race looks mediocre and not a penny for the newcomers would be very disappointing if neither of the newcomers couldn't figure with their pedigrees from the biotti and Dunlop stable..

Kelvin hall,Hweeya


5.10

Arlecchino's leap now steps up in class and although not looking well handicapped has looked mildly progressive probably place chances but it's difficult to make any strong cases for any of the runners in a very competitive race.Rich again has slipped down the weights to a mark of 75,started a winning run off 64 on the aw over c/d november 2014 then winning off 69,71,75 and 80 3 of those wins over c/d was also 3rd to oriental relation off 83 at chelmsford so this race is right grade to show previous form now back down to 75..


Arlecchinos leap.Rich again

5.40

Desperate race unreliable types but broughtons berry showed improvement in this grade last time out the time was decent for grade with first 3 pulling well clear,i could see one last dream getting closer this time at a bigger price was 4ls behind broughtons berry but strictly on that running shouldn't finish infront of it.The most interesting runner is probably feeltherhythm trained by des donovan ran in a better handicap at cork after massive lay off of 2 years and came second out of yeats the one that is open to most progression..

Broughtons berry,Feltheryhthm

6.10

Jassur was huge improver last time out at chelmsford winning by 7ls cost 140,000 usd decent pedigree but running in low grade races the time at chelmsford was good for ease of win suggests even with a 14 pound rise that maybe a mark of 70+ is not beyond him will be very short and disappointing loser if doesn't win,the slight ? is the track as ran poorly here previously.I have looked through the race for an ew alternative hard to pick anything as most of the runners have yet to prove they stay a mile yet beyond,the only positive seems to be sark has been running in better races than this and crept into this race after dropping in weights.Looking at the Chelmsford run there is some hope of staying as was making ground at finish over a mile,betting will be interesting in a very weak race for evans stable..

Jassur Sark

6.40

Competitve race there's a chance reggie bond may yet again bounce back as he has done on a few occasions after going up in the weights has won 4 times over c/d and ran ok last time out when 5th to inturlude in similar race than tomorrows maybe has reached his optimum mark now and a place probably best he can hope for.Jack of diamonds is hard to win with hasn't been in the best of form recently,but ran well when 6th to minurownbusiness last season in a hot race over c/d and was only beaten 3ls so wouldn't be total surprise if ran well at big prices,probably stable in this class of races a slight negative as hasn't been in best of form but this doesn't look that strong a race for grade.

Reggie bond,Jack of diamonds

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW!!!!!!:lol::lol:25/1 Crazy prices but that's what happens with unfashionable trainer one of the best times on clock out of the licoln trial,doesn't get any better than this first write up of the aw season different gravy!!!:Dhope you won a few bob,might not be another for awhile...:lol: 350/1 double in 1/2 an hour :lol:

7.10

On the recent times run at wolves outlaw torn appears to have a chance although does not look well handicapped after his lsst win over a furlong further at the track probably place chances.A more speculative pick would be miss lillie has shown very little in recent runs and you'd have to forgive her recent runs but last time she ran over c/d won off 69 in different class race and she's now off 64 and lifetuime low mark,she's still only had the 10 runs and at some point will go in at a big price same stable as jack opf diamonds earlier on card that's been out of form.Lord of reasons form behind clarentine has worked out well from lingfield,although he ran poorly at this track you could possibly forgive that run which was run in a slow time..

Outlaw torn,Lord of reason,Miss lillie


7.40

Some weak races on the card and this is the worst,duke of dunton has probably the best recent aw form with other stable runner whether he will repeat it as looks thoroughly unreliable, ivory also runs tangramm ran ok after year off only had 4 runs so open to slight improvement if they both run to their best form they could fight out the finish,a very bad race to end the card..

Duke of dunton,Tangramm
 
As I said above looked a weak race so jack of diamonds had great place chance and the form of these Chelmsford winners isn't carrying over to wolves either that's jassur and best example beaten and both races not very quick either so no excuses on the this track...
 
Well done gigilo its a popular thread this one...rightly so. Hats off.
 
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Wolves preview,got a spare day after no racing on flat yesterday and today a pity the cards weren't a bit better..

4.40

The filly kelvin hall ran well on debut the mile race she ran in at haydock was only 1.2 seconds slower than the hot handicap won by empress ali on the same card with mitchum swagger runner up,disappointed next run,she will look extremely well handicapped on that debut run if she doesn't win today and will be one for nurserys maybe over further,johnston stables horses have been running [poorly so would explain price.The rest of the form in the race looks mediocre and not a penny for the newcomers would be very disappointing if neither of the newcomers couldn't figure with their pedigrees from the biotti and Dunlop stable..

Kelvin hall,Hweeya


5.10

Arlecchino's leap now steps up in class and although not looking well handicapped has looked mildly progressive probably place chances but it's difficult to make any strong cases for any of the runners in a very competitive race.Rich again has slipped down the weights to a mark of 75,started a winning run off 64 on the aw over c/d november 2014 then winning off 69,71,75 and 80 3 of those wins over c/d was also 3rd to oriental relation off 83 at chelmsford so this race is right grade to show previous form now back down to 75..


Arlecchinos leap.Rich again

5.40

Desperate race unreliable types but broughtons berry showed improvement in this grade last time out the time was decent for grade with first 3 pulling well clear,i could see one last dream getting closer this time at a bigger price was 4ls behind broughtons berry but strictly on that running shouldn't finish infront of it.The most interesting runner is probably feeltherhythm trained by des donovan ran in a better handicap at cork after massive lay off of 2 years and came second out of yeats the one that is open to most progression..

Broughtons berry,Feltheryhthm

6.10

Jassur was huge improver last time out at chelmsford winning by 7ls cost 140,000 usd decent pedigree but running in low grade races the time at chelmsford was good for ease of win suggests even with a 14 pound rise that maybe a mark of 70+ is not beyond him will be very short and disappointing loser if doesn't win,the slight ? is the track as ran poorly here previously.I have looked through the race for an ew alternative hard to pick anything as most of the runners have yet to prove they stay a mile yet beyond,the only positive seems to be sark has been running in better races than this and crept into this race after dropping in weights.Looking at the Chelmsford run there is some hope of staying as was making ground at finish over a mile,betting will be interesting in a very weak race for evans stable..

Jassur Sark

6.40

Competitve race there's a chance reggie bond may yet again bounce back as he has done on a few occasions after going up in the weights has won 4 times over c/d and ran ok last time out when 5th to inturlude in similar race than tomorrows maybe has reached his optimum mark now and a place probably best he can hope for.Jack of diamonds is hard to win with hasn't been in the best of form recently,but ran well when 6th to minurownbusiness last season in a hot race over c/d and was only beaten 3ls so wouldn't be total surprise if ran well at big prices,probably stable in this class of races a slight negative as hasn't been in best of form but this doesn't look that strong a race for grade.

Reggie bond,Jack of diamonds

7.10

On the recent times run at wolves outlaw torn appears to have a chance although does not look well handicapped after his lsst win over a furlong further at the track probably place chances.A more speculative pick would be miss lillie has shown very little in recent runs and you'd have to forgive her recent runs but last time she ran over c/d won off 69 in different class race and she's now off 64 and lifetuime low mark,she's still only had the 10 runs and at some point will go in at a big price same stable as jack opf diamonds earlier on card that's been out of form.Lord of reasons form behind clarentine has worked out well from lingfield,although he ran poorly at this track you could possibly forgive that run which was run in a slow time..

Outlaw torn,Lord of reason,Miss lillie


7.40

Some weak races on the card and this is the worst,duke of dunton has probably the best recent aw form with other stable runner whether he will repeat it as looks thoroughly unreliable, ivory also runs tangramm ran ok after year off only had 4 runs so open to slight improvement if they both run to their best form they could fight out the finish,a very bad race to end the card..

Duke of dunton,Tangramm

Another pisses in:lol: got 11/4 perfect end to an almost perfect day,had some bad luck with multiples 6 placed in 2 goliaths 3 winners and a multiple from tonights and redcar
hard to get them together when so many picks just sums up the season today,its been like this nearly every week for last 12 months..:ninja:
 
Jack dexter 7/1 Betfred,totesport,hills wentworth stakes

One of my favourite sprinters although hasn't now won sonce November 2013 on his day has competed at highest level although has not even managed to win a group 2 a lot of that is mainly due to his need for specific going conditions so only has limited races he can possibly win.He looked as good as ever early season a second and third in group 2s unlucky not to win both one was even over 5fs to pearl secret,even on fast going was running well when 8th behind magical meory on gd/fm ground staying on strongly off 109.
His last two runs especially ayr gold cup was disappointing although ground was against him,that wasn't the form he was showing early sesson on ground to quick and then last time out in a race he couldn;'t win with highly progressive sprinters at ascot.The angle on saturdays race is the draw on very soft heavy ground,last season jack dexter was 4th in this race and there looked a big advantage to be drawn low or come up the middle while he stayed stands side lancelot du lac ran up the centre in 2nd Saturday he has the 1 draw will be perfect for him,lightening moon has the one race which stands out at ascot winning a group 3 last season so obvious fav but is drawn 9 of the 14 while all the other form horses that look to have a chance are drawn 8,10,12,13 also unsure they will all act on soft/heavy so they are all unbackable.
If jack dexter can run near his best from what could be a draw advantage then the 7/1 could turn into a decent price,he may even be bigger yet also if any of the media tipsters taylor or segal have a bet in this race then there is only one pick and that's jack dexter because of draw so could be well backed and decent trade,cannot see him being bigger than 5/1 tops anyway..

8/1 365/sportsbook 15/2 victor
 
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Kadrizzi 5/1 corals

Kadrizzi maybe worth a bet although will be contradicting the draw I mentioned earlier he maybe able to get out in front even though drawn 9 of the 12,the form looks rock solid beat 72 rated horse by 4 1/2ls in a canter on pretty desperate ground at notts last time out, could've won by 8 1/2ls and the runner up sluiced up at wolves recently in a nursery.The time of the race was only just slower than the first div at notts won by scrutineer, next time out went onto win by 6ls off 80 and although beaten in last [place on last run that was in group 1,kadrizzi looks an out and out stayer to me that will probably be even better over further, if the draw doesn't beat him the 5/1 looks a big price as backed up by times and form.I'd be a bit surprised if this wasn't heavily backed and again could be a decent trade even in running,one thing that won't beat him will be the ground relished it on last run and if he can get to the front should run well...

5/1 totesport/Betfred

9/2 365/hills
 
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Jack dexter 7/1 Betfred,totesport,hills wentworth stakes

One of my favourite sprinters although hasn't now won sonce November 2013 on his day has competed at highest level although has not even managed to win a group 2 a lot of that is mainly due to his need for specific going conditions so only has limited races he can possibly win.He looked as good as ever early season a second and third in group 2s unlucky not to win both one was even over 5fs to pearl secret,even on fast going was running well when 8th behind magical meory on gd/fm ground staying on strongly off 109.
His last two runs especially ayr gold cup was disappointing although ground was against him,that wasn't the form he was showing early sesson on ground to quick and then last time out in a race he couldn;'t win with highly progressive sprinters at ascot.The angle on saturdays race is the draw on very soft heavy ground,last season jack dexter was 4th in this race and there looked a big advantage to be drawn low or come up the middle while he stayed stands side lancelot du lac ran up the centre in 2nd Saturday he has the 1 draw will be perfect for him,lightening moon has the one race which stands out at ascot winning a group 3 last season so obvious fav but is drawn 9 of the 14 while all the other form horses that look to have a chance are drawn 8,10,12,13 also unsure they will all act on soft/heavy so they are all unbackable.
If jack dexter can run near his best from what could be a draw advantage then the 7/1 could turn into a decent price,he may even be bigger yet also if any of the media tipsters taylor or segal have a bet in this race then there is only one pick and that's jack dexter because of draw so could be well backed and decent trade,cannot see him being bigger than 5/1 tops anyway..

8/1 365/sportsbook 15/2 victor



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I did tell you,;):lol::lol:and the draw:ninja: the 1,2,3 were all the right horses as well just shows he's still pure class won with a bit in hand as well love this horse as has been so unlucky in the past!!!1
 
Probably one of the few times realistically he's been value,if you look at his sps on ground he couldn't win on most runs then todays prices were generous at beginning of the season he looked in form of his life on ground that was too quick should've won those two group 2s,if he gets his ground early season he still has a great chance of winning a group 2 next season.No doubt I will be backing him again for the ayr gold cup,for some reason he looked totally outpaced in that race on what was dead ground,i watched the replay of todays race a few times was hanging for last furlong and 1/2 furlong out was pricking his ears which might explain some of his poorer runs,doesn't like to get there to soon that's for sure.
 
Kempton (AW) Result
09 Nov 2015
2:25 » LEARN ENGLISH AT ISEHOVE.COM EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN FILLIES' STAKES
(Class 5) (3yo+) 1m Standard
£4,204.85, £1,251.25, £625.30, £312.65
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

1 2 My Bethany (USA) 33/1 3 9-0 Paul Fitzsimons — * *
Fergus Sweeney


« 2 1 6 Karmadal (IRE) 7/4F 3 9-0 h William Haggas — * *
Pat Cosgrave


« 3 9 5 Putaringonit (IRE) 8/1 3 9-0 h Jeremy Gask — * *
Steve Drowne


« 4 7 ½ Thai Noon (IRE) 13/2 3 9-0 James Fanshawe — * *
Tom Queally


« 5 4 nk Stella Etoile (IRE) 5/1 3 9-0 Ian Williams 77 * *
James Doyle


« 6 10 shd Solveig's Song 100/1 3 9-0 Steve Woodman 46 * *
J F Egan


7 8 3 Fast Approach (IRE) 5/1 3 9-0 Andrew Balding — * *
Oisin Murphy


« 8 6 2 Bella Blur 12/1 3 9-0 Michael Bell — * *
William Twiston-Davies


« 9 3 nk Cranwell 8/1 3 9-0 Marcus Tregoning — * *
Jim Crowley


« 10 5 17 Swinford Lass 66/1 3 9-0 Lee Carter — * *
Kieren Fox


10 ran TIME 1m 38.81s (slow by 2.21s

My bethany


Nice debut in respectable time for trainer and his last day of training the sp showing stable never had a clue about ability,a 90,000 usd out of bernstein and dam out of seattle slew so lovely pedigree be interesting to see how much she goes for and she could be a very nice handicapper for the aw season.She won by an easty 6ls andf the time of the race only .01 slower than 85 rated second wave winning the next race on the card in 3yr old handicap.Her mark will be interesting although I doubt will be be very lenient even though everything in behind just looked poor...
 
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