Daily picks.

Doesn't get any better than that stew,saying that was about time wondering what was happening as these forecadts used to be a daily occurrence,that should keep them seething on you know where for a bit!!!:cool:
 
Cheers Theboo and nick and pernicious :ninja:knew you'd be on the forecast nick!!:cool: like the good old days innit...:p
 
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4.50 Newcastle

One of the worst races you'll se a classified race for horses rated to 55 rosy ryan had shown nothing this season till an out of the blue second to totally magic beaten 2ls off 56 by horses rated upto 75 in 3rd then went off 9/2 in a verty por race beaten easily.Backing hortses like this is pure guesswork whether they will reporoduce ity again,but this is such an abysmal race will give her a chance,it maybe she needs a real fast pace to aim at but her running style looks to be dropped out in this race a reproduction of that penultimate run she'd be fav again.At double figures she's worth a token bet...

Rosy ryan 12/1 hills 10/1 hiils./corals/365/totesport/betfred

There were lots on this card I could've backed that have already turned into obvious gambles,just can't bring myself to have lots of bets on a track i'm nort confident in at the moment...
 
gigilo said:
Had already backed the three anyway justy got the bonus of the forecast,about time been waiting ages for a proper aw touch I told slim ladt night couldn't back more than 3 in the race...probably had the triocast iof the other had run!!!:lol::lol:£100.88 10x that'll do for a Monday even drifted on betfair to almost 9s as well the winner like the old days!!!
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:thumbsup:
 
gigilo said:
4.50 Newcastle

One of the worst races you'll se a classified race for horses rated to 55 rosy ryan had shown nothing this season till an out of the blue second to totally magic beaten 2ls off 56 by horses rated upto 75 in 3rd then went off 9/2 in a verty por race beaten easily.Backing hortses like this is pure guesswork whether they will reporoduce ity again,but this is such an abysmal race will give her a chance,it maybe she needs a real fast pace to aim at but her running style looks to be dropped out in this race a reproduction of that penultimate run she'd be fav again.At double figures she's worth a token bet...

Rosy ryan 12/1 hills 10/1 hiils./corals/365/totesport/betfred

There were lots on this card I could've backed that have already turned into obvious gambles,just can't bring myself to have lots of bets on a track i'm nort confident in at the moment...
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Yet again another great shout. Only ruined by the jockey's position in the race. Did he expect them to part like the red Sea and let him through. Waste of a good price. Frustrating. Great tipping again
 
gigilo said:
4.50 Newcastle

One of the worst races you'll se a classified race for horses rated to 55 rosy ryan had shown nothing this season till an out of the blue second to totally magic beaten 2ls off 56 by horses rated upto 75 in 3rd then went off 9/2 in a verty por race beaten easily.Backing hortses like this is pure guesswork whether they will reporoduce ity again,but this is such an abysmal race will give her a chance,it maybe she needs a real fast pace to aim at but her running style looks to be dropped out in this race a reproduction of that penultimate run she'd be fav again.At double figures she's worth a token bet...

Rosy ryan 12/1 hills 10/1 hiils./corals/365/totesport/betfred

There were lots on this card I could've backed that have already turned into obvious gambles,just can't bring myself to have lots of bets on a track i'm nort confident in at the moment...
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Shouldv'e dotted up must've given them 10ls then switched,went up centre couldn't get a run measly place will have to do!!!
 
Part time punter said:
Yet again another great shout. Only ruined by the jockey's position in the race. Did he expect them to part like the red Sea and let him through. Waste of a good price. Frustrating. Great tipping again
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Posted same time as me,frustrating as could see what was going to happen you're looking for the place realizing it should've won very irritating,at least he rode it out must've been tempting to stop riding it at 2 furlong ppole..
 
Unlucky run Andy, will have to look at a replay of the race to see how unlucky, winner came right from the back as well, nice pick nonetheless!
 
gigilo said:
Posted same time as me,frustrating as could see what was going to happen you're looking for the place realizing it should've won very irritating,at least he rode it out must've been tempting to stop riding it at 2 furlong ppole..
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Agree entirely. If you are going to sit out the back on a nice wide track surely move out early enough to get a free run. It looked for a moment like he wasn't going to push and then he thought what the hell and went anyway. I reckon he'd have won cosily. Be a real short price next time.
 
3.10 lingfield

Will have a couple of token bets in the race as looks very competitive with unexposed runners,jet setter ran ok over this c/d last time out finishing 4th beaten 2 1/2ls time looked good although track was on quick side 1m23.79 maybe flattering tomorrow jet setter gets dropped a pound to 69 plus the claimer takes off another 7 pound.He's drawn in 1 races prominent and has first time blinkers,it's impossible to weigh the race up as that many unexposed runners but 10/1 looks worth a small bet.
Reign on and heavens rock ran in a higher grade than this ovber 6fs at wolves both were finishing in that race although heavens rock has run over 7fs before beaten off 74 quite easily the fiorst time visor may have helped last time out,at double the price of the other will have a token bet on that as well off a mark of 68,has poor draw to handle being a negative..

Jet setter 10/1 365/skybet/betfred/victor/ppower/totesport/lads/hills Heavens rock 16/1 365/skybet/betfred/totesport/lads/hills/sportsbook
14/1 racebets
6.25 Kempton

Similar to race above poetic force didn't win much of a race at wolves the time looked very quick 1m47.61 but again a bit deceptive as track was quick again and was only the same time as Russian ranger rated winning of 56 in older horse handiocap although sluiced up and could be well handicapped still now rated 63.Poetic force carried 6 pound more thab that winner so there still looks at least another race for it,think he may just be in the wrong race with all the top trainers in the race,the real negative is the draw in 14 as well but as he has that time on the clock will have another token bet off a mark 73.

Poetic force 7/1 victor/ppower/lads/hills 15/2 betbright

2.40 Lingfield

Ardamir ran in a quick time at wolves behind natural scenery off 78 gawdalpin and calendula have franked that form by running 2nd and 5th in better race,its not one i'd be going mad about as looked hard ride but looks good for place at worst..Could still be open to improvement on the aw as mainly been hurdling..Have taken 4/1 and 7/2 only 3/1 left with sportsbook/marathon bet..



Ardamir

Was going to add lyfka my to follows horse was pushed out to 16s but been cut everywhere now into 9s put it on here everytime its won very irritating as 16s looked a decent price on the running on 6th to merhoob last year,will have to leave it now at price,gutted..

Hope you had a saver on reign on got 10s on betfair once other one got took out,was bigger price than lsst night!!!
 
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5.45 Chelmsford

Thought forceful appeal showed like he maybe coming back to form although only 7th of 11 was finishing well never got a run near finish and the inadequate 7fs wouldn't have suited on this track,is now sitting on a mark of 84 last time was this low was December 2015 when winning off 82 and 88.He's a bit of veteran at 8 but last sesson also ran 5th to keystroke in the lincoln trial at wolves not beaten far,its a ridiculously competitive race but he's priobably worth following in future races maybe needs a little weaker race but has decent track form as well so worth a token bet.Wouldn't be surprised if loyalty ran ok as well as he ran in same race looked beat 2fs out but still stayed on as well,i put chester street on here on my to follows a couple of seasons back I actually gave him a higher rating then he has now,he could easily be the one to beat and most progressive in the race although short price.

Forceful appeal 20/1 hills 25/1 sportsbook 18/1 365

Forceful appeal
 
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There were some stinking iof not dodgy rides today,ardamir was very suspect drifted like a barge and held up off slow pace to be nearest finish in all sorts of trouble,then poetic force just going off to quick from a wide draw certainly would back them again off current marks!!


Lingfield (AW) Result
30 Nov 2016
« 12:40 » 32RED.COM FILLIES' HANDICAP
(Class 3) (0-90, 3yo+) (7f1y) 7f Standard
£7,561.20, £2,263.20, £1,131.60, £566.40, £282.00
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

« 1 8 Bargain Buy 4/1J 3 9-4 William Haggas 82 * *
Pat Cosgrave


« 2 2 1¼ Shypen 6/1 3 9-1 Richard Fahey 79 * *
Jack Garritty


« 3 5 ¾ Summer Icon 20/1 3 9-9 Mick Channon 87 * *
George Baker


« 4 4 1 Lyfka 7/1 4 9-1 tp Paul Cole 78 * *
Luke Morris


« 5 1 nk Rebel Surge (IRE) 7/1 3 9-7 p Richard Spencer 85 * *
Tom Queally


« 6 7 hd Lady Lydia (IRE) 50/1 5 9-2 Gay Kelleway 82 * *
Noel Garbutt3


« 7 6 ¾ Encore Moi 4/1J 3 8-1over weight3 b Marco Botti 72 * *
Lulu Stanford7


« 8 11 1¼ Threebagsue (IRE) 25/1 3 8-12 b J S Moore 76 * *
Josephine Gordon


« 9 9 shd Russian Radiance 7/1 4 9-7 h Jonathan Portman 84 * *
Richard Kingscote


« 10 10 3¼ Enjoy Life (IRE) 6/1 3 8-13 p Kevin Ryan 77 * *
Kevin Stott


« 11 3 2½ Pretty Bubbles 25/1 7 9-5 v J R Jenkins 82 * *
Adam Kirby


11 ran TIME 1m 22.77s (slow by 0.57s)


Lyfka

A decent time for the grade and as I said last night missed the prices on lyfka she was unlucky not to get at least 2nd place finishing with loads in the tank,she ran exactly the same race she ran behind merhoob last sesson finishing fast and late.She's fairly exposed now done me a couple of favours when I first put her on to follows,think paul cole thought she mayu even better than she has shown,what she has shown now is in two runs that she likes this quick surface and a fast pace
she's only rated 78 has been rated 90.On this surface off this mark there looks like more wins in her,think it's also worth trying her now over a mile here as well as was the strongest finisher today,she looked an out and out 7f runner previously and now looks worth following when she runs here..
 
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4.10 Wolves

Air of york showe a bit more on the aw last time out running strangely over 5fs at wolves,giving the field 10ls start only to be nearest finish beaten 3 1/2ls winner has won again and cruistothelimit touched off on monday at newcastle.That run has enabled air of york to drop to a mark of 65 lowest since november 2015 when running in this grade hacked up off this same mark at 15/8 fav,he then progressed to run a decent second off 84 at swell in the december.Air iof yorm was a strangely progressive horse as first 30 runs never got higher than 61 then suddenly showing improvement has won from 5f to 7fs,last win was over tomorrows c/d off 77 hacking up although was a very weak race for grade.There's a potential huge gamble here from dave evans stable and could well go off a very short price and off current mark in this grade worth following for near future,the negative is the stable as backing them at early prices they may not run to their best so would look at this as one to follow for a few runs..


Air of York 8/1 365/betfred/totesport/betbright 9/1 sportsbook

7/2 now as expected,stable expectancy will be interesting tomorrow could easily keep crashing,any drift i'm sure will run accordingly.

Made a few quid on the race now whatever,as I said befiore the ones I put as gambles you can in 90% of cases keep going in again they only seem tio be coming up every few weeks and this was a standout,backed it down and took the 7/2,nice end to the week if it wuns will be jackpot..
 
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I knew there was a chance of it being non trier with nicky mackay on it,as every time he's rode it been unsighted to me looks in decent form was running on after switching wide mustve travelled 6ls further than those on the inside never ridden to be involved and stopped in run why you would run wide there with all the pace inside just tells the story especially as followed loyalty last time out in same race..Seems everything i'm backing is either getting an horrendous ride or non trier,never backed so many poor rides in a week..loads of notebook horses everywhere amongst the racing this last week too many to put on here..
 
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I thought Air of York got a poor ride.Terrible run of luck we are on but with selections like that Gigilo it's only a matter of time until we hit them hard. Keep up the good work.
Thank you


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Was always going to get heavily bet as I said in write up backed it all the way down to 7/2 to guarantee a small profit,was verty tempted to place lay it with free bet running on it was always going to either hack up or be a non trier I knew that before I even backed it,thats 3 non triers from last 4 picks a poor ride as well don;'t think I've ever in 20 years backed three in four bets.Usually hard to back one a month never mind three in a week,the prices were telling you although it was 5/2 if stable were trying I reckon it would've been 6/4.The only bonus is with the ones I know are going to be gambled at least you can get a free bet or make a bit trading as I suggested before..
 
12.20 Lingfield

A couple of token bets mossgo has a great record at lingfield won off 52 over c/d may 2015 then won three more times last win off tomorrow mark of 68,even after that ran well in nearly every run over this c/d record last season 1/1/1/1/2/3/6/2 probably would be worst ever run if not placing tomorrow could easily go off fav as contested better races than this and from respectable drawin 4.The other ios veteran diamond Charlie several times last seasobn caught the eye running on strongly in better races beat mossgo in one of those races and has massive pull in weights with stormflower from 25th of june,the negative os 120 day lay off and after seeing the blatent ride on dows horse forceful appeal at Chelmsford earlier in the week.Could only be a token bet but never run in this grade vefore off lowest ever mark of jkust 70,he's one tobe following in this grade in near future..

Mossgo 7/1 365/victor Diamond Charlie 10/1 365 9/1 betfred/totesport

ew yankees

1.55

Natural scenery and beardwood look the two obvious picks with alreadty decent times on the clock although over different distances,gawdalpin was 6ls behind natural scenery in the wolves run and although was only 2nd last time out sort of franked the form,as the race stands tomorrow a few of these they could well be priogressive but still a little to prove yet.
Beardwood travelled really well over c/d last time out time was decent although,the form beating ready off lifetime high looks a bit suspicious but as it hass the track form then worth adding in at prices even though hike in weights..

Natural scenery 2/1 376 Beardwood 6/1 365

12.50 Lingfield

Kiribatihad some good form early season the second to blue suede in a decent time at bath suggesting half decent and the second run to Dakota gold all the fild rated 70+ in behind,since then has run very poorly you could excuse the last run but the other two runs don't look anywhere near.Will take the risk as such a poor race,sure the betting will be informative,the obvious ew alternatives black bubba and street jazz more than capable of winning this if Kiribati bombs out again..

Kiribati 5/2 365

11.50

Struggling to make up ew Yankees this could be red hot maiden with gosden fav costing 450,000 nicky mackay rides and is fav and havlin rides the other,plus lots of others open to improvememt,will stick with the gosden horse with experience as has form over the distabnce which looks respectable but was at Chelmsford whioch is slightly off putting..Might try and find another race yet so just keeping to very small stakes lots of horses have been smashed in betting at the head of the markets in most races they should run well but might create some ew value later..


Peaceful passage 4/1 365 9/2 sportsbook
 
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