Daily picks.

[gigilo]

Some speculative picks at Ffos Las really won't know what the ground will be currently says good,supposedly drizzle but could easily be fast ground or nearer gd/sft so have had some tiny bets on horses that have run ok on good ground...Will probably end up being fast ground and everythung will be dead bets ,but just small interests to pennies..

Ffios Las 2.10

Showmedemoney 12/1 365 10/1 hills 17/2 skybet 4places

Showmedemoney still only five runs,hasn't shown a great deal one run here over 7 1/2fs was 3rd led and was still staying on on good ground now
upped 1/2 furlong that looked a very weak race fir a 0-75 winner and runner up beaten since and even thogh the highest rated horse in here is only 72 would be very srprised if this isn't a better race..Hollie Doyle rides and rode the fav Aldbourne in a red hot nursery at Goodwood last time out,so she been taken off for Murphy, that one was staying on in a close 7th and even though it was on very slow ground the sire Awtaad has great stats on all grounds..Almost certain to get backed with doyle riding this one at 5/1 its worth betting for a free bet or trade,almost certaubly going to go off a lot shorter..Showmedemoney has since run at Kempton in a weak race,she maybe just very slow as finished over 3ls behind Cephalus also running in tomorrows race,only reason i'm doing her is draw in 1 went on ground,the race maybe just too good would settle for a place//

As usual the ground changed complete borefest ground changed to soft/gdsft ,she ends up 5th stopped riding made a few wquid trading the fav,got hammered as i thought it would in write up 6/4 won nothing on the race though as just mucking about ,be lucky to get any returns on my picks today most of them are running on the wrong grund now completeky impossible betting night befire with firecast as some drizzle.Complete pinjobs.


3.10


Black Castlestorm 7/1 victor/ hills 13/2 skybet 4 places

A 070 over the 7 1/2fs again,Black Castlestorm gets first time pieces some of its form this season has been in better races but has gotten worse in recent runs,and its form has come on good or slower so definitely wouldn'r want to see fast grund..This season a 2nd at Windsr off 75,then 2nd on next run on sfter ground again in a 0-75 then a bad run at Yarmouth in a 0-75 going off 9/4 fav and run badly at Newbury last time out on softer ground..Hard to be confident now nut drops into a 0-70 and claimer takes off 5 down to 66 again a token pick after last two runs but obvious ew if coming back to form he's also a 9 race maiden on the turf sio obvious negatve..Lamorna looks like an improver,just seven runs three on the turf and one win at Newbury over 7fs in this grade then last time out 5th in a 0-75,didn't break on terms llittle? over the trip but open to improvement


4.15


Brains 3/1 generally generally skybet 4 places Latent Heat 16/1 generally skybet 4 places Sir Plato 20/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower 18/1 skybet 4 places


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!And the forecast,will do me was expecting a wipeout after the rain,sweet!!!Laid and place laid that favourute as well mental price,not even a mention in my write up..csf £22.92..


Brains is very short a 0-70 over a mile and drawn 10 i suspect it will drift been running in different clasraces on the aw and running well and has yet to prove itself on turf o/6 including beat in this grade already this season going off 7/2 at Bath second and 5 pound higher..A possibility could be coming back to its old form so hard to leave out althiugh slow griund could be a negative..Two others Sir Plato he was running in better races early season hes also a c/d winner,but he looks to have gone out of form won a 0-80 off 74 in June at 11/4 fav,anywhere near early seasoon form he'd be 6-7/1 tops in this race althigh aother that doesn't want fast griund..the betting will be a pointer..
Latent heat caught my eye last time out but that was on the aw at Kempton in a weak 0-65 maybe one just for the aw to follow,won once on turf off 66 but on heavy ground maybe wants desperate griund but has an ew squak,presuming Carrolls trying with it..

4.50


Red Derek 25/1 365 20/1 generally 4 places skybet 5 places


A Lisa Williamson horse she has very few winners a handful a season,Red Derek was running consistenty early season for her and was loking reliable 3/1/3/2 in 0-85,0-80,0-75,0-70 then the poor runs off same marks,on earky season form would be up front in the market yet a 25/1 20/1 shot tomorrow and also has never run in a 0-65 befoire...Impossible to predict a trainer with such a poor strike rate,but Hollie Doyles riding and has a respectabe draw,its very speculative after last three runs betting would be interestung in this grade and only off 62,no doubt will hack up near the end of the season when titally unoticed on bad griund..Might be worth following as griund deteriorates.


5.20


The Daley Express 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 skybet 4 places Mister Bluebird 11/2 hills skybet 4 places Secret Fact 12/1 365 10/1 hills skybet 4 places


A wide open 0-70 over 5fs The Daley Express hasn't won since September 2020 lowest ever mar now of 69 and drops into a 0-70 and a course winner,must have ew chances once again,slight negative trainers out of form..Mister Bluebird 3yr old 3rd in a 0-75 at Sandown last time out and Secret Fact bit of a veteran now at 8yrs of age hasn't won since 2017 but run ok in class 4s recently,usually runs in 0-75s would need to be a mind reader to predict it wunning but decent ew chaces on the recent form..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!!And another forecast,relentless!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!£27.77 csf Exacta £35.40!!!Such ashame the sps always get ruined fpr forecasts two races where originally the firecasts would be double...A great day again,ground went against a few and some were darts..

 

[gigilo]

Newmarket 2.20 Saturday


Fearby 11/2 victor 4 places skybet 5 places

The £150,000 sales race for 2yr olds,Fearby has the best form 2nd in a group 3 and a 3rd and 4th in group 2s',won a listed race so far on softish grouns at Sandown in what looked a decent time...There is nothing in the race that has contested those sort of races so far although this race for some reaso rarely goes to form as previus seasons how,the ground looks like being soft maybe even slower,om sire stats that would be a big negative Havana Gold..Havana Gold is a decent sire over 5fs and good ground,on gd/sft sire is just 5% and on soft ground just 4% so would be unbackable on those stats,so 6fs and soft ground on stats then you are betting against them,the Sandown run suggests that softer ground is ok over 5fs but whther the combination of 6fs and sot will suit is a speculatve guess..It must be worth bet to find out at current prices,and the other runner looks like it miht be open ti iprvement Tatsumaki,has won 2/2 recently good time on debut at Newbury bear 83 rated Firth Of Clyde although that runer is still a maiden after five runs..Another weakish sire Charming Thought although has had 2/17 winners on soft griund ad at 7/1 looks like it should run well..A hug field last season the winner came up the middle while all the others came stands side from their 14 and 18 draws they have options in a huge field..might look through again see of there's a rag in this as always get big ptices hitting the frame.


3.50



River Nymph 7/1 skybet 6 places Aldaary 7/1 hills/victor 13/2 skybet 6 places


The eighteen runner heritage handicap,if the draw comes up high which is quite possile we are going to see some right prices,only one in the top secven of the betting in double figures,earlier in the season River Nymph won one of these c/d races off 100 that was in may and the low draws never figured although most of the runners finished up the middle and that was 27 runners..River Nymph still only 12 lifetime runs,has run twice since both good runs 4th to Kinross in a group 3 and then last time out finished on the bridle at Newbury in a listed race..returns here off 104 if the draw isn't a negative then obvious place chances at worst..
Aldaary only just 7 runs,three here over c/d a wi and then two fifths in huge fields on fast ground in the Buckingham Palace and the Moet and Chandon perfectly respectable runs and so far wins have come on softer ground,so a possibility that ground may have been too quick..Sire Territories best stats are on sooft ground at 25% so the more rain the better may suit..Horses like Escobar hardly ever runs a bad race closely matched with two of the favs on form and even Symbolize ran well in the listed race that River Nymph was unlucky in and could hit the frame at a big price as well..

 

[gigilo]

Will try a thieving multiple for interest tomorrow..very small interests.

Newcastle 4.55

Khatm 5/2 hills 9/4 365

Khatm has shown dramatic improvement rated 50 in February now rated 82,i backed it on one of ots wins at Swell won off 75 and 79 at Wolves after i never thought other surfaces would suit after winning there,i'm not quite sure its a 100% reliable as sometimes gets along way behid,but when it stepped up intrip here over this c/d was 2nd in the racing league a 0-90 and the race was .63 under standard..I would be worried it mau miss the break and they crawl but based on that last run here the obvious fav..
Glasses Up has the back clss to figure oif it goes o the aw sire English Channel has only had eight runners on tapeta one winner,ran well in a 0-95 over 1m5fs last time out and looks another to consider..



7.30

Pacino 5/1 sportsbbook/ppower 4 places


Pacino only won 2/32 although 1/6 on the aw and a coulple of places impossible to predict if it will win if ever but was contesting far better races than this when last on the aw 2nd over 66 back i November 2020 then a third off 68 in extended mile at Wolves..Hasn't shown much on the turf this season and gets to return to the aw off 56 drawn 14,if it retains that aw for of last seaso then should be favourite to win this although winning is another ?


8.0


Ask The Wind 5/1 generally 4 places


A terrible race,the second division of the mile races Ask The Wind is a nine race maiden has shown very little in those nine races bar a couple of places,one was a second here off 64 as a 2yr old,ran ok in a three horse race last time over 1m2fs dying in last furlong,drops oto 55 tomorrow..Blinkers are on fir forst time so place chances...


8.30


Bunian 9/2 hills skybet 4 places


A competitve 0-75 over 5fs Buniann is 4/15 on the aw with 4 other places Buniann hasn't run here since April time beat Mondammej off 75 in March here then third to Kid Review off 78 so obvious place chances back here off 76..Gownalad has regressed in recent runs but now comes back after wind surgery won at Wolves off 75 last season and wet off 7/2 fav here over c/d in a class 3 and has won over c/d befire trainer had a wunner yesterday..Wouldn't be a major surprise if involved coing down the weights running off 70 now..


Will add this to another just incase it comes back to form..


Ascot 4.50


Cliffs Of Capri 20/1 generally 5 places


Cliffs Of Capri loves Ascot but last time out here over c/d ran its worst ever race here last of 9 runners and droped in class,the only excuse couldv'e been the pace of the race,maybe had too much racing but its three previous runs over this c/d had been 4th to Daniyah in June off 95 2nd to Blue Mist and 4th to Motakhayyel June 2020..The horse could end up having the worst draw i 1 and until other races have beeen run would be guessing,if that's the case then obviousy has no chance,hoping they go down the middle as 18 runners not really enough to go far side..there is also a question over the ground..Impossible to know what that will be as well,probably till after racing starts

 

[gigilo]

Try some ew multiples,won't be big stakes as Ascot could be bottomless..



Ascot 3.15


Glen Shiel 9/2 365/hills 4 places 4/1 5 places Kings Lynn 12/1 hills/365 4 places 11/1 skybet 5 places


Ran poorly the last twice Glenshiel but ground probably not slow enouh,could well be on downgrade but worth giving a chance too running in a group
3,last two runs here over c/d has been 1st and 2nd and still the obvious one to beat if at its best..Kings Lynn an improving 4yr old and although mainly kept to fastish ground was 3rd in the Wokingham,didn't get the brst of runs in that race don't think it was an unlucky loser but may have been a little better..Two ? very soft ground could be heavy tomorrow and 6fs,sires best strike rate is over 5f and 5.5fs but the sires stats suggest soft ground or heavy could be ok 15% and 12% the day he was 3rd in the Wkinghan Glen Shiel was 2nd in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes and on the clock the difference between the two was a length in favour og Glen Shiel..If Kings Lynn likes ground and trip may not be much beteen them,best runs have been here this season he was also an eyecatcher in the Kings Stand when not getting a run...

Both placed will settle for it Kings Lynn looked like the winner,just think ground was too desperate..



Wolves 5.25


Rock Melody 5/2 365

Rock Melody on debut won a maiden easily by 3ls its had numerous horses behind it rated in the 80s,then beaten 5ls in a listed race two odds on losses since the second at Windsor not as bad as irt seemed had First Response behind i 3rd and that ones now rated 88 ran well in nurseries and well in a listed race at Ayr and the 4th typewriter has also won since..Last time outs run was very disappointing,odds on in a far easier race and came 4th over 7fs,a possibility has had enough but 5/2 still looks good from place side at worst drops back a furliong and has a decent draw,the sire Fascnating rock has never had a winner on Tapeta another negative so win wise might not look great but think its worth risking even if its just for the placeside.


6.0


Top Table 5/4 ppower/sportsbook/sky/hills


Top Table 3rd on debut,only 3rd of 5 beaten 3ls but it will be interesting to see how this race works out the tume was 1m35.95 .55 under standard
very rarely see that in maidens at Chelmsford it would be a good tme in most mile races there,there was a class 2 7f handicap on the card and that race was only fast by .60 seconds...Tried to make all Top Table over that mile drops back a furlong tomorrow,sometimes after a monster time they don't reproduce it on second run and the jockey booking is sightly off putting as Georgia Cox is on her comeback,11 rides in 18 months but just based on the time alone this could be a 90s+ horse..Have to back it but if it does get beat put it i the notebook as that time is wort following one of the fastest maidens ever run at Chelmsford that i can remember,maybe the fastest..

 

[gigilo]

Will try a thieving multiple for interest tomorrow..very small interests.

Newcastle 4.55

Khatm 5/2 hills 9/4 365

Khatm has shown dramatic improvement rated 50 in February now rated 82,i backed it on one of ots wins at Swell won off 75 and 79 at Wolves after i never thought other surfaces would suit after winning there,i'm not quite sure its a 100% reliable as sometimes gets along way behid,but when it stepped up intrip here over this c/d was 2nd in the racing league a 0-90 and the race was .63 under standard..I would be worried it mau miss the break and they crawl but based on that last run here the obvious fav..
Glasses Up has the back clss to figure oif it goes o the aw sire English Channel has only had eight runners on tapeta one winner,ran well in a 0-95 over 1m5fs last time out and looks another to consider..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!



7.30

Pacino 5/1 sportsbbook/ppower 4 places


Pacino only won 2/32 although 1/6 on the aw and a coulple of places impossible to predict if it will win if ever but was contesting far better races than this when last on the aw 2nd over 66 back i November 2020 then a third off 68 in extended mile at Wolves..Hasn't shown much on the turf this season and gets to return to the aw off 56 drawn 14,if it retains that aw for of last seaso then should be favourite to win this although winning is another ?
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM1!


8.0


Ask The Wind 5/1 generally 4 places


A terrible race,the second division of the mile races Ask The Wind is a nine race maiden has shown very little in those nine races bar a couple of places,one was a second here off 64 as a 2yr old,ran ok in a three horse race last time over 1m2fs dying in last furlong,drops oto 55 tomorrow..Blinkers are on fir forst time so place chances...
N/R


8.30


Bunian 9/2 hills skybet 4 places


A competitve 0-75 over 5fs Buniann is 4/15 on the aw with 4 other places Buniann hasn't run here since April time beat Mondammej off 75 in March here then third to Kid Review off 78 so obvious place chances back here off 76..Gownalad has regressed in recent runs but now comes back after wind surgery won at Wolves off 75 last season and wet off 7/2 fav here over c/d in a class 3 and has won over c/d befire trainer had a wunner yesterday..Wouldn't be a major surprise if involved coing down the weights running off 70 now..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!:lol:!!!!Get the wheelbarrows out ffs,got the lot three winners and a non runner and another multiple with the 20/1 shot!!!Bookies tears for supper!!!:lol:


Will add this to another just incase it comes back to form..


Ascot 4.50


Cliffs Of Capri 20/1 generally 5 places


Cliffs Of Capri loves Ascot but last time out here over c/d ran its worst ever race here last of 9 runners and droped in class,the only excuse couldv'e been the pace of the race,maybe had too much racing but its three previous runs over this c/d had been 4th to Daniyah in June off 95 2nd to Blue Mist and 4th to Motakhayyel June 2020..The horse could end up having the worst draw i 1 and until other races have beeen run would be guessing,if that's the case then obviousy has no chance,hoping they go down the middle as 18 runners not really enough to go far side..there is also a question over the ground..Impossible to know what that will be as well,probably till after racing starts

Lovely place,unlucky i running this has made the bets worth fortunes...monster day..

 

[Nonannyimfine]

Well done giggsy nice treble

 

[gigilo]

Four win trebles with non runner two seperate multiples £1ew returns £400 and ew superyank £700 for £1ew,won 5 figures even though i halved my stakes.. i had 4 winners on the bounce marked off at Ascot unreal thought it's going to be one of those days..Wouldv'e been seething if i hadn't won after those early races..:lol::lol:

 

[gigilo]

Newmarket 2.20 Saturday


Fearby 11/2 victor 4 places skybet 5 places

The £150,000 sales race for 2yr olds,Fearby has the best form 2nd in a group 3 and a 3rd and 4th in group 2s',won a listed race so far on softish grouns at Sandown in what looked a decent time...There is nothing in the race that has contested those sort of races so far although this race for some reaso rarely goes to form as previus seasons how,the ground looks like being soft maybe even slower,om sire stats that would be a big negative Havana Gold..Havana Gold is a decent sire over 5fs and good ground,on gd/sft sire is just 5% and on soft ground just 4% so would be unbackable on those stats,so 6fs and soft ground on stats then you are betting against them,the Sandown run suggests that softer ground is ok over 5fs but whther the combination of 6fs and sot will suit is a speculatve guess..It must be worth bet to find out at current prices,and the other runner looks like it miht be open ti iprvement Tatsumaki,has won 2/2 recently good time on debut at Newbury bear 83 rated Firth Of Clyde although that runer is still a maiden after five runs..Another weakish sire Charming Thought although has had 2/17 winners on soft griund ad at 7/1 looks like it should run well..A hug field last season the winner came up the middle while all the others came stands side from their 14 and 18 draws they have options in a huge field..might look through again see of there's a rag in this as always get big ptices hitting the frame.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Nce saver at 7/1 and forecast,couldn't see anything else in the race...wins by half the track..15/8 and 3/1 unreal sps :lol::lol: ffs ruined the forecast.:lol: £7.91 csf exacta £12.80


3.50



River Nymph 7/1 skybet 6 places Aldaary 7/1 hills/victor 13/2 skybet 6 places


The eighteen runner heritage handicap,if the draw comes up high which is quite possile we are going to see some right prices,only one in the top secven of the betting in double figures,earlier in the season River Nymph won one of these c/d races off 100 that was in may and the low draws never figured although most of the runners finished up the middle and that was 27 runners..River Nymph still only 12 lifetime runs,has run twice since both good runs 4th to Kinross in a group 3 and then last time out finished on the bridle at Newbury in a listed race..returns here off 104 if the draw isn't a negative then obvious place chances at worst..
Aldaary only just 7 runs,three here over c/d a wi and then two fifths in huge fields on fast ground in the Buckingham Palace and the Moet and Chandon perfectly respectable runs and so far wins have come on softer ground,so a possibility that ground may have been too quick..Sire Territories best stats are on sooft ground at 25% so the more rain the better may suit..Horses like Escobar hardly ever runs a bad race closely matched with two of the favs on form and even Symbolize ran well in the listed race that River Nymph was unlucky in and could hit the frame at a big price as well..

 

[gigilo]

Newmarket 2.20 Saturday


Fearby 11/2 victor 4 places skybet 5 places

The £150,000 sales race for 2yr olds,Fearby has the best form 2nd in a group 3 and a 3rd and 4th in group 2s',won a listed race so far on softish grouns at Sandown in what looked a decent time...There is nothing in the race that has contested those sort of races so far although this race for some reaso rarely goes to form as previus seasons how,the ground looks like being soft maybe even slower,om sire stats that would be a big negative Havana Gold..Havana Gold is a decent sire over 5fs and good ground,on gd/sft sire is just 5% and on soft ground just 4% so would be unbackable on those stats,so 6fs and soft ground on stats then you are betting against them,the Sandown run suggests that softer ground is ok over 5fs but whther the combination of 6fs and sot will suit is a speculatve guess..It must be worth bet to find out at current prices,and the other runner looks like it miht be open ti iprvement Tatsumaki,has won 2/2 recently good time on debut at Newbury bear 83 rated Firth Of Clyde although that runer is still a maiden after five runs..Another weakish sire Charming Thought although has had 2/17 winners on soft griund ad at 7/1 looks like it should run well..A hug field last season the winner came up the middle while all the others came stands side from their 14 and 18 draws they have options in a huge field..might look through again see of there's a rag in this as always get big ptices hitting the frame.


3.50



River Nymph 7/1 skybet 6 places Aldaary 7/1 hills/victor 13/2 skybet 6 places


The eighteen runner heritage handicap,if the draw comes up high which is quite possile we are going to see some right prices,only one in the top secven of the betting in double figures,earlier in the season River Nymph won one of these c/d races off 100 that was in may and the low draws never figured although most of the runners finished up the middle and that was 27 runners..River Nymph still only 12 lifetime runs,has run twice since both good runs 4th to Kinross in a group 3 and then last time out finished on the bridle at Newbury in a listed race..returns here off 104 if the draw isn't a negative then obvious place chances at worst..
Aldaary only just 7 runs,three here over c/d a wi and then two fifths in huge fields on fast ground in the Buckingham Palace and the Moet and Chandon perfectly respectable runs and so far wins have come on softer ground,so a possibility that ground may have been too quick..Sire Territories best stats are on sooft ground at 25% so the more rain the better may suit..Horses like Escobar hardly ever runs a bad race closely matched with two of the favs on form and even Symbolize ran well in the listed race that River Nymph was unlucky in and could hit the frame at a big price as well..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!I appear to be rinsing the fcuk out of them,and the forecasts as well Symbolize 2nd at 22/1 ffs.!!!!:lol::lol::lol:

 

[gigilo]

csf £84.99:lol::lol:

 

[gigilo]

Try some ew multiples,won't be big stakes as Ascot could be bottomless..



Ascot 3.15


Glen Shiel 9/2 365/hills 4 places 4/1 5 places Kings Lynn 12/1 hills/365 4 places 11/1 skybet 5 places


Ran poorly the last twice Glenshiel but ground probably not slow enouh,could well be on downgrade but worth giving a chance too running in a group
3,last two runs here over c/d has been 1st and 2nd and still the obvious one to beat if at its best..Kings Lynn an improving 4yr old and although mainly kept to fastish ground was 3rd in the Wokingham,didn't get the brst of runs in that race don't think it was an unlucky loser but may have been a little better..Two ? very soft ground could be heavy tomorrow and 6fs,sires best strike rate is over 5f and 5.5fs but the sires stats suggest soft ground or heavy could be ok 15% and 12% the day he was 3rd in the Wkinghan Glen Shiel was 2nd in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes and on the clock the difference between the two was a length in favour og Glen Shiel..If Kings Lynn likes ground and trip may not be much beteen them,best runs have been here this season he was also an eyecatcher in the Kings Stand when not getting a run...

Both placed will settle for it Kings Lynn looked like the winner,just think ground was too desperate..



Wolves 5.25


Rock Melody 5/2 365

Rock Melody on debut won a maiden easily by 3ls its had numerous horses behind it rated in the 80s,then beaten 5ls in a listed race two odds on losses since the second at Windsor not as bad as irt seemed had First Response behind i 3rd and that ones now rated 88 ran well in nurseries and well in a listed race at Ayr and the 4th typewriter has also won since..Last time outs run was very disappointing,odds on in a far easier race and came 4th over 7fs,a possibility has had enough but 5/2 still looks good from place side at worst drops back a furliong and has a decent draw,the sire Fascnating rock has never had a winner on Tapeta another negative so win wise might not look great but think its worth risking even if its just for the placeside.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Relentless!!P1ssed it..... Got 1.55 a place and 3.75 the win,incredible prices on place,the goodwood run was obviously just the track as its other form looked different gravy..


6.0


Top Table 5/4 ppower/sportsbook/sky/hills


Top Table 3rd on debut,only 3rd of 5 beaten 3ls but it will be interesting to see how this race works out the tume was 1m35.95 .55 under standard
very rarely see that in maidens at Chelmsford it would be a good tme in most mile races there,there was a class 2 7f handicap on the card and that race was only fast by .60 seconds...Tried to make all Top Table over that mile drops back a furlong tomorrow,sometimes after a monster time they don't reproduce it on second run and the jockey booking is sightly off putting as Georgia Cox is on her comeback,11 rides in 18 months but just based on the time alone this could be a 90s+ horse..Have to back it but if it does get beat put it i the notebook as that time is wort following one of the fastest maidens ever run at Chelmsford that i can remember,maybe the fastest..

1.66 out to 2.18 led last time in the chelmsford race,today dropped in off a slow pace,absolutely stunk as soon as i saw the booking i suspected something was up in that race,led last time in fastest ever maiden at chelmsford...keep for notebbook..blatent finished never having had a race..On the upside landed a load of multiples 7/1,7/1,5/2 winners with 14/1,4/1,5/4,9/2 places so had another massve touch again today..best multiple 7/1,7/1,5/2 winners with 14/1 and 5/4 places did 8 ew lucky 31s that last race has pissed me off cost me fortunes..


Just to prove how much of a farce that race was Top Table wouldv'e been 9th in the Wolverhampton weak 2yr old race...

 

[gigilo]

Just some very small interests,unsure of ground at ponte would like to see it desperately slow but going stick 6.8 suggests it might not be..ew yankees on first four..

Pontefract 2.14


Scarlet Dancer 5/1 365 4/1 generally 4 places skybet 9/2 888sport

Scarlet Dancer won what looked a weak novice race at Chester,am unsure how reliable the times were therethat day because no mention of rain thriugh the day,but its winning time was only .24 slower than the older 0-90 on the card,runs here off 80 which would seem a decent mark presuming those times are comparitive..Aleezdancer has the 8 draw as mentioned in Dark Defender write up,that could be an advantage and looks the obvious one with more form in the book on softer ground.

Had saver on favourite got stake back,unreliable those times at Chester as usual..


3.14

First Account 7/2 victor 10/30 generally

First account out of sire Malinas was a decent middle distance runner runner up in the German Derby,but has had ten runners on the trf and yet to produce a winner,more of a nh sire First Account rated 122 over hurdles wins on soft ground from 2m4fs uto 3miles..Trainers given it three runs on trf recently not showing a great eal,infact you could argue the ark of 62 doesn't look that great,but ground has been quicker steps upto 2m3fs
Billy Garritty takes off another 3 worth giving it a chance in what looks a weak turf race..I thoght the Channon horse also looked interesting Folly Beach out of Golden Horn a sire with a 30% strike rate over these trips and good o soft and heavy griund,has bits of form that are ok and althogh beaten over 12ls in a 1m6f race 0-85 at Sandown still loks interesting in such a poor race with just six runs and open to improvement..


4.15

Tiger Beetle 2/1 generally Indefatigueable 10/30 365

Tiger Beetle has some respectable form,i think its mark of 80 is bang on 3rd to Nagano at Nottingham on soft ground the ? is the distance so far not looked like staying but out of Camelot suggests it should still open to some sort of improvemebny despite a string of places..The other is a 148 rated hurdler,sire Schiaperrelli rated 120 on turf won over distances fro 1m4fs to 2mile,the negative is strangely just producing decent hurdlers although only had five runners on turf not one yet placed..An interesting runer in what looks a relativey weak maiden,if favourite desn't stay then must have some sort of chance,although not run since April so there maybe a possibility gettng a run in for fitness..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Never staed Tiger Beetle,i did suspect as much git a free bet on that and dod the oher ew turned into a nice race...


4.45

Little Jo 7/1 888sport 13/2 generally skybet 4 places


An ultra competitve race for the grade,Little Jo is the most exposed runner in the race maybe not good enough to win but is a c/d winner and likes soft ground last five runs on soft ground 2/1/3/1/2 the recent 2nd c/d run in a very weak 0-80 on bad ground off 76 off 73 tomorrow..Did win earlier in the season off 72,think it's more of a case of hoping the grounds really slow which suits for a c/d winner...There are far more interesting runners but too competitive too narrow down..

Decent place..



3.44

Dark Defender 66/1 ppower/sportsbook skybet 6 places Penny Pot Lane 66/1 ppower/sportsbook skybet 6 places

Sam James rode Dark Defender to a c/d win here on the 4th of August that day the ground was very slow race was slow by 7 seconds,they took the outside route and ignored the inside the whole field switching,going stick says 6.8 really could just do with a deluge of rain and then maybe the draw would favour the highs...Whatever the going does now,it's almost certain Sam James will come stands side he's drawn 17/17 so really has no choice,if the ground is absolutely desperate then has an ew chance, Dark Defender and Zumurud were 4ls clear of the rest of the field that day,although it has to be said you won't find a weaker 0-80 anywhere.Tomorrows race you can virtually give anything a chance,out of the 17 runners probably only 3/4 you could rule out but so many ? of ground and which side they will come..The other c/d winner Penny Pot Lane looks like its being laid out for one of these,thats also 66/1 massive prices when you consider it won this race last year off this mark then followed that up with a 3rd off 71 although a weaker race..The odd thing is pieces are left off which it wins in,they've been running it on the wrong ground and without pieces as well..Am just wondering if they're planning coming back here in two weeks time for what would be a liklier easier race,but at 66/1 will have to throw some coppers on it..I suspect they are aiming for the latter race.
You could go on forever with this race,so many with chances may as well have a few coppers on the two rags.

Will settle for that i knew the highs would come out on top,Penny Pot Lane gets 5th,very nice as backed it for both 5&6 places shouldv'e just stuck to this race today crazy prices...

 

[gigilo]

Brighton 12.30


Placepot

1,2,3,4,5,6
1,3,7
1,2,8
1,2,4,8
3,5,6,7
3,4,5

Firenza Rosa 10/1 365

Desperate ground likely at Brighton already soft and more rain to come,this 0-65 over 5 1/2fs,win wise the horse is highly unlikely but does look a cracking trade loves soft ground or heavy ground and has already won a race on desperate ground at Windsor this season winning a class 5...But the horse has only ever won 4/54 its had other respectable runs 4/3/3/2 this season all on slow ground..Think other books will open up 7/1 13/2 and will probably go off 5/1 just because the grounds likely to be heavy..

9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor/888sport generally across the board.

11s on betfair.

Ran a cracker,think it was an unlucky loser stayiing on and somehow the grounds not heavy will settle for it although feel like it shouldv'e won..got 6/4 for 3 places as well.they had 30mm of rain since yesterday i thought it would be bottomless very strange the grounds definitely no slower than soft.


Kempton 5.30


Coverham 6/1 hills Buckingham 10/1 365 skybet going 4 places this race


A weak 0-70 Coverham thoroughly exposed has looked slightly on downgrade but was still runner up here in June off 72,tomorrow off 86 and a 3 pound claim so off 65 on that form definite [place chances..Buckinghams a horse i've backed a few times never got it to win, but this will be first time in a 0-70 off lowest ever mark,has never won here but loads of form here over 7fs and a mile and in better grade races,its last time London Mile Qualifier class 2 only beaten 4 1/2ls..Previous run to this a 5th in a 0-80 here beate 2 1/2ls and previous to that 3rd in a 0-75..Hard to win with but the rght type of race for it to run well in.


Going to see what they do at lecester desperate griund see if there's any draw advanatge

 

[gigilo]

Nottingham 5.50


Dolphin Vista 7/1 365 The Nu Form Way 16/1 365 skybet 4 places 8/1 generally


Quite a few interesting runners in this race Dolphin Vista veteran at 8 now in 2020 was rated 100 now rated just 63 first ever run in a class 6 tomorrow as well a 0-65 has run respectable races all season,4th behind tomorriws favourute Crestwood but a 17 pound turnaround for 2 1/4ls..The horse hasn't won since August 2019 but definitely has ability to be involved in this race and likes heavy ground as well,if it runs to those best runs this season and doesn't miss break and get along way behind then obvious place chances..
The other is more speculative The Nu Form Way showed its first sign of any form last time out at Beverley over this trip,6th of 12 in a 0-75 staying on at finish the sire Le Havre does better the further they go so even though it stayed on last time out this could still be too quick for it,although drops into a 0-65.Le Havre 20% over this trip but up another furlong goes to 40% and higher % over 1m4fs you may have to wait for another step up in trip but worth a small bet as the rag and sire is 19% on heavy ground as well..Jackamundo is thrown in as well,likes the ground and trip runs off just 57,also never run in this class before,maybe worth a saver.8/1 365.like Doplhin Vista though hasn't won since 2019 but looks the right race..

 

[gigilo]

Brighton 12.30


Placepot

1,2,3,4,5,6
1,3,7
1,2,8
1,2,4,8
3,5,6,7
3,4,5

Firenza Rosa 10/1 365

Desperate ground likely at Brighton already soft and more rain to come,this 0-65 over 5 1/2fs,win wise the horse is highly unlikely but does look a cracking trade loves soft ground or heavy ground and has already won a race on desperate ground at Windsor this season winning a class 5...But the horse has only ever won 4/54 its had other respectable runs 4/3/3/2 this season all on slow ground..Think other books will open up 7/1 13/2 and will probably go off 5/1 just because the grounds likely to be heavy..

9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor/888sport generally across the board.

11s on betfair.

Ran a cracker,think it was an unlucky loser stayiing on and somehow the grounds not heavy will settle for it although feel like it shouldv'e won..got 6/4 for 3 places as well.they had 30mm of rain since yesterday i thought it would be bottomless very strange the grounds definitely no slower than soft.


Kempton 5.30


Coverham 6/1 hills Buckingham 10/1 365 skybet going 4 places this race


A weak 0-70 Coverham thoroughly exposed has looked slightly on downgrade but was still runner up here in June off 72,tomorrow off 86 and a 3 pound claim so off 65 on that form definite [place chances..Buckinghams a horse i've backed a few times never got it to win, but this will be first time in a 0-70 off lowest ever mark,has never won here but loads of form here over 7fs and a mile and in better grade races,its last time London Mile Qualifier class 2 only beaten 4 1/2ls..Previous run to this a 5th in a 0-80 here beate 2 1/2ls and previous to that 3rd in a 0-75..Hard to win with but the rght type of race for it to run well in.

Unbelievable favourite gets a soft lead photoo goes on for 10 mins,Coverham trades 1.3 odds on throughout and fav gets it,three cracking picks today all placed,that's two photos i've lost recently where they've been 3s on.The fors one of the day was a bit unlucky as well labnded some nice ew doubles but thatt's just sick...


Going to see what they do at leicester desperate ground see if there's any draw advanatge

 

[gigilo]

Brighton 12.30


Placepot

1,2,3,4,5,6
1,3,7
1,2,8
1,2,4,8
3,5,6,7
3,4,5

Firenza Rosa 10/1 365

Desperate ground likely at Brighton already soft and more rain to come,this 0-65 over 5 1/2fs,win wise the horse is highly unlikely but does look a cracking trade loves soft ground or heavy ground and has already won a race on desperate ground at Windsor this season winning a class 5...But the horse has only ever won 4/54 its had other respectable runs 4/3/3/2 this season all on slow ground..Think other books will open up 7/1 13/2 and will probably go off 5/1 just because the grounds likely to be heavy..

9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/victor/888sport generally across the board.

11s on betfair.

Ran a cracker,think it was an unlucky loser stayiing on and somehow the grounds not heavy will settle for it although feel like it shouldv'e won..got 6/4 for 3 places as well.they had 30mm of rain since yesterday i thought it would be bottomless very strange the grounds definitely no slower than soft.


Kempton 5.30


Coverham 6/1 hills Buckingham 10/1 365 skybet going 4 places this race


A weak 0-70 Coverham thoroughly exposed has looked slightly on downgrade but was still runner up here in June off 72,tomorrow off 86 and a 3 pound claim so off 65 on that form definite [place chances..Buckinghams a horse i've backed a few times never got it to win, but this will be first time in a 0-70 off lowest ever mark,has never won here but loads of form here over 7fs and a mile and in better grade races,its last time London Mile Qualifier class 2 only beaten 4 1/2ls..Previous run to this a 5th in a 0-80 here beate 2 1/2ls and previous to that 3rd in a 0-75..Hard to win with but the rght type of race for it to run well in.


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!The result changed to D/H :lol::lol::lol: Very nice another cracking day..!!


Going to see what they do at lecester desperate griund see if there's any draw advanatge

 

[gigilo]

Ayr 3.05 Saturday


Rishes Baar 16/1 hills 14/1 skybet 5 places

A nightmare group 3 over 6fs at Ayr most are so lightly raced Head Mistrss has won 2/2 heads the market at 3/1 only won over 5fs so far last time out the 5f race it won was only .49 slower than the older aged handicap for horses rated upto 100 at the Currgah might be the one to beat with normal improvement..Rishes Baar trained by David O'meara out of decent sire El Babeur 16% on turf 20% on gd/fm but ok stats on slower going,has only had one run beating Vertiginous at Haydock on fast grund race was slow by .04 there was a 0-100 5f older handicap on the card which was fast by .73 with normak improvement i'd expect Rishes Baar to match that time on second run with similar conditions..Rarely when times look good at Haydock do they work out,but it did beat vertiginous,that horse has disappointed again since on the aw but had run 4th and 5th in Group 2s this season so the time and the form looks pretty good fir a debut run..If it bombs out completely could be a nice one fir the future,haven't got a clue what the draw will be either it's drawn 13 of 15 so obviously a bias towars the stands side would be watching out fir in sprints..


3.20 Silver Cup


Soldiers Minute 25/1 boyles

I took 33/1 yesterday,i was hoping it mat drift a little to 40/1 but pruces have crashed,there's not many reasins to bet Soldiers Minute bar trainers horses running well and handicap mark,i remember this winning off the same mark of 92 back in May 2019 by 3ls destroying a 0-105 field..thought it was going to go on to be a group horse..Unbelievably has only won one other race since and that was on the aw off 98 in November 2020,has still run decent races places off 98,99,and was 4th here in the Gold Cup last season off 98..Now drops into the Silver Cup has no recent form or anything this season to offer,hopefully they have got the horse right for the day and big ew chances if so,on its last three runs you probably would want bigger prces but both its runs here have been in the Gold Cup and been 5th and 4th and as said that mark of 92 with trainer in form..


Just an ew thieving multiple for interest on shorties,not sure of goings at nebury amd newarket get the feelig they could go back to gd/gdfm by tomorrow afternoon,definitely won't be gd/sft as forecast anyway,done those two speculative bets and just this for now might do someting else yet..No writeups on these as pretty self explanatory.

Ayr 1.55

Juan Elcano 11/8

Newmarket 3.15

Live Your Dream 11/4

Newbury 4.35


Koy Koy 7/4

Ayr 5.20


Dark Jedi 5/2

Newmarker friday 2.25

Rishes Baar 10/1 365/skybet/888sport/hills


Same as write up at Ayr got outpaced there drawn wide an impossible task but ran on quite well,the ground was on the slow side there that day,unsure of what Newmarket will be friday a possibility of it being good ground by friday if there's no more rain..Sire stats El Kabeir are very similar on all sorts of ground,although its debut run did beat vertiginous in a very fast time and took an age to pick up last time out in the group 3 at Ayr..Steps up to 7fs tomorrow,sire only ever won over 7fs or frther so doesn't look like trip is an issue,a line through a few horses like Crazyland
and another of the runners in fridays race Pearl Glory suggests it has a couple of lengths to find..Still an interesting runner with no exceptional form in the race and Ryan Moore rides..

 

[gigilo]

Just a token interest for me...


Ayr 4.55


Flood Defence 14/1 365 9/1 generally 4 places sportsbook 5 places


Flood Defence never wins exposed and just plods its way round,has never won over tomorrows trip of 1m5fs but does have an ew chance and based on its last two runs 3rd in a 0-80 and then 4th in a 0-75 at Chester,then dropping in class to a 0-65 wirth a small bet..Hasn't won since July 2020 off
63 tomorrow off 61,plenty of negatives just looks overpriced on the place side of things..Don't see Andrew Mullen as a positve either as when he gets one ride you can usually expect it not to be trying to hard on something he's never ridden before,but thought this would be nearer 6-7/1 so will have a small bet..

 

[gigilo]

Nottingham 5.50


Dolphin Vista 7/1 365 The Nu Form Way 16/1 365 skybet 4 places 8/1 generally


Quite a few interesting runners in this race Dolphin Vista veteran at 8 now in 2020 was rated 100 now rated just 63 first ever run in a class 6 tomorrow as well a 0-65 has run respectable races all season,4th behind tomorriws favourute Crestwood but a 17 pound turnaround for 2 1/4ls..The horse hasn't won since August 2019 but definitely has ability to be involved in this race and likes heavy ground as well,if it runs to those best runs this season and doesn't miss break and get along way behind then obvious place chances..
The other is more speculative The Nu Form Way showed its first sign of any form last time out at Beverley over this trip,6th of 12 in a 0-75 staying on at finish the sire Le Havre does better the further they go so even though it stayed on last time out this could still be too quick for it,although drops into a 0-65.Le Havre 20% over this trip but up another furlong goes to 40% and higher % over 1m4fs you may have to wait for another step up in trip but worth a small bet as the rag and sire is 19% on heavy ground as well..Jackamundo is thrown in as well,likes the ground and trip runs off just 57,also never run in this class before,maybe worth a saver.8/1 365.like Doplhin Vista though hasn't won since 2019 but looks the right race..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!:lol:!!It was only a matter of when it won!!!:lol::lol:...Anyone still getting bets on..:lol::lol:

 

[Nonannyimfine]

Oh you’re on a roll. Well done.

 

[Marb]

I was on the The Nu form Way in a local shop had 30 quid on the nose at 11/2 couldn't believe it had won I thought he'd only got second then the camera shot straight to the horse after the race which is usually a good sign. Fair play to the jockey as he must have come from last to first.

I then tryed to back horse for Saturday anti post but Hills wouldn't take the bet despite it being available on their website. Bloody annoying.

 

[gigilo]

The jockey was all arms and legs,horse was hanging but if you watch the last 50 yards he almost falls off,it was a very slowly run race 10ls slower than the first division did well to win i suspect its going to stay a lot further than that that trip as doesn't do anything quickly..I think it woll step uo to 1m4fs next time out and maybe even stay further..

 

[gigilo]

York 5.0 Saturday


Lucander 8/1 hills


Lucander 4/24 on turf,last win was here off this mark August 2020 in a 0-105 then 2nd in the Cambridgeshire,started this season on 98 2nd at Newmarket to Jean Baptise had a few excuses ground trips etc since then 4th to Migration in another 0-105 over c/d..Saturdays race will be first run in a 0-95 since June 2020 but that was over a mile..I suspect in this grade will be well backed going off maybe even half its current odds..Jean Baptiste could be a danger as beat it early season in that race and Spirit Dancer beat Jean Baptise last time out at Chester..my three against the field.

 

[gigilo]

Just a token interest for me...


Ayr 4.55


Flood Defence 14/1 365 9/1 generally 4 places sportsbook 5 places


Flood Defence never wins exposed and just plods its way round,has never won over tomorrows trip of 1m5fs but does have an ew chance and based on its last two runs 3rd in a 0-80 and then 4th in a 0-75 at Chester,then dropping in class to a 0-65 wirth a small bet..Hasn't won since July 2020 off
63 tomorrow off 61,plenty of negatives just looks overpriced on the place side of things..Don't see Andrew Mullen as a positve either as when he gets one ride you can usually expect it not to be trying to hard on something he's never ridden before,but thought this would be nearer 6-7/1 so will have a small bet..

Sportsbook 5 places.. out the back again miracle tp even get in the 5..

 

[gigilo]

York Saturday 3.15


Snazzy Jazzy 33/1 victor/365 33/1 betfred/betway/boyles 6 places 28/1 hills 6 places 28/1 7 places skybet


Snazzy Jazzy is one of those horses inconsistent profile,really it needs desperate ground to show its best at the moment Y0rk is soft but can't see it being worse than gd/sft come saturday high temps no rain so just a small interest,very rarely touch York sprints,no idea of how the draw will work out looks a complete pinjob..This season Snazzy Jazzy has run some unbeilevable races like when 4th in the 5f listed race here to Winter Power came back on the bridle over a furlong too short,and on good ground followed that with a respectable 6th at Ascot off 103 again over 5fs and then ran a decent race when 7th here over 5 1/2fs ground to quick just a little outpaced..A poor run in the Ayr Gold Cup once again faster ground,and last time out 5fs at Ascot outpaced again even though getting its ground..Started the season on 107 and gets to run off 96 on saturday,drawn 4 Mr Wagayu and Punchbowl Flyer both like to lead so at least there's pace on the farside..the horse has loads of ability if on a going day and could easily get placed if ground doesn't dry out too much..Will watch tomorrows sprint see how the draw works out and will probably back another if it looks like highs..