Nonannyimfine
Apprentice
- Joined
- Feb 22, 2017
- Messages
- 263
Superb giggsy 
Daily picks.
- Thread starter gigilo
- Start date
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Kempton 5.30
Settle petal 33/1 ppower/sportsbook 28/1 betway
Paddy bradley rarel;y rides any winners,similarly the trainer horse has respectable aw form when at its best won a 0-65 last season at lingfield with same combination,been very poor this season,although was 3rd here at kempton over a furlong further off 64 with three taken off so off 61 in a 0-70 back in september.Then ran ok at lingfield in a 0-65 fourth to miss elsa in a slowly run race,although four winners came out of that race,then last time out another slowly run race finishing last,although field was only covered by 4ls,profile regressive and poor stats for jockey trainer combo,but drops into a 0-60 first time since march 2018 when winning off tomorrows mark..If could run to the earlier runs would have an ew chance in a wide open looking race..
6.0
Narjes 40/1 ppower/sportsbook 28/1 skybet
Narjes similar to settle petal,regressive profile hasn't shown anything this season after winning 12 months ago off 68,recent races mainly been finishing out the back being scrubbed along and no interest in racing,in between a fourth in a 0-65 at lingfield off 61,then followed up to be beaten
out the back again..Showed a glimmer last time out when 6th at lingfield,the first five had all been running quite well in recent races,again needs to back up the run now running off lowest ever mark of 57,luke morris rides won on him last two wins,will know its fate early as if it gets out on terms and not out the back could run ok..although again the trainers in desperate form laura mongan..Has run ok here but that was when it was rated in the 70s and over 7fs and a mile..Speculative as settle petal..but big prices on the two better runs
Settle petal 33/1 ppower/sportsbook 28/1 betway
Paddy bradley rarel;y rides any winners,similarly the trainer horse has respectable aw form when at its best won a 0-65 last season at lingfield with same combination,been very poor this season,although was 3rd here at kempton over a furlong further off 64 with three taken off so off 61 in a 0-70 back in september.Then ran ok at lingfield in a 0-65 fourth to miss elsa in a slowly run race,although four winners came out of that race,then last time out another slowly run race finishing last,although field was only covered by 4ls,profile regressive and poor stats for jockey trainer combo,but drops into a 0-60 first time since march 2018 when winning off tomorrows mark..If could run to the earlier runs would have an ew chance in a wide open looking race..
6.0
Narjes 40/1 ppower/sportsbook 28/1 skybet
Narjes similar to settle petal,regressive profile hasn't shown anything this season after winning 12 months ago off 68,recent races mainly been finishing out the back being scrubbed along and no interest in racing,in between a fourth in a 0-65 at lingfield off 61,then followed up to be beaten
out the back again..Showed a glimmer last time out when 6th at lingfield,the first five had all been running quite well in recent races,again needs to back up the run now running off lowest ever mark of 57,luke morris rides won on him last two wins,will know its fate early as if it gets out on terms and not out the back could run ok..although again the trainers in desperate form laura mongan..Has run ok here but that was when it was rated in the 70s and over 7fs and a mile..Speculative as settle petal..but big prices on the two better runs
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Southwell thursday
Filbert street 16/1 hills
Filbert streets very exposed most of its limited form is over this 5fs,when with roy brotherton best two runs were a fourth and a second then joined Appleby in august 2019 and on fift run for him won over swells 5fs off 47,had Qaaraat 3rd behind that's in same race on thursday 8/1 and had final legacy 4th that one was second in the last race filbert street contested LTO.
The race filbert street won was as good as thursdays race,although thursdays race is wide open you couldn't discount anythuing,after its win went straight back to brotheron stable,he rarely has winners a negative and the horse has reverted to type missing the break on numerous occasions usualy loses races from the stalls..Last time out gave the field 8-10ls start ad only beaten 4 1/2ls over thursdays c/d,impossible to make up that sort of ground finished behind a coule of these has 4ls to make up,needs to break well,is surrpunded by those horses from the low draws..The race will either be lost straight from stalls or decent ew chance if gets out on level terms,bit like the two from the otherday i put up small trainer out of form but horse in right race at the right price..Would imagine other books will open 10s maybe 12s ..
12/1 victor..
Filbert street 16/1 hills
Filbert streets very exposed most of its limited form is over this 5fs,when with roy brotherton best two runs were a fourth and a second then joined Appleby in august 2019 and on fift run for him won over swells 5fs off 47,had Qaaraat 3rd behind that's in same race on thursday 8/1 and had final legacy 4th that one was second in the last race filbert street contested LTO.
The race filbert street won was as good as thursdays race,although thursdays race is wide open you couldn't discount anythuing,after its win went straight back to brotheron stable,he rarely has winners a negative and the horse has reverted to type missing the break on numerous occasions usualy loses races from the stalls..Last time out gave the field 8-10ls start ad only beaten 4 1/2ls over thursdays c/d,impossible to make up that sort of ground finished behind a coule of these has 4ls to make up,needs to break well,is surrpunded by those horses from the low draws..The race will either be lost straight from stalls or decent ew chance if gets out on level terms,bit like the two from the otherday i put up small trainer out of form but horse in right race at the right price..Would imagine other books will open 10s maybe 12s ..
12/1 victor..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
14/1 365/victor/hills...12/1 betfred/betway/ppower/sportsbook/lads/skybet/corals
Out to 16/1 365/victor..20/1 sportsbook/ppower lots of others as well 18/1..
Jinxers hugh taylor and holding have put it up..
Stunk that did shortened to 7s and drifted to 18.5 after taylor and holding put it up and then misses break tailed off,very suspect.
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Try some multiples too very small stakes,looks very competitve tomorrow just some small interests,think most of the picks the trainers have barely had a winner in six months,just checked them out quite unbelievable how out of form these trainers are..
Swell 1.55
Go native 25/1 ppower/sportsbook
An impossible looking handicap lots of runners first time at the track sime with great sire stats that of yet have not great form like abput glory plenty of form in this grade on turf some places on the aw switches to fibresand where sire has a 31% strike rate nayef which catches the eye si maybe a little saver in that around 8-9/1..There are at least five or six similar runners that you could pick so a small bet on going native at bigger pruces,a regular at the track,has only won 1/33 starts that was in march 2019 in a 0-60 won by 5ls off 40..has been placed here three timessince november 2/3/3 with some poor runs in between..If these less exposed runners don't go on the surface could run well off 44 even though unlikely winner.
Going native drofted like a barge lead at ridiculous pace had no chance,all the decent races its ever run has been held up and the other trebled in prices tailed off after 2 furlongs,rubbish bets today rubbish trainers..
Chelmsford 8.0
Eesha's smile 9/1 hills betfred 8/1 5 places Fanny chevak 20/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook betfred 5 places 16/1
A dogs dinner race and a 0-50 over 1m2fs,famous dynasty won on the same card as Eeshas smile and Fanny chenal won easily so probably the one to bea although their dibvision was over a second quicker,the time looked relaitvely god for the grade but a bit suspicious field was covered by a blanket at finish..Both Eeeshas smile and Fanny chenal were stayong on in that race,Eeeshas has been rated 67 in the past runs off 50 while fanny chenal has only had five runs and headgear was on last time out so maybe they can back those runs up and run ok in a terrible race..Slightly suspicious why blinkers have been taken off Eeshas smile best run last time out for awhile and tomorrow decided to take them off,looks strange so will be watching that one closely.
3.05
Old metha bridge 15/2 ppower/sportsbook/victor 7/1 skybet
Old metha bridge ran in a better class race last time out,run came out of the blue third in a 0-80 over the c/d time was respectable,combination of grace mcentree and julia fielden not appealing so would only be a toke bet in a very competitve race..decent ew chances repeating the last run though.Lightening attack has changed stables from fahey to tony newcombe,looked on downgrade but has only had the 19 runs opened 33s now only 8/1,if they have it anywhere near its best then would have a great chance but the most eyecatching thing is sire lethal force 30% strije rate at the track..Can't back it now,but will be interesting to see if its price holds up tomorrow..
4.05
Tranchee 10/1 365/victor
Another ultra competitve race over 7fs with a few still open to improvement,race looks impossible the only runner that doesn't have any proven form is the one i've picked trained by ivan furtado,don't know if its opening mark is bad or good etc on first run for new trainer won a weak looking maiden here DH with a karl burke horse that had only run in a bumper so nothing to really go on.The third was 16ls behind and was fourth in a maiden a few days ago,but that was also a very poor maiden,when it won over the mile the time was just respectable nothing special but looked more to come...The sire war front has a 22% strike rate here,it's a 7f race but there are at least five front runners,so would look at something that needs a mile,a bit of guess really but as furtado has bouight this off dermott weld it looks a little interesting with the sire as well..
Swell 1.55
Go native 25/1 ppower/sportsbook
An impossible looking handicap lots of runners first time at the track sime with great sire stats that of yet have not great form like abput glory plenty of form in this grade on turf some places on the aw switches to fibresand where sire has a 31% strike rate nayef which catches the eye si maybe a little saver in that around 8-9/1..There are at least five or six similar runners that you could pick so a small bet on going native at bigger pruces,a regular at the track,has only won 1/33 starts that was in march 2019 in a 0-60 won by 5ls off 40..has been placed here three timessince november 2/3/3 with some poor runs in between..If these less exposed runners don't go on the surface could run well off 44 even though unlikely winner.
Going native drofted like a barge lead at ridiculous pace had no chance,all the decent races its ever run has been held up and the other trebled in prices tailed off after 2 furlongs,rubbish bets today rubbish trainers..
Chelmsford 8.0
Eesha's smile 9/1 hills betfred 8/1 5 places Fanny chevak 20/1 victor/ppower/sportsbook betfred 5 places 16/1
A dogs dinner race and a 0-50 over 1m2fs,famous dynasty won on the same card as Eeshas smile and Fanny chenal won easily so probably the one to bea although their dibvision was over a second quicker,the time looked relaitvely god for the grade but a bit suspicious field was covered by a blanket at finish..Both Eeeshas smile and Fanny chenal were stayong on in that race,Eeeshas has been rated 67 in the past runs off 50 while fanny chenal has only had five runs and headgear was on last time out so maybe they can back those runs up and run ok in a terrible race..Slightly suspicious why blinkers have been taken off Eeshas smile best run last time out for awhile and tomorrow decided to take them off,looks strange so will be watching that one closely.
3.05
Old metha bridge 15/2 ppower/sportsbook/victor 7/1 skybet
Old metha bridge ran in a better class race last time out,run came out of the blue third in a 0-80 over the c/d time was respectable,combination of grace mcentree and julia fielden not appealing so would only be a toke bet in a very competitve race..decent ew chances repeating the last run though.Lightening attack has changed stables from fahey to tony newcombe,looked on downgrade but has only had the 19 runs opened 33s now only 8/1,if they have it anywhere near its best then would have a great chance but the most eyecatching thing is sire lethal force 30% strije rate at the track..Can't back it now,but will be interesting to see if its price holds up tomorrow..
4.05
Tranchee 10/1 365/victor
Another ultra competitve race over 7fs with a few still open to improvement,race looks impossible the only runner that doesn't have any proven form is the one i've picked trained by ivan furtado,don't know if its opening mark is bad or good etc on first run for new trainer won a weak looking maiden here DH with a karl burke horse that had only run in a bumper so nothing to really go on.The third was 16ls behind and was fourth in a maiden a few days ago,but that was also a very poor maiden,when it won over the mile the time was just respectable nothing special but looked more to come...The sire war front has a 22% strike rate here,it's a 7f race but there are at least five front runners,so would look at something that needs a mile,a bit of guess really but as furtado has bouight this off dermott weld it looks a little interesting with the sire as well..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Only paid £153 unreal:lol::lol:,what a touch a quiet betting day but a little gem!!On monster run,as no way i wouldv'e bothered with the race if it had been 8/1 or the forecast!!
Newcombe had only 6 runners in 2020 1 winner now 2/7..
Newcombe had only 6 runners in 2020 1 winner now 2/7..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Will try some small bets and multiples no strong fancies some smakll interests,hopefully turn into thieving bets as not much value in prices..
Last month another 100% ROI included forecast from last bet but not the 42 winner..
Swell 3.30
Directory 3/1 hills 3 places 7/2 ppower/sportsbook
Directory has run three times this season 1/2/2 beaten at 7/4 fav last time out,this is theory should be a better race but looks similar to recenrt races and the claimer takes off 7 pound so is actually off a lowest mark since may 2019..The biggest negatuve maybe the claimer but she has been riding winners,think the horse is pace dependant so a small field would like to see decent gallop.
Got 3rd so no damage,good those 3 places with hills
4.0
Requinto dawn 8/1 victor/hills
Requinto dawn bas been on downgrade was rated 88 in 2018 then finised last seasons turf season off 66 in a 0-75 the only time it placed all season behind mr orange,has only ever won over 5fs but at least that last run on turf was at ponte stiff 6fs so maybe the 6fs will be ok..Came back to run at wolves was beaten over 7ls in wa 6f race a 0-70,couldn't say it was unlucky even though never got a clear run would never have won but was several lengths better than the form..Tomorrow drops into first ever class 6 0-65 and although this looks like desperation stakes at least gets to run in a weaker grade in a poor rae,requintios not a great sire on surface but has at least had winners on it.Betting will likely tell the story in such a poor race especially from fahey stable..
Aquarius and six till twelve are closely matched on their previous runs here and probably are the most obvious looking picks in the race and alternatives to requinto dawn..
4TH got evens for 4 places covered ew stakes,tracks riding really wierd winners winning by miles where a blanket should be covering them,rubbish today for multiples...
4.30
Arabian king 4/6 365 Motahaasen 11/2 hills/victor
A bad race but winner looked to improve for surface last time out,a dour looking stayer may even need further on this surface the time seemed respectable surface was riding on the slow side,maybe the same tomorrow so the obvious pick..If they don't go quick and Motahaaasen gets a soft lead then you might get a false result,on the clock can't win but the fav might need an end to end gallop,don't really know how the others in race will run as they havn't run for awhile so unsure of pace
Wolves 5.05
Running cloud generally 6/1 13/2 marathonbet Willkommen 5/1 hills/victor 11/2 marathonbet/unibet
Favourite foresee has ben curtis riding,if they go no pace will probably win,it's only a small field and there's no guaranteed pace Willkommen ran a decent 2nd last time out over c/d but tomorriows jock morgan cole is very poor,the time of the race was quite good so thought i would add into multiples..The negative is maybe a complete lack of pace and he can't ride a finish,am hoping he just goes on and makes it a test as the other running cloud looks similar,another thats been on diowngrade but won over c/d last time out sitting off the pace,that's always it's running style so like willkommen will need a decent pace to aim at,especially with curtis and kirby etc and two amateurs riding these..They would only be token selections being a small field..hopefully they don't crawl as both would probably bomb out.
8.10
Queen of silca 5/1 hills/sportsbook/ppower
Queen of silca made handicap debut at lingfield over the mile in december in a 0-75,finishing third never looked like winning but running on at finish then was beaten in a very weak race,just a 0-60 was hampered when looking for a run hard to tell if wouldv'e been involved in finish..
Looks on the small side so not much scope so should be a little race in her,steps back up in class again tomorrow a 0-65,some unexposed runners in here so just another token pick and given another chance on only sixth lifetime run..
Last month another 100% ROI included forecast from last bet but not the 42 winner..
Swell 3.30
Directory 3/1 hills 3 places 7/2 ppower/sportsbook
Directory has run three times this season 1/2/2 beaten at 7/4 fav last time out,this is theory should be a better race but looks similar to recenrt races and the claimer takes off 7 pound so is actually off a lowest mark since may 2019..The biggest negatuve maybe the claimer but she has been riding winners,think the horse is pace dependant so a small field would like to see decent gallop.
Got 3rd so no damage,good those 3 places with hills
4.0
Requinto dawn 8/1 victor/hills
Requinto dawn bas been on downgrade was rated 88 in 2018 then finised last seasons turf season off 66 in a 0-75 the only time it placed all season behind mr orange,has only ever won over 5fs but at least that last run on turf was at ponte stiff 6fs so maybe the 6fs will be ok..Came back to run at wolves was beaten over 7ls in wa 6f race a 0-70,couldn't say it was unlucky even though never got a clear run would never have won but was several lengths better than the form..Tomorrow drops into first ever class 6 0-65 and although this looks like desperation stakes at least gets to run in a weaker grade in a poor rae,requintios not a great sire on surface but has at least had winners on it.Betting will likely tell the story in such a poor race especially from fahey stable..
Aquarius and six till twelve are closely matched on their previous runs here and probably are the most obvious looking picks in the race and alternatives to requinto dawn..
4TH got evens for 4 places covered ew stakes,tracks riding really wierd winners winning by miles where a blanket should be covering them,rubbish today for multiples...
4.30
Arabian king 4/6 365 Motahaasen 11/2 hills/victor
A bad race but winner looked to improve for surface last time out,a dour looking stayer may even need further on this surface the time seemed respectable surface was riding on the slow side,maybe the same tomorrow so the obvious pick..If they don't go quick and Motahaaasen gets a soft lead then you might get a false result,on the clock can't win but the fav might need an end to end gallop,don't really know how the others in race will run as they havn't run for awhile so unsure of pace
Wolves 5.05
Running cloud generally 6/1 13/2 marathonbet Willkommen 5/1 hills/victor 11/2 marathonbet/unibet
Favourite foresee has ben curtis riding,if they go no pace will probably win,it's only a small field and there's no guaranteed pace Willkommen ran a decent 2nd last time out over c/d but tomorriows jock morgan cole is very poor,the time of the race was quite good so thought i would add into multiples..The negative is maybe a complete lack of pace and he can't ride a finish,am hoping he just goes on and makes it a test as the other running cloud looks similar,another thats been on diowngrade but won over c/d last time out sitting off the pace,that's always it's running style so like willkommen will need a decent pace to aim at,especially with curtis and kirby etc and two amateurs riding these..They would only be token selections being a small field..hopefully they don't crawl as both would probably bomb out.
8.10
Queen of silca 5/1 hills/sportsbook/ppower
Queen of silca made handicap debut at lingfield over the mile in december in a 0-75,finishing third never looked like winning but running on at finish then was beaten in a very weak race,just a 0-60 was hampered when looking for a run hard to tell if wouldv'e been involved in finish..
Looks on the small side so not much scope so should be a little race in her,steps back up in class again tomorrow a 0-65,some unexposed runners in here so just another token pick and given another chance on only sixth lifetime run..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Rubbish today,although not surprised poor picks with some of those jocks riding..eyecatcher queen of silca probably a hard ride as thats three similar runs running into the back of horses worth another chance..got evens for 4 places so got stake back..
Newcastle 7.30
Decoration of war 7/1 victor/betfred 6/1 betway
One of the few appleby horses that has rehressed since joining the stable was 3rd to kaser in december 2018 off 70,have put him up a few times early 2019 february and march went off favourites both times and got beat,looked very quirky and became unbackable finishing last in last few runs wasn't seen since the april so obviously some sort of problems..First time tv were applied penultimate run,ran wide got bumped about and a bit lit up,then last time out a glimmer of form finishing fourth in a 0-65 handicap,pulled hard again over extended mile at wolves tomorrow runs at newcastle over the straight mile.Gets dropped into a 0-55 runs off 57,wouldv'e been odds on to win this on best of its form but bar its last run has been totally unbackable..Worth giving it one chance in a very poor race,it wouldn't surprise me of it went off favourite so might tur into a decent trade even if it bombs out in a terrible race..could well go off 3/1 and favourite yet again..
Newcastle 7.30
Decoration of war 7/1 victor/betfred 6/1 betway
One of the few appleby horses that has rehressed since joining the stable was 3rd to kaser in december 2018 off 70,have put him up a few times early 2019 february and march went off favourites both times and got beat,looked very quirky and became unbackable finishing last in last few runs wasn't seen since the april so obviously some sort of problems..First time tv were applied penultimate run,ran wide got bumped about and a bit lit up,then last time out a glimmer of form finishing fourth in a 0-65 handicap,pulled hard again over extended mile at wolves tomorrow runs at newcastle over the straight mile.Gets dropped into a 0-55 runs off 57,wouldv'e been odds on to win this on best of its form but bar its last run has been totally unbackable..Worth giving it one chance in a very poor race,it wouldn't surprise me of it went off favourite so might tur into a decent trade even if it bombs out in a terrible race..could well go off 3/1 and favourite yet again..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
2.40 Chelmsford
Juanito chico 25/1 hills/victor/18/1 betfred/skybet/lads/corals
Another speculatuve one with trainer switch and being out of form,juanito chico plenty of racing only ever won three races last seen jan 20th showed little on fourth run for michael attwater after three month break..The three previous runs a second and third on turf off 71 and 72,then october ran ok staying on when sixth off 72 in a 0-75 drops to a 0-70 tomorrow,first time in this grade on the aw also pieces are back on weren't on for that last run..Betting should tell the story if stable have it right shouldn't be bigger than 5/1 in this race a thoroughly unreliable bunch bar the fav thats won three on the bounce and entered twice this week.You'd want to see this going off below double figures at least from a well handicapped horse,trainers out of form so would be an even bigger pointer.
Ran well laid a bit off earlier in the day thought when it got bacled into 10s prices were going to collapse then big druft 2 mins before the off but got 3s for 3 places so bit of profit on the race,traded 1.17 in running headed last 100 yards sp 8/1,probably didn't help having big weight in these windy conditions..Had to back it for 3 places as knocked an ew bet out i had on it,so annoying late non runners..Same problem at newcastle with that runner huge weight,probably explains the drift in last hour...
Newcastle 5.50
Glenamoy Lad 10/1 365 17/2 hills
Glenamoy lad quiet in last two seasons,2019 was seen eight times didn't even hit the frame although was rated in the high to mid 90s early in the year,one resctable sixth at ascot in september in a 0-105 off 91,reappeared in december over tomorrows c/d was ninth of 14 to brushwork,cut up when breaing from the stalls had no chance was switched to far side and run on ok under considerate ride..That was a class 3 drops into a class 4 timorrow,running off 87 last two other runs here have been wins off 93 and 85,just two pound above first win..
Still not sure how much ability retains but obvious chances anywhere near its best,if it was would be favourite..
Reckless endeavours on downgrade but been running consistent in these grades and the chapple hyam horse first run in 208 days,interesting runner was 4th in a 0-100 last season at the curragh,still only four and just the eight runs maybe one to follow off just 84..
Juanito chico 25/1 hills/victor/18/1 betfred/skybet/lads/corals
Another speculatuve one with trainer switch and being out of form,juanito chico plenty of racing only ever won three races last seen jan 20th showed little on fourth run for michael attwater after three month break..The three previous runs a second and third on turf off 71 and 72,then october ran ok staying on when sixth off 72 in a 0-75 drops to a 0-70 tomorrow,first time in this grade on the aw also pieces are back on weren't on for that last run..Betting should tell the story if stable have it right shouldn't be bigger than 5/1 in this race a thoroughly unreliable bunch bar the fav thats won three on the bounce and entered twice this week.You'd want to see this going off below double figures at least from a well handicapped horse,trainers out of form so would be an even bigger pointer.
Ran well laid a bit off earlier in the day thought when it got bacled into 10s prices were going to collapse then big druft 2 mins before the off but got 3s for 3 places so bit of profit on the race,traded 1.17 in running headed last 100 yards sp 8/1,probably didn't help having big weight in these windy conditions..Had to back it for 3 places as knocked an ew bet out i had on it,so annoying late non runners..Same problem at newcastle with that runner huge weight,probably explains the drift in last hour...
Newcastle 5.50
Glenamoy Lad 10/1 365 17/2 hills
Glenamoy lad quiet in last two seasons,2019 was seen eight times didn't even hit the frame although was rated in the high to mid 90s early in the year,one resctable sixth at ascot in september in a 0-105 off 91,reappeared in december over tomorrows c/d was ninth of 14 to brushwork,cut up when breaing from the stalls had no chance was switched to far side and run on ok under considerate ride..That was a class 3 drops into a class 4 timorrow,running off 87 last two other runs here have been wins off 93 and 85,just two pound above first win..
Still not sure how much ability retains but obvious chances anywhere near its best,if it was would be favourite..
Reckless endeavours on downgrade but been running consistent in these grades and the chapple hyam horse first run in 208 days,interesting runner was 4th in a 0-100 last season at the curragh,still only four and just the eight runs maybe one to follow off just 84..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
8.30 Chelmsford
28/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 hills 18/1 365/skybetBayston hill /B]
Mukha magic 20/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills
Bayston hill plenty of racing at six won 6/43 and 3/18 on the aw has been rated as high as 77 on the aw seems to be slightly regressing now has run three times over tomorrows c/d been 1/2/3 off marks of 70,86 and then last run here in august was 4th off 64..Came back after a five month break and ran at lingfield ran behind tomorrows favourte subliminal,was never in the race although very slowly run don't think it ran that badly needing the run..That day never had the pieces on which it had applied firs time in april las year winning off 70,ran quite consistent with them on so back on tomorriw,might need another run and as per drawn in the car park in 13 usyally runs well after two comeback runs,if it was spot on wold be a 5-6/1 shot to win this race although with draw probably bigger..Speculatuve but one to keeo an eye on future runs.
Mukha magic only the ten runs improved for visor last season won by 7ls at windsor off 61 in a three year old handicap then was massive;ly upped in class a 0-85 went off 6/4 fav only fourth of six ran ok staying on,disappointed last run of the season beaten 11ls in six horse race end of august..Hasn;t run since then gets into this 0-65 off 66 and george rook takes off seven so a pound lower than 7l win,has run once on the aw in a 0-60 at wolves was staying on over the extended mile,was a weak race but that was befire the imprvement..bit to prove off after the five month break and from stable i try to avoid but probably the right race if fit..Would be well backed if stable have it right,as usual with this stable the betting will tell the story,its a very long lay off so could only be speculative.
Another waste of time bayston hill n/r prices smashed and taken out,what a surprise i wouldn't have even bothered with the race if i'd thought it was not going to run,complete farce kelleway horse not a penny for it probably fronsac improving and regulator would be others in the race i would consider,muscett ued to rde bayston hill regularly so a slight angle there with it taken out.
28/1 ppower/sportsbook 20/1 hills 18/1 365/skybetBayston hill /B]
Mukha magic 20/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills
Bayston hill plenty of racing at six won 6/43 and 3/18 on the aw has been rated as high as 77 on the aw seems to be slightly regressing now has run three times over tomorrows c/d been 1/2/3 off marks of 70,86 and then last run here in august was 4th off 64..Came back after a five month break and ran at lingfield ran behind tomorrows favourte subliminal,was never in the race although very slowly run don't think it ran that badly needing the run..That day never had the pieces on which it had applied firs time in april las year winning off 70,ran quite consistent with them on so back on tomorriw,might need another run and as per drawn in the car park in 13 usyally runs well after two comeback runs,if it was spot on wold be a 5-6/1 shot to win this race although with draw probably bigger..Speculatuve but one to keeo an eye on future runs.
Mukha magic only the ten runs improved for visor last season won by 7ls at windsor off 61 in a three year old handicap then was massive;ly upped in class a 0-85 went off 6/4 fav only fourth of six ran ok staying on,disappointed last run of the season beaten 11ls in six horse race end of august..Hasn;t run since then gets into this 0-65 off 66 and george rook takes off seven so a pound lower than 7l win,has run once on the aw in a 0-60 at wolves was staying on over the extended mile,was a weak race but that was befire the imprvement..bit to prove off after the five month break and from stable i try to avoid but probably the right race if fit..Would be well backed if stable have it right,as usual with this stable the betting will tell the story,its a very long lay off so could only be speculative.
Another waste of time bayston hill n/r prices smashed and taken out,what a surprise i wouldn't have even bothered with the race if i'd thought it was not going to run,complete farce kelleway horse not a penny for it probably fronsac improving and regulator would be others in the race i would consider,muscett ued to rde bayston hill regularly so a slight angle there with it taken out.
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Shouldv'e won yestersay mukha magic,last time i looked was 20/1 or bigger on betfair missed the race saw the sp 10/1 unlucky loser,very small intersts tomorrow as with those storms headwinds etc probably be a nightmare days betting..
Newcastle 8.30
Gunmaker 4/1 365 Loretta 7/1 ppower/sportsbook
Cannot say there is any value in gunmakers prices,it may drift yet 1/32 have backed him a few times and then given up on him,was placed here off 67 early 2019 then complete regression impossible to back,last three runs has been 3/3/2 the last two runs here drawn 3 whe the 10,13 draws were 1,2 although as per got left..Then last time out touched off in a 0-55 weakr grade than tomorrows although that wsx first time blinkers and they finished 4 1/2ls clear of the rest of the field..the time was actually quicker than the class 5 on the card,which looks eyecatching but again loads of wind that night and times looked really slow on the card..Will gove it one chance as blinkers seemed to work and three ok runs back to back,i won't be backing it again..
The other Loretta is more interesting,four year old lightly raced four runs no form bar a third of five in a maiden,finished a head behind the second has won easly since and now rated 65 although tharunner was its debut,that night was 6-7ls behind with two furlongs to go eventually beaten 1 1/2ls staying on under hands n' heels..Last time out very poor went off 5/2 beaten 8ls at wolves,really could see no excuses seemed to be going ok but found nothing..Tomorrow first time pieces off 58 back over the c/d so will give it a chance from the 13 draw..Think you could mention most of the field ruth carr has gunmaker and two others,zebulons lower than its last win here and has an obvious ew chance along with isheabayoragray very closely matched with zebulon when they were second and fourth here in december..
6.30
Gowanbuster 10/1 hills/victor/betway
Gowanbuster a regular at the track runs over five and six furlongs,all wins have been here has won off 66 and 68 off 71 tomorrow so not particularly well handicapped,came back after seven week break to finish behind tomorrows favourite spirut power and tahmeen..Seemed to go off very quick that day went 6ls clear,spirit power won quite well and tathmeen got left in theory has chance with turnaround at the weights,was only fort again last time out in this grade when all the front runners finished out of the first three.Maybe ridden with a little more restraint and drop back to 5fs will help,hopefully no headwinds and may go low in running a pity didn't have better draw as i six in the middle..
Newcastle 8.30
Gunmaker 4/1 365 Loretta 7/1 ppower/sportsbook
Cannot say there is any value in gunmakers prices,it may drift yet 1/32 have backed him a few times and then given up on him,was placed here off 67 early 2019 then complete regression impossible to back,last three runs has been 3/3/2 the last two runs here drawn 3 whe the 10,13 draws were 1,2 although as per got left..Then last time out touched off in a 0-55 weakr grade than tomorrows although that wsx first time blinkers and they finished 4 1/2ls clear of the rest of the field..the time was actually quicker than the class 5 on the card,which looks eyecatching but again loads of wind that night and times looked really slow on the card..Will gove it one chance as blinkers seemed to work and three ok runs back to back,i won't be backing it again..
The other Loretta is more interesting,four year old lightly raced four runs no form bar a third of five in a maiden,finished a head behind the second has won easly since and now rated 65 although tharunner was its debut,that night was 6-7ls behind with two furlongs to go eventually beaten 1 1/2ls staying on under hands n' heels..Last time out very poor went off 5/2 beaten 8ls at wolves,really could see no excuses seemed to be going ok but found nothing..Tomorrow first time pieces off 58 back over the c/d so will give it a chance from the 13 draw..Think you could mention most of the field ruth carr has gunmaker and two others,zebulons lower than its last win here and has an obvious ew chance along with isheabayoragray very closely matched with zebulon when they were second and fourth here in december..
6.30
Gowanbuster 10/1 hills/victor/betway
Gowanbuster a regular at the track runs over five and six furlongs,all wins have been here has won off 66 and 68 off 71 tomorrow so not particularly well handicapped,came back after seven week break to finish behind tomorrows favourite spirut power and tahmeen..Seemed to go off very quick that day went 6ls clear,spirit power won quite well and tathmeen got left in theory has chance with turnaround at the weights,was only fort again last time out in this grade when all the front runners finished out of the first three.Maybe ridden with a little more restraint and drop back to 5fs will help,hopefully no headwinds and may go low in running a pity didn't have better draw as i six in the middle..
Last edited:
Was unlucky - went out to about 30.00 (win) about 10 mins before off then crashed...
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Gunmaker wss non trier yesterday,so may have to back it again unfortunately soime small interests again tomorrow desperate racing again on the aw and gowanbuster got the ew money in 4th.
Lingfield 1.30
Ramatuelle 16/1 365 14/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betfred
Formerly with prescott stable and been with laura mongan for three runs,trainers in desperate form 230 days since a winner and 59 runners so could only be a token pick has gone off huge prices in last three runs so no stable confidence in races..Last time out the first glimmer of form on the aw a fifth to subliminal over 1m2fs in this grade a 0-55,has run pk over tomorrows further trips of 1m4fs,got stopped a little in run that day if it can run to that form then has an ew chance although maybe worth noting if no show tomorrow once trauner hits form again..Billy star showed a glimmer of ability a nine runner maiden beaten 6 1/2ls in a 0-60 over c/d in december another rag that might run ok
Got 4s a place for billy star so got my stake back,ramatuelle driftred to 32s on betfair, looked like non trier to me finishing under hands n heels,billy star shouldv'e won..
2.35
Highway one 9/4 ppower/sportsbook/victor Amaretto 11/2 hills
There doesn't look much between highwayone and fivehundred miles on their recent c/d run,the 7/4 is very short i expect it will drift as is 0/22
in the main its 2016 form was in far better grades class 5s but now beaten in 6s last three runs,you could easily back the other as well fivehundredmiles.Fivehundred miles was having its first run for dave evans and he had a winner today,althoigh last time out this runner was tailed off that was at swell over a mile so easily forguven..
Amaretto probably the most interesting runner,coming back from a 177 day break twelve lifetime runs lightly raced and the standout is 1/1 over c/d again that was after a 159 break so very similar to that win,stables been totally put of form although did have a winner over the sticks a few weeks ago..Betting should be a big guveaway as its turf form was all in class 5s it nort got nearer than second but last five runs was 2/2/2/5/5 in far better races than this,if stable have it spot on would be favourite to win this off just 58 this stable like to bet them as well so will soon know its fate.
2.0
Miss elsa 8/1 365 15/2 victor/hills 7/1 sportsbook
Miss elsa always looks unlucky but always gets dropped out and has to be ridden that way so always running ion at finish,think there are more races in her but as with these 1m2f races at lingfield they dawdle which makes it even harder for her,another with obvious ew chance whivh imprives with pace..She's only a pound higher than when beating music major here in december,don't think the best of her has been seen yet till a guaranteed gallop.
Kempton 8.0
Takeonefortheam 12/1 ppower/betway 11/1 skybet
Agent of fortune could still be improving even though its won six races since december and shaffire could be improving,think it ran a bit flat saturday and the most obvious one with murphy riding prompting looks the one to beat with just four runs.Takeonefortheteam looks exposed two wins over c/d off 59 and 60 tomorrow off 63..Its recent runs have been poor in lower grade races, a habit of getting behind,last time it run here was third to choral music off 64 that was only a 0-70 tomorrow a 0-75,probably not a great 0-75 so maybe coming back to a track where all its best form is an ew chance..Probably no better than that,hoping a few don't handle the track at head of the market,fav looks the obvious one prmpting
Lingfield 1.30
Ramatuelle 16/1 365 14/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betfred
Formerly with prescott stable and been with laura mongan for three runs,trainers in desperate form 230 days since a winner and 59 runners so could only be a token pick has gone off huge prices in last three runs so no stable confidence in races..Last time out the first glimmer of form on the aw a fifth to subliminal over 1m2fs in this grade a 0-55,has run pk over tomorrows further trips of 1m4fs,got stopped a little in run that day if it can run to that form then has an ew chance although maybe worth noting if no show tomorrow once trauner hits form again..Billy star showed a glimmer of ability a nine runner maiden beaten 6 1/2ls in a 0-60 over c/d in december another rag that might run ok
Got 4s a place for billy star so got my stake back,ramatuelle driftred to 32s on betfair, looked like non trier to me finishing under hands n heels,billy star shouldv'e won..
2.35
Highway one 9/4 ppower/sportsbook/victor Amaretto 11/2 hills
There doesn't look much between highwayone and fivehundred miles on their recent c/d run,the 7/4 is very short i expect it will drift as is 0/22
in the main its 2016 form was in far better grades class 5s but now beaten in 6s last three runs,you could easily back the other as well fivehundredmiles.Fivehundred miles was having its first run for dave evans and he had a winner today,althoigh last time out this runner was tailed off that was at swell over a mile so easily forguven..
Amaretto probably the most interesting runner,coming back from a 177 day break twelve lifetime runs lightly raced and the standout is 1/1 over c/d again that was after a 159 break so very similar to that win,stables been totally put of form although did have a winner over the sticks a few weeks ago..Betting should be a big guveaway as its turf form was all in class 5s it nort got nearer than second but last five runs was 2/2/2/5/5 in far better races than this,if stable have it spot on would be favourite to win this off just 58 this stable like to bet them as well so will soon know its fate.
2.0
Miss elsa 8/1 365 15/2 victor/hills 7/1 sportsbook
Miss elsa always looks unlucky but always gets dropped out and has to be ridden that way so always running ion at finish,think there are more races in her but as with these 1m2f races at lingfield they dawdle which makes it even harder for her,another with obvious ew chance whivh imprives with pace..She's only a pound higher than when beating music major here in december,don't think the best of her has been seen yet till a guaranteed gallop.
Kempton 8.0
Takeonefortheam 12/1 ppower/betway 11/1 skybet
Agent of fortune could still be improving even though its won six races since december and shaffire could be improving,think it ran a bit flat saturday and the most obvious one with murphy riding prompting looks the one to beat with just four runs.Takeonefortheteam looks exposed two wins over c/d off 59 and 60 tomorrow off 63..Its recent runs have been poor in lower grade races, a habit of getting behind,last time it run here was third to choral music off 64 that was only a 0-70 tomorrow a 0-75,probably not a great 0-75 so maybe coming back to a track where all its best form is an ew chance..Probably no better than that,hoping a few don't handle the track at head of the market,fav looks the obvious one prmpting
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Gunmaker wss non trier yesterday,so mat have to back it again unfortunately soime small interests again tomorrow desperate racing again on the aw
Lingfield 1.30
Ramatuelle 16/1 365 14/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/betfred
Formerly with prescott stable and been with laura mongan for three runs,trainers in desperate form 230 days since a winner and 59 runners so could only be a token pick has gone off huge prices in last three runs so no stable confidence in races..Last time out the first glimmer of form on the aw a fifth to subliminal over 1m2fs in this grade a 0-55,has run pk over tomorrows further trips of 1m4fs,got stopped a little in run that day if it can run to that form then has an ew chance although maybe worth noting if no show tomorrow once trauner hits form again..Billy star showed a glimmer of ability a nine runner maiden beaten 6 1/2ls in a 0-60 over c/d in december another rag that might run ok
Got 4s a place for billy star so got my stake back,ramatuelle driftred to 32s on betfair, looked like non trier to me finishing under hands n heels,billy star shouldv'e won..
2.35
Highway one 9/4 ppower/sportsbook/victor Amaretto 11/2 hills
There doesn't look much between highwayone and fivehundred miles on their recent c/d run,the 7/4 is very short i expect it will drift as is 0/22
in the main its 2016 form was in far better grades class 5s but now beaten in 6s last three runs,you could easily back the other as well fivehundredmiles.Fivehundred miles was having its first run for dave evans and he had a winner today,althoigh last time out this runner was tailed off that was at swell over a mile so easily forguven..
Amaretto probably the most interesting runner,coming back from a 177 day break twelve lifetime runs lightly raced and the standout is 1/1 over c/d again that was after a 159 break so very similar to that win,stables been totally put of form although did have a winner over the sticks a few weeks ago..Betting should be a big guveaway as its turf form was all in class 5s it nort got nearer than second but last five runs was 2/2/2/5/5 in far better races than this,if stable have it spot on would be favourite to win this off just 58 this stable like to bet them as well so will soon know its fate.
Absolutely unreal amaretto as said shouldv'e been favourite gets bet into 5/4 3ls clear and trades 1.01 then the other hits the front with 100 yards to go and gets done on the line winer trades at 1000,just incredible can't get over that turns what couldv'e been monster day into ok.
2.0
Miss elsa 8/1 365 15/2 victor/hills 7/1 sportsbook
Miss elsa always looks unlucky but always gets dropped out and has to be ridden that way so always running ion at finish,think there are more races in her but as with these 1m2f races at lingfield they dawdle which makes it even harder for her,another with obvious ew chance whivh imprives with pace..She's only a pound higher than when beating music major here in december,don't think the best of her has been seen yet till a guaranteed gallop.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Incredible as soon as it broke on terms i knew it had won,always gives 10ls away usually incredible pruces was still 7.4 on betfair even did the 4 places at 1.41 incase they crawled,nice!!
Kempton 8.0
Takeonefortheam 12/1 ppower/betway 11/1 skybet
Agent of fortune could still be improving even though its won six races since december and shaffire could be improving,think it ran a bit flat saturday and the most obvious one with murphy riding prompting looks the one to beat with just four runs.Takeonefortheteam looks exposed two wins over c/d off 59 and 60 tomorrow off 63..Its recent runs have been poor in lower grade races, a habit of getting behind,last time it run here was third to choral music off 64 that was only a 0-70 tomorrow a 0-75,probably not a great 0-75 so maybe coming back to a track where all its best form is an ew chance..Probably no better than that,hoping a few don't handle the track at head of the market,fav looks the obvious one prmpting
Non runner but as write up backed other three,Agent of fortune,prompting and shaffire winner and runner up got 9s on the fair a huge price and the forecast £24,glad it never ran now..
back on track..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Still poor stuff,be glad when turfs back and still havn't moved yet so not doing much anyway..try some ew multiples
Wolves 5.15
Double reflection 6/1 365 11/2 hills Noble account 11/1 boyles/365
Double reflection never wins,has some decent form then follows up with poor runs,would normally avoid it i thik it needs to go back to swell recent third there to three cs todays first and second at swell today now looks good form for the grade and was run in a good time there,i will backing it there when switched..Runs over the extended mile tomorrow two runs here not really showing much,it would only be a token selection based on its previous runs as has been running better over a mile and has nevrr won on the aw..
Noble account only eight time life runs,a bit more interestong although julie fielden another trainer has very few winners and in bad form 186 days without a winner so would only be a small fancy..Last season a stand out run in a 0-85 on the turf at brighton,was a 3yr old had double reflection behind but is now 13 pounds worse off but that was WFO allowance,that was a good race on fast ground compared to tomorrows..Flopped after that in a weaker amateur riders race over same c/d with simon walker on,returned after a five month break running at swell in a 0-70 a very weak race for the grade ran ok looked as though wanted further finishing fourth,although if you look at the form the second was miles behind the horses double reflection was third to three cs and Equidae..
Different surface and trip tomorrow and first time in this grade,trainer comes up from suffolk for just the one runner and maybe the betting will be a pointer,sires 14% on the surface and ovver this trip 1m 1 1/2fs 20% so at least looks interesting into this 0-60..
Favourite comes over from ireland trainers got a very poor strike rate over there,but already one winner from five runners over here has been second recently at dundalk in a 0-65 they are better races over there the low grade races so this will be easier,may have had this race planned and looks the most obvious one likely to run to best..Zeshovs thrown in if it syas this trip won at newcastle last time out,won easily in a 0-65 apprentice handicap so no penalty obvious pick with the current favourite.If Bell heathers coming back to best,won over 7fs at this track last time out and was running off far higher marks on the turf won a 0-75 a year ago at this track off 61 off just 58 tomorrow,one for forecasts in a poor race..at least
5.45
Pilot wings 9/4 Beatbybeatbybeat 14/1 365/victor
Pilot wings was very poor last time out going off favourite at lingfield,was prominent in a slowly run race previous run won in this grade over c/d
has never been reliable and price is skinny but such a poor race hard to leave out with its best form over this c/d..
Beatbybeatbybeat 52 races only win five,hasn't won since august 2018 lowest mark since winning off 60 in april 2018 last seen november 30th,was only seventh of thirteen,race was very slowly run doing it no favours and was staying on,drops into a 0-60 ew chances if anywhere near most of its form,again hopefully they won't crawl..Fivehundred miles has joined the evans stable just two runs,used to be far higher but has looked a horse without a trip in recent times,this is so poor could well figure though,a strange urchase at 7 maybe for the sticks but could run well.
7.45
Roller 8/1 lads/unibet 15/2 betfred/corals/victor Harry george 6/1 hills 15/2 365
Roller used to be with mick easterby was always an unreliable tyoe once rated 88 joined the loughnane stable on 77 been on further decline since till winning over c/d in this grade on november 16th,runner up star of valours since won again easily over c/d..Keeps getting well behind and running on,probably reliant of decent pace as when it won and another obvious ew chance..
Harry george had looked progrssive on the aw till beaten off 67 for richard guest in november 2018,had wind surgery november 2019 the joined brian ellison third of february,ran ok after that long lay off was only sixth of ten,but was out the back from break and wasn't given a hard race in a 0-75 far better race than tomorrows..Back up to a trip that will suit more and another two pound drop,any sort of improvement from that run would have to figure,betting should be a big pointer in a weakish race..Rags baltic prince and rockesbury could run
ok,baltic prince is off lowest mark since 2014 and obviously on downgrade something like this looks winnable//
Lingfield 4.0
Chocco lad generally 5/2
Chocco star won a terrible race last time out time looked quick although maybe slightly misleading as the tracks been running really quick,was only .10 slower than the 4l winner of the 0-75 but with man in havana only 2 1/2ls behind chocco star looks a little dubious..A short price for a horse that needs luck in running,but only progressive runner in the field with just nine runs..It's probably a good ew race with this being so short but they are all pretty unreliable,will probably have another look through as some big prices,probably the obvious one is garh rocket never won over the trip usually 7fs but hasn't run a bad race all season,could be staying on if loads of pace on..
Places and a little saver on garth rocket at 7s,think chocco was a little unlucky depleted field took the pace out with non runners just missed out on the forecast as well..
Wolves 5.15
Double reflection 6/1 365 11/2 hills Noble account 11/1 boyles/365
Double reflection never wins,has some decent form then follows up with poor runs,would normally avoid it i thik it needs to go back to swell recent third there to three cs todays first and second at swell today now looks good form for the grade and was run in a good time there,i will backing it there when switched..Runs over the extended mile tomorrow two runs here not really showing much,it would only be a token selection based on its previous runs as has been running better over a mile and has nevrr won on the aw..
Noble account only eight time life runs,a bit more interestong although julie fielden another trainer has very few winners and in bad form 186 days without a winner so would only be a small fancy..Last season a stand out run in a 0-85 on the turf at brighton,was a 3yr old had double reflection behind but is now 13 pounds worse off but that was WFO allowance,that was a good race on fast ground compared to tomorrows..Flopped after that in a weaker amateur riders race over same c/d with simon walker on,returned after a five month break running at swell in a 0-70 a very weak race for the grade ran ok looked as though wanted further finishing fourth,although if you look at the form the second was miles behind the horses double reflection was third to three cs and Equidae..
Different surface and trip tomorrow and first time in this grade,trainer comes up from suffolk for just the one runner and maybe the betting will be a pointer,sires 14% on the surface and ovver this trip 1m 1 1/2fs 20% so at least looks interesting into this 0-60..
Favourite comes over from ireland trainers got a very poor strike rate over there,but already one winner from five runners over here has been second recently at dundalk in a 0-65 they are better races over there the low grade races so this will be easier,may have had this race planned and looks the most obvious one likely to run to best..Zeshovs thrown in if it syas this trip won at newcastle last time out,won easily in a 0-65 apprentice handicap so no penalty obvious pick with the current favourite.If Bell heathers coming back to best,won over 7fs at this track last time out and was running off far higher marks on the turf won a 0-75 a year ago at this track off 61 off just 58 tomorrow,one for forecasts in a poor race..at least
5.45
Pilot wings 9/4 Beatbybeatbybeat 14/1 365/victor
Pilot wings was very poor last time out going off favourite at lingfield,was prominent in a slowly run race previous run won in this grade over c/d
has never been reliable and price is skinny but such a poor race hard to leave out with its best form over this c/d..
Beatbybeatbybeat 52 races only win five,hasn't won since august 2018 lowest mark since winning off 60 in april 2018 last seen november 30th,was only seventh of thirteen,race was very slowly run doing it no favours and was staying on,drops into a 0-60 ew chances if anywhere near most of its form,again hopefully they won't crawl..Fivehundred miles has joined the evans stable just two runs,used to be far higher but has looked a horse without a trip in recent times,this is so poor could well figure though,a strange urchase at 7 maybe for the sticks but could run well.
7.45
Roller 8/1 lads/unibet 15/2 betfred/corals/victor Harry george 6/1 hills 15/2 365
Roller used to be with mick easterby was always an unreliable tyoe once rated 88 joined the loughnane stable on 77 been on further decline since till winning over c/d in this grade on november 16th,runner up star of valours since won again easily over c/d..Keeps getting well behind and running on,probably reliant of decent pace as when it won and another obvious ew chance..
Harry george had looked progrssive on the aw till beaten off 67 for richard guest in november 2018,had wind surgery november 2019 the joined brian ellison third of february,ran ok after that long lay off was only sixth of ten,but was out the back from break and wasn't given a hard race in a 0-75 far better race than tomorrows..Back up to a trip that will suit more and another two pound drop,any sort of improvement from that run would have to figure,betting should be a big pointer in a weakish race..Rags baltic prince and rockesbury could run
ok,baltic prince is off lowest mark since 2014 and obviously on downgrade something like this looks winnable//
Lingfield 4.0
Chocco lad generally 5/2
Chocco star won a terrible race last time out time looked quick although maybe slightly misleading as the tracks been running really quick,was only .10 slower than the 4l winner of the 0-75 but with man in havana only 2 1/2ls behind chocco star looks a little dubious..A short price for a horse that needs luck in running,but only progressive runner in the field with just nine runs..It's probably a good ew race with this being so short but they are all pretty unreliable,will probably have another look through as some big prices,probably the obvious one is garh rocket never won over the trip usually 7fs but hasn't run a bad race all season,could be staying on if loads of pace on..
Places and a little saver on garth rocket at 7s,think chocco was a little unlucky depleted field took the pace out with non runners just missed out on the forecast as well..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Still poor stuff,be glad when turfs back and still havn't moved yet so not doing much anyway..try some ew multiples
Wolves 5.15
Double reflection 6/1 365 11/2 hills Noble account 11/1 boyles/365
Double reflection never wins,has some decent form then follows up with poor runs,would normally avoid it i thik it needs to go back to swell recent third there to three cs todays first and second at swell today now looks good form for the grade and was run in a good time there,i will backing it there when switched..Runs over the extended mile tomorrow two runs here not really showing much,it would only be a token selection based on its previous runs as has been running better over a mile and has nevrr won on the aw..
Noble account only eight time life runs,a bit more interestong although julie fielden another trainer has very few winners and in bad form 186 days without a winner so would only be a small fancy..Last season a stand out run in a 0-85 on the turf at brighton,was a 3yr old had double reflection behind but is now 13 pounds worse off but that was WFO allowance,that was a good race on fast ground compared to tomorrows..Flopped after that in a weaker amateur riders race over same c/d with simon walker on,returned after a five month break running at swell in a 0-70 a very weak race for the grade ran ok looked as though wanted further finishing fourth,although if you look at the form the second was miles behind the horses double reflection was third to three cs and Equidae..
Different surface and trip tomorrow and first time in this grade,trainer comes up from suffolk for just the one runner and maybe the betting will be a pointer,sires 14% on the surface and ovver this trip 1m 1 1/2fs 20% so at least looks interesting into this 0-60..
Favourite comes over from ireland trainers got a very poor strike rate over there,but already one winner from five runners over here has been second recently at dundalk in a 0-65 they are better races over there the low grade races so this will be easier,may have had this race planned and looks the most obvious one likely to run to best..Zeshovs thrown in if it syas this trip won at newcastle last time out,won easily in a 0-65 apprentice handicap so no penalty obvious pick with the current favourite.If Bell heathers coming back to best,won over 7fs at this track last time out and was running off far higher marks on the turf won a 0-75 a year ago at this track off 61 off just 58 tomorrow,one for forecasts in a poor race..at least
5.45
Pilot wings 9/4 Beatbybeatbybeat 14/1 365/victor
Pilot wings was very poor last time out going off favourite at lingfield,was prominent in a slowly run race previous run won in this grade over c/d
has never been reliable and price is skinny but such a poor race hard to leave out with its best form over this c/d..
Beatbybeatbybeat 52 races only win five,hasn't won since august 2018 lowest mark since winning off 60 in april 2018 last seen november 30th,was only seventh of thirteen,race was very slowly run doing it no favours and was staying on,drops into a 0-60 ew chances if anywhere near most of its form,again hopefully they won't crawl..Fivehundred miles has joined the evans stable just two runs,used to be far higher but has looked a horse without a trip in recent times,this is so poor could well figure though,a strange urchase at 7 maybe for the sticks but could run well.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Thought my luck was out after earlier races,also got forecast and tricast £118.87 trifecta £277
for some reason belle heather was in first write up cleaned up,hope uyopu noticed!!!:lol::lol:
f Bell heathers coming back to best,won over 7fs at this track last time out and was running off far higher marks on the turf won a 0-75 a year ago at this track off 61 off just 58 tomorrow,one for forecasts in a poor race..at least
7.45
Roller 8/1 lads/unibet 15/2 betfred/corals/victor Harry george 6/1 hills 15/2 365
Roller used to be with mick easterby was always an unreliable tyoe once rated 88 joined the loughnane stable on 77 been on further decline since till winning over c/d in this grade on november 16th,runner up star of valours since won again easily over c/d..Keeps getting well behind and running on,probably reliant of decent pace as when it won and another obvious ew chance..
Harry george had looked progrssive on the aw till beaten off 67 for richard guest in november 2018,had wind surgery november 2019 the joined brian ellison third of february,ran ok after that long lay off was only sixth of ten,but was out the back from break and wasn't given a hard race in a 0-75 far better race than tomorrows..Back up to a trip that will suit more and another two pound drop,any sort of improvement from that run would have to figure,betting should be a big pointer in a weakish race..Rags baltic prince and rockesbury could run
ok,baltic prince is off lowest mark since 2014 and obviously on downgrade something like this looks winnable//
Absolute torture watching that both eyecatchers and both out of the frame roller gives the whiole field 6ls beaten 3ls loads in hand and harry george hampeed stopped in run,looks to me like track didn't suit two for notebooks,annoying some nuce bets running on there as well..
Lingfield 4.0
Chocco lad generally 5/2
Chocco star won a terrible race last time out time looked quick although maybe slightly misleading as the tracks been running really quick,was only .10 slower than the 4l winner of the 0-75 but with man in havana only 2 1/2ls behind chocco star looks a little dubious..A short price for a horse that needs luck in running,but only progressive runner in the field with just nine runs..It's probably a good ew race with this being so short but they are all pretty unreliable,will probably have another look through as some big prices,probably the obvious one is garh rocket never won over the trip usually 7fs but hasn't run a bad race all season,could be staying on if loads of pace on..
Places and a little saver on garth rocket at 7s,think chocco was a little unlucky depleted field took the pace out with non runners just missed out on the forecast as well..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
swell 2.35
Mukha magic 9/1 skybet Brooklyn bay evens betfair.
Put mukha magic up last time looked an unlucky loser,tomorrow's race is a far better race against genuine 0-75 horses most with swell experience,mukha magic won by 7ls off 61 last july on the turf and although only fourth of six in a 0-85 at windsor that was still better than this went off 6/4 fav.Disappointed back at windsor beaten 11ls a step backwards,looked well in on reappearence at chelmsford at huge prices not getting a run in a weak race a 0-65,runs off same mark tomorrow 66 but geirge rook takes off seven so down to 59,sire mukhadram is 16% on the surface so might be woxrth trying getting weight off the others..
Also like the fav Brooklyn bay won by 14ls here penultimate run,an absolutely terrible race but they went quick early then slowed the pace down eventually the race was only slow by 1.28 seconds and was two seconds quicker than the 0-70 won by arabian king,taken a huge rise in weights after scrappy win at lingfield..A very short price presently might drift a little yet as mukha magic and Tigray being backed,if those two races havn't caight up with him even though up massive twenty one pound would probably win on that previous swell run,may drift out too evenns all depending what happens with the overnight gambles..
Mukha magic 9/1 skybet Brooklyn bay evens betfair.
Put mukha magic up last time looked an unlucky loser,tomorrow's race is a far better race against genuine 0-75 horses most with swell experience,mukha magic won by 7ls off 61 last july on the turf and although only fourth of six in a 0-85 at windsor that was still better than this went off 6/4 fav.Disappointed back at windsor beaten 11ls a step backwards,looked well in on reappearence at chelmsford at huge prices not getting a run in a weak race a 0-65,runs off same mark tomorrow 66 but geirge rook takes off seven so down to 59,sire mukhadram is 16% on the surface so might be woxrth trying getting weight off the others..
Also like the fav Brooklyn bay won by 14ls here penultimate run,an absolutely terrible race but they went quick early then slowed the pace down eventually the race was only slow by 1.28 seconds and was two seconds quicker than the 0-70 won by arabian king,taken a huge rise in weights after scrappy win at lingfield..A very short price presently might drift a little yet as mukha magic and Tigray being backed,if those two races havn't caight up with him even though up massive twenty one pound would probably win on that previous swell run,may drift out too evenns all depending what happens with the overnight gambles..
Last edited:
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!And forecast,prices looked huge i actiually got a bit of 11/1 as well,got smashed to pieces had a feeling the final furong would be the thing that would got fav beat laid off at 1.3 so stake back but made up for it with firecast althoigh only just seen sps ffs it was 15/2 all morning,annihilated..£csf 6.40 exacta £9.40 great race though,they had no chance on the times so you could only bet the two..Another great month incoming..
Last edited:
double trigger
Amateur Rider
- Joined
- Jun 2, 2018
- Messages
- 13
Well done Gigs, hope your health is good mate! Been following you again as I've got a few new accounts. Looks like GDPR has helped in that. Hope all is well
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Not really fella ill all winter,waiting for better weather trying to get a boost for immune system,favourite traded 1.05 in that race and mukha magic 25s wish i'd been watching closely not really doing much but to be honest these aw cards have been pretty dire,strangest aw season ever with hardly anything on the clock noted and 3yr olds have been absolutely abysmal..Looking forward to the turf just for first couple of months,then will have a break once the night racing starts..
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Not really fella ill all winter,waiting for better weather trying to get a boost for immune system,favourite traded 1.05 in that race and mukha magic 25s wish i'd been watching closely not really doing much but to be honest these aw cards have been pretty dire,strangest aw season ever with hardly anything on the clock noted and 3yr olds have been absolutely abysmal..Looking forward to the turf just for first couple of months,then will have a break once the night racing starts..
Markssetgo
At the Start
- Joined
- Nov 9, 2017
- Messages
- 72
Some picking and I was on this time and not in with some mad accy.
Well done Giggs
Well done Giggs
gigilo
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 5, 2011
- Messages
- 9,797
Newcastle 4.45
Dawaaleeb 12/1 victor 11/1 lads/skybet/corals/betfred/betway/unibet/hills
This could be just out for the run,is entered in the lincoln won't get in anyway only rated 85 but might run in the springmile same day at donny,was fourth in it last season off 94 that was off virtually similar break as tomorrows comeback run.Followed up with plenty of good form in very competitve big fields class 2 and 3 handicaps,then lewis edmunds was given the last three rides on it,worst races its run in two seasons,he's up again tomorrow so i suspect could be the same as those last three runs..The positve as mentioned after similar break was fourth in the spring mile off 94 and the preious season came after another similar break when winning at this track over the mile...those last three runs have got it down to 85 lowest since winning off 83 in may 2018...Would be favourite to win this if it was at its best,just looks likely to be blowout and has never won over 7fs before just the mile,worth a token bet to find out as trainers out of form as well as suspect jock..Might even be worth looking out for prices for the spring mile if entered as that maybe the real target,betting will be interesting tomorrow in this grade.
Gallipoli has been very unreliable in recent times,was second to keyser soze over this c/d a year ago off 90 been virtually unbackable since even though sliding in the weights,decent third at wolves last time out in a 0-95 wouldn't rely on it but well in if can follow that up.
Gallipoli hacks up hope you had a saver,had the best recent form took 7/1 annoying really as its lasr run was far better than these dawaaleeb out for the run trying to make all impossib;e there at the moinute thats its four worst runs with the dodgepot edmunds riding,it's no coincidence..at least second picks are winning as well which is bonus.
Chelmsford 8.0
Tebay 7/2 365/betway 10/30 generally ppower/sportsbook
Tebay migt be worth a small ew bet some forms going 4 places,been very consistent in recent runs was running terrible for previous trainer now with john best ffor last five runs,scraped two wins here over this c/d and kempton over the same trip..Last time out finishing third behind miss elsa last week i put her up,that was a poor race but still better than tomorriows just,went off a crazy pruce Tebay but still ran ok finishing as though really wanting further,tends to get behind so on this track is risky as needs a decent pace to aim at,actially think this will be stepped up in trip if this c/d is too short..Running off 57 as long as they go quick enough should be roundabouts,probably Arlecchinos leap usually runs well here as well..Bird to love won a 0-65 at kemton in november then ran terrible afterwards,ran here last time out over an inadequate mile running on could easily run well with another two furlongs to go,although traners 0/31 so far this year..and lady of york beat dazzling darren and that ones won 0-65 and 0-70 since so must have good chance add on for forecasts.
Dawaaleeb 12/1 victor 11/1 lads/skybet/corals/betfred/betway/unibet/hills
This could be just out for the run,is entered in the lincoln won't get in anyway only rated 85 but might run in the springmile same day at donny,was fourth in it last season off 94 that was off virtually similar break as tomorrows comeback run.Followed up with plenty of good form in very competitve big fields class 2 and 3 handicaps,then lewis edmunds was given the last three rides on it,worst races its run in two seasons,he's up again tomorrow so i suspect could be the same as those last three runs..The positve as mentioned after similar break was fourth in the spring mile off 94 and the preious season came after another similar break when winning at this track over the mile...those last three runs have got it down to 85 lowest since winning off 83 in may 2018...Would be favourite to win this if it was at its best,just looks likely to be blowout and has never won over 7fs before just the mile,worth a token bet to find out as trainers out of form as well as suspect jock..Might even be worth looking out for prices for the spring mile if entered as that maybe the real target,betting will be interesting tomorrow in this grade.
Gallipoli has been very unreliable in recent times,was second to keyser soze over this c/d a year ago off 90 been virtually unbackable since even though sliding in the weights,decent third at wolves last time out in a 0-95 wouldn't rely on it but well in if can follow that up.
Gallipoli hacks up hope you had a saver,had the best recent form took 7/1 annoying really as its lasr run was far better than these dawaaleeb out for the run trying to make all impossib;e there at the moinute thats its four worst runs with the dodgepot edmunds riding,it's no coincidence..at least second picks are winning as well which is bonus.
Chelmsford 8.0
Tebay 7/2 365/betway 10/30 generally ppower/sportsbook
Tebay migt be worth a small ew bet some forms going 4 places,been very consistent in recent runs was running terrible for previous trainer now with john best ffor last five runs,scraped two wins here over this c/d and kempton over the same trip..Last time out finishing third behind miss elsa last week i put her up,that was a poor race but still better than tomorriows just,went off a crazy pruce Tebay but still ran ok finishing as though really wanting further,tends to get behind so on this track is risky as needs a decent pace to aim at,actially think this will be stepped up in trip if this c/d is too short..Running off 57 as long as they go quick enough should be roundabouts,probably Arlecchinos leap usually runs well here as well..Bird to love won a 0-65 at kemton in november then ran terrible afterwards,ran here last time out over an inadequate mile running on could easily run well with another two furlongs to go,although traners 0/31 so far this year..and lady of york beat dazzling darren and that ones won 0-65 and 0-70 since so must have good chance add on for forecasts.
Last edited: