Daily picks.

Decent single on wellies and the last one really liked them,wellies looked huge on its previous run i put it on here and the last one ground probably too quick and probably not far enough glad he kept riding as has landed me a nice touch did a couple of ew trixies once the first one got beat,so with all placing makes real good bets.The luckys returns are massive for $30 returns were $161 and 187 did them to tenners to decent day almost 6 times the stakes been a very good week 5 winners on monday as well p0lus 10/1 single ended the month a bit of a winning run..

Was looking like a very poor month,but this week turned it around amazing had 5 winners monday and multiples then again another tiuch today..
There were 32 actual singles only 6 winners but still turned that into a 50% ROI so can't complain winners of 10/1,8/1 and 12/1 biggest ones will probably be another month worse than this before the end of the year..Still write ups have thriwn up a few nice savers forecasts and the multiples are winning fortunes,just too much workload for me,might be having a break especially with these tracks overwatering would be better if they were just soft ground..
 
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ulleyseys46 said:
the 8.00 donny the trifecta paid 134.40 and the tricast paid 219.88, does that mean the trifecta was very popular and thats why the
payout was poor compared to the tricast?
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Yep although not total syurprise really as horses with names like king robert and related always runs there,purely put in combbinations because of names can be very annoying if you've got them..
 
Markssetgo said:
Any for tomorrow Sunday is the lucky day. If your looking let us all know.
Thanks
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Not touching windsor they are overwatering the track every songle meeting now,no gd/fm ground at all and they are waterubg again tonight be nearer gd/sft tomorrow all depending what they put on..
 
gigilo said:
Decent single on wellies and the last one really liked them,wellies looked huge on its previous run i put it on here and the last one ground probably too quick and probably not far enough glad he kept riding as has landed me a nice touch did a couple of ew trixies once the first one got beat,so with all placing makes real good bets.The luckys returns are massive for $30 returns were $161 and 187 did them to tenners to decent day almost 6 times the stakes been a very good week 5 winners on monday as well p0lus 10/1 single ended the month a bit of a winning run..

Was looking like a very poor month,but this week turned it around amazing had 5 winners monday and multiples then again another tiuch today..
There were 32 actual singles only 6 winners but still turned that into a 50% ROI so can't complain winners of 10/1,8/1 and 12/1 biggest ones will probably be another month worse than this before the end of the year..Still write ups have thriwn up a few nice savers forecasts and the multiples are winning fortunes,just too much workload for me,might be having a break especially with these tracks overwatering would be better if they were just soft ground..
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Cheers for todays winner but out of interest who were the 6 singles that won as they are the ones I bet (the multiples are too many perms for me so I dont bother) but only had Welliesinthewater and finished well down this month ? Not sure if I missed something but missing 5 winners. Was it Monday, but that said "ew multiples" ?
 
Scrutiny monday,the write up for race was already there backed all three in the race,never backed the other winners just multiples there were four other winners would have to go back through the thread plus loads of place,i did add in those 6 places as well in victoria cup even if you take them off still around 30%.Am not really bothered whther it's 30 or 50 or even 10 as long as not losing month,havn't had one in 7 years..
 
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gigilo said:
Desperate stuff at the moment small fields too much racing first time in maybe three years i havn't done the cards racing far too diluted ,will have an ew multiple and maybe a couple of singles..

Newcastle 3.50

Ventura ocean 11/10 365

Doncaster 6.0

Welliesinthewater 12/1 365/skybet/betfred/totesport/betway/victor 10/1 unibet/marathonbet

Would probably be a bit surprised if welliesinthwater were good enough to win this,a lot may depend on the ground as i've never seen fast ground on the round course even though it will show gd/fm you never ever see times even getting within a second or two on it over a mile,plus if it hasn't rained think they are watering anyway..Welliesinthwater had lots of racing mainly on the aw won plenty of races but pretty exposed although has only raced ten times on the turf and won twice last turf win was off 78 in june 2016 at donny over 7fs,made a rare appearence back over that c/d recently in a 0-95 running well in 5th escobars come out of that race and won and welliesinthwaters dropped another two pound.Tomorrow the race is a furlong further and as said on the round course,there are better class horses in the race like favourite storm ahead and one or two others but a few of them want softer ground..Probably worth a small bet after that run in a 0-95 its two best tur5f runs have been on this track although was the straight,am not a fan of seeing paddy mathers riding as always seems to be on the non triers but at least its turf rating has come down did run well at leicester last sesson off 89 so could figure as long as ground is on quick/good side,fav storm ahead looks the obvious one if more juice and sinfonietta both horses are better than these on ground with juice..Really if there's any juice or rain tomorrow he will probably be nearer last as a few in here are very well handicapped softer ground horses,the betting would completely turn around as well hopefully stays dry and not get left 10ls as he has had a habit of doing,not really a horse i have backed too often even on the aw..

That was from the 19th of june,got well behind back over the 7fs tomorrow on straight track,the race looks impossible to me think its hard to rule anything out but horse is on that last winning mark over c/d,has an ew chance if getting away on terms.Can't believe i'm saying this but actually think the track needs some watering as it's very quick ground and not sure that will suit has never won in fast time even though form says run well on gd/fm..

8.0

King robert 10/1 365/skybet / Related 13/2 365 7/1 skybet/sunbets/betbright/victor

King robert has become slightly disapointing in recent runs quite a difficult ride and visors and pieces have been played around with so not showing his true potential,was rated 95 at one point hasn't won on turf since 2015 and that was hios first two runs.He still retains plenty of ability but it's a matter of will he win a race,on debut run this season a decent 3rd in a 0-95 to gunmetal over c/d,thats decent form but disappointed at haydock in a similar race last time out although the first four came off the pace in a race he led.Tomorrow he gets to run in a 0-85 for the first time drops to just 85 graham lee rides been riding a few winners,think the worst he will do is be a decent trade can't really see him being bigger than 7/1 tops in this race [presuming it's trying bryan smarts horses havn't been winning but at least has had a few places.If he can repeat the thirsk penultimate run then should run well from the 13 draw,although the fact he hasn't won for two seasons on turf with various headgear shows how difficult he is to win with..The armed man ran disappointingly here last time out,had looked progressive and open to improvement may run better than thatb last run..

Again from the 19th of june,that last run was abysmal,he may just be a dodgepot now i also noticed drifted like a barge in that race yet tomorrow is only the same prices with books and this race looks ultra conpetitve.The only positve i can see is,visors back on was on when last won on the aw 2017 off 89 ran its best form in it last season even though not still winning since 2015 on turf betting will be interesting as if it goes the same as last race will go off 20/1 hoping to see a bit of money for it.Again a bit like welliesinthwater how there is a bit of watering hasn't won on gd/fm but as above ran well behind gunmetal at thirsk in a 0-95..of just 83 tomorrow.
Same with related hardly ever wins,impossible to predict,but back on last winning turf mark and been running quite well 3rd to brian the snail over c/d last time out in a 0- 95 so capable of running well in better class races but as form hoes run before that just fourth in one of these 0-85 at ayr.Just like the other picks i hopwe there's a bit of watering as the run at ayr was on quick groun=d,there look like loads of fast ground horses in this race that like the ground even though slightly stepping up in class..

Lingfield 8.45

Hilight 10/1 sportsbook/ppower/365/totesport/betfred/skybet/boyles/victor/10bet/betway/hills/marathonbet/188bet/sportspresa

Hilight is the most interesting horse in the race,a weak 0-65 very few open to improvement on debut was sixth over 6fs here runnning on after giving 10ls away at start, winner and runner up rated 95 and 84,the thirds rated 71 came third at windsor on monday,fourth island of life rated
75 those four runners are still lightly raced and open to imprivement and hiight was onl;y just over 5ls behind on debut.Has run twoce since at wolves and kermpton over 7fs,slowly run races and has looked very one paced in races was never going to win anmyway but only hit twice with the whip in three runs.Tomorrow gets in handicap off 62 charlie bennett takes off three down to just 59,very difficult to know what his trip or ground is after those aw runs was on soft side when ran here on debut,out of archipenko does have winners over 7fs and gd/fm ground but usually better over further and slightly better on slower ground,not great draw in 7 either ..Could be very well handicapped might be a case of long term project but this race is poor and that 6f run here looks good so worth paying to find out..
Flying sakhee was a maiden till its c/d run,winning on 25th attemp as well that race looks better than this one even though same grade time was good as well and still sits on a mark of 48 if it puts it in like last run has to be involved in finish,also the other 3yr old from the 11 draw and charlie fellowes stable just three runs a third in a maiden at thirsk open to improvement wouldn't have to imprive much to figure in this if at all.
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Returns on multiples 160 and 180 5/1 your money..;)
 
I think we need rain to change the ground,every meeting seems to be small fields front end of the market are winning a high % of races at no value prices,so much diluted racing just wasting my time spending a whole day doing the work just to find no bets,hopefully field sizes will ;pick up a little,can't wait for autumn to be honest.Can't see me betting on these small fields too often,too easy to price up on faster ground but if i get a spare 20 mins on quieter days i might try and do a preview of few meetings every week..very brief but would give an interest.
 
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Wolves 5.15

Sir lancelott 14/1 365/victor /sunbets/HILLS 12/1 unibet/skybet/lads/corals/betfred/boyles/totesport/betfred/betway/10bet/betbright/

An amateur riders race the jockey harriet lees i havn't watched her ride she hasn't ride a winner for 4 months but has had 2 winners from 15 rides i can't find any form for her she may not be anygood will have to try and dig out a replay from somehwere.It's a wide open race think 8/9 of these could win and there are quite a few well handicapped ones too many to mention,edge has only had six runs on the aw thoroughly exposed but ran well over this c/d earlier in the year in a 0-60 in a decent time.Think the horse is pace dependent as ran poorly on next run over c/d slow time and tomorrow has poor draw,if the go quick enough then ew chance...At prices sir lancelott although only rated 48 is relatively well handicapped on its c/d runs been running poorly on the turf but last four runs over c/d has been 2/4/2/3,it maybe he's been over raced as ran terrible over 7fs recently at the track but he is big prices on those earlier c/d runs,went off 4/1 over c/d when thirdt to beatbybeatbybeat off 51 in a 0-60 and second to street poet in a 0-65 off same mark, tomorrow with claim runs off just 43..in a 0-55.Celtic aritsan is probably the best horse in the race won off 67 over c/d last season,been on downgrsde since but absolutely chucked in off 53 with Ella Mccain taking off another three,impossible to predict but could dot up if back to form.
Track today at wolves absolutely desperate again like last week,riding really slow half the horses hating it might chuck in muthraab eldarr and do some forecasts to pennys,all these jocks look useless to me on the ones i've named or havn't had many winners,just speculatuve stuff as only betting race of day.

Plus ew multiples

Wolves 2.45

Barristan the bold 7/2

3.15

Bboob alula 7/2 365

5.15

Sir Lancelott 14/1 365 12/1 skybet Edge 9/1 365/hills

Windsor 9.0

Harlequin striker 9/2 365

Ponte 3.0

Bambino lola 2/1 skybet/unibet

Have watched some replays of miss harriet lees,she has fantastic stats thought she might be really good she;'s been very fortunate that horses have flattered here by travelling extremely well,don't expect any driving finish from her she doesn't even take her hands off the reigns:lol: to be fair she probably has only just started but she's purely depending on the horse doing everything..
 
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Will settle for the place got smashed to bits,she never took her hands off the reigns again hopeless:lol::lol: amazing how stats can distort ability...
 
gigilo said:
Will settle for the place got smashed to bits,she never took her hands off the reigns again hopeless:lol::lol: amazing how stats can distort ability...
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We followed you knowing the risks involved though. Nice 14/1 place :thumbsup:
 
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She wasn't the worst check out winstons effort in the last at windsor he was panicking he was going to get in the frame,never picked the whip up seriously can;'t understand how they don't get pulled in for that was so blatent, went from 4.6 to 6.6 within 15 mins,wouldv'e scraped a fair bit back on multiples if it had been in frame..Think it's going to be a week of multiples unfortunately,mainly thieving bets wuith the odd single thrown in..
 
Thought i was going to get double figures on one i liked but as seems to be the case at the moment too short, so no singles just some multiples..

Musselburugh 3.30

Twin appeal 10/1 / Our charlie brown 6/1

Kempton 6.20

Sepahi 10/1

6.50

Palister 5/2

9.20

Miracle works 13/2
 
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Coral challenge saturday

Hors de combat 16/1 victor


Put up hors de combat in the Royal hunt cup at 50/1 and was sixth running on after being 10ls off the pace finishing just behind what's the story and just infront of raising sand,hors de combats a few points bigger in betting on saturday could only be a small interest is running well but off 103 as 7yr old maybe needs a slight drop in weights to get a win.
There don't look too many unexposed ones in the race,there are a couple but are rising in class,last years race may have been slightly better when hors de combat was fourth off a pound lower,manson was just behind and strictly at weights looks little between them strictly at revised weights manson should beat him,wouldn't put anyone off betting manson either..There looks very little between the four mentioned..thought was worth a small interest as ran well twice at sandown last season,..
 
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gigilo said:
Wetherby 8.55

Burtonwood 12/1 365/hills/betway 10/1 Skybet/10bet/sportpres/ lads/corals/betfred/totesport

Not a horse i can remember backing in recent times,hasn't won on turf since 2016 although won at newcastle over 6fs off 63 last season has come down to a mark of 58 and hasn't ever run in thos grade before a -60 so drops in class,although not winning last season when it ran over gd/fm last season was still only 6th of 8 although a 0-70 not beaten far,a 2nd of 9 going off 15/8 fav in a 0-70 and 4th of 12 off 64 in a 0-75..This season has had one run on soft ground so east to put a line through that,plus had wind op kieran schofield rides takes off another 7 and won on it three times so running off just 51,so very well handicapped on last seasons best runs on this ground.
The negatives are has never won going this waty round usially runs at beverley or runs well on straight tracks,also didbn;t hit form till third run last season the betting will be very intersting as on its form from last season you could easily make a case for it being at the head of the market.Julie comachos had a couple of winners recently as well,perhaps track will not suit maybe a run down field for next run but as above was 15/8 fav last seasson in a 0-70 you would expect price collapses in this grade iof stable think its right and will handle track..this could go off 4/1 yet could go off 20/1 all depending if trying..

11/1 victor.
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Just romped home at Thirsk after being bet down from 20/1 early to 12/1. Was last at Wetherby after a poor start, but kept on my tracker after your write up and gave another chance. Thanks Giggsy !
 
I've got it in other multiple bets at 20s,exactly the same as last season straight track third run back it's just run to the write up and callum rodriguez riding thats the problem at the moment have so many picks have been sticking to multiples just hope i get something else with it..
 
Tabletop said:
Just romped home at Thirsk after being bet down from 20/1 early to 12/1. Was last at Wetherby after a poor start, but kept on my tracker after your write up and gave another chance. Thanks Giggsy !
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Just seen that one and thought I'd seen it on here. If I had of noticed before would of been on. Nightmare!!
 
Waste of time racing at the moment too many meetings.small fields 8/9 runners races becoming 6/7 and 5/6 horse races becoming 4 most of the winners coming from the front of the market perfect mug punting conditions think i have 25 picks marked off and all of them are between 7/4 and 6/1 can't win betting at those prices over so many picks,am just going to do some multiples maybe a single..think most of these dead ew races are likely to become 6/7 as well..Think i might have a week or two away till some better fields and some rain just too diluted to do anything..

Leicester 3.30

Charles molson 11/1 365/unibet/skybet/ppower/sportsbook/betway/10bet

5.10

Rock warbler 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 6/1 365 13/2 skybet Makambe 9/2 365/totesport/betfred

Rock warbler has never won a race on turf 0/9 and had been totally out of form a while was rated 74 on the aw middle of season,ran well ovdr a mile at donny last time out staying on,isn't much of a price considering previous form on turf but does look a weaker race so will have a small bet on it off just 63..Also the 3yr old makambe for charles hills,ran well at donny on seasonal debut even though beat 6ls that was in a 0-85 for 3yr olds and worked out ok the 5th has won twice since,then got dropped in grade running at newbury stopped in run a couple of times,the winner was beat yesterday and that was just a 0-70 but looks slightly better than mark..of 65..Maybe worth chucking in the jiohnson horse first time in handicap first run of the season hasn't shown anything yet but a weak race to be running in..for forecasts

Makambe smashed into 15/8 trades 1.79,rock warbler got 2.6 for 4 places so no damage just getting zilch luck everythungs 2nd or 4th running on same as charles molson 4thearlier again bigger field probably wouldv'e won,just hardly anything worth doing...

Nottingham 5.40

Swansway 3/1 365/totesport/betfred/corals/lads/hills/skybet / Bollin ted 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/victor/lads 4/1 generally

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!

6.10

Red Balloons 2/1 365 7/4 sportsbook/ppower

6.40

Meshardal 13/2 sportsbook/ppower

7.10

Sula island 4/1 365 10/30 ppower/sportsbook / Paddy A 5/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/2 skybet/victor
 
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gigilo said:
Waste of time racing at the moment too many meetings.small fields 8/9 runners races becoming 6/7 and 5/6 horse races becoming 4 most of the winners coming from the front of the market perfect mug punting conditions think i have 25 picks marked off and all of them are between 7/4 and 6/1 can't win betting at those prices over so many picks,am just going to do some multiples maybe a single..think most of these dead ew races are likely to become 6/7 as well..Think i might have a week or two away till some better fields and some rain just too diluted to do anything..

Leicester 3.30

Charles molson 11/1 365/unibet/skybet/ppower/sportsbook/betway/10bet

5.10

Rock warbler 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 6/1 365 13/2 skybet Makambe 9/2 365/totesport/betfred

Rock warbler has never won a race on turf 0/9 and had been totally out of form a while was rated 74 on the aw middle of season,ran well ovdr a mile at donny last time out staying on,isn't much of a price considering previous form on turf but does look a weaker race so will have a small bet on it off just 63..Also the 3yr old makambe for charles hills,ran well at donny on seasonal debut even though beat 6ls that was in a 0-85 for 3yr olds and worked out ok the 5th has won twice since,then got dropped in grade running at newbury stopped in run a couple of times,the winner was beat yesterday and that was just a 0-70 but looks slightly better than mark..of 65..Maybe worth chucking in the jiohnson horse first time in handicap first run of the season hasn't shown anything yet but a weak race to be running in..for forecasts

Makambe smashed into 15/8 trades 1.79,rock warbler got 2.6 for 4 places so no damage just getting zilch luck everythungs 2nd or 4th running on same as charles molson 4thearlier again bigger field probably wouldv'e won,just hardly anything worth doing...

Nottingham 5.40

Swansway 3/1 365/totesport/betfred/corals/lads/hills/skybet / Bollin ted 9/2 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/victor/lads 4/1 generally

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!

6.10

Red Balloons 2/1 365 7/4 sportsbook/ppower

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!

6.40

Meshardal 13/2 sportsbook/ppower

7.10

Sula island 4/1 365 10/30 ppower/sportsbook / Paddy A 5/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/2 skybet/v

Get the **** in got 12.0 paddy unreal what a touch redid the multiples after first two losErs if it wasn't for mesghardal not getting placed thats cost me a fortune what a turna around
again,completely got overlooked and no non runners tonight was expecting 6/7 horse races today 9/2,2/1 and 12.5 winners two 4ths and a 2nd what a turnarouund..harl;ey came 4th crusing in without riding unreal thats three 4ths today shouldv'e placed..so close to a monster day hope you did the single on the last i also diod cross doubles on the anmateur riders race and the shortie as the dead 8 had held up..:ninja:
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!:lol::lol::lol:
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Save up your SCHADENFREUDE you may need it one day,highly unlikely but you never know..:lol::lol:
 
Good work today giggs. I had paddy a doubled with paddy the chef in the last. SP of 7-1 on your pick meant I won a bomb. Thanks again and enjoy the weekend :)
 
gigilo said:
Save up your SCHADENFREUDE you may need it one day,highly unlikely but you never know..:lol::lol:
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I'm sorry but can't get this is there a horse called SCHADENFREUDE I have looked and can't find. Even put in Google translate. What does SCHADENFREUDE mean? Sorry if I'm being a dick.
 
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