Daily picks.

Newcastlw 2.25


Lethal Vision 40/1 ppower/sportsbook/kybet/betway


A nursery for horses rated upto 70 impossible race,so have just had a token bet on the rag Lethal Vision sire Lethal Force poor stats here as well although Lingfield 14% so will keep it noted but it did run here last time out over 6fs..Finishing only 8/13 but drawn 1 and dropped out was never ever involved winning time 1m11.66 in the nursery on the card Hot Diggity Dig won in 1m12.53,if times are to be believed then Lethal Vision wouldv'e been 4th in the handicap and is 10 pound better in with the winner of that race..At these prices worth aving a few coppers on to see it probavly is reasonably well in but maybe need dropping in class and with that being only its third run..Not a great draw again,betting will be interestng if David Brown thnks it has more ability than actually shown off 55 then you'd expect it to be backed..will keep it in notebook regardless..

Hugh taylor made sure that wouldn't be doing anything blasts off infront into a headwind from a bad draw and tracks riding slow,no chance ridden for anotherday..keep for notebook.


3.0

Vintage Polly 10/30 ppower 3/1 hills/victor Van Djik 20/1 365 14/1 generally


A desperate race a 0-55 upto a mile Vintage Polly gave the field 8ls then made 6ls up in the last furlong,so looks like might be capable of a little more improvement,was rated 70 at one time now 54 had Big Dutchie behind in 4th that day and looks like another impriver matbe add ffor forecasts..The problem with these races at Newcastle they sometimes go so slow and horses like Vintage Polly didn't get race run to suit,similarly Van Djik an habitual slow starter somtimes gives a dozen lengths awat and race is gone,a 4yr old but already 41 runs and just the 4 wins..It's last two runs here has been beaten 58ls and 60ls highlighting what can happen for a slow starter,has now dropped to 52 probably not that relevant it nees to get out on reasonable terms then has a decent ew chance..The main reason fir doing it is lto ran 5th in a 0-60 at Wolves and the trainers 4/12 running at 33%,fate will be known within 1/2 furlong if it breaks on level terms and they go a decent pace then will probably run well..If not then could well be last..was hoping might get some bigger prices,possibilty it might drift yet..Another token pick ..

Laughable Van Djik gives them a 2f start thats 3 times its done that at Newcastle and Vintage Polly gets done on the line beaten by the draw from being dropped out and funishing wide..
 
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Wolves 2.20


Miss Wombleton 14/1 generally 4places skybet 5 places

A small bet on Miss Wombleton has shown very little one bit of form at Redcar when running on at finish after a tardy start,still only 5th in this grade but did give ground away penultimate run,then ran at Ponte another slow start probably on the worst part of the track but simply outclassed..When finishing 5th at Redcar finished behind the Easterby horse in tomorrows race,no reason to see why it should reverse form maybe just a case of horse missing the break every race as well giving loads of ground..Has aso been going off massive prices 28/1,125/1,200/1,40/1,66/1 and 40/1 so not a penny for it even when it finished 5th...so the 14/1 hardly looks massive value you'd have to suspect that it will probably drift..Think the main positive could be the surface the main reason for giving it a chance sire Galileo Gold 3/14 on Tapeta 22% and over this trip 2/8 so far has got left every race and had no chance,i might give it a couple of chances if it shows something tomorrow and finishes out of the frame just because of the sire stats..on the aw.Smarden Flyer showed a a little something in a weak maiden last time out at Kempton,looked capable of a little better and might be worth risking a small bet at 9/1..


Incredible gives them a 15ls start gets beaten 6ls and think jockey even gave it a little pull in the end,will have to back it again but it looks like its habitual..the other goe third so a little loss o the race..got hammered Miss Wombleton as well which seemed odd to me 6/1..
 
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Chelmsford 4.30

Niamh And Oonagh 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 14/1 hills 12/1 365


Niamh And Oonagh as done vert little rated just 45 tomorrows race a 0-60 at Chelmsford,last time out showed a glimmer of form at Kempton a one paced 5th in a 0-65 at Kempton did look very slow but with such little aw form on offer than will hsve a speculative bet on it..Probably turn into a better trade than anything else,not quite sure why they are running it here the sire Free Eagle has great stats 20-25% on all aw tracks but just 11% here..Trainer hasn't had a winner in 120 days either so plenty of negatives,just a small interest..maybe needs dropping into a 0-55 back at one of the other tracks..


16/1 generally being pushed out..

With Southwell fibresand now gone for me the aw has been killed,used to break the aw meetings up nicely and such a great betting mediun the best in the country..may even pack in this season it will be so dull...
 
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Can't say i can see anything outstanding at prices have gone for horses that need to come back to form even though in the right grade,very small stakes as could be a washout..

Lingfield 12.45


Delicate Kiss 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 skybet 4 places


A wide open 0-65 over a mile Prince Rock looks like it will lead and one for in running could easily run well and Catch My Breath,i've backed this a few times during the season the day i left it it won over this c/d,its last two runs here when dropped into class 6s it's won so would have to be on the shortlist..Delicate Kiss is 7yr old now,won off 81 over c/d in December 2020 obviously on downgrade but hasn't run in this class since January 2018,looking unreliable and regressive but was still good enough to be second to Miquelon in late September even though beaten over 3ls over c/d,will probably be backed because of class drops but is drawn 9 also Rob Hornby rides and George Rooke who always rides goes to Wolverhampton..Might be worth some small savers and forecasts,but will only be tiny stakes..

Got the hugh taylor jinx,he picks three horses of mine all half the price i put them up at first one runs the worst race its ever run and the first three had never won over a mile or even run well over it,what a wierd race,the price he put it up at 4/1 was virually what it went off at .


2.30


Bird For Life 11/1 generally 4 places


A 0-60 over 2mile horrible race and hard to take many positives,Bird For Life 61 races 7 wins and still only 7yr old has respectable stats for low grade horse gets to run off 55 lowest mark since 2018 won a 0-70 off 56 here in May so more than capable of running well,just usually gets behind and if they crawl ends up having no chance..Was also 3rd here at the end of September in a 0-75 so can't see anyway its going to go off 11/1 in this grade,more likely to be 5-6/1 in this weak 0-60..Of the others the two maidens Hannalite and Gustave Aitch although something to prove over the trips would be my other two for short list..and Smith could win on default as consistent although if Bird to Life ran to early season form has the beating of it would be in for forecats etc.

Same scenario 20ls behind with a furlong to go ,had a saver on Smith at 4/1 bet them all ew 1,2,4 and got firecast just ridiculous pace they go in those races Bird For Life beat it easily earier in the season and was better off at the weights,just needs a pace to aim at...


3.05


Good Effort 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/ppower 4 places skybet 5 places..Judicial 9/1 4 places 17/2 5 places


Good Effort 3/3 at the track clocked up a really decent time last season when winning this in 1m8.99,front runs but has poor draw in 8 so might get collared in this race,in that same race last season Judicial was over 3 1/4ls behind again another poor draw but ew chances with almost certain guaranteed pace..Harrys Bar was looking like being a top class sprinter but hasn't gone on from those aw early runs,drawn 1 might take advantage if draws beat the others..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Backed this at 4/1 on first shows was 5/1 and a lovely touch with the firecast as well £18.79 exacta £19,Judicial lovely drift that time and for from last year spot on..one of the fastest ever times at the track when Good Effort won last season..best betting race of the weekend decent wining time as well 1m9.25 could be the next Kachy....:ninja:



Wolves 5.0

Hooflepuff 5/1 365 7/2 generally 4 places


Hooflepuff a regular round here this season has won over shorter in a 0-60 1m1/2f race and known for running better over 1m4fs 2nd here to Flying Dragon in a 0-75 over 1m4fs on October 2nd,then flopped over 1m4fs on the 18th died in last 1/2 furlong although well beaten in the end..
On those runs decent ew chances again,just a matter if it's run its races this season still relatively well handicapped on last seasons form but a drawn wide in 9..This race has a few more unexposed younger runners impossible to read much into the form,My Boy Charles and Mulberry Silk interesting runners but not great sire stats and the total rag Dundory been with John O'shea for two runs from the A J Martin stable,has gone off 18/1 and 80/1 for those runs so nothing was expected..When trained in Ireland was running in better races than this and had
two 3rd in 0-75s at Dundalk this time last year..Looking at recent sps and runs looks like horse has had a problem,but now in the right grade never run in a race this weak before and off just 61 so betting will be interesting..Just looks a bit strange that it has run over trips over a mile going right handed first couple of runs for Oshea and its win or place form has been at least over this trip or further..think O'shea is setting this up for a race maybe something even weaker than tomorrow..Maybe worth a very small bet..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Another that couldn't lose on known form,the hugh taylor jinx lifted,and the rag i mentioned again got another hands n heels ride,very interesting going forward upped in trip:rolleyes:..


7.30


Glamorous Force 7/2 365 3/1 skybet 4 places Qaaraat 12/1 generally 4 places skybet


Glamorous Force 4/24 but 0/5 on the aw just looks likely to run its race certainly no value in the prices was 4th here in same grade over c/d two runs back but rarely runs a bad race..Cometh The Man might drift to a backable price as has disappointed so many times Robert Cowell might be the trainer to get its head infront,think if it wins one will win more races,definite ability..
The 6yr old Qaaraat from the inform Anthony Brittain stable ridiculous amount of racing 6yr old 97 races,rated 65 early 2021 now down to 51 last two runs here in August in this grade over c/d was 3/2 off 56 and 59 going off 4/1 and 9/2,they were poor races but this isn't much better and last time out ran ok at Newcastle 6th over 5fs in a 0-70..Might have to drop into a 0-55 but place chances on those two runs eary 2021..



8.0


Winklevi 2/1 365 4places skybet/ppower/sportsbook


Winklevi 2nd last time out here for Dave Evans looks the best form in the race but horse drops back in trip but also drops in class drawn 11 probably a case of if Evans is trying with this from dodgy draw,Hashtagmetoo and Gleneaglet both have solid form and look the dangers.
 
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gigilo said:
Can't say i can see anything outstanding at prices have gone for horses that need to come back to form even though in the right grade,very small stakes as could be a washout..

Lingfield 12.45


Delicate Kiss 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 skybet 4 places


A wide open 0-65 over a mile Prince Rock looks like it will lead and one for in running could easily run well and Catch My Breath,i've backed this a few times during the season the day i left it it won over this c/d,its last two runs here when dropped into class 6s it's won so would have to be on the shortlist..Delicate Kiss is 7yr old now,won off 81 over c/d in December 2020 obviously on downgrade but hasn't run in this class since January 2018,looking unreliable and regressive but was still good enough to be second to Miquelon in late September even though beaten over 3ls over c/d,will probably be backed because of class drops but is drawn 9 also Rob Hornby rides and George Rooke who always rides goes to Wolverhampton..Might be worth some small savers and forecasts,but will only be tiny stakes..

Got the hugh taylor jinx,he picks three horses of mine all half the price i put them up at first one runs the worst race its ever run and the first three had never won over a mile or even run well over it,what a wierd race,the price he put it up at 4/1 was virually what it went off at .


2.30


Bird For Life 11/1 generally 4 places


A 0-60 over 2mile horrible race and hard to take many positives,Bird For Life 61 races 7 wins and still only 7yr old has respectable stats for low grade horse gets to run off 55 lowest mark since 2018 won a 0-70 off 56 here in May so more than capable of running well,just usually gets behind and if they crawl ends up having no chance..Was also 3rd here at the end of September in a 0-75 so can't see anyway its going to go off 11/1 in this grade,more likely to be 5-6/1 in this weak 0-60..Of the others the two maidens Hannalite and Gustave Aitch although something to prove over the trips would be my other two for short list..and Smith could win on default as consistent although if Bird to Life ran to early season form has the beating of it would be in for forecats etc.

Same scenario 20ls behind with a furlong to go ,had a saver on Smith at 4/1 bet them all ew 1,2,4 and got firecast just ridiculous pace they go in those races Bird For Life beat it easily earier in the season and was better off at the weights,just needs a pace to aim at...


3.05


Good Effort 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/ppower 4 places skybet 5 places..Judicial 9/1 4 places 17/2 5 places


Good Effort 3/3 at the track clocked up a really decent time last season when winning this in 1m8.99,front runs but has poor draw in 8 so might get collared in this race,in that same race last season Judicial was over 3 1/4ls behind again another poor draw but ew chances with almost certain guaranteed pace..Harrys Bar was looking like being a top class sprinter but hasn't gone on from those aw early runs,drawn 1 might take advantage if draws beat the others..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Backed this at 4/1 on first shows was 5/1 and a lovely touch with the firecast as well £18.79 exacta £19,Judicial lovely drift that time and for from last year spot on..one of the fastest ever times at the track when Good Effort won last season..best betting race of the weekend decent wining time as well 1m9.25 could be the next Kachy....:ninja:



Wolves 5.0

Hooflepuff 5/1 365 7/2 generally 4 places


Hooflepuff a regular round here this season has won over shorter in a 0-60 1m1/2f race and known for running better over 1m4fs 2nd here to Flying Dragon in a 0-75 over 1m4fs on October 2nd,then flopped over 1m4fs on the 18th died in last 1/2 furlong although well beaten in the end..
On those runs decent ew chances again,just a matter if it's run its races this season still relatively well handicapped on last seasons form but a drawn wide in 9..This race has a few more unexposed younger runners impossible to read much into the form,My Boy Charles and Mulberry Silk interesting runners but not great sire stats and the total rag Dundory been with John O'shea for two runs from the A J Martin stable,has gone off 18/1 and 80/1 for those runs so nothing was expected..When trained in Ireland was running in better races than this and had
two 3rd in 0-75s at Dundalk this time last year..Looking at recent sps and runs looks like horse has had a problem,but now in the right grade never run in a race this weak before and off just 61 so betting will be interesting..Just looks a bit strange that it has run over trips over a mile going right handed first couple of runs for Oshea and its win or place form has been at least over this trip or further..think O'shea is setting this up for a race maybe something even weaker than tomorrow..Maybe worth a very small bet..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Another that couldn't lose on known form,the hugh taylor jinx lifted,and the rag i mentioned again got another hands n heels ride,very interesting going forward upped in trip:rolleyes:..


7.30


Glamorous Force 7/2 365 3/1 skybet 4 places Qaaraat 12/1 generally 4 places skybet


Glamorous Force 4/24 but 0/5 on the aw just looks likely to run its race certainly no value in the prices was 4th here in same grade over c/d two runs back but rarely runs a bad race..Cometh The Man might drift to a backable price as has disappointed so many times Robert Cowell might be the trainer to get its head infront,think if it wins one will win more races,definite ability..
The 6yr old Qaaraat from the inform Anthony Brittain stable ridiculous amount of racing 6yr old 97 races,rated 65 early 2021 now down to 51 last two runs here in August in this grade over c/d was 3/2 off 56 and 59 going off 4/1 and 9/2,they were poor races but this isn't much better and last time out ran ok at Newcastle 6th over 5fs in a 0-70..Might have to drop into a 0-55 but place chances on those two runs eary 2021..


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!And forecast and tricast,turned into a cracking day some multiples landed as well...



8.0


Winklevi 2/1 365 4places skybet/ppower/sportsbook


Winklevi 2nd last time out here for Dave Evans looks the best form in the race but horse drops back in trip but also drops in class drawn 11 probably a case of if Evans is trying with this from dodgy draw,Hashtagmetoo and Gleneaglet both have solid form and look the dangers.
Click to expand...
 
Try a thieving bet looks very competitve stuff the handicaps,might do something more interesting later,,

Wolves ppot

1,6,13,9
5,7,13
1,9,10
1,4 banker 1 for smaller perm
2,11
1,2,3,5,6,7

Lingfield 12.05

Peripeteia 5/2 365 2/1 generally


Perepiteia on debut was 2nd to Barshaa at Kempton that's won a 0-85 on the turf since and Perepeteias debut,time was decent as well,then went to Newcastle and beaten at a short price,so a little ? after that defeat but best known form although there are lightly raced runners in this maiden..Ryan Moore rides..

Huge drift but 1.41 a place will settle for that...


2.20


Amirat Alward 7/2 365 3/1 generally


Moore also rides this 2yr old has had three runs form looks very average probably mid 70s very similar to favourite Sixth Sense that's drawn 11
Amirat Alward drawn 7 if there's anything rated 80+ in here i think they will struggle to win,but on known form so far they look the place bets..Betting will be a giveaway with just average form..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAANNBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Think it was a dire race but won..nice


3.30


Clegane 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills/skybet


Clegane is 2/12 on the aw has won here off 60 twice over c/d this season won a 0-79 here in a very fast time then third in another 0-70 but ran poorly last time out here over a mile,on those previous two runs would be half the price gets another 7 taken off from claimer as well but that big negative in 11 draw..

7/2 this morning drifts to 12s,the way it was ridden had no chance rushed up to race wide throughout..


Wolves 4.30


End Zone 4/1 365 11/4 generally 4 places skybet 5 places


Endzone 2/8 on the aw looking exposed on the aw then stepped up in trip to the mile at Newcastle three respectable races last three runs 2/1/3
the win here over c/d off a big weight lower grade in a decent time 1m47.88,if it runs to that then obvious place chances..Peintre DEtoiles lightly raced dropping in grade beaten 6ls at Kempton in a 0-80,could be more improvement to come in this grade,Bakersboy has been disappointing winwise and 0/10 runs. but 5th here recently over an extra furlong in this grade was respectable drops back in trip ..could run ok..around 9/1 small ew.
Peintre 11/1 this morning,looks overpriced.

A very strange race Peintre places but the fav ran very poorly..

5.30


May Night 5/1 365 4/1 hills 4 places Wizard D'amour 5/1 365 9/2 generally firms 4 places

Wizard D'amour was third here over c/d in a 0-80 here in a decent time and then runner up to May Night at Kempton,ran wide in the Kempton race and was always upfront,May Night was dropped out in that race gave them 10ls start,the ? will be the track as is probably well handicapped still..Billymill beat Wizard D'amour in that 0-80 here over c/d and could easily run well,has since left the Hannon stable and joined the Millmans for 49,000 guineas could run well if fit after a break 12/1..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!That''l do me and the forecast!!Perfect..:ninja:


6.30


Asean Legend 11/8 365 Yatarni 11/10 ppower/sportsbook

Two runners with decent form and run decent times,a pity one wasn't a lot longer than the other prices reflect their form..
 
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Not feeling well at the moment doing the form,but hard to get any enthusiasm done the form will try the usual thieving bets nothing standing out to me and might add a couple of speculatuve ones..later..not a day for getting rich

Lingfield 11.50

Crunchie 13/8 365 Notoriously Risky 5/4 generally

Thirteen race maiden Notoriously Risky in Ireland second in a 0-80 and now running in a weak lingfield maiden it looks a two horse race,Crunchie only went off 17/2 for Gay Kelleway in a maiden over 6fs at Kempton horses rated in the high 70s and 80 just infront beaten 3ls in third..The time was ok as well so might not be a bad horse for the stable,has to give the fav five pound 5/2 in an eight horse race wouldv'e loked a decent ew bet but only seven runners tomorrow..

Third fav wins,ran awful last time out and i backed it,i think the winner looks one to follow after that win and time..


12.55


Trevoli 2/1 hills 3 places


Trevoli only ran on monday,and decent debut second for Iva Furtado in a 0-80 drops in class 0-75 i think it's a little short with a couple not fully exposed,if it runs its race then will be involved in the finish just looks obvious for the frame in thieving bet and potentially winning..

An incredible sp 8/15 i thought 2/1 looked short never looked like winning,traded 1.35 as well got free bet..


1.30

Dubai Honour 11/8 365 6/5 generally


Dubai Hope four lifetime runs won its last two,looks a decent sprinter won in a decent time at Wolves last time out really did blast away from the stalls 1m12.63 winning time think its well handicapped still off 87 but steps up in trip and if same tactics used then might be susceptible,to me looks an out and out 6f specialist be interetig to see how itt's ride here..

Had a feeling it might get beat very little support bunched finish,horse looks tiny to me not sure it puts it all in either,as i said zilch value around today crap racing.


2.05


Marks Bear 4/1 365 7/2 hills skybet 4 places Fauvette 9/2 hills skybet 4 places

Marks Bear is a pound lower than when second in a 0-90 over c/d in a decent time,may have been flattered as track was riding quick but this looks a very similar race and decet draw in 3,obvious place chances..Fauvette nine runs three winners 2/5 on the aw won a weak o075 last time out,not a great drawn in 9 but still looks ope to improvent,another obvious place chance..

Both placed 2nd and 4th Marks Bear trades 1.22


Chelmsford 6.45


Sealed Offer 7/1 hills/365 4 places Got No Dollars 9/2 365/hills 4 places 13/2 ppower/betfair/sportsbook 6/1 generally


Competitve race 0-70 over 7fs,Sealed Offer doesn't look well in but consitent last run here was 2nd in a 0-80 i think that was a weak race for the grade,but again decent ew chances if it runs up to most of its form,lots of unexposed ones in this so could be no more positve than that..Got No Dollars only won some wea races recently won easy here when over 6fs,this is a rise in class ad draw in 12 place chances again along with c/d winner Adace,that one winning easily last time out..Out of the bigger prces First Lott has appeared on the downgrade after looking like a horse that might progres as a 3yr old,this is far easier and may show something more in this race..




Then will add these seperately,a couple of them are on my to follows they really don't look the right races to me and i think they probably need a drop in class but token bets,i won't be crossing them off if they do no good..

Chelmsford 4.15


Raydoun 16/1 365 365 4 places 12/1 generally 5 places

A 0-75 over 7fs i've done Raydoun the last twice was waiting for an easier race than this,has only run in average 0-70s been a bit unlucky in running i doubt it's good enough to win this unless it imprives stepping up in class..Last tie out was draw on the fariside at Newcastle and ended up on the nearside rail,so could upgrade it to those that finished infront,but this race has less exosed runners and horses that have run i better races..The only positive is the track, sire Moojaahim has a 33% strike rate here and 3/18 over the trio,claimer Mark Crehan takes off 5 5 pound lower than that run last time out,actually think rack will be a negatuve as wel invariablt has got left but feel obliged have to do it just incase..Hard to guess on what is well in with so many lightly raced Siling Sunflower ws 3rd at Kempton recently in a 0-80 so probably has the best know bit of form but drawn wide in 13..


5.45


Mighty Fine 10/1 generally 5 places Cap Dantibes 8/1 365 skybet 5 places


Mighty Fine another on my to follows and again am not quite sure why it's only 8/1,previously trained i France been with David Brown for two runs,ran a decent debut run in a 0-65 over 6fs stayed on well then last time out i put it up at Newcastle over 7fs was out te back and got pushed wide..Has been dropped two pound for that run,but steps up another furlong and is half the pruce it was last time out against horses with loads of track form,Chillsea,Lake Sand and Diamonds At Dusk look the three to beat to me,i suspect this will drift sire stats here and over the trip are average at best..Again feel obliged to do it,but suspect track maynot suit..
As mentioned three mentioned previously look the more obvious runners i the race,then something like Ca Dantibes also has track form,has won here off 53 back in April changed trainers now with Michael Roberts,has only ever had five runners on the flat three placed,has run three respectable races recenty over longer distances...The main positive being draw in 1..
 
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Some small itterests nothing stands out to me at prices,just with 4 and 5 places on offer have to try some thieving bets


Kempton 12.50


Trepidation 15/2 generally skybet 5 places generall4 places Rooful 10/1 skybet 5 places 11/1 4 places generally


Lowgrade unreliable types a 0-55 over a mile,Trepidation 2/16 on the aw and 4 places and its last win was here off 54 in March been roundabout since then,that last win came when the track was riding slow and was alot faster than the first division back in March..If the temps drop it may ride slow so at least know the surface will suit,that's not guaranteed though as all the aw tracks have vbeen quick recently,a pound lower tomorrow off 53 place chances..
Rooful a 3yr old six runs and has won a 0-65 on the turf off 48,that was after wind surgery then ran here over 7fs drawn wide looked a difficult ride the field finished in a bit of a heap eventually a running on 6th,time of the race was .74 quicker than the other 0-65 so wouldv'e won that race..Don't know if it will definitely stay but if it does then looks another with decent place chances..
Sonnetina on its last run here looks to have ew chances as well,only win way back in May 2019 has loads of place form over a variety of trips and even slightly better races,was 4th here last time out in a 0-60 staying on the time was favourable compared to other mile races that night..
Sonnetina a nr this morning so will put fav Channel packet in for forecasts.

Trepidation places,Rooful get jinxed by hugh taylor again unplaced at 7/1.


3.0

First Charge 5/2 generally


This looks a very weak 0-75 First Charge has beeen 1/1/2 last three runs beaten here in a 0-70 last time out,doesn't look well in anymore but it's such a poor race it looks like it could still win this the right favourute and if it runs to its last second then decent thieving bet on the places at worst.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A case of a very bad race for the grade and nothing to beat as i suspected!!


4.10


Scarborough Castle 2/1 hils 4 places Tullane 20/1 hills 5 places


A 0-55 over 1m4fs the most progressie horse is Scarborough Castle won its last two races last time out a fairly decent time over 1m 1 1/2fs at Wolves,still in same grade looks likeky to win more races..The ? tomorrow is big steo up in trip,sire fastnet rock is a great aw sire at all the tracks but strangeky just 8#
8% at Kempton so a bit off putting,but over this trip 22%..Bound to go off overbet but looks the most obvious runner in the race..
A lot more speculative 16 runner maiden Tullane,impossible to predict has been placed 10 times and run ok here previously in the wilderness till last time out when showing a bit more when 5th at Wolves beaten 4 3/4ls if that's a sign of it coming to its best known form then could run well very speculatuve but wouldn't be a surprise if it hits the frame

4th so at least ok for ew multiples,but staying never came into it crawled round,race was slow by 10 seconds can't remember the last time a race over 1m4fs was run that slowly a right farce..

Wolves 4.0


This Ones For Fred 11/2 hills 4 places Intoxification 22/1 victor 4 places 20/1 generally 4 places




Another ten runner running maiden first run fir Alan King ans steps up in trip after two places over 1m4fs,last run back in 0-65 looked respectable
no other reason to think it could imprive foir step up in trip other than trainer,sire Markaz suggests not just going to chance it after the decent musselburugh run.
Intoxication a seven runner maiden from a weak stable,it's run one decent race that was penultimate run at Kempton over 2mile when third,the time seemed ok as well,then ran over the same c/d and ran poorly althiugh the race was 3 seconds slower so a speculative pick hoping they don't dawdle,sire not great stats here Havana Gold but over these sort of trips 6/40..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Got 7/1 was driofting all day till the last 15 mins,pished up!!!

Would probably keep this race seperate probably the weakest of all the picks with a short priced fav improver in the race

5.30

Starfighter 10/1 skybet 5 places Beverdages 10/1 skybet 5lplaces 4places generally

Very competitve 0-75 over 1m1 1/2fs,Starfighter i usually put a line thriugh as unreliable,but last two runs here over c/d back in March was 1/2 off marks of 74 and 77,on that form looks overpriced running off 73,again the usual negatve drawn in the carpark in 11..Was third at Newcastle lsst time out in a 0-80,so ew chances if not bearten by the draw..
Similar is Bavardages,good record on the aw 3/11 and 3 places 4th here last time out over 1m1/2fs staying on,has been 1/3 over this c/d on two runs attempted and off 75 tomorrow off 64 with claimer taking off the three..Place chances again..Star Of Velour good track record but not over this trip,was 4th here last time out over c/d time looked quite good strictly on that run has a decent ew chance 11/1,so another to consider..


7.0


Beryl The Petal 4/1 skybet 4 places Desert Dream 7/1 skybet 4 places 15/2 victor/888sport

Another weak 0-55 over 7fs Beryl The Petal another maiden after 9 runs,it's last run was over this c/d and finished really well,was the fastest of the two divisions the other won by Peachey Carnehan has roughly a length on that one on the times that heads the weights tomorrow..Desert Dreamer won in this grade in December 2020 off 55 off 50 tomorrow,unreliable but ran ok in last turf run,trainer has veey few winners so a possibility it may drift..Lots have ew chances,i might add something tomorrow of any big drifters that may have got overlooked
 
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Just going to try an ew trixie tomorrow might add another later when more prices are up,just this for now..

Lingfield 2.45

Cafe Sydney 7/2 unibet/victor 4places 3/1 generally 4 places skybet 5 places Jedydd 15/2 victor hills 7/1 skybet 5 places 7/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places

A very poor race Cafe Sydney is a slowboat but at least has a decent record over c/d 1/1 off marks of 55 and 59,wether it should be 11/4 is another thing quite a few of these have finished not far behind it in those races and usually needs luck in running,but still looks the obvious frame horse..Jeddyd a 15 runner maiden impossible to predict has run some good races then followed that up with vey poor runs,its last run a second to
Scarborough Castle looks ok in the context of this race,needs to back up a good run with another back to back..if so place chances..



3.15


Hellavaplace 11/2 365 5/1 hills/skybet 4 places

Ultra competitve 0-60 over a mile Hellavaplace fifteen runs one win but on the aw six runs 1 win 2/2/3/3 doesn't look well handicapped but decent draw and with its aw record then obvious place chances again in similar race..


Newcastle 7.15


Maggies Joy 8/1 generally hills 4 places 8/1 ppower 4 places

A nursery over a mile at Newcastle,impossible to read much into a lot of the runners most have only had 3/4 runs could be anything lurking,Maggies Joy could be well handicapped hadn't shown much till handicap run when 5th at Nottingham in a 0-75 runs off a mark of 63 in this 0-65..The sire Time Test 4/29 so stats are ok just 1/8 on Tapeta so only a small sample,drawn in 12 those are the positives,Karl Burke hasn't had a winner in 34 days and 36 runners that's the big negative but 9/16 runners have been placed in the last 14 days so haven't been running poorly..
 
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gigilo said:
Some small itterests nothing stands out to me at prices,just with 4 and 5 places on offer have to try some thieving bets


Kempton 12.50


Trepidation 15/2 generally skybet 5 places generall4 places Rooful 10/1 skybet 5 places 11/1 4 places generally


Lowgrade unreliable types a 0-55 over a mile,Trepidation 2/16 on the aw and 4 places and its last win was here off 54 in March been roundabout since then,that last win came when the track was riding slow and was alot faster than the first division back in March..If the temps drop it may ride slow so at least know the surface will suit,that's not guaranteed though as all the aw tracks have vbeen quick recently,a pound lower tomorrow off 53 place chances..
Rooful a 3yr old six runs and has won a 0-65 on the turf off 48,that was after wind surgery then ran here over 7fs drawn wide looked a difficult ride the field finished in a bit of a heap eventually a running on 6th,time of the race was .74 quicker than the other 0-65 so wouldv'e won that race..Don't know if it will definitely stay but if it does then looks another with decent place chances..
Sonnetina on its last run here looks to have ew chances as well,only win way back in May 2019 has loads of place form over a variety of trips and even slightly better races,was 4th here last time out in a 0-60 staying on the time was favourable compared to other mile races that night..
Sonnetina a nr this morning so will put fav Channel packet in for forecasts.

Trepidation places,Rooful get jinxed by hugh taylor again unplaced at 7/1.


3.0

First Charge 5/2 generally


This looks a very weak 0-75 First Charge has beeen 1/1/2 last three runs beaten here in a 0-70 last time out,doesn't look well in anymore but it's such a poor race it looks like it could still win this the right favourute and if it runs to its last second then decent thieving bet on the places at worst.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A case of a very bad race for the grade and nothing to beat as i suspected!!


4.10


Scarborough Castle 2/1 hils 4 places Tullane 20/1 hills 5 places


A 0-55 over 1m4fs the most progressie horse is Scarborough Castle won its last two races last time out a fairly decent time over 1m 1 1/2fs at Wolves,still in same grade looks likeky to win more races..The ? tomorrow is big steo up in trip,sire fastnet rock is a great aw sire at all the tracks but strangeky just 8#
8% at Kempton so a bit off putting,but over this trip 22%..Bound to go off overbet but looks the most obvious runner in the race..
A lot more speculative 16 runner maiden Tullane,impossible to predict has been placed 10 times and run ok here previously in the wilderness till last time out when showing a bit more when 5th at Wolves beaten 4 3/4ls if that's a sign of it coming to its best known form then could run well very speculatuve but wouldn't be a surprise if it hits the frame

4th so at least ok for ew multiples,but staying never came into it crawled round,race was slow by 10 seconds can't remember the last time a race over 1m4fs was run that slowly a right farce..

Wolves 4.0


This Ones For Fred 11/2 hills 4 places Intoxification 22/1 victor 4 places 20/1 generally 4 places




Another ten runner running maiden first run fir Alan King ans steps up in trip after two places over 1m4fs,last run back in 0-65 looked respectable
no other reason to think it could imprive foir step up in trip other than trainer,sire Markaz suggests not just going to chance it after the decent musselburugh run.
Intoxication a seven runner maiden from a weak stable,it's run one decent race that was penultimate run at Kempton over 2mile when third,the time seemed ok as well,then ran over the same c/d and ran poorly althiugh the race was 3 seconds slower so a speculative pick hoping they don't dawdle,sire not great stats here Havana Gold but over these sort of trips 6/40..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Got 7/1 was driofting all day till the last 15 mins,pished up!!!

Would probably keep this race seperate probably the weakest of all the picks with a short priced fav improver in the race

5.30

Starfighter 10/1 skybet 5 places Beverdages 10/1 skybet 5lplaces 4places generally

Very competitve 0-75 over 1m1 1/2fs,Starfighter i usually put a line thriugh as unreliable,but last two runs here over c/d back in March was 1/2 off marks of 74 and 77,on that form looks overpriced running off 73,again the usual negatve drawn in the carpark in 11..Was third at Newcastle lsst time out in a 0-80,so ew chances if not bearten by the draw..
Similar is Bavardages,good record on the aw 3/11 and 3 places 4th here last time out over 1m1/2fs staying on,has been 1/3 over this c/d on two runs attempted and off 75 tomorrow off 64 with claimer taking off the three..Place chances again..Star Of Velour good track record but not over this trip,was 4th here last time out over c/d time looked quite good strictly on that run has a decent ew chance 11/1,so another to consider..


7.0


Beryl The Petal 4/1 skybet 4 places Desert Dream 7/1 skybet 4 places 15/2 victor/888sport

Another weak 0-55 over 7fs Beryl The Petal another maiden after 9 runs,it's last run was over this c/d and finished really well,was the fastest of the two divisions the other won by Peachey Carnehan has roughly a length on that one on the times that heads the weights tomorrow..Desert Dreamer won in this grade in December 2020 off 55 off 50 tomorrow,unreliable but ran ok in last turf run,trainer has veey few winners so a possibility it may drift..Lots have ew chances,i might add something tomorrow of any big drifters that may have got overlooked
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KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!That'll do today...:ninja:
 
Kempton 5.0


English Spirit 9/2 365 3/1 gernerally 4 places Samphire Coast 12/1 365 14/1 generally 4 places 16/1 victor


A couple of smal bets a 0-60 over a mile,English Spirit looked like it needed a mile last time out over 7fs here in a slightly better race a 0-65 could be an improver off a mark of 60,obvious place chances..More speculative would be Derek Shaws Samphire Coast,an 8yr old now and not won since
November 2019,on downgrade ran in its weakest ever race last time out here over this mile in a 0-65..Only finishing 7th but looked a little better than that,think its a case of having a decent pace to aim at which beats it most of the time,tomorrow is a 0-60 lowest mark of 62 since 2017,i think Derek Shaw will get another win out of it but might even have to go lower in grade but worth a small bet in this grade..Trainers totally out of form no winners for 102 days 52 runners so might be a case of keeping it in notebook..definitely showed ability two runs previous as well even though well beaten...
 
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Newcastle 4.45


Blackheath 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places skybet 5 places


An open looking handicap over 6fs at Newcastle,Spartan Fighter came back to form last time out won in December 2020 and January off 75 and 78
sill only off 73 and got the same draw as last time out win in 13,if its back t it's very best then obvious to be in the shake up at worst..That race had Gowanlad and Blackheath behind so they shouldn't be far away from wherever Spartan Fighter finishes,Gowanlad 3rd and Blackheath was 4th,both running on but Blackheath was out the back gave them 10ls start and looked like it had a bit of running left in it,never got a completely clear run..
The horse has an unreliable profile since joining Michael Dods,its very last run for Ed Walker was here off 87 when 4th to Brian The Snail in a 0-90 a 0-75 this race off just 70,but has not really shown anything much on the turf with the stable either,runs a coule of eyecatching places then finishes tailed off or last.Its last two runs here have been in this grade over this c/d and running on the last twuce so will give it a chance,think the negative looking at the last meeting the high draws looked a big advantage and being prominent..Invariably misses the break and already know Spartan Fighter will lead might do some forecasts etc with the other two.
 
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gigilo said:
Newcastle 4.45


Blackheath 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places skybet 5 places


An open looking handicap over 6fs at Newcastle,Spartan Fighter came back to form last time out won in December 2020 and January off 75 and 78
sill only off 73 and got the same draw as last time out win in 13,if its back t it's very best then obvious to be in the shake up at worst..That race had Gowanlad and Blackheath behind so they shouldn't be far away from wherever Spartan Fighter finishes,Gowanlad 3rd and Blackheath was 4th,both running on but Blackheath was out the back gave them 10ls start and looked like it had a bit of running left in it,never got a completely clear run..
The horse has an unreliable profile since joining Michael Dods,its very last run for Ed Walker was here off 87 when 4th to Brian The Snail in a 0-90 a 0-75 this race off just 70,but has not really shown anything much on the turf with the stable either,runs a coule of eyecatching places then finishes tailed off or last.Its last two runs here have been in this grade over this c/d and running on the last twuce so will give it a chance,think the negative looking at the last meeting the high draws looked a big advantage and being prominent..Invariably misses the break and already know Spartan Fighter will lead might do some forecasts etc with the other two.
Click to expand...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Cracking race to bet in only gets placed Blackheath but the other two finish 1,2 again,that draw and leading is just unbeatable,had a couple of savers as well so vcleasned up 7.29 Spartan Fighter nice drift csf £28.54 Exacta 33.80 more like it....:o
 
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Wolves 1.40


Broken Rifle 9/1 ppower/sportsbook


Broken Rifle rarely wins just 1/25 that win 1/16 on the aw with 7 other places usually runs its race here and running off lowest ever mark,most of its form was with Ivan Furtado as well
and has now changed stables with Harriet Bethell..Just worth a small bet has won off 60 here over this c/d placed a few tumes off 65 over c/d,last time out was third here in a 0-60 a 0-65 tomorrow,a 0-65 tomorrow but time seemed respectable has decent ew chances if it repeats that run.Tio Mio still lightly raced favourite and obvious alternative.


Ran its usual race placed again,had a bit more on the 4 places 3.9 was a big drifter,certainly doesn't like winning as itr looked likely in the last furong..
 
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Always the same when they relay tracks takes ages to bed in,personally i hate it as no diversity losing interest, i would have all the tracks fibresand it'll be 6 months before that track starts riding faster,the times were a lot slower than the fibresand surface on tuesday..I remember when Wolves first got Tapeta quite a few swell horses were running well there,as the surface was vey very slow,that could possibly be an ange for a few months especially if temperatures drop even further..Worth watching a few meetungs especially the times and if old swell horses are going well there..
 
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Small interest ew thieving multiples..

Kempton 4.0


Antiphon 2/1 hills 15/8 365 Dukedom 5/2 hills 2/1 365

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Nice profit to kick off with winner 2/1..


4.30

Stormy Asset 4/1 skybey/victor/hills 7/2 generally

Nice drift evens a place 1.64 4 places as well..


5.0

Legende Dart 5/1 generally Clegane 8/1 generally


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Drifted to 11/2 earlier looked best bet of the day ,lovely and Clegane got 4th 2.49 4 PLACES..!!


7.30


Psyche 13/2 generally 4 and 5 places
 
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Some small interest for saturday,poor draws for most of these so can only be ha;f fancies really..i think all of these are worth keeping in the notebook as the draws are against all of them..




Newcastle 4.30


Blackheath 12/1 365 11/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet 4 places

Put up Blackheath last time out here over 6fs didn't get the greatest of runs bit would ever have beaten tomorrows 2nd favourite Spartan Fighter,the horse hardly ever wins as mentioned before and as at the last meeting the draw looked a big advantage to be high and on the pace//Tomorrow Blackheath gets another furlong to run at which could help but is drawn in 2,a mark of 72 is now lowest ever mark it's not one i will give up on as at some point will get ideal conditions,can only hope Spartan Fighter and few others set a decent pace to give it a chance..Millionaire Waltz and Pallas Lord although both stepping up in class i think look the two to beat so maybe forecasts etc for vey small interests.



5.0

Tanasoq 9/2 hills 5/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower/victor 4 places skybet 5 places

Veteran Tanasoq looks impossible to predct nowadays rarely ever wins,but was an eyecather last time out when 7/13 when didn't get a run,again the draw is looking a big negative in 2,going to need a pace collapse again for it to get i the race..This will be another i will be notng as it's now able to run in class 6s on the aw so even if shows nothng tomorrow it might be a decent price in its next few races,if things did go right for it tomorrow then would be placed at worst..finished on the bridle having to be dropped in from the 1 draw..Similar scenario tomorrow..



Wolves 4.15


Dundory 16/1 365 14/1 hills 12/1 ppower/sportsbook

Dundory another i backed a couple of races back,looked like it needed alot further than tomorrows trip,but that day the pace and time of the race was very slow,then last time out dropped to 7fs and ran on to get 4th coming off a decent pace..The trip looks better again tomorrow,but i can't see any pace in the race,this horse was 2nd off 75 a year ago on Ireland over 1m4fs i thought O'shea was going to line this up for a gamble but the fact he's entered it in this race and not waited for something easier probably means its regressed..Worth a small bet,i will probably keep it for notebook as its decent form is over further,The Throstles and The Sedberghian look well in on old form and wouldn't be a shock if they bounced back



7.45

Tathmeen 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places

Tathmeen another really would be optimistic thinking it could win from the draw in 13,huge negative and it keeps getting left as well,it's gradually come down the weights a mark of 69 is lowest since October 2019 when it won off this mark..A visors been on for its last three runs has finished
6/5/6 but running on in all three but way off the pace,it looks an impossile tas again tomorrow but looks another for the notebook,trainers horses are in form and i think this will be winning son oce it gets a decent draw a token pick tomorrow..
 
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Poor stuff again tomorrow,again the picks i have most are poorly drawn so minimum stakes,think the aw is finished for me unless the new swell track throws something up, the fibresand was the reason for betting on the aw the whole reason i started..am not doing write ups till i really like something.


4.0

Trusty Rusty 5/1 ppower/sportsbook 9/2 skybet 4 places

Another solid place 3rd,badly hampered performed a miracle to get placed in the end lots of places so some decent place multis running on..


4.30


Magical Dias 10/3/1 generally this morning.

Another great place 3ls clear coming to the last furong,never looked like getting beat,1.5 a place been grat for place betting today 7/8 had a half decent day considering no winners..


5.0


International law 5/1 ppower/sportsbook skybet 4 places Jedyed 8/1 365 sportsbook/ppower/skybet 4 places


Chelmsford 1.15


Bonita B 6/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor skybet 4 places Almavara Del Rio 11/1 generally sportsbook/ppower generally skybet 4 places

Bonit B goes off to quick,the other gets left gets 4th so skybet saves on the race paying 4 places...


2.15


Income 3/1 generally Sixth Street 11/4 generally

Great place bets as per usual getting done by a newcomer..2nd and 3rd



3.15


Nubough 6/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places Lethal Angel 9/1 sportsbook/ppower/corals/skybet 4 places
Come On Girl danger..

Another two places 3rd and 4th..
 
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Another guessing game at Newcastle,i see no angles whatsoever so just some small interests and watchin.

Swell 11.50

Outrage 14/1 365 Phoenix Star 14/1 365 4places skybet/corals

Outrage looked a non trier finished on the bridle and Phoenix Star just too fsr behind,a decent second..


1.0

Grange Clare View 9/2 generally 5/1 victor

Grange Clare View don't know what it went in running 3ls clear collared on the line..


2.45


Peachey Carnehan 7/1 365 13/2 skybet 5 places 4 places generally

Peachey Carnhan left finishing but got hampered got the place though in 5th...skybet is fantastic on these races..


3.20


Shyjack 7/2 generally 4 places 10/30 skybet 5 places Professor Galant 7/1 generally

Couldn't even see this race,another trypical new tapeta syrface result 16 runner maiden,looking hirrendous fir betting on this as i suspected it's just pure guesswork...Shyjack got hammered into 5/4 and the other put up by hugh taylor,couldn't even see where it was eventually got that 5th place..Five places again from 6 runners ok fir multiles with skybet

Got 14/1 and unplaced
9/2
13/2
7/2 9/1

Running on the race at kempton be a nice little touch if it places just hope it hits the frame..4 ew lucky 31s


Kempton 7.15

Ring Of Gold 11/4 4 places generally 5 places skybet
 
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Some cracking returns for 4 ew lucky 31s might have to double check them,make two of them returning £500 each for £ew lucky 31,looks a bit much other two £150 thats the aim of the bets like the previous days bets..don't need winners of they all hit the frame...
 
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Wolverhampton 4.0


Luna Magic 12/1 ppower/sportsbook skybet 5 places 4 places Psyche 14/1 365 4 places skybet 5 places

An amateur riders race over 1m1 1/2fs,could only be token picks these two Luna Magic had plenty of running and exosed as an 8yr old,betting will be interesting as has run in this 2019 and 2020 finishing 2nd and 4th off 72 and 70,off 70 tomorrow.Ran ok during the flat season won at Sailsbury off 68 then Goodwood off 72,then a good 3rd in a 0-80 at Newmarket,all those races wre amateur riders races and ridden by usual jock Brodie Hampson.Has run four times since all over 1m4fs got the mark down from 75 to 70,on bes form definite ew chaces a little to prve after those runs and drawn poorly in 11 but track c/d suit.
Psyche is even more speculative,either needs a decent pace or maybe further,finished well beat last time out behind tomorrows fav Maysong,but penultimate run over the same c/d at Chelmsford although well beaten time was very good and running on strongly..Time of the race was almost 4 seconds quicker than the run behind Maysong,it mau just be it wants further as was 2nd at lingfield over 1m5fs next time out..Hopefully they go off quic and if they do so then another with eachway chances.



7.0


Mashaan 7/2 365 3/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places Lucsifer 3/1 365 4 places

On recent form these two would be the two to beat,but the draws are poor in 8 and 11 seems likely they wuold both be placed but have to overcome those draws,Meshaan is a 15 race maiden as well i suspect it may drift as so inconsistent a 3rd here in a 0-80 in a decent time but then going off still a big price and two more poor runs back to back..Last time out a better 3rd at Lingfield in this grade..
Lucsifer only c/d winner in the race but drawn in the car park,two decent 2nds here over c/d recenty one of them was to Ring Of Gold that won on friday it looks the obvious one to beat but the draw is obviously negative.
 
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Newcastle 5.30 Tuesday


Ubahha 15/2 hills


A nine runner maiden, was with Gosden now with Anthony Brittain,hadn't shown alot till missing the break by 10ls on third run for current trainer eventually beaten 5ls in a 0-75 over this c/d..Then went to Southwell third in a 0-75 staying on off 66,then last time out ran over that c/d again travelled better in that race but got no run and hampered and bumped but still only beaten 2 3/4ls,this looks an ultra competitive race,Cam Hardie comes off to ride Mutabaahy for Brittain in the race while a claimer Mark Winn claims (7) rides Ubahha so now runs off just 58 hard to know what to make of that..Ubahha looks capabable of winning races still and if gets out on terms should run well,i put up Tanasaoq last time out here,but it front ran from a poor draw,strange ride it was an eyecatcher here in a decent time previous run,so can't rule that out and Good Earth never won on the aw has run two solid races for new trainer Michael Herrington.
 
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Gonna have some bets for an interest being the last da fir awhile,although again very little i strognly fancy chucking in a few speculative ones..
Ubahha was a huge drifter raced up with the pace,yet every race its run well held off running again tomorrow but they still have that 7 pound claimer on again..Luckily Good Earth drifted to a crazy price 9.93 on betfair hacked up,so nice saver..was only 9/2 last night..Got so many horses to follow that have been ridden the opposite of what expected horses that need to be held up off a fast pace and they're leading and drifting like barges,that ubaaha was 7/2 in same grade last time out and treble the price tonight,very very strange..Will be interesting to see how its ridden tomorrow..

Wolves 1.30

Tell Em Nowt 7/2 10/30 generally skybet 5place Beryl The Petal 7/2 generally corals/skybet 4 places


Tell Em Nowts win came out of the blue on the surface at Swell,it maybe a case of it needs that slower tapeta as previous runs here have been nowhere near as good,looking at all previous form it suggests it might be the case as that was its first win..The time of its win was a second quicker than the other -0-55 and only .35 slower than the 0-75 for 3yr olds which he is running off 58 in this 0-55,if he bombs out here back in notebook for Swell..
Beryl The Peril has been showing a little improvement with every run and the form has been here over this c/d,won in a decent time last time out as well could go in again although this race potentially has better horses Bobby Jo Leg and First Hurrah both drop into 0-55s and would win this at their best,maybe forecasts etc..

What a farce of a race crawled round,the fav sweated up badly as well 90s winners...fav gets 4th so something back Beryl The Petal 5th farce of a race though.





2.30


Ooh Is It 10/1 corals 4 places 9/1 skybet 4 places


Ooh Is It nine runs so far two wins,ran behind the Daley Express here last time out beaten 3 1/2ls but at the end of the race looked to be full of running,only has a five pound pull with the Daley Expres think Gina Mangans a negative as well the way she sat on this last time..Probably the wrong race for it,there's plenty of pace that might help if it collapses Araifjan drops in class could easily run well in this grade and Cherish still improving although five wins already this season.

Red Walls taken out this morning which has ruined the pace angle in this race,it might well hold up ruining its chances so have added The Daley express in fire forecats..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Hacked up lovely jubly!!:ninja: They still went very quick never looked like losing,nice im[roving horses tracks riding very slow as well looks impossible to front run to me..




3.0

Invincible Larne 7/1 skybet 5 places hills/sportsbook/ppower 4 places Temple Bruer 14/1 365 12/1 generaly sky 5 places rest 4 places


Invincible Larne won a 0-90 last time out first run for Scott Dixon time was quick,tomorrow drops into a 0-80 but does have a very poor draw in 9,that night it ran .95 quicker than the 0-75 won by Inevitable Outcome two other runners were in that race Stay Smart and Ballyare that run tomorrow..Those runners have around 17 pound pull in the weights with Invincibile Larne for that time difference,very difficult to weigh up but will risk this and Temple Bruer that one was third in Invinvcible Larnes race didn't get a great run although i doubt it wouldv'e beaten it but slight turnaround in weights..That's drawn 11 as well,another terrible draw just hoping they go quick enough,could only be token bets from those draws.

Wish i'd stuck to the unlucky runner ballyare,shouldv'e won that lower grade race last time out,Invincible larne gets 4th so ok,but Temple Beur gave them 15ls start ran ok considering..another for notebook..Trying to bet horses to win from impossile draws..


3.30


Porofin 10/30 365 Miss Connaisseur 28/1 generally 4 places 33/1 365


A 0-55 Porofin fourteen race maiden couldn't possibly be confident but on first run for Phil Mcentree was second at Kempton in a 0-60 Hollie Doyles booked may bomb out looking at profile but on that run has to be favourite..Six runner maiden for Ruth Carr Miss Conaisseur not shown much but much better last time out over 5fs finished what looked like running,looked likely to improve for step up in trip ran on quite well in that 5f race..If Ruth Carrs thinking 6fs is its trip then would surely be backed in such a weak race,could be another for the notebook//


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!That'll do..:ninja:


4.0


Astrophysics 5/1 hills/victor 9/2 generally 4 places Independent Beauty 14/1 365

Independent Beauty has run two ok races back to back,lack of stable confidence last time out maybe a warning of lack of confidence Lisa Williamson never has any winners usually one or two a season,but has run two respectable races in 0-60s last two runs at Newcastle..Poor draw again and another notebook horse for me,those two runs were at Newcastle so i will be watching closely as another day this could go off 50/1 with a run down the field..
Astrophysics a regular that rarely wins,last win was here all the way back in june 2020 off 58 tomorrow off 47 and was third in that 0-60 mentioned with other pick running on over 5fs..obvious ew chances..


Southwell 5.30


Bavardages 14/1 skybet/hills/corals


William Pyle rides, claims 7 but 2/71 rides says it all,Beveradges wasn't a bad aw horse won at Wolves last season over 1m 1 1/2 off 75,been downhill since joining the Easterbys,has never won on the turf anyway but ran ok on first run at Wolves for them on the 21st of November a staying on 5th in a 0-70 at Wolves in an ok time off 59..But then resorted to type faded very tamey in a 0-75 over the 1m 1 1/2fs,bit of a leap of faith now but running off just 58 would look a decent ew bet on that penultimate run..



7.30


Tathmeen 20/1 365 18/1 hills


Tathmeen i did last time out was drawn wide and as i suspected lost so much ground had no chance,eventually beaten 3 3/4ls staying on in 7th in a 0-75,did win back in June off 71 in this grade and now off lowest ever mark of 67..Has actually been staying on in all last five runs but always loses loads of ground,at some point things will fall right and will win,so another i will follow for awhile through the aw season..
Burrows Seeside has no form on turning tracks but has plenty of form on tapeta already a third this season in a 0-75,decent ew chance and Liamba another that's had plenty of racing down to a mark of 69 claimer takes off another 3 that's lowest mark since December 2019 when winning here on fibresand.The horse has a fantastic record here has hardly run a bad race on this track but not on this surface,if its ever going to run well on it will be now while it's riding dead and slow.
 
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