Markssetgo
At the Start
- Joined
- Nov 9, 2017
- Messages
- 72
Did a dutch double on it so still in the games Giggs nice one
Newcastle 4.45
Dawaaleeb 12/1 victor 11/1 lads/skybet/corals/betfred/betway/unibet/hills
This could be just out for the run,is entered in the lincoln won't get in anyway only rated 85 but might run in the springmile same day at donny,was fourth in it last season off 94 that was off virtually similar break as tomorrows comeback run.Followed up with plenty of good form in very competitve big fields class 2 and 3 handicaps,then lewis edmunds was given the last three rides on it,worst races its run in two seasons,he's up again tomorrow so i suspect could be the same as those last three runs..The positve as mentioned after similar break was fourth in the spring mile off 94 and the preious season came after another similar break when winning at this track over the mile...those last three runs have got it down to 85 lowest since winning off 83 in may 2018...Would be favourite to win this if it was at its best,just looks likely to be blowout and has never won over 7fs before just the mile,worth a token bet to find out as trainers out of form as well as suspect jock..Might even be worth looking out for prices for the spring mile if entered as that maybe the real target,betting will be interesting tomorrow in this grade.
Gallipoli has been very unreliable in recent times,was second to keyser soze over this c/d a year ago off 90 been virtually unbackable since even though sliding in the weights,decent third at wolves last time out in a 0-95 wouldn't rely on it but well in if can follow that up.
Gallipoli hacks up hope you had a saver,had the best recent form took 7/1 annoying really as its lasr run was far better than these dawaaleeb out for the run trying to make all impossib;e there at the moinute thats its four worst runs with the dodgepot edmunds riding,it's no coincidence..at least second picks are winning as well which is bonus.
Chelmsford 8.0
Tebay 7/2 365/betway 10/30 generally ppower/sportsbook
Tebay migt be worth a small ew bet some forms going 4 places,been very consistent in recent runs was running terrible for previous trainer now with john best ffor last five runs,scraped two wins here over this c/d and kempton over the same trip..Last time out finishing third behind miss elsa last week i put her up,that was a poor race but still better than tomorriows just,went off a crazy pruce Tebay but still ran ok finishing as though really wanting further,tends to get behind so on this track is risky as needs a decent pace to aim at,actially think this will be stepped up in trip if this c/d is too short..Running off 57 as long as they go quick enough should be roundabouts,probably Arlecchinos leap usually runs well here as well..Bird to love won a 0-65 at kemton in november then ran terrible afterwards,ran here last time out over an inadequate mile running on could easily run well with another two furlongs to go,although traners 0/31 so far this year..and lady of york beat dazzling darren and that ones won 0-65 and 0-70 since so must have good chance add on for forecasts.
Newcastle 6.15
Gowanbuster 10/1 victor.
Put it up last time came fourth as usual lead from the 6 draw,the stands side draws came up 13,14 although the 4 draw was third they were all finishers,really looks like it needs dropping a few pounds to get back to winning,that race was a 0-75 last time put but i think this 0-70 has horses just as good or well handicapped like the two favs Bunian and klopp..For some reason they are coming away from the rail on the break yet winners are still coming down the stands side,tomorrow it's a 13 runner race and i think gowanbuster looks an unlikely winner,at least this time gets a high drw in the 13 boxhopefully won't get taken on and at least trade low in running..I like five or six in this race so impossible to narrow it down,i might pick out another one yet if the front of the market gets overbet..
Kempton 7.45
Atletico 16/1 ppower/spotsbook/skybet 14/1 generally
Front three in market all being backed in this race and they all look ope to improvement or quite well handicapped like Tintoretto,Atletic has only won 3/55 not something i would normally back but think it's going to win soon and probably here..This doesn't really look the race with unexposed runners and plenty of negatives drawn 13 and even though 7 pound claimer laura pearson rides,she rarley rides winners so a lot to ask,but will have a small bet on it..Runs off 74 tomorrow 67 with the claim,last run was fourth here over a mile a bit to far and penultimate run a third in this grade off 73 got stopped in run maybe an unlucky loser,same grade tomorrow a 0-80,think its worth following back here if doesn't show tomorrow as can drop in grade still has an ew chance tomorrow but those obvious negatives..
Never did it, actually saw the 20/1 and was just waiting on the Atletico prices then saw it was 7/1 Atletico doesn't run and the to ward runner wins at 3/1 favourite unreall
Lincoln trial saturday wolves 1.35
Fox power 7/2 lads/corals Viva serendipity 10/1 hills/skybet/victor/sportsbook/ppower
Lincoln trial looks very competitive race,am just going to back the two horses that came out of the conditions race run here on the third of february Viva serendipity beat Fox power by 1/2l viva serendipity now runs off 105 lifetime highest mark heading the weights in a race like this doesn't look an obvious one to win again..Am really just going on the time,a very decent pace set by arcanada in the race,if that one hadn't been drawn wide with an experieced jock on may have been worth a small bet even though finished behind the other two,the winning time ended up 1m 45.76 the winner looked to be going away but fox power has a nine pound turnaround..
These two shouldn't strictly beat a couple in this race on other aw handicap form,am just hoping that last race was a step up in form on maybe a preferential track,if it isn't the the race just looks impossible..
Hayley Turner knew that was a 1m race and not 6f, right?
Can't believe what i've just watched there the two horses with the best times take each other on and she just lit up the other,two of the strangest rides i've ever seen can't figure out what they were trying to do,horses very rarely win from the front there,there wred alreadt loads of frot runners in the race and they were both held up off a fast pace last time out,the race ends up 10ls slower than the race they were 1st and 2nd in last time out..The 1,2,3 aren't in the same class as those what a complete farce that was..
She is unbelievably overrated. She made a move like it was a sprint race.
In fairness to Hayley, sectionals tell a different story, Slim:
ttps://www.attheraces.com/racecard/Wolverhampton/07-March-2020/1335
'Sectional Tools' show the 2 favs didn't go nearly fast enough for the 2nd two furlongs, and the racecourse commentator called it right when he described a "stacking,packing field" turning in.
Hope your keep safe with your illnesses Giggs. Look after yourself at time crazy time.
Hope Gigs is ok and enjoying a break. Stay safe guys
2,000 Guineas
Pinatubo 4/1 lads 7/2 skybet/corals/totesport/betfred.
I said when i put up Visinari and pinatubo could be the pointer for the 2,000 guineas it looked like nothing else turned up but the time of the race and ease of the win backs up the winners massive potential..The vintage stakes was a 1.07 seconds quicker than the older horse lennox stakes winner rated 111 thats miles clear of anything this season and i'm sure nothing will get anywhere near that sort of time either..Not forgetting pinatubo won easily and softer ground and went on faster ground at ascot,not even sure i can remember any 2yr old group race being a second quicker than an older group 2 ever,probably has been but i can't remember...that winning time puts it off the scale...A very short price for a long wait,but there would have to be something very special to come out now and on the day you could be looking at an odds on shot..would never do a bet like this and wait for so long but with a time like that its impossible to not have a bet..
Hills have races priced up well in advance,obviously a guessing game this early but will try some multiples,they may well be bigger some of them for tuesday
Wolves 6.0
Wilify 11/1 hills/skybet/victor 1 10/1 365 generally Llilikian 14/1 365 12/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor hills 10/1 365
Wide open looking race,wilify has had eight runs so a bit exposed but best run came here over tomorrows c/d,2nd off 68 hamered in run had astrozone just behins and that won a similar race at newcastle last week..Off a pound lower mark tomorrow and trainers had a winner from four runners then an ew chance,the other Lilikan another looking a little exposed ten runs and one win,that came at swell and beat astrozone same formline as wilify..That was it's only winning surface but has run ok at lingfield,wolves and kempton has found trouble or been left in those three races,maybe not a winning profile but if gets the breaks then another ew chance.Trainers had two runners two winners.
6.30
Stagaire 3/1 hills
Not a lot to go on,but stagaire ran a race that looked like horse was crying out for a trip looked like droppung away four furlongs out over 1m4fs aat lingfield on last run,then last furlong was motoring wouldv'e won another 100 yards,steps upto 1m6fs tomorrow..That may have just been a poor race so hard to know the value of the form,but at least looks a stayer,hopefully stamina will be used,ralph beckets 2/18 so far this season..horse runs off 69 betting will be intersting with two johnson runners.
7.0
Australis 4/1 hills 365
Caravan of hope won a 0-90 last time out at donny,the one too beat,australis has the aw form here over c/d a 2nd to seaforth in this grade in a fairy decent time with field well strung out behind,charlie d was 2 1/2ls behind in 3rd has won again and is now rated 90,so obvious place chances at least if returns in form..Alan king has two entered in this fidux a 140+ rated hurdler hasn't been seen much rated 83 could well figure althogh maybe want even further but still interesting he has two entered..
8.0
Michele strogoff 11/2 hills 7/1 ppower/sportsbook
Michelle strogoff loads of racing and may now be simply on downgrade after so muxh racing,but will give it a chance as lowest ever mark 74 drops into a 0-77,front runner and a poor draw in 11 so hoping appleby has got the horse freshened up from break if so decent ew chances..Favourite squelch looks most interesting runner in the race,only five runs last time out was only second in a 0-70 but was run in a decent time and staying on well at chelmsford..Have had a small bet on that as well at 4/1 hopefully at least gets in places..
15/2 generally doesn't look good with a drift like that in this grade.
Chelmsford 7.45
Que quieries 7/2 365 Norab 7/1 hills 8/1 365 9/1 365 ppower/sportsbook
A poor 0-60 Que quieries obvious starting point with decent c/d record although is very slow last run here was 2nd in a 0-65 over this c/d obvious place chances trainer simon dow yet to have a winner..The other Norab a veteran at nine but has only had five runs on the aw and two wins,but hasn't win a race on the level since 2015,last time it ran on the aw was in september was fifth in a 0-80 over 2mile at wolves only beaten 5 1/2ls.
and followed that up with a 3rd at chepstow in a 0-65..Two poor runs over hurdles since,leaves him on 61,if this lot turn out to be useless he could run well although long lay off of 266 days..its last win was here back in 2015 and has not run here since.
Shaun keightley has already had twio winners,his runner waterproof won by 15ls over the sticks in january,running off just 51 in a terrible race that form transferred to this srface would have to be involved,another to consider maybe forecasts as well.
7.45
Whatwillbe 5/1 hills 365 4/1 generally
The second div of these 1m6f races and whawillbe looking pretty exposed with fourteen runs one win over hurdles and a second,ran over 1m4fs at wolves in october a 0-65 running on fifth form only looks mediocre especially at prices,more of a positve was next run at wetherby over hurdles beaten 5 1/2ls in a listed race..the third won by 16ls off 127 over hurdles next time out and the winner ra well at chelytenham..It maybe its worth following just back over hurdles,but interesting to see if that run can be converted back on the level with t1 off a mark of 59..Mr fox plenty of course form is very slow all will depend if anythings hidden amongst 4yr olds if not then another obvious place chance.
Lingfield 8.20
Sweet charity 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 888sport/betfred 8/1 victor Voice of calm 7/1 365
Sweet charity sixteen races just one win,that was on turf way back in may 2018 so hard to win with also six runs on the aw with four places usually runs ok at lingfield never been out of the first five,on seasonal debut last season ran in a 0-90 over tomorrows c/d 3rd only beaten 2ls of 76..In and out since then running some poor races and now off just 63 lowest ever mark,and first ever run in a class six.
Trainer has a very poor strike rate very few winners,but prices would look massive in this grade and the betting should be a pointer as oisin murphy rides,if they think its spot on then no reason why it shoiuldn't be going off 5-6/1 in this grade,the last run here was in a 0-70 off 68 finishing fifth going off 8/1 so another drop in grade and in weights..With jock booking if this doesn't halve in prices at least i would expect a quiet ride,should be a decent trade..
The other one lihtly raced trained by harry dunlop,anpother trainer put of form and not many winners,has only had four runs a fourth at wolves in
July 2019 respectable maiden most of the runners in the first six from that race rated at least 65 some upto 80,that was vice of calms debut..
A couple of disappinting runs on turf and the aw then last time out a third of six in a 0-85 could be flattered in a six horse race but runs off just 65 so at least looks on respectable mark back on the aw.Favourite abel tasman could still be well handicapped and one at a bigger price revolutionary man is well handicapped if it stays would be dangerous.