Daily picks.

Good luck with it Andy, shouldn't have been 33s, hope it goes well for you, skipping this race myself. Must say i like the mark that Georgebernardshaw has dropped to, only a year since just behind Jutland and Beachfire at Chester from 87, guesty has got it down nicely, no course form but good form on heavy earlier on, sthwll could suit it!
 
I was already out stew never had a penny running on it.
How do you remember the to follows list chef did you keep a copy,i tried to find it on here but couldn't remember as it wasn't the complete list.No i never backed it infact i put someone off it as i said the 6fs and jock wouldn't suit.:D.
 
gigilo said:
I was already out stew never had a penny running on it.
How do you remember the to follows list chef did you keep a copy,i tried to find it on here but couldn't remember as it wasn't the complete list.No i never backed it infact i put someone off it as i said the 6fs and jock wouldn't suit.:D.
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The name wrung a bell so I typed it into the search facility on here.
 
Was a lot slower than the win of mc connells on the same day would never back it at odds on,sometimes though horses catch the eye and i think this one of johnstons will be very good with more racing.I think its one to watch out for as the turf season goes on,come june i can see this in top cass handicaps i'm not going to take any notice of its swell form,just reminds me of other horses he's sent here that have been massive improvers.Would be better if it got beat really for future value.
 
Hathaway if producing some of its form this season would be fav to win this race but like most in the race has an inconsistent profile.A second to trip switch in december was a decent bit of form compared to tomorrows race and an even better run in january behind fire in babylon looks really good form in comparison.That run at kempton had warden bond 2 1/2ls behind in third,warden bond since a double scorer and a very good third to vanilla rum,the kempton race also had previous winner now another 3/4ls behind and also cantor another 2 3/4ls behind recent winner off 53.Lots of those kempton formlines fit in nicely with the horses at the head of the market and if she produces her best would have to be about.
The price totally underestmates her chance in the race as looking through the runners she will stay and that can't be said for all runners,rachael kneller rides and although not the best does ride a few winners with a handy 7 pound off.Shes had 32 rides for mark brisbourne and rode 5 winners and 6 places,a decent strike rate for a trainer who is currently in reasonable form.
There should be money for this i couldn't make a case for more than five runners on any of the form on offer so 14s is very big especially if she does produce anywhere near her form.Backed her to trade as looks one of very few options plus a small ew as well.
 
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I was looking at this one myself last night Andy, must have a very good chance on its best form, wouldn't worry about any drift!
 
The way things are going there's virtually only one or two proper bets a week at the moment compared to 5/6 years ago when i'd be betting in every race on the cards doing fcasts,tricasts the lot.It just seems the races are so uncompetitive or ridiculously bad you can't have a decent bet,same tomorrow at lingfield just can't see any value whatsoever.
 
gigilo said:
The way things are going there's virtually only one or two proper bets a week at the moment compared to 5/6 years ago when i'd be betting in every race on the cards doing fcasts,tricasts the lot.It just seems the races are so uncompetitive or ridiculously bad you can't have a decent bet,same tomorrow at lingfield just can't see any value whatsoever.
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Have you thought about having a look at Dundalk?
 
in the 3.55 i'm struggling to see why True To Form is as big..i've had a bit on at 18.0..must trade a lot less than this surely
was only 12/1 in a listed race last time and has been shortish in most recent runs..runs well at all aw courses and isn't badly handicapped in the context of this race
 
Good luck ec that race looks impossible to me.I was thinking of doing the meydan cards chef but i wouldn't know a high % of the horses running there.
Think next season i will have a look at dundalk,pretty close to the turf season now so will have to start putting some horses together for my to follows list.The aws been so poor this season, i usually have horses to carry over onto the turf,as it stands at the moment i havn't got anything that stands out which is very unusual so its going to be all from scratch.
 
gigilo said:
The way things are going there's virtually only one or two proper bets a week at the moment compared to 5/6 years ago
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When the facts change I change my mind, what do you do?

John Maynard Keynes



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The strange thing about the aw there have become less and less specialist aw horses every single season,as in running the exact same race week in week out.You look back at aw racing 15 years ago i could probably name 20/30 horses that ran consistently well week in week out for 5/6 seasons,this trend started to die out when i started betting full time.
There seemed to be a lot more opportunities to win big on fcasts,tricasts that you could do with confidence,perhaps the general standard of races has dropped.
 
Cheers reethard but flats only a few weeks away so going to start noting up for the following seson and try and get my to follows list started,thanks anyway.
I liked one tomorrow haamaat especially to trade as it looks an mid 80s horse to me but only 5/4 with books dropped in trip and 4 months off will wait to see if there's some bigger prices but i very much doubt it.:(
 
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