Daily picks.

gigilo said:
08 Sep 2015
« 2:30 » BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF APOLLO MAIDEN STAKES (PLUS 10 RACE) (DIV II)
(Class 4) (2yo) 7f Good
£5,175.20, £1,540.00, £769.60, £384.80
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 7 Move Up 7/1 2 9-5 Saeed bin Suroor — * *
James Doyle


« 2 5 nk Fawaareq (IRE) 13/8F 2 9-5 B W Hills — * *
Paul Hanagan


« 3 12 ¾ Stargazer (IRE) 2/1 2 9-5 Sir Michael Stoute — * *
Ted Durcan


4 4 1 Mainstream 33/1 2 9-5 h1 Sir Michael Stoute — * *
Stevie Donohoe


5 13 nse Silk Cravat 50/1 2 9-5 Simon Crisford — * *
Robert Havlin


6 8 ½ Column 33/1 2 9-5 James Fanshawe — * *
Frederik Tylicki


7 9 hd Chester Street 50/1 2 9-5 Roger Charlton — * *
William Twiston-Davies


8 3 1¾ Nice Name (IRE) 50/1 2 9-5 Richard Fahey — * *
Tony Hamilton


« 9 11 nk Wapping (USA) 17/2 2 9-5 David Lanigan — * *
George Baker


« 10 1 3¼ Totally Committed 66/1 2 9-5 Clive Cox — * *
Adam Kirby


« 11 14 nse Spanish Boy (IRE) 14/1 2 9-5 Richard Hannon — * *
Pat Dobbs


« 12 2 15 Farmtruck (IRE) 200/1 2 9-0 Ronald Thompson — * *
Jordan Nason5


« 13 6 1 Tyrannical 200/1 2 9-5 Sir Mark Prescott Bt — * *
Luke Morris


14 10 14 Dream Serenade 100/1 2 9-0 Michael Appleby — * *
Andrew Mullen


14 ran TIME 1m 25.47s (slow by 2.77s)


Mainstream
Silk cravat
Column
Chester street

A decent maiden looking at the time,only a second slower than the class 3 won by kakatosi later on the card rated 84 the 2yr olds carried 6 pound more as well so even more eyecatching and with the 4th,5th,6th,7th only 2 3/4ls behind the first three with potential to improve past the first three there could well be some top class runners to come in runners behind and more importantly some nice value for betting.Hopefully these runners will run in maidens and you could be getting 3-4/1 for horses that are potentially 90 horses and with them being 4th,5th,6th and 7th that's very likely,hopefully will be able to keep track of these as season closes as winning maidens should be a formality.Similarly if they get chucked in something better,the likelihood is they will be overpriced anyway and with the 2yr old form looking fairly mediocre in general conditions races or listed races they could be massively overpriced...
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No fancy prices on mainstream like chester street and column but that was inevitable after them winning,just need silk cravat to win on next runs for the full house...
 
gigilo said:
Naas (IRE) Result
23 Sep 2015
« 3:25 » IRISH STALLION FARMS EUROPEAN BREEDERS FUND FILLIES MAIDEN (PLUS 10 RACE)
(2yo) 7f Yielding
£8,290.70, £1,922.48, £841.09, £480.62
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

1 9 Kalisma (IRE) 5/1 2 9-0 D K Weld — * *
Pat Smullen


2 7 1¾ Waitaki (IRE) 33/1 2 9-0 D K Weld — * *
Leigh Roche


3 12 1½ Lady Lambert (IRE) 33/1 2 9-0 h1 M Halford — * *
Shane Foley


4 11 shd Etched (IRE) 7/1 2 9-0 A P O'Brien — * *
Seamie Heffernan


« 5 10 1¾ Dewdrop (IRE) 12/1 2 9-0 h1 A P O'Brien — * *
Emmet McNamara


« 6 4 nk Ceol An Ghra (IRE) 6/4F 2 9-0 J S Bolger — * *
Kevin Manning


7 5 ¾ Suvenna (IRE) 14/1 2 9-0 M Halford — * *
Conor Hoban


« 8 13 1¾ Escape Paradise (IRE) 33/1 2 9-0 Mrs John Harrington — * *
Billy Lee


« 9 8 ¾ Rose Of Tralee 9/2 2 9-0 Charles O'Brien — * *
F M Berry


10 3 nk End Play (IRE) 66/1 2 9-0 Aidan Anthony Howard — * *
Colin Keane


11 2 1¼ Eavesdrop (IRE) 9/1 2 9-0 A P O'Brien — * *
Michael Hussey


« 12 6 ½ Bulgadin Lady (IRE) 33/1 2 8-9 John James Feane — * *
Gary Halpin5


« 13 1 4½ Osmanthus (IRE) 50/1 2 9-0 Tracey Collins — * *
Ronan Whelan


« 14 14 ¾ Sarah Ash Calum (IRE) 50/1 2 9-0 William J Fitzpatrick — * *
Chris Hayes


14 ran TIME 1m 26.41s (slow by 3.01s)

Kalisima
Waitaki
Lady lambert
Etched

Two nice looking maidens on the nass card,havn't really been following the irish cards this season as been doing all the cards over here but just looking briefly through the card today and this maiden although still quite compacted the time was decent only .o6 slower than the older handicapper on the card the progressive katimavik winning off 81 and recent 8th in Cambridgeshire obver there so the maiden time looks rock solid.Hopefully a maiden that will be undervalued with proximity of runners and could be some nice nusery types with two rags in 2nd and 3rd,impossible to assess how good the winner and runner up are but I would be surprised if not 90+ horses so worth checking out this maiden when marks are given.This was the fillies maiden race on the card and was .45 slower slower than following maiden won by a highly progressive winner that looks a likely 100+ horse as well.

Blue de vega
7f, €10,695.00
1 Blue De Vega 7/2
2 Tribal Beat 10/1
3 Mizaah 8/1
NR: Hint Of Frost (IRE)
16 ran Distances: 4¾l, nse, ¾l
TIME 1m 25.96s (slow by 2.56s


Visually and on the clock very impressive winning by .39 quicker than katimavik but doesn't tell the whole story was good for another 4/5ls probably so must be a 100+ horse and a strong possibility of being gropup class,there must be a chance of getting underestimated betting wise as well as only looked a weak maiden on paper and had only a dundalk maiden run behind him.Looks a really interesting runner with ground like this for next couple of months and new revised mark will be very interesting,a listed race should be a formality from whats run this year and what I've seen on the clock...The biggest problem will be keeping track of it all..
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Blue De Vega was sold to Qatar Racing. Nobody thought that was a poor maiden.
 
Nothing to worry about desperate form on poor ground,should be some decent value next season now,i don't even give results like that a second glance just dismiss it immediately..
 
Winner has an amazingly high knee action-one to follow on soft/heavy.
I thought GK Chesterton looked good in the first at Redcar-anyone got any opinions.
 
My mate owns a leg of Donjuan. Wish I did. I was going to post this morning but I thought he was tilting at windmills a little. This is what he wrote:
He goes again in France today in the 200,000 Euro group 2! Up against some top rated horses but gotta be in it to win it! Currently 14-1 so each way value. 13:50 at maisson-lafitte. First time abroad and only 6 days after York. He has a group 1 entry back in France on 1st Nov.
 
Donjuan ran the 6f at York in a similar time to a 100 rated older horse..same weight which is a decent figure...he also has that upward profile suggesting more.

Not convinced Smash was all at sea on the ground tbh..was soft ground at the Curragh and todays race was run in 73+ suggesting the ground wasn't that different to when he was impressive there.

seemed an odd race for Smash to go for really
 
EC1 said:
Donjuan ran the 6f at York in a similar time to a 100 rated older horse..same weight which is a decent figure...he also has that upward profile suggesting more.

Not convinced Smash was all at sea on the ground tbh..was soft ground at the Curragh and todays race was run in 73+ suggesting the ground wasn't that different to when he was impressive there.

seemed an odd race for Smash to go for really
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Not sure what to make of that from Smash myself.

Anything anyone wants to know about Donjuan let me kmow i'll ask Andy.
 
Would go as far as to say they should be thinking about the Group 1 sprints next Autumn and that's presuming we don't get another wet summer.
 
Smash Williams will be a group 1 horse next season along with priceless the filly,a poor run means nothing not worth over analysing races when you know already how good they are potentially, just now they will be worth backing as before they got they beat probably wouldn't have been..
 
gigilo said:
12/1 hills,sportsbook,lads,victor,tote,boyles,betfred Champoin sprint Saturday ascot

A big step up in class but not unexpected,although perhaps not expected this quickly but if the stable have looked closely at the finishing times of the group 3 the following day as above iot certainly suggests that already the tin man is at this level,he looks value on those times with ease of win although would still have to improve to win the race I can't see any reason why he won't be involved in finish as the run was over the same c/d the 12/1 is probably the value in the race.The other 3yr olds look interesting as well the haydock form almost looks to good to be true and as both twilight son and stratburn have no form at ascot yet then hopefully tin man will come out best of the three,a pity the race wasn't run before the weekend as ground is currently soft but looks by the weekend probably dried out.Pretty sure if ground did stay softish the fav as having no softer ground form would drift and as the tin mans win was on ground with some juice then would preferably see that as could be disadvantage to fav..

That's all the 12s gone didn't take long,think will have another chunk on at 10/1 as well think he will go off nearer 7/1 so should be able to lay off a fair bit..
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Lovely run gets the ew money as well..could be challenging winner next season..
 
Chelmsford (AW) Result
24 Sep 2015
« 6:45 » JOIN ESSEX RACING CLUB SYNDICATES HANDICAP (DIV I)
(Class 5) (0-70, 3yo+) 1m Standard
£3,881.40, £1,155.00, £577.20, £288.60
RESULTRATE RACE
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 7 Manolito 4/1 3 8-10 t Hughie Morrison 63 * * »
Oisin Murphy


« 2 10 2¾ Dark Avenger (USA) 9/1 3 9-3 Jamie Osborne 70 * * »
Timmy Murphy


« 3 2 1 Enriching (USA) 25/1 7 9-2 Nick Littmoden 65 * * »
J F Egan


« 4 6 ¾ The Happy Hammer (IRE) 20/1 9 9-1 Eugene Stanford 64 * * »
Robert Tart


« 5 1 hd Hot Mustard 9/4F 5 9-7 William Muir 70 * *
Martin Dwyer


« 6 8 nk Mandria (IRE) 7/1 3 8-8 h Daniel Kubler 61 * * »
Richard Kingscote


« 7 3 nk Unnoticed 33/1 3 8-11 p Denis Quinn 69 * *
Noel Garbutt5


« 8 5 1 The Gay Cavalier 5/1 4 9-7 t John Ryan 70 * *
Adam Kirby


« 9 9 shd Trulee Scrumptious 25/1 6 8-12 v Peter Charalambous 64 * *
Marc Monaghan3


« 10 4 14 Nufooth (IRE) 12/1 3 8-12 James Eustace 65 * * »
Luke Morris


« 11 11 2 Wu Zetian 16/1 4 8-13 b Pam Sly 67 * *
Rob Hornby5


11 ran TIME 1m 37.49s (fast by 1.51s)

The gay cavalier

Not subtle booking Kirby for this ride when horse blatantly running over the wrong trip giving these 10ls start and although finished 6ls behind in 8th was nearest finish with no clear run at the moment looks thrown in off 68,last season improved won of 70,74 and then 80 then was 4th of 7 to tryster off 86 so mark has come crashing down.Alot of punters picked up on the mark at Chelmsford something like 16/1 opening pruices but the trip was far to short no form over a mile,so really needed a nice run down fioeld again to take that eyecatching run away so today egan booked and over wrong trip at Windsor so now should be some noce value switchedback to the aw.He could appear at Kempton again as but looks like he handles all the aw tracks,hasn't run at swell they may even try getting him down to 65 which would make him look virtually unbeatable back over 1m2fs off 65.He will get overpriced as the books are clueless pricing these tyopes up and you could see 16s for a horse that should be 3-4/1 running over 1m2fs...
 
Mengli khan 14/1 sporting bet 12/1 365/hills Racing post trophy

Mengli khan as yet does not have the form in the book as front two in the market but still an interesting runner hugo palmer has had group 2 winner galileo gold this season and that runner 3rd in group 1 at longchamp beating Johannes Vermeer and shogun bioth runners in Saturdays race priced at 6/1 and 12/1.You would have to assume potentially this is his best 2yr old and to be better than galileo gold so could be a little bit of value,if you took some of those formlines literally Johannes vermeeer beating sanus per aquam
at leopardstown sanus per aquam just touched off by Deauville earlier in season.Hugo palmer has plenty of formlines there to make comparisons so no reason to think he won't be up to this grade,ran very well on debut over c/d when there was a bias with the pace horses on the day he came from off the pace and the time was respectable for first ever run.A lot to ask to win but previous runners hugo palmers had this season through the above formlines suggest he will be up to this class and likely to be his best 2yr old,if he is then he should out run those prices..

12/1 sjames..
 
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Windsor Result
20 Oct 2015
1:50 » BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF FILLIES' MAIDEN STAKES (PLUS 10 RACE)
(Class 5) (2yo) 6f Good
£3,363.88, £1,001.00, £500.24, £250.12
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 3 Exist 7/2 2 9-0 John Gosden — * *
Robert Havlin


« 2 2 1 Welsh Rose 25/1 2 9-0 William Muir — * *
Steve Drowne


« 3 7 nk Kylla Instinct 8/1 2 9-0 Philip McBride — * *
Jamie Spencer


« 4 8 2 Evangelical 6/1 2 9-0 Richard Fahey 69 * *
Tony Hamilton


« 5 4 1¾ Clodianna (IRE) 10/1 2 9-0 h1 Roger Charlton — * *
William Twiston-Davies


« 6 14 ¾ Kath's Legacy 50/1 2 9-0 Ben De Haan — * *
John Fahy


« 7 5 hd Belle Mare Plage 25/1 2 9-0 Stuart Williams — * *
Martin Harley


« 8 11 1½ Sacrament (IRE) 5/2F 2 9-0 Ralph Beckett — * *
Harry Bentley


9 6 ½ Mercifilly (FR) 66/1 2 9-0 Ed Walker — * *
Liam Keniry


« 10 9 nse Mheelah (IRE) 16/1 2 9-0 Richard Hannon — * *
Frankie Dettori


11 10 1 Fleeting Dream (IRE) 5/1 2 9-0 William Haggas — * *
Pat Cosgrave


« 12 13 9 Song Of Paradise 66/1 2 9-0 Chris Wall — * *
Jack Mitchell


13 15 2 You're A Goat 50/1 2 9-0 Gary Moore — * *
Fergus Sweeney


14 1 2½ Loveisreckless (IRE) 66/1 2 9-0 William Muir — * *
Sam Hitchcott


14 ran TIME 1m 11.79s (slow by 1.29s) Total SP 124%


Welsh rose
Kylla instinct

Five 6f races through the afternoon at Windsor kicking off with this fillies maiden,the winner had disappointed o n debut at Leicester but the runner up and third from the willie muir and Mc bride stables made this maiden look even weaker,but this wasn't backed up by the times through the afternoon infact the opposite.The following nursery won by 75 rated art collection was .55 slower the fillies carried 7 pound less,anonymous johns win was only .03 quickerspring loaded won the other class 4 .31 quicker and the class 6 was
a second slower.Hopefully the handicapper will be lenient with these two and coming out of less fashionavble stables they could well be overpriced,its difficult to give them set marks not knowing if the winner of the following nurserty was an improver if he was then opening marks of 75 would look very fair anything lower which is quite possible would look generous.Guessing I think they will get marks below 75 can'yt see how handicapper ca n go to 75 on form so they should be well in,might even see them on the aw as well so worth looking out for even if not running on turf again..
 
Goodwood Result
01 Aug 2014
« 2:30 » BONHAMS THOROUGHBRED STAKES (GROUP 3)
(Class 1) (3yo) 1m Good To Firm
£34,026.00, £12,900.00, £6,456.00, £3,216.00, £1,614.00, £810.00
RESULTRATE RACE
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 3 Wannabe Yours (IRE) 7/1 3 9-1 John Gosden 100 * * »
William Buick


« 2 7 nk Hors De Combat 9/2 3 9-1 James Fanshawe 99 * * »
Frederik Tylicki


« 3 4 3½ Bow Creek (IRE) 4/1 3 9-1 Mark Johnston 108 * * »
Joe Fanning


« 4 6 1½ Windfast (IRE) 11/1 3 9-1 Brian Meehan 108 * * »
Jimmy Fortune


« 5 5 8 Shifting Power 6/4F 3 9-1 Richard Hannon 115 * * »
Richard Hughes


« 6 8 22 Rapprochement (IRE) 8/1 3 9-1 h Charlie Appleby — * *
Adam Kirby


6 ran TIME 1m 36.10s (fast by 0.10s)

Wannabe yours Aw mile final 16/1 corals might see 20s somehwhere yet

Might be worth having a small bet on wannabe yours for the aw mile championships,this season has been really disappointing after winning last year at goodwood beating hiors de combats as a 3yr old the winning time at goodwood that day was 1.3 seconds quicker than 96 rated red avenger winning the betfred mile was an unbelievable win from position he got in and looked different class to the field that day to get up after being stopped and hampered.He looked a group 1 horse and one to follow,since that run has just seemingly gone backwards for no apparent reason to the point where he's now only rated 104 ,he's been getting beat in midfield in a few group races but based on last years win at goodwood I find it hard to believe he won't recapture that form at some point and entered in the aw championships on what will be fast surfaces might just suit.The 16/1 could look massive over the next few months,some of the losses on the turf I think you can put down to ground as the run at goodwood was so quick and the way he won I can't believe that he would be the same horse on anything better than fast ground so I'm willing to forgive some of the runs this season.
 
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Can actually see mengli khan turning into a fairly decent trade,you've got two clear on the form and then the potentioal of the palmer horse I would think segal or taylor if picking one in the race it would have to be mengli khan and the probability is one of them will make this a race to bet in with fav so short wouldn't surprise me to see it on the day 8/1 or shorter..
 
Chelmsford (AW) Result
22 Oct 2015
« 5:55 » BET TOTEEXACTA AT BETFRED.COM NURSERY HANDICAP
(Class 6) (0-65, 2yo) 1m2f Standard
£2,911.05, £866.25, £432.90, £216.45
RESULTRATE RACE
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HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 10 Jassur 6/1 2 8-8 b Marco Botti 49 * *
Oisin Murphy


« 2 4 7 Tenzing Norgay 5/1 2 9-7 p Sir Mark Prescott Bt 62 * *
Chris Catlin


« 3 1 1¼ Captain Gerald 8/1 2 9-0 John Ryan 55 * *
Martin Harley


« 4 8 ½ Nietzsche 9/2 2 9-7 William Haggas 62 * *
Pat Cosgrave


« 5 6 7 Mr Marbin (IRE) 16/1 2 9-1over weight1 Harry Dunlop 56 * *
Adam Kirby


« 6 3 hd Ice Bond 12/1 2 8-13 Richard Hannon 57 * *
Tom Marquand3


« 7 9 nk Zebedee's Son (IRE) 10/1 2 9-0 v1 David Evans 55 * *
Jim Crowley


« 8 5 5 Regal Galaxy 16/1 2 8-9 Mark H Tompkins 50 * *
Jimmy Quinn


« 9 11 2½ Bourne Symphony (IRE) 33/1 2 8-11 p Jim Boyle 52 * *
Sam Hitchcott


« 10 2 5 Gameplay 3/1F 2 9-7 p Charlie Appleby 62 * *
William Buick


« 11 7 4½ Balqees (IRE) 50/1 2 8-9 David Evans 50 * *
J F Egan


« 12 12 5 Ryan The Giant 20/1 2 9-4 Richard Hannon 59 * *
Sean Levey


12 ran TIME 2m 4.99s (fast by 1.51s)

Jassur

A 140,000 as yearling winning off 49 tonight at chelmsfiord related to junipier pass winner on dirt over 1m4 and turf 1m 6f rpr of 114 dam related to storm vcat and sire canford cliffs so obviously disappointing to be running in these races.Was stepped up in trip tonight hacking up by 7ls,the race looked very poor on paper so beat very little and a rise of at least a stone inevitable that will take him to minimum of 63,considering the pace wasn't frenetic slow early pace the time was still good for a 2yr old rated just 49.He will probably be little value next time out evens maybe slight odds on even with rise,although think he's worth following just out of interest you would have to think he's probably capable of running to a mark of 70 looking at tonights race.
 
gigilo said:
Chelmsford (AW) Result
24 Sep 2015
« 6:45 » JOIN ESSEX RACING CLUB SYNDICATES HANDICAP (DIV I)
(Class 5) (0-70, 3yo+) 1m Standard
£3,881.40, £1,155.00, £577.20, £288.60
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 7 Manolito 4/1 3 8-10 t Hughie Morrison 63 * * »
Oisin Murphy


« 2 10 2¾ Dark Avenger (USA) 9/1 3 9-3 Jamie Osborne 70 * * »
Timmy Murphy


« 3 2 1 Enriching (USA) 25/1 7 9-2 Nick Littmoden 65 * * »
J F Egan


« 4 6 ¾ The Happy Hammer (IRE) 20/1 9 9-1 Eugene Stanford 64 * * »
Robert Tart


« 5 1 hd Hot Mustard 9/4F 5 9-7 William Muir 70 * *
Martin Dwyer


« 6 8 nk Mandria (IRE) 7/1 3 8-8 h Daniel Kubler 61 * * »
Richard Kingscote


« 7 3 nk Unnoticed 33/1 3 8-11 p Denis Quinn 69 * *
Noel Garbutt5


« 8 5 1 The Gay Cavalier 5/1 4 9-7 t John Ryan 70 * *
Adam Kirby


« 9 9 shd Trulee Scrumptious 25/1 6 8-12 v Peter Charalambous 64 * *
Marc Monaghan3


« 10 4 14 Nufooth (IRE) 12/1 3 8-12 James Eustace 65 * * »
Luke Morris


« 11 11 2 Wu Zetian 16/1 4 8-13 b Pam Sly 67 * *
Rob Hornby5


11 ran TIME 1m 37.49s (fast by 1.51s)

The gay cavalier

Not subtle booking Kirby for this ride when horse blatantly running over the wrong trip giving these 10ls start and although finished 6ls behind in 8th was nearest finish with no clear run at the moment looks thrown in off 68,last season improved won of 70,74 and then 80 then was 4th of 7 to tryster off 86 so mark has come crashing down.Alot of punters picked up on the mark at Chelmsford something like 16/1 opening pruices but the trip was far to short no form over a mile,so really needed a nice run down fioeld again to take that eyecatching run away so today egan booked and over wrong trip at Windsor so now should be some noce value switchedback to the aw.He could appear at Kempton again as but looks like he handles all the aw tracks,hasn't run at swell they may even try getting him down to 65 which would make him look virtually unbeatable back over 1m2fs off 65.He will get overpriced as the books are clueless pricing these tyopes up and you could see 16s for a horse that should be 3-4/1 running over 1m2fs...
Click to expand...

12/1 lads 11/1 victor

Bit surprised out so quick only ran Monday,still have to back it at these prices and should be a decent trade anyway could well halve in price at the very least,race looks wide open unless the gay cavalier runs somewhere near....
10/1 hills/lads
 
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