Daily picks.

painhouse said:
Didnt take you long to get back into the swing of things, diff class.
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Racings been rubbish on the aw this season,quietest season I've ever had although being constantly unwell havn't got much enthusiasm just trying to keep my mind occupied with doing something,until I know where I stand healthwise I won't be doing much will post occasionally but as cards are so poor as well not missing much could be a long haul ahead of me.
 
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gigilo said:
Lingfield (AW) Result
07 Jan 2017
« 12:40 » 32RED.COM MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES
(Class 6) (3yo) (1m1y) 1m Standard
£2,264.15, £673.75, £336.70, £168.35
RESULTRATE RACE
Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR

1 6 Indian Dandy (IRE) 7/1 3 9-5 Marco Botti — * *
Josephine Gordon


« 2 8 shd Pattie 4/1 3 9-0 Mick Channon 72 * *
Graham Lee


3 9 ¾ Arsenio Lupin 100/1 3 9-2 t1 Denis Quinn — * *
Tim Clark3


« 4 1 ¾ Salt Whistle Bay (IRE) 8/1 3 9-5 Rae Guest — * *
David Probert


« 5 3 nk Traveller (FR) 5/1 3 9-5 t Charles Hills — * *
Luke Morris


« 6 10 4½ Critical Thinking (IRE) 25/1 3 9-2 Julia Feilden — * *
Shelley Birkett3


7 2 shd Surfside 50/1 3 8-11 Mick Channon — * *
George Downing3


8 7 1¾ State Residence (IRE) 12/1 3 9-5 David Simcock — * *
Dougie Costello


« 9 4 shd Naupaka 6/1 3 9-0 Brian Ellison — * *
Tom Eaves


10 5 3¼ Palermo (IRE) 5/2F 3 9-5 Michael Wigham — * *
Adam Kirby


10 ran TIME 1m 37.63s (slow by 2.63s)

Arsenio lupin

Probably only an average maiden but winner and third making debuts,seconds rated 72 so maybe worth keeoing an eye on winner for future handicaps if given nothinh higher than 75 as time was nothing special but respectable for a horse off that mark that would go into handicaps.The third from less fashionable stable,not really that well known for flat runners and gave this field 6ls start running wide at the bend to be nearest finish,bit of an eyecatcher because of unfashionability of trainer may just get overpriced on next run and looks open to a bit of improvement so worth keeping for notebook..
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This is what happens when you're not well and being able to concentrate on stuff,only had 6 runs since and I had a niggling feeling I recogniozed it but never even looked at debut run...from its debut run..i even gave it its winning mark of 75 and tonight had 7 pound claimer on unreal..
 
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jumped off the page that name, money came for it as well, 16/1 into 8/1 10 mins before off time, apparently had a wind operation since last season. good win for carolinae,
that was struggling to play catch up against soul silver lto in a better race than todays race. goodluck with your health, nice profile pick on friday.
 
6.10 wolves cat royal 20/1 ppower


Couldn't be more than a speculative pick,been running poorly last few runs August and October time was running in better races than this two 0-65s when 3rd and 4th and in decent times off 64 and 65 the run behind tailors row was in a very fast time for grade.This is now lowest ever mark 60 same as last win,has never won over this CD so betting will be interesting,usually races with the pace.Trainers been in a bit of form and from this stable in such a poor race youd be expecting it to be heavily the backed if it was expected to come back to some sort of form,would've been 4-5/1 on early season form in this grade,has shown nothing recently so could only be speculative but a pretty poor race.Really if stable think its anywhere near best anything bigger than 6-7/1 in this class will probably tell you it won't be running well..could still be a decent trade anyway..Obvious runners favourite fantasea and sunshinendbubbles on recent form look the obvious two..

16/1 skybet 14/1 betfred/totespoprt

12/1 marathonbet/365/victor..
 
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gigilo said:
6.10 wolves cat royal 20/1 ppower


Couldn't be more than a speculative pick,been running poorly last few runs August and October time was running in better races than this two 0-65s when 3rd and 4th and in decent times off 64 and 65 the run behind tailors row was in a very fast time for grade.This is now lowest ever mark 60 same as last win,has never won over this CD so betting will be interesting,usually races with the pace.Trainers been in a bit of form and from this stable in such a poor race youd be expecting it to be heavily the backed if it was expected to come back to some sort of form,would've been 4-5/1 on early season form in this grade,has shown nothing recently so could only be speculative but a pretty poor race.Really if stable think its anywhere near best anything bigger than 6-7/1 in this class will probably tell you it won't be running well..could still be a decent trade anyway..Obvious runners favourite fantasea and sunshinendbubbles on recent form look the obvious two..

16/1 skybet 14/1 betfred/totespoprt

12/1 marathonbet/365/victor..
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Worked out perfect got the forecast and cat royal got 4th spot for the ew ppower.skybet totesport,befred and totesport all paying 4th place.cracking race to bet in..:ninja: Exacta 9 csf £6.46 nothing in the race..Almost forgot made a nice chunk trading as well as backed it all the way down to 10s as well!
 
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Colin Phillips said:
Well done, gigolo.
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Thanks great race to bet in,think I covered the race exactly as result..still looked good for the place cat royal even though its probably run one of its worst ever races..even went 3.15 in running must've been at least half a dozen ways of winning on the race..Think this aw season is more of scraping profits than big wins,so many overbet favs winning,uncompetitve cards never seen a season like it,the trend hasn't looked like changing either they should've put the aw track at catterick instead of Newcastle.Think its ruined the aw cards because they are getting a lot of runners ruining other cards and they go no pace and just makes it a guessing game,then you're left with depleted uncompetitve cards at the other meetings,needs blowing up.
 
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Some small interests tomorrow on desperate cards again..

Lingfield

2.45

Wild flower 25/1 365/betway..33/1 sportsbook/ppower 25/1 skybet/betfred/toytesport

Wild flowers not very good but been running well this season since October 3/1/4/4/5 and winning off 56 over c/d,4ths in 0-65s to indiasn affair winner again since and gold club going off 3/1f and 5/1 has already finished infront of noble deed,mercers and porto ferrp this season at the track.
Thore Henson rides apprentice from Germany hasn't rode a winner here yet,but 8 winners in Germany,i think this race will probably be a negative for wild flower with monarch maid being in the race as they both front run and in this very competitive fioeld looks like being set up for finishers but should really only be around the 10/1 m-12/1 mark tops so should be decent trade and if monarch maid doesn't hinder it too much should trade ok in running.Your pal tal, coming over from ireland hasn't wion since 2016 but has been running in better races than this only went off 6/1 in a 45-70 last time out at Dundalk and runs off 5 pound lower mark with claim,noble deed hasn't won for years but should've beaten wild flower a few races back but drawn wide.Even monarch maide could run well even though her and wildflower look like they are the psce angles thatmay ruin theoir chances..

Worked out perfect pre race,lovely trade kept backing it all the way into 14/1 and laid off 12.0 exactly as write up predictions for nice profit plus the bets on bigger prices still running on..still think finishers will win race..Little saver on yourt pal tal with the drift to 7/1 as well 4/1 last night even went 8.8 on betfair crazy prices,exactly as I thought set up for finisher write up bang on again..

Wolves

5.45

Magicinthemaking 20/1 365 18/1 corals/victor/betstars/ppower/sportsbook/188sport/boyles/sjames

A terrible race tomorrow at wolves and this runners only had four lifetimje runs hadn't run since june thyen ran over 6fs at Chelmsford ion a 0-60 got hampered at start of race then ran wide under a considerate ride from Kelly,was never going to win or be placed but looked a promising run off just 54.Has been dropped to 50 in such a poor race maybe worth a small bet down onto a 0-50 was beaten a fair way 5 3/4ls in that 0-60 but wouldn't have to improve much to figure in this race if anything,just need to build on last run probably one for notebook as not drawn great in 8,so maybe worth following for awhile.The more i look at the horse the more I think Chelmsford will suit,looks out and out galloppper sp from that 8 draw on tight track on wolves the betting will be interesying,will be noted for Chelmsford regardless.
Clergyman is on massive downgrade hasn't seen much racing lately some mediocre runs at swell,but first time on this grade ran well at catterick in a 0-65 in april and only ever win came over this c/d drawn 4 could easily hit the frame at around 12/1..gary mahon is a jock I highlighted a couple of seasons back I think he's underated.Think he's a jock that goes under radar and also worth following..

3.20

Rock on baileys is improving has won very poor races won by 5ls at wolves on Monday,tomorrow drawn poorly in 7 and has only won on tapeta even if it were to get beat tomorrow may still be worth betting again as runs on polytrack tomorrow..On Monday the time it ran appeared to be very good,was quicker than the older horse handicap won by liquid that was a 0-75 and liquid hacked up off 74,rock on baileys takes on own age group off just 64 with claim.Couldv well go off nearer 3s on just based on that run from wolves even though poor draw,so looks great for trading at the very worst..

Rock on baileys been a big drifter overnight prices are 5/6 corals/blacktype/victor/skybet 4/5 sportsbook/ppower/sjames

hopefully will get backed although 3s on looking very optimistic now.generally 5/6-10/11 now every book...
 
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gigilo said:
Some small interests tomorrow on desperate cards again..

Lingfield

2.45

Wild flower 25/1 365/betway..33/1 sportsbook/ppower 25/1 skybet/betfred/toytesport

Wild flowers not very good but been running well this season since October 3/1/4/4/5 and winning off 56 over c/d,4ths in 0-65s to indiasn affair winner again since and gold club going off 3/1f and 5/1 has already finished infront of noble deed,mercers and porto ferrp this season at the track.
Thore Henson rides apprentice from Germany hasn't rode a winner here yet,but 8 winners in Germany,i think this race will probably be a negative for wild flower with monarch maid being in the race as they both front run and in this very competitive fioeld looks like being set up for finishers but should really only be around the 10/1 m-12/1 mark tops so should be decent trade and if monarch maid doesn't hinder it too much should trade ok in running.Your pal tal, coming over from ireland hasn't wion since 2016 but has been running in better races than this only went off 6/1 in a 45-70 last time out at Dundalk and runs off 5 pound lower mark with claim,noble deed hasn't won for years but should've beaten wild flower a few races back but drawn wide.Even monarch maide could run well even though her and wildflower look like they are the psce angles thatmay ruin theoir chances..

Worked out perfect pre race,lovely trade kept backing it all the way into 14/1 and laid off 12.0 exactly as write up predictions for nice profit plus the bets on bigger prices still running on..still think finishers will win race..Little saver on yourt pal tal with the drift to 7/1 as well 4/1 last night even went 8.8 on betfair crazy prices,exactly as I thought set up for finisher write up bang on again..

Wolves

5.45

Magicinthemaking 20/1 365 18/1 corals/victor/betstars/ppower/sportsbook/188sport/boyles/sjames

A terrible race tomorrow at wolves and this runners only had four lifetimje runs hadn't run since june thyen ran over 6fs at Chelmsford ion a 0-60 got hampered at start of race then ran wide under a considerate ride from Kelly,was never going to win or be placed but looked a promising run off just 54.Has been dropped to 50 in such a poor race maybe worth a small bet down onto a 0-50 was beaten a fair way 5 3/4ls in that 0-60 but wouldn't have to improve much to figure in this race if anything,just need to build on last run probably one for notebook as not drawn great in 8,so maybe worth following for awhile.The more i look at the horse the more I think Chelmsford will suit,looks out and out galloppper sp from that 8 draw on tight track on wolves the betting will be interesying,will be noted for Chelmsford regardless.
Clergyman is on massive downgrade hasn't seen much racing lately some mediocre runs at swell,but first time on this grade ran well at catterick in a 0-65 in april and only ever win came over this c/d drawn 4 could easily hit the frame at around 12/1..gary mahon is a jock I highlighted a couple of seasons back I think he's underated.Think he's a jock that goes under radar and also worth following..

3.20

Rock on baileys is improving has won very poor races won by 5ls at wolves on Monday,tomorrow drawn poorly in 7 and has only won on tapeta even if it were to get beat tomorrow may still be worth betting again as runs on polytrack tomorrow..On Monday the time it ran appeared to be very good,was quicker than the older horse handicap won by liquid that was a 0-75 and liquid hacked up off 74,rock on baileys takes on own age group off just 64 with claim.Couldv well go off nearer 3s on just based on that run from wolves even though poor draw,so looks great for trading at the very worst..

Rock on baileys been a big drifter overnight prices are 5/6 corals/blacktype/victor/skybet 4/5 sportsbook/ppower/sjames

hopefully will get backed although 3s on looking very optimistic now.generally 5/6-10/11 now every book...
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Won as a 4sw on shot should've crazy prices!!Bet of month.:ninja:
 
gigilo said:
Some small interests tomorrow on desperate cards again..

Lingfield

2.45

Wild flower 25/1 365/betway..33/1 sportsbook/ppower 25/1 skybet/betfred/toytesport

Wild flowers not very good but been running well this season since October 3/1/4/4/5 and winning off 56 over c/d,4ths in 0-65s to indiasn affair winner again since and gold club going off 3/1f and 5/1 has already finished infront of noble deed,mercers and porto ferrp this season at the track.
Thore Henson rides apprentice from Germany hasn't rode a winner here yet,but 8 winners in Germany,i think this race will probably be a negative for wild flower with monarch maid being in the race as they both front run and in this very competitive fioeld looks like being set up for finishers but should really only be around the 10/1 m-12/1 mark tops so should be decent trade and if monarch maid doesn't hinder it too much should trade ok in running.Your pal tal, coming over from ireland hasn't wion since 2016 but has been running in better races than this only went off 6/1 in a 45-70 last time out at Dundalk and runs off 5 pound lower mark with claim,noble deed hasn't won for years but should've beaten wild flower a few races back but drawn wide.Even monarch maide could run well even though her and wildflower look like they are the psce angles thatmay ruin theoir chances..

Worked out perfect pre race,lovely trade kept backing it all the way into 14/1 and laid off 12.0 exactly as write up predictions for nice profit plus the bets on bigger prices still running on..still think finishers will win race..Little saver on yourt pal tal with the drift to 7/1 as well 4/1 last night even went 8.8 on betfair crazy prices,exactly as I thought set up for finisher write up bang on again..

Wolves

5.45

Magicinthemaking 20/1 365 18/1 corals/victor/betstars/ppower/sportsbook/188sport/boyles/sjames

A terrible race tomorrow at wolves and this runners only had four lifetimje runs hadn't run since june thyen ran over 6fs at Chelmsford ion a 0-60 got hampered at start of race then ran wide under a considerate ride from Kelly,was never going to win or be placed but looked a promising run off just 54.Has been dropped to 50 in such a poor race maybe worth a small bet down onto a 0-50 was beaten a fair way 5 3/4ls in that 0-60 but wouldn't have to improve much to figure in this race if anything,just need to build on last run probably one for notebook as not drawn great in 8,so maybe worth following for awhile.The more i look at the horse the more I think Chelmsford will suit,looks out and out galloppper sp from that 8 draw on tight track on wolves the betting will be interesying,will be noted for Chelmsford regardless.
Clergyman is on massive downgrade hasn't seen much racing lately some mediocre runs at swell,but first time on this grade ran well at catterick in a 0-65 in april and only ever win came over this c/d drawn 4 could easily hit the frame at around 12/1..gary mahon is a jock I highlighted a couple of seasons back I think he's underated.Think he's a jock that goes under radar and also worth following..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Unlucky hugh got the 12/1,told you gary mahons different gravy great ride wasn't it!!!!:lol::ninja::whistle: Lets get back to normality!!!

3.20

Rock on baileys is improving has won very poor races won by 5ls at wolves on Monday,tomorrow drawn poorly in 7 and has only won on tapeta even if it were to get beat tomorrow may still be worth betting again as runs on polytrack tomorrow..On Monday the time it ran appeared to be very good,was quicker than the older horse handicap won by liquid that was a 0-75 and liquid hacked up off 74,rock on baileys takes on own age group off just 64 with claim.Couldv well go off nearer 3s on just based on that run from wolves even though poor draw,so looks great for trading at the very worst..

Rock on baileys been a big drifter overnight prices are 5/6 corals/blacktype/victor/skybet 4/5 sportsbook/ppower/sjames

hopefully will get backed although 3s on looking very optimistic now.generally 5/6-10/11 now every book...
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Lingfield

3.30

Clement 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 sunbets/byles/betfred/totesport..7/1 365

Just a small bet against the front two in the market,sayesse seems to be running to a different level last two races finished infront of clement behind spare parts and a strict line through murdonova also has a bit in hand as well also the 3rd on Saturday was a different class race to this a 0-85 was rated 84 at one time and now with claim just running off 67.Also Mansfield its best run was when running here in a decent time,motoring at finish and not quite getting up first run back here may reproduce that form the two favs look the obvious picks..
Clement was an improving horse for john o'shea rated 84 in march 2016 has regressed after what was a long run of very consistent form,now just rated 65 as said behid sayesse at wolves,although was given a poor ride leading when is a hold up horse,previous to that had been 4th to murdonova running on after being out the back at wolves had daring guest behind that's 6/1 tomorrow,then a better run when only 4th of 6 over tomorrows c/d in claimer but decent claimer first three rated 85,72 and 75 was badly in at the weights with all of them and the time was decent 1m23.19 tomorrow carrys 10 pound less so would have a chance if gets a decent pace to chase.It's c/d form at the track is 2/1/1/3/6/1/4/1/7/3/.Can't really see where the pace is going to come from to suit hopefully bernies boy and chetan will go on,probably not right race but worth a small bet to find out,will almost certainly be nearer last than first if they dawdle..could turn into a nice little trade anyway stables inform and could well go off nearer 9/2-5/1.

7/1 marathinbet/betway/victor/hills/skybet/blacktype/10bet/sportspress

As write up spot on again the 1,2 just no pace on again crawled round massive drifter as well,only got near at finish gone a decent pace would've
probably gone close,seem to be putting up every single winner in write ups and forecasts trying to find some value in these small fioelds withy no pace at lingfioeld they just never race there anymore every race run at same pace..Was going to do the forecast as only one result if no pace on,but prices were smashed so left it..
Winning time 1m25.07 almost 10ls slower than the race clement was 3rd in two races ago over c/d,complete farce of a race..slower than the class 7 on the card..
 
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Some utter garbage again tomorrow,aw cards are getting worse only 3 weeks till turf again!!

Lingfield
Walk in the sun 1/3 365 3/10 sunbets
2.0

Nothing worth doing really the only thing I can see is this walk in the sun,is very short but looked one of the best horses seen on debut run on the aw a winning time of 1m23.85 at Kempton is faster tham most of the older handicaps that have been run there plus all the improvement to come on top.This could go off any price 1/5-1/8 so maybe decent for trading on betfair,certainly more opportunity to win something trading on there may even go off shorter horse could be anything entered in irish 2000 guineas,i would estimate its probably run to near 90 on debut..The Osborne horse cost 100,000 so that could well be decent but will probably have to run to 95 on debut at least..predicted sp 0f 1/7..don't be surprised if it goes nearer 10s on..!!

1/6 best price now!!
 
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gigilo said:
Some utter garbage again tomorrow,aw cards are getting worse only 3 weeks till turf again!!

Lingfield
Walk in the sun 1/3 365 3/10 sunbets
2.0

Nothing worth doing really the only thing I can see is this walk in the sun,is very short but looked one of the best horses seen on debut run on the aw a winning time of 1m23.85 at Kempton is faster tham most of the older handicaps that have been run there plus all the improvement to come on top.This could go off any price 1/5-1/8 so maybe decent for trading on betfair,certainly more opportunity to win something trading on there may even go off shorter horse could be anything entered in irish 2000 guineas,i would estimate its probably run to near 90 on debut..The Osborne horse cost 100,000 so that could well be decent but will probably have to run to 95 on debut at least..predicted sp 0f 1/7..don't be surprised if it goes nearer 10s on..!!

1/6 best price now!!

Did it win? :lol::lol: A trading dream as I said 1-12 from 1/3 1.08!!:ninja:
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Havn't been to well again hospital appointments colin but the cards have been poor anyway and aren't getting any better,tomorrows no better but had some small interests ew multiples again very little in prices for some reason the going at swell has been extremely slow so wouldn't be overly confident lots of horses with track form been running poorly when its been that deep like Tuesday.Also quite a few of tomorrows runners ran yesterday so even place sode of bets might not be anygodd if non runners..
February ended with another month of over 100% ROI,terrible racing and cards so hopefully will continue but with cards like tomorrows and trying to find any real value on the aw virtually impossible to keep those figures,be glad when the turf season starts at least for the first couple of months.

Southwell

2.0

Cherubic 5/2 365/ppower/sportsbook looks short expecting drift 4/1 sportingbet/totesport/betfred/corals/betway/betfred/victor drifted as expected. / Alifax 7/1 365

Cherubic won by 7ls after long break for dave evans bumped up 12 pound,the race was very poor but won quite easily time wasn't anything special but for eae of win was probably as good as most of the form shown over c.d by other runners in race tomorrow.Gabriele malune takes off 5 so still only off 58,there look to be more races to win off this mark but this is a 0-75,so will have to improve,having gone through recent casrds the 1 draw has only been placed in last 12 handicaps over 6fs -a mile once so the stats look completely against it ..The price is short think it will drift on those stats will need to get out infront and away from rail,so wouldn't be overly confident but will be one to follow here off these sort of marks will be interesting from the 1 draw though just to see how much of a negative it is tomorrow.
Alifax is out of mayson good sire on this surface running at 31%,ran decent 3rd at Kempton in just a 0-70 think that was a good race for grade good time,although there will be a ? over trip and the jockey claiming 7 pound hasn't had a winner for 3 years although only 12 riodes won one,he seems ok looking at replays.

Huge drift now 5/1 betfred/totesport/betway/betbright,could be that 1 draw or daves got the laying barrow out 6/1 betfair.


2.30

Alpha tauri 5/1 365 / Bold spirit 6/1 365/lads

Essential and chaucers tale could well be the best horses in the race,both lightly raced and probably at least one of them will turn out better than current marks,chaucer's tale ran in a better race yesterday but out the back Harrison shaws back on decent draw and races prominent plus decent time behind shearian,similarly essential won a poor race but won quite easily and only 4 pound higher.
It looks a four horse race nothing between them if chaucers tale hadn't run yesterday the 8/1 would've looked massive and essentials 11/4 fav,there's very little value in the race although there does look like loads of pace involving these runners,think alpha tauri really needs a ile but maybe this race will be run to suit if they do all take each other on.Think there's definitely a race for him befiore the season ends won by 10ls off 65 last season but that was over the mile so this is lowest mark since that win,not far behind alpha tauri last time out was bold spirit maybe if ridden with a little more restraint will suit as travels well and only off 62 with the 7 pound claim..

3.35

Arzaak 5/1 365 / Brother tiger 7/1 365

Similar to race above there's very little between the runners very closely matched on recent form against each other,arzaak a 2nd to midnight Malibu in November off 3 pound lower with claim obvious place chance at least as winners gone in again and that race was run in a fast time over this c/d.Same with brother tiger veteran now at 9 two 2nds over c/d this season looks a little high in weights but rarely runs badly over the c/d,probably unlikely winner with improvers but place chance.

4.05

High anxiety 5/1 365 6/1 sportingbet/betfair..

A really tight low grade 6f race,trainer john weymes has Deben winner yesterday entered and favourite and high anxiety with jimmy quiinn running,high anxiety was second on third ever run after wind op and that was over c/d showed loads of pace and looked open to some improvement after 4 month break.That was the second div of a 0-55 that day and was quicker than the first won by coiste bodhar so any improvement at all after five runs would see it go well in this 0-50..presuming with Mr Quinn on is trying..Ed Greatrex rides Deben..

Watch the betting on this one as Quinn riding and hasn't rode a winner in months,betting will tell the story and no doubt the break..

Cards been ruined as I thought might happen non runners,etc
 
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gigilo said:
Havn't been to well again hospital appointments colin but the cards have been poor anyway and aren't getting any better,tomorrows no better but had some small interests ew multiples again very little in prices for some reason the going at swell has been extremely slow so wouldn't be overly confident lots of horses with track form been running poorly when its been that deep like Tuesday.Also quite a few of tomorrows runners ran yesterday so even place sode of bets might not be anygodd if non runners..
February ended with another month of over 100% ROI,terrible racing and cards so hopefully will continue but with cards like tomorrows and trying to find any real value on the aw virtually impossible to keep those figures,be glad when the turf season starts at least for the first couple of months.

Southwell

2.0

Cherubic 5/2 365/ppower/sportsbook looks short expecting drift 4/1 sportingbet/totesport/betfred/corals/betway/betfred/victor drifted as expected. / Alifax 7/1 365

Cherubic won by 7ls after long break for dave evans bumped up 12 pound,the race was very poor but won quite easily time wasn't anything special but for eae of win was probably as good as most of the form shown over c.d by other runners in race tomorrow.Gabriele malune takes off 5 so still only off 58,there look to be more races to win off this mark but this is a 0-75,so will have to improve,having gone through recent casrds the 1 draw has only been placed in last 12 handicaps over 6fs -a mile once so the stats look completely against it ..The price is short think it will drift on those stats will need to get out infront and away from rail,so wouldn't be overly confident but will be one to follow here off these sort of marks will be interesting from the 1 draw though just to see how much of a negative it is tomorrow.
Alifax is out of mayson good sire on this surface running at 31%,ran decent 3rd at Kempton in just a 0-70 think that was a good race for grade good time,although there will be a ? over trip and the jockey claiming 7 pound hasn't had a winner for 3 years although only 12 riodes won one,he seems ok looking at replays.

Huge drift now 5/1 betfred/totesport/betway/betbright,could be that 1 draw or daves got the laying barrow out 6/1 betfair.


2.30

Alpha tauri 5/1 365 / Bold spirit 6/1 365/lads

Essential and chaucers tale could well be the best horses in the race,both lightly raced and probably at least one of them will turn out better than current marks,chaucer's tale ran in a better race yesterday but out the back Harrison shaws back on decent draw and races prominent plus decent time behind shearian,similarly essential won a poor race but won quite easily and only 4 pound higher.
It looks a four horse race nothing between them if chaucers tale hadn't run yesterday the 8/1 would've looked massive and essentials 11/4 fav,there's very little value in the race although there does look like loads of pace involving these runners,think alpha tauri really needs a ile but maybe this race will be run to suit if they do all take each other on.Think there's definitely a race for him befiore the season ends won by 10ls off 65 last season but that was over the mile so this is lowest mark since that win,not far behind alpha tauri last time out was bold spirit maybe if ridden with a little more restraint will suit as travels well and only off 62 with the 7 pound claim..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Gave it an easy lead bit surprised by that,thought it was going to be one of those days after the first the evans horse drifted to 10.5 and from that 1 draw missed the break,very strange as motoring at finish looked best horse in race only beaten 2 3/4ls after giving 10 away..

3.35

Arzaak 5/1 365 / Brother tiger 7/1 365

Similar to race above there's very little between the runners very closely matched on recent form against each other,arzaak a 2nd to midnight Malibu in November off 3 pound lower with claim obvious place chance at least as winners gone in again and that race was run in a fast time over this c/d.Same with brother tiger veteran now at 9 two 2nds over c/d this season looks a little high in weights but rarely runs badly over the c/d,probably unlikely winner with improvers but place chance.

4.05

High anxiety 5/1 365 6/1 sportingbet/betfair..

A really tight low grade 6f race,trainer john weymes has Deben winner yesterday entered and favourite and high anxiety with jimmy quiinn running,high anxiety was second on third ever run after wind op and that was over c/d showed loads of pace and looked open to some improvement after 4 month break.That was the second div of a 0-55 that day and was quicker than the first won by coiste bodhar so any improvement at all after five runs would see it go well in this 0-50..presuming with Mr Quinn on is trying..Ed Greatrex rides Deben..

Watch the betting on this one as Quinn riding and hasn't rode a winner in months,betting will tell the story and no doubt the break..

Cards been ruined as I thought might happen non runners,etc
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Drifts like a barge to 8.8 couldn't possibly be bigger than 4/1 in that race,misses break Quinn riding it so blatent...as said in write up health warning with jimmy Quinn riding that's two today with the evans horse..both drifted like barges both led last time they ran here and both ended up at the back after the break..notebook horses.
 
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Colin Phillips said:
Hospital appointments themselves can be exhausting, gigilo, you have my sympathy.
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Constant thing,gets very depressing can spend half a day there waiting around,then the indignity of having every orifice explored the way its going i'm going to end up like Stephen hawking..
 
Nothing special for me for me at prices stands out made up some ew multiples,although I do think some of the shorter ones will get well bet so some decent trades in there especially being a Saturday afternoon..

Wolves 2.40

Intern 4/11 sportsbook/ppower/tptespoty/skybet/betfred/victir/888sport/marathonbet

Interns rated 102 not a horse I would back off that mark in anything but in this maiden after being 5th in winter derby trial hard to oppose,was looking for an ew bet in the race but those that have run look poor,although it wouldn't surprise me if some that hadn't run ran into places.Still looks likely to me to be going off 1/5 maybe a lot shorter with moore riding,especially if all stables are running horses with nothing expected to run well could be decent trade on Saturday afternoon.

Don't normally bet long odds on but this was ridiculous got 1.37-1.39 on betfair wins like a 20s on shot shoul;d incredible value...

Wolves 3.15

Second thoughts 11/10 sportsbook/ppower evens 365/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport Salateen 13/2 hills/365 10.5 betfair may trade ok in running.

Salateen won his race last season,maybe have been a bit lucky to get uncontested lead but this race looks no stronger,the big ? is O'Meara stable 0/71 runners unbelievable run the stable are on be interesting to see if it can just get somewhere near last seasons form..Second thought may yet still be open to improvement was 2nd to harrys angel at haydock in the very fast time track record the winner clocked staying on in 2nd,has won 5/5 on the aw and clocked a decent time at lingfield over 7fs last season.Surprised hasn't run since November fitness looks the likeliest thing to beat it,another that could well go off odds on and another potential decent trade on Saturday afternoon.Infact if it doesn't go off nearer at least8/11-4/6 that would indicate to me it maynot be fit..

Wolves 4.25

Lancelot du lac 9/2 365/skybet

Veteran now lancelot du lac now at 8 backed it for the aw finals last season when 4th to kimberella thought maybe on downgrade but won the stewards at goodwood off 104 has been stuck on these marks for 4 seasons so never going to be easy to win a handicap like this on the aw.Came back after 5 month break to run a staying on 6th beaten 1 1/4ls behind kachy,think if this had been lingfield was almost guaranteed to run well but different surface tomorrow and giving lumps of weight away,probably asking a lot to win off 107 but if goes on surface then obvious place chance.Mickey ran in the fastest 7f race run at the track this season when running 4th,that was in first time pieces and tomorrow they go on again with just 10 lifetime runs interesting on drop back to 6fs.



Chelmsford 6.45

Glory of paris 6/1 365/sunbets 5/1 skybet/betway/ppower/corals Lujano 8/1 365/skybet/betfred/totesport/betway

Glory of paris looked likely to be a big improver last season winning a 7f race at Kempton in a quick time,has a bit to prove sprinting although after 5 month break running on well to be 3rd in similar race over 6fs at Kempton,there's a ? over this trip and track as had looked a Kempton specialist but possibly this race a little easier than some of its form.Lujano is 7 pound better off wioth desert fox for 2ls on c/d run has ben rated 79 now off just 66 had first time pieces on after a break of 4 months in that race, so no reason couldn't run well if coming on for run again,although the fav did win well and maty well win again they could be fighting out places at least..


Chelmsford 7.15

Jazirat 7/4 sportsbook/ppower 13/8 365/totesport/betfred 15/8 skybet

Jazirat has the best known form not an exacting standard just respectable,something like lilbourne star could be the improver and the one that might improve past it,but on whats been seen so far then jazirat should be fav a possibility of going off nearer evens or slight odds on if nothing is expected to show improvement.. so maybe another decent trade.

Chelmsford 8.15

Broderie 6/4 365 7/5 betfair/marathonbet 11/8 skybet/lads/ppower/betsatrs/betbright/ 7/5 betfair

This is another that could potentially go off odds on and get heavily backed,although a bit more guessing as regards other runners as they are lightly raced broderie beat craving on debut not brilliant form but decent for a debut run at lingfield clocking 2m4.35 that's a very respectable time for first ever run that was over tomorrows trip pf 1m2fs.As with all these different times it maybe a case of wehther Chelmsford suits as well as lingfied two totally different tracks..
 
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I haven't checked in on the thread for a while Gigs been submersed in the shenanigans of the Festival. Sorry to hear your still suffering with your health mate. I hope somehow things pick up for you.

All the best.
 
Danny said:
I haven't checked in on the thread for a while Gigs been submersed in the shenanigans of the Festival. Sorry to hear your still suffering with your health mate. I hope somehow things pick up for you.

All the best.
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It's a gradual decline danny unfortunately,although seem to be having lots of other things going on so that shouldn't be i'm hoping these other things don't turn out to be as serious as they could be as havn't been on holiday for 6 years with the kids and promised them I would go this year,typically been the illest I've been,things aren't going to get much better but would be good to get away even if just for a week.Thanks for reply danny,all the best with those Cheltenham bets.
Have given up on the aw racing for the season,the meetings have just been a joke should be betting double figured prices everyday of the aw season yet can barely find a bet above 5-6/1 that's very little value,never known a season like it in 25 years,all I can think uisd the Newcastle meetings have ruined the other cards and its just pointless betting there,producing small fields and unconpwtitve racing bar Newcastle where you can't bet.Worst decision ever to put that aw track there,shouldv'e been catterick and left it as turf and now they're talking of getting rid of the fibresand at swell,the day that happens I will just leave the aw alone completely I want an extra fibresand track not non at all..
 
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gigilo said:
Nothing special for me for me at prices stands out made up some ew multiples,although I do think some of the shorter ones will get well bet so some decent trades in there especially being a Saturday afternoon..

Wolves 2.40

Intern 4/11 sportsbook/ppower/tptespoty/skybet/betfred/victir/888sport/marathonbet

Interns rated 102 not a horse I would back off that mark in anything but in this maiden after being 5th in winter derby trial hard to oppose,was looking for an ew bet in the race but those that have run look poor,although it wouldn't surprise me if some that hadn't run ran into places.Still looks likely to me to be going off 1/5 maybe a lot shorter with moore riding,especially if all stables are running horses with nothing expected to run well could be decent trade on Saturday afternoon.

Don't normally bet long odds on but this was ridiculous got 1.37-1.39 on betfair wins like a 20s on shot shoul;d incredible value...

Wolves 3.15

Second thoughts 11/10 sportsbook/ppower evens 365/sunbets/corals/betfred/totesport Salateen 13/2 hills/365 10.5 betfair may trade ok in running.

Salateen won his race last season,maybe have been a bit lucky to get uncontested lead but this race looks no stronger,the big ? is O'Meara stable 0/71 runners unbelievable run the stable are on be interesting to see if it can just get somewhere near last seasons form..Second thought may yet still be open to improvement was 2nd to harrys angel at haydock in the very fast time track record the winner clocked staying on in 2nd,has won 5/5 on the aw and clocked a decent time at lingfield over 7fs last season.Surprised hasn't run since November fitness looks the likeliest thing to beat it,another that could well go off odds on and another potential decent trade on Saturday afternoon.Infact if it doesn't go off nearer at least8/11-4/6 that would indicate to me it maynot be fit..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Don't normally bet these shorties,but last season I put him up for the 3yr old finals got a nice chunk in running as well at massive prices,last seasion ran the quickest 3yr old time ever run at lingfiekd ,this was a very poor field doubled up with first as well will do me today!!;):ninja:

Wolves 4.25

Lancelot du lac 9/2 365/skybet

Veteran now lancelot du lac now at 8 backed it for the aw finals last season when 4th to kimberella thought maybe on downgrade but won the stewards at goodwood off 104 has been stuck on these marks for 4 seasons so never going to be easy to win a handicap like this on the aw.Came back after 5 month break to run a staying on 6th beaten 1 1/4ls behind kachy,think if this had been lingfield was almost guaranteed to run well but different surface tomorrow and giving lumps of weight away,probably asking a lot to win off 107 but if goes on surface then obvious place chance.Mickey ran in the fastest 7f race run at the track this season when running 4th,that was in first time pieces and tomorrow they go on again with just 10 lifetime runs interesting on drop back to 6fs.



Chelmsford 6.45

Glory of paris 6/1 365/sunbets 5/1 skybet/betway/ppower/corals Lujano 8/1 365/skybet/betfred/totesport/betway

Glory of paris looked likely to be a big improver last season winning a 7f race at Kempton in a quick time,has a bit to prove sprinting although after 5 month break running on well to be 3rd in similar race over 6fs at Kempton,there's a ? over this trip and track as had looked a Kempton specialist but possibly this race a little easier than some of its form.Lujano is 7 pound better off wioth desert fox for 2ls on c/d run has ben rated 79 now off just 66 had first time pieces on after a break of 4 months in that race, so no reason couldn't run well if coming on for run again,although the fav did win well and maty well win again they could be fighting out places at least..


Chelmsford 7.15

Jazirat 7/4 sportsbook/ppower 13/8 365/totesport/betfred 15/8 skybet

Jazirat has the best known form not an exacting standard just respectable,something like lilbourne star could be the improver and the one that might improve past it,but on whats been seen so far then jazirat should be fav a possibility of going off nearer evens or slight odds on if nothing is expected to show improvement.. so maybe another decent trade.

Chelmsford 8.15

Broderie 6/4 365 7/5 betfair/marathonbet 11/8 skybet/lads/ppower/betsatrs/betbright/ 7/5 betfair

This is another that could potentially go off odds on and get heavily backed,although a bit more guessing as regards other runners as they are lightly raced broderie beat craving on debut not brilliant form but decent for a debut run at lingfield clocking 2m4.35 that's a very respectable time for first ever run that was over tomorrows trip pf 1m2fs.As with all these different times it maybe a case of wehther Chelmsford suits as well as lingfied two totally different tracks..
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