Daily picks.

[gigilo]

Monday Ayr 6.30


Lordman 9/1 hills/365 8/1 generally

A 1m2fs race for horses rated upto 65,Lordman previously four runs for Tom Dascombe then to Hugo Palmer had two runs since joining the stable as a 3yr old in April a running on 5th in a weak 0-65 over 7fs at Wolves and then a better run at Thirsk over a mile sixth running on beaten just over 5ls.The sires not great El Kabeir and has only ever had one winner over this trip,most winners over shorter,Lordman went off 9/2 in that race at Thirsk i suspect the same could happen again as this is even weaker,has lots of ? against it trip it maybe a horse that is tripless but ground and track are pretty similar to Thirsk and with Tudhope riding for Palmer travelling up from Cheshire to Ayr over 4 hours only runner there..Will probably turn into a nice trade,doesn't look one to trust but looks almost certain to get overbet..


Lingfield 3.55

Pablo Del Pueblo 4/1 hills 5 places 3/1 365

Pablu Del Pueblo 2/11 on the aw looks as though that avenue has been explored and finished won two class 6s has loads of pace and just goes off infront got raided into class 5s and then got beat,may not be totally finished on the aw but now trying the turf..Made turf debut at Ascot over 6fs and ran well in a big field trying to lead going off very quick into a 5l lead,that was quite a competitve 0-80 and eventually only beaten 1 3/4ls in 3rd,you could argue went off to quick to get collared..Got dropped in class last time out but also dropped in trip,so couldn't get away from the field still led but when headed was starting to stay on again in that 0-65,it wasn't a very good race maybe as good as mondays race maybe slighty better..
Monday back to 6fs,but stranded in the 7 stall of 15,i suspect it will still lead and might get the rail now Jack Duerns back on him,even if it can't make all it should trade well in running if that scenario happens,the race is full of unexposed 3yr olds but this is only a 0-60 so can't really see it being bigger than 4/1 maybe get 9/2 on sunday tops..If there's no support for anything in this race from the younger horses,dont be surprised if this goes off 2/1 maybe shorter...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Absolute hacks up,as write up led got the rail,the rest had done absolutely nothing it looked like an odds on shot on form just a matter if anythng was hidden but the Ascot form waa completely different class...

 

[gigilo]

Monday Ayr 6.30


Lordman 9/1 hills/365 8/1 generally

A 1m2fs race for horses rated upto 65,Lordman previously four runs for Tom Dascombe then to Hugo Palmer had two runs since joining the stable as a 3yr old in April a running on 5th in a weak 0-65 over 7fs at Wolves and then a better run at Thirsk over a mile sixth running on beaten just over 5ls.The sires not great El Kabeir and has only ever had one winner over this trip,most winners over shorter,Lordman went off 9/2 in that race at Thirsk i suspect the same could happen again as this is even weaker,has lots of ? against it trip it maybe a horse that is tripless but ground and track are pretty similar to Thirsk and with Tudhope riding for Palmer travelling up from Cheshire to Ayr over 4 hours only runner there..Will probably turn into a nice trade,doesn't look one to trust but looks almost certain to get overbet..

Won a few quid on the race,when you know they're going to get bet you may as well make money on them,think it will get bet again as well in the future smashed into 4/1 as predicted..


Lingfield 3.55

Pablo Del Pueblo 4/1 hills 5 places 3/1 365

Pablu Del Pueblo 2/11 on the aw looks as though that avenue has been explored and finished won two class 6s has loads of pace and just goes off infront got raided into class 5s and then got beat,may not be totally finished on the aw but now trying the turf..Made turf debut at Ascot over 6fs and ran well in a big field trying to lead going off very quick into a 5l lead,that was quite a competitve 0-80 and eventually only beaten 1 3/4ls in 3rd,you could argue went off to quick to get collared..Got dropped in class last time out but also dropped in trip,so couldn't get away from the field still led but when headed was starting to stay on again in that 0-65,it wasn't a very good race maybe as good as mondays race maybe slighty better..
Monday back to 6fs,but stranded in the 7 stall of 15,i suspect it will still lead and might get the rail now Jack Duerns back on him,even if it can't make all it should trade well in running if that scenario happens,the race is full of unexposed 3yr olds but this is only a 0-60 so can't really see it being bigger than 4/1 maybe get 9/2 on sunday tops..If there's no support for anything in this race from the younger horses,dont be surprised if this goes off 2/1 maybe shorter...

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Absolute hacks up,as write up led got the rail,the rest had done absolutely nothing it looked like an odds on shot on form just a matter if anythng was hidden but the Ascot form was completely different class..And nothing was bet and it went off 7/4 ...too easy.

 

[gigilo]

Mindblowing amount of racing,tracks are either overwatered or it rains just befuire the meeting or mid meeting wasting all the time and effort,if there's no rain at Epsom then looks likely to be gd/fm on saturday even though unbelievably they watered today on gd/sft,you couldn't make it up..Got loads of guesses marked off tomorrow all being based on Bath and Catterick being very fast ground,i might do something timorriw very rarely do that anymore but see what grounds like,it looks like a losing day to me with so much stuff marked off..So just going to do ine bet on saturday at Epsom for now..

Epsom saturday 2.0


Taj Alola 12/1 generally 4 places skybet 5 places


Taj Alola taking a big step up in class,the race is a complte guessing game as regards most of the runners as they are now being stepped up in trip and there must be some very unexposed top class handicappers in here with fifteen runners..Taj Aloa has had seven runs,won over 7fs and a mile as a 2yr old the beaten easily on the aw in three runs,first time back on the turf last time out since August 2021 and was second in a 0-85 over 1m2fs at Ripon,form looked nothing special but the time on the clock looked very decent,they went flat out as they did in the following 0-90 for older horses,the 3yr old handicap was a second quicker and Taj Alla ended up running 4ls quicker than the winner Brilliant Light rated 92 but carrying three pound less..Taking that at face value you'd have a three year old running ti mid 90s with older horses yet gets in here off 85 with three year olds..strictly on the Ripon run looks well in,Epsoms the other way round and the horse did look a very difficult ride,visors been put on as well..i will definiteky put it back in notebook if no show and notebook the Ripon race as it looks worth following,and you can almost guarantee if it flops at Epsom it will return ti Ripon at some point..The ground was pretty quick that day and that may be the difference,it needs fastish ground..

 

[gigilo]

Mindblowing amount of racing,tracks are either overwatered or it rains just befuire the meeting or mid meeting wasting all the time and effort,if there's no rain at Epsom then looks likely to be gd/fm on saturday even though unbelievably they watered today on gd/sft,you couldn't make it up..Got loads of guesses marked off tomorrow all being based on Bath and Catterick being very fast ground,i might do something timorriw very rarely do that anymore but see what grounds like,it looks like a losing day to me with so much stuff marked off..So just going to do ine bet on saturday at Epsom for now..

Epsom saturday 2.0


Taj Alola 12/1 generally 4 places skybet 5 places


Taj Alola taking a big step up in class,the race is a complte guessing game as regards most of the runners as they are now being stepped up in trip and there must be some very unexposed top class handicappers in here with fifteen runners..Taj Aloa has had seven runs,won over 7fs and a mile as a 2yr old the beaten easily on the aw in three runs,first time back on the turf last time out since August 2021 and was second in a 0-85 over 1m2fs at Ripon,form looked nothing special but the time on the clock looked very decent,they went flat out as they did in the following 0-90 for older horses,the 3yr old handicap was a second quicker and Taj Alla ended up running 4ls quicker than the winner Brilliant Light rated 92 but carrying three pound less..Taking that at face value you'd have a three year old running ti mid 90s with older horses yet gets in here off 85 with three year olds..strictly on the Ripon run looks well in,Epsoms the other way round and the horse did look a very difficult ride,visors been put on as well..i will definiteky put it back in notebook if no show and notebook the Ripon race as it looks worth following,and you can almost guarantee if it flops at Epsom it will return ti Ripon at some point..The ground was pretty quick that day and that may be the difference,it needs fastish ground..

16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook 14/1 generally 5 places hills/skybet

 

[gigilo]

Windsor 6.15


Pettochside 6/1 365 Firenza Rosa 20/1 365

 

[gigilo]

All old dodgepots or to be fair just horses on downgrade,bit annoyed about the Windsor race as they were supposed to get a lot more rain,that sprint 9 of them could win i thought the angle could be desperate ground fior the Bridger horses but looks like they won't get it now,just small stakes..All of them are similar most out of form but slipped in the weights...


Windsor 6.15


Pettochside 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/1 skybet 4 places Firenza Rosa 33/1 sportsbook/ppower 25/1 skybet 4 places


Ponte 6.30


Corinthian Knight 4/1 365 4 places


Lingfield 3.03

Dutagumunu 15/2 365 4 places


4.48

Storm Melody 10/1 365

 

[gigilo]

All old dodgepots or to be fair just horses on downgrade,bit annoyed about the Windsor race as they were supposed to get a lot more rain,that sprint 9 of them could win i thought the angle could be desperate ground fior the Bridger horses but looks like they won't get it now,just small stakes..All of them are similar most out of form but slipped in the weights...


Windsor 6.15


Pettochside 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/1 skybet 4 places Firenza Rosa 33/1 sportsbook/ppower 25/1 skybet 4 places

Another lovely place on Pettochside 10/1 sp,strange betting the favs lloked awful both unplaced,just not quite enough rain for Forenza Rosa staying on but a terrible ride 5th just out of the places Pettochside 6.2,3.3 and 2.2 2,3,4 places lovely betting race,never have picked the winner the race was only slow by 2.4 seconds not as slow as they were making out..


Ponte 6.30


Corinthian Knight 4/1 365 4 places

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Another cracking day,lovely drift 6.6 some lovely placers today and nearly all drfited..


Lingfield 3.03

Dutagumunu 15/2 365 4 places

3rd


4.48

Storm Melody 10/1 365

Non runner but 4.8 and 2.9 3&4 places very nice,annoying the non runner ruined nice lucky 15,but the place prices were nuts..

 

[gigilo]

Wetherby 7.0

Jack Daniels 12/1 365 4 places

Jack Daniels won on debut last season in a maiden at Redcar the runner up has since won three races and is rated mid 70s,Jack Daniels has been beaten since on the aw and in handicaps, at Redcar on debut run of the season then at York in a 20 horse race finishing 7th in a 0-80..When he won his maiden the ground was gd/gdfm so maybe ground hasn't suited,think it's one to follow for a few runs,am not quite sure why they are running the horse left handed either as if you watch all its races has wandered around,that's why he was kept to straight tracks first three runs..the horse has lost its off fore eye so obvious thing to do is send it right handed..Wetherby doesn't look the right track and am not sure the ground will not be dead as well but gets dropped in class tomorrow,so will have to do it in this 0-75,it will be interesting to see if he causes carnage by wandering as he did at York as this track is far tighter..It's an absolute certainty if he does you won't see him going left handed again,will be straight tracks or right handed,at some point his mark of 72 or lower he should be able to take advantage of,he also steps upto a mile tomorrow as well so another ?..The Easterby horse Perfect Swiss has some form in better class races,but drawn 16 and only 2/25 on turf will be keeping a close eye on this easterby runner..

 

[gigilo]

Just a couple of token bets,have only just realized that Tipperary Tigers jockey Sam Fielden has had 1 winner from 71 rides must be a big negative,will leave it now but can only be minimum stakes with those stats..


Hamilton 5.50

Hard Solution 6/1 generally skybet 4 places 888sport 13/2

Hard Solution likes this 6f at Hamilton won this race last year and the Jockey Matthew Ennis has won in it three times,this looks a far better race than the corresponding race last season,there are plenty in here with backform that strictly on the book are better than Hard Solution,if they run to their best come back to form then i think a place would be the best it could hope for..The ground is not certain either apparently some rain due,looks like its going to be good ground from what i can make out,Hard Solutions come back run this season was ok had usual visor off was drawn 1 on the far side at Ripon finished 6th but won the race on that side..Visors on tomorrow drawn 9,stalls are on stands side in recent time they've won all over the place at Hamilton hopefully they haven't watered and the highs might hold a slight advantage,draw,jockey and track record look positves which just about make it a bet..



7.50


Tipperary Tiger 13/2 365

Never realized Sam Fielden was riding just saw the 7 pound claim,that's sort of been negated now with jock only 1/71 went in my notebook as a 2yr old winning a maiden at Donny on soft ground,i followed fir awhile became very disappointing and regressive..Eventually won in a poor claimer and then came back to form winning two class 4s off 76 and 80 then second in a 0-95 at Wolves,has run three times this season the last twice here over c/d second to the progressive Inver Park with the third another 4 3/4kls behind,led that race then was 6th in a clas 2 0-100 here wasn't a strong race but far better than this race but was eventually beaten 5ls..Drops into a 0-80 now and runs off 73 with the claim,but as mentioned a jockey that has ony ever ride one winner and not that many places either,drawn 6 which should be ok this is lowest ever mark so worth a small bet..There's some ice horses lurking Cottam Lane drawn 8 looks well in was third in a 0-85 last season off 81 and only runs off 75 tomorrow,is with new trainer Nigel Tinkler and although down the field in those races they were far better than this,i think it will probably be bet drop in class and draw not necesarily stable money could be a nice trade or free bet at 10/1 9/1 generally..

 

[gigilo]

Wetherby 7.0

Jack Daniels 12/1 365 4 places

Jack Daniels won on debut last season in a maiden at Redcar the runner up has since won three races and is rated mid 70s,Jack Daniels has been beaten since on the aw and in handicaps, at Redcar on debut run of the season then at York in a 20 horse race finishing 7th in a 0-80..When he won his maiden the ground was gd/gdfm so maybe ground hasn't suited,think it's one to follow for a few runs,am not quite sure why they are running the horse left handed either as if you watch all its races has wandered around,that's why he was kept to straight tracks first three runs..the horse has lost its off fore eye so obvious thing to do is send it right handed..Wetherby doesn't look the right track and am not sure the ground will not be dead as well but gets dropped in class tomorrow,so will have to do it in this 0-75,it will be interesting to see if he causes carnage by wandering as he did at York as this track is far tighter..It's an absolute certainty if he does you won't see him going left handed again,will be straight tracks or right handed,at some point his mark of 72 or lower he should be able to take advantage of,he also steps upto a mile tomorrow as well so another ?..The Easterby horse Perfect Swiss has some form in better class races,but drawn 16 and only 2/25 on turf will be keeping a close eye on this easterby runner..

Smashed off the boards into 4/1 on betfair went out to 8s within minutes back into 5.7,a combination of going that way round and the ground being dead beaten 2fs out and soft ground horses like Frankelio ran 3rd,had a couple of place bets on perfect Swiss 4 & 5 places ran well from the 16 draw..You won't see Jack Daniels going that wat riund again and it needs fast ground..

 

[gigilo]

Just a couple of token bets,have only just realized that Tipperary Tigers jockey Sam Fielden has had 1 winner from 71 rides must be a big negative,will leave it now but can only be minimum stakes with those stats..


Hamilton 5.50

Hard Solution 6/1 generally skybet 4 places 888sport 13/2

Hard Solution likes this 6f at Hamilton won this race last year and the Jockey Matthew Ennis has won in it three times,this looks a far better race than the corresponding race last season,there are plenty in here with backform that strictly on the book are better than Hard Solution,if they run to their best come back to form then i think a place would be the best it could hope for..The ground is not certain either apparently some rain due,looks like its going to be good ground from what i can make out,Hard Solutions come back run this season was ok had usual visor off was drawn 1 on the far side at Ripon finished 6th but won the race on that side..Visors on tomorrow drawn 9,stalls are on stands side in recent time they've won all over the place at Hamilton hopefully they haven't watered and the highs might hold a slight advantage,draw,jockey and track record look positves which just about make it a bet..



7.50


Tipperary Tiger 13/2 365

Never realized Sam Fielden was riding just saw the 7 pound claim,that's sort of been negated now with jock only 1/71 went in my notebook as a 2yr old winning a maiden at Donny on soft ground,i followed fir awhile became very disappointing and regressive..Eventually won in a poor claimer and then came back to form winning two class 4s off 76 and 80 then second in a 0-95 at Wolves,has run three times this season the last twice here over c/d second to the progressive Inver Park with the third another 4 3/4kls behind,led that race then was 6th in a clas 2 0-100 here wasn't a strong race but far better than this race but was eventually beaten 5ls..Drops into a 0-80 now and runs off 73 with the claim,but as mentioned a jockey that has ony ever ride one winner and not that many places either,drawn 6 which should be ok this is lowest ever mark so worth a small bet..There's some ice horses lurking Cottam Lane drawn 8 looks well in was third in a 0-85 last season off 81 and only runs off 75 tomorrow,is with new trainer Nigel Tinkler and although down the field in those races they were far better than this,i think it will probably be bet drop in class and draw not necesarily stable money could be a nice trade or free bet at 10/1 9/1 generally..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Was cursing my luck today,had a handful of winners marje off and the rain came at Hamilton,Hard Solution doesn't want this ground drited to 9s stunk to high heaven but will be back here you can guarantee that on,lovely touch on the tiger the reverse happened for him as he likes a bit of cut so balanced it out in the end and Cottam Lane got smashed off the boards as well..another great day.. Same Fieldens only 2nd ever winner from 72 rides :lol:

 

[swedish chef]

7.50


Tipperary Tiger 13/2 365

Never realized Sam Fielden was riding just saw the 7 pound claim,that's sort of been negated now with jock only 1/71 went in my notebook as a 2yr old winning a maiden at Donny on soft ground,i followed fir awhile became very disappointing and regressive..Eventually won in a poor claimer and then came back to form winning two class 4s off 76 and 80 then second in a 0-95 at Wolves,has run three times this season the last twice here over c/d second to the progressive Inver Park with the third another 4 3/4kls behind,led that race then was 6th in a clas 2 0-100 here wasn't a strong race but far better than this race but was eventually beaten 5ls..Drops into a 0-80 now and runs off 73 with the claim,but as mentioned a jockey that has ony ever ride one winner and not that many places either,drawn 6 which should be ok this is lowest ever mark so worth a small bet..There's some ice horses lurking Cottam Lane drawn 8 looks well in was third in a 0-85 last season off 81 and only runs off 75 tomorrow,is with new trainer Nigel Tinkler and although down the field in those races they were far better than this,i think it will probably be bet drop in class and draw not necesarily stable money could be a nice trade or free bet at 10/1 9/1 generally..[/QUOTE]

Thanks giggsy.

 

[Monkey]

Well done Giggsy. Prices were gone by the time I looked, but I'm glad you did all right.

 

[gigilo]

Tipperary Tiger was 6.06 bfsp..

 

[gigilo]

Saturday York 3.40

Atomic Lady 16/11 365 5 places 14/1 skybet 6 places


A crazy 0-105 6f sprint for 3yr olds some solid form from the two that have already won in this grade Ingra Tor and Harry Three if they transfer their Newmarket form to this different track then obvious place chances at worst,there's 20 runners don't know how the draw will work out either,so just going to have a small interest in the Easterby horse could go off 33s could go off 6s hasn't run yet this season and Easterbys horses usually need a run..
Atomic Lady runs off 91 won a maidena and a 0-85 over this c/d then ran poorly at Musselburugh,then the one piece of outstanding form again here over c/d runner upto Ever Given now rated 107 won last week at Epsom in a listed race,the third from the York run was Wins Of War now rated 109 3rd in recent group 2 at Haydock Atomic Lady solit the pair getting 5 pound so you could summize a mark of a 100..This was also backed up by the previous race on the card that day Zain Claudette rated 108 winning the group 2 on the card,Atomic Lady running around 1 1/2ls slower carrying 5 pound less so again a mar near a 100,the second in that race was Sandrine rated 109 Atomic Lady slightly slower carrying 8 pound less so again near the 100 mark..She then went to Ripon beaten 6ls in a listed race,would have to say disappointing and now returns here on a mark of 91..she could be well in but it is first run of the season 285 days since she had a run,the betting will be very interesting in a crazy handicap..

 

[gigilo]

Saturday York 3.40

Atomic Lady 16/11 365 5 places 14/1 skybet 6 places


A crazy 0-105 6f sprint for 3yr olds some solid form from the two that have already won in this grade Ingra Tor and Harry Three if they transfer their Newmarket form to this different track then obvious place chances at worst,there's 20 runners don't know how the draw will work out either,so just going to have a small interest in the Easterby horse could go off 33s could go off 6s hasn't run yet this season and Easterbys horses usually need a run..
Atomic Lady runs off 91 won a maidena and a 0-85 over this c/d then ran poorly at Musselburugh,then the one piece of outstanding form again here over c/d runner upto Ever Given now rated 107 won last week at Epsom in a listed race,the third from the York run was Wins Of War now rated 109 3rd in recent group 2 at Haydock Atomic Lady solit the pair getting 5 pound so you could summize a mark of a 100..This was also backed up by the previous race on the card that day Zain Claudette rated 108 winning the group 2 on the card,Atomic Lady running around 1 1/2ls slower carrying 5 pound less so again a mar near a 100,the second in that race was Sandrine rated 109 Atomic Lady slightly slower carrying 8 pound less so again near the 100 mark..She then went to Ripon beaten 6ls in a listed race,would have to say disappointing and now returns here on a mark of 91..she could be well in but it is first run of the season 285 days since she had a run,the betting will be very interesting in a crazy handicap..

Drifted to 21s,suspected it might first time out always guesing on Easterby horses, savers on Harrys Three and on the fav as said in wrute up best form known this season, and the best form on fast ground this season..and the highest draw won on the stands side so another guessing game was required there as well..

 

[gigilo]

Donny 3.37


Safran 7/1 generally 5 places 15/2 888sport


Suspect Safran may drift,can't really say this is value now i put him up at Thirsk at 12/1 was a huge rick and it went off 7/2 fav,ran it's worst ever race even though only beaten 2 1/2ls but was leading with 1./2 furlong to go and stopped as if shot..That was only a class 5 0-70 looked the perfect race for it,there could be a few excuses ground looked slow race was slow by 4 seconds,its never run well on slow ground ideally good or faster,it also led the race when more often than not it misses the break or off the pace and that's when it's run all its decent races...Also there appears to be a trend most of its really good form has been at York/Ripon in far better races,so i'm not sure this sort of track will suit anyway no form on straight tracks,this is a 0-75 and ridiculously competitve i have 7 marked off..Am not going to cross this off yet even if disappoints tomorrow as i want to bet it at York/Ripon is plumetting down the weights just off 70 now,it gave the field a 10l start at York in a 0-85 and was beaten 3 3/4ls in 6th at some point it has to win a race but don't want it to become a cliff horse as hasn't win since January 2021..Hopefully the ground won't be overwatered at Donny as they just won't let these meetings have fast ground,was going to back another couple but at the moment going to leave it as just have too many marked of..and hoping Danny Tudhope doesn't do the front running tactics again,a very strange ride last time out..

Sweated uo befure the race not given a hard time,won't be betting it again unless it runs at York/Ripon.Now again i have just checked the time of todays race slow by 3.11 seconds,they said it was gd/fm, last week races like this were near standard at Donny,again this just looks like overwatering the ground cannot possibly be gd/fm with that finishing time which again wouldv'e been a huge negative to Safarn,completely farcical,the srcond race slow by 4.11 seconds over the same distance..They sre making racing impossible to have a bet.Third race over a mile slow by over 5 seconds..

4.32


Raydoun 5/1 365 skybet 4 places 10/30 Golden Duke 13/2 365 skybet 4 places 5/1

I put Rayfdoun on my to follows back in October eyecatcher at Newcastle,went onto win a little race there over 6fs then got switced to the turf
ran a terrible race here and that could be the negative,just never went the pace in what wasn't a great race hoping it was just a one off..It's last two runs have been eyecatchers,so am also hoping he's not one of those horses that just keeps missing the break and then looks unlucky in running,thats happened the last twice at Haydock in a 0-75 and at Ripon last time out in a 0-75 now in a 0-70 tomorrow although most of the runners in here are unexposed,Jonny Peate takes off 5 so down to 63 below that winning mark at newcastle..I probably will avoid the horse if it does the same thng again,the other Golden Duke was second in the race Raydoun was 4th in at Ripon also came from off the pace and had to come wide while the 1,2 were up with the pace throughout..If they transfer that run to this race then obvious place chances at worst,although the latter i might keep in notebook for ripon as that ones run two really good races there and miht have a preferece for the track..

 

[gigilo]

Carlisle monday 2.45

Singe Anglais 12/1 hills

Mr Trevor and Stone Circle look the ones to beat,Stone Circle rated 87 12 months ago was different class to these plummetted in weights and gets to run in a 0-60 for the first time,even though massive regression must have a great chance in this race also goes on faster and slower ground..The same applies to Mr Trevor although desperately hard to win with runs off 57 just 1/18 but down to that winning mark,was recently 4th in a 0-75 at Catterick so the obvious alternatuves to the main pick Singe Anglais..
Singe Anglais has a great record over this c/d 1/1/2/4 off marks of 61/62,62,62 and won a 0-70 at Ripon later in the season off 58,only second time in a 0-60 since June 2021, was running ok till last time out at ponte in a class 5 so maybe not ready to strike yet but jock takes off 7 so only running off 55 lowest ever mark..If the horse was running to its best would only be 7/2 -4/1 to win this,think the draw could be a negative as always gets outpaced early so being in the 1 draw could be a big negative but the prices are big on previous c/d form..if it diesn't get backed in this grade then i'd be surprised if it shows but really should be getting bet in this and could well go off 4-5/1.. even if no show..I expect punters to back this at these prices..

16/1 365...should be a cracking trade,if it doesn't get backed at these prices must be a non trier

 

[swedish chef]

4.32


Raydoun 5/1 365 skybet 4 places 10/30 Golden Duke 13/2 365 skybet 4 places 5/1

I put Rayfdoun on my to follows back in October eyecatcher at Newcastle,went onto win a little race there over 6fs then got switced to the turf
ran a terrible race here and that could be the negative,just never went the pace in what wasn't a great race hoping it was just a one off..It's last two runs have been eyecatchers,so am also hoping he's not one of those horses that just keeps missing the break and then looks unlucky in running,thats happened the last twice at Haydock in a 0-75 and at Ripon last time out in a 0-75 now in a 0-70 tomorrow although most of the runners in here are unexposed,Jonny Peate takes off 5 so down to 63 below that winning mark at newcastle..I probably will avoid the horse if it does the same thng again,the other Golden Duke was second in the race Raydoun was 4th in at Ripon also came from off the pace and had to come wide while the 1,2 were up with the pace throughout..If they transfer that run to this race then obvious place chances at worst,although the latter i might keep in notebook for ripon as that ones run two really good races there and miht have a preferece for the track..[/QUOTE]

Thanks giggsy forecast as well. :adore::adore:

 

[gigilo]

Donny 3.37


Safran 7/1 generally 5 places 15/2 888sport


Suspect Safran may drift,can't really say this is value now i put him up at Thirsk at 12/1 was a huge rick and it went off 7/2 fav,ran it's worst ever race even though only beaten 2 1/2ls but was leading with 1./2 furlong to go and stopped as if shot..That was only a class 5 0-70 looked the perfect race for it,there could be a few excuses ground looked slow race was slow by 4 seconds,its never run well on slow ground ideally good or faster,it also led the race when more often than not it misses the break or off the pace and that's when it's run all its decent races...Also there appears to be a trend most of its really good form has been at York/Ripon in far better races,so i'm not sure this sort of track will suit anyway no form on straight tracks,this is a 0-75 and ridiculously competitve i have 7 marked off..Am not going to cross this off yet even if disappoints tomorrow as i want to bet it at York/Ripon is plumetting down the weights just off 70 now,it gave the field a 10l start at York in a 0-85 and was beaten 3 3/4ls in 6th at some point it has to win a race but don't want it to become a cliff horse as hasn't win since January 2021..Hopefully the ground won't be overwatered at Donny as they just won't let these meetings have fast ground,was going to back another couple but at the moment going to leave it as just have too many marked of..and hoping Danny Tudhope doesn't do the front running tactics again,a very strange ride last time out..

Sweated uo befure the race not given a hard time,won't be betting it again unless it runs at York/Ripon.Now again i have just checked the time of todays race slow by 3.11 seconds,they said it was gd/fm, last week races like this were near standard at Donny,again this just looks like overwatering the ground cannot possibly be gd/fm with that finishing time which again wouldv'e been a huge negative to Safarn,completely farcical,the srcond race slow by 4.11 seconds over the same distance..They sre making racing impossible to have a bet.Third race over a mile slow by over 5 seconds..

4.32


Raydoun 5/1 365 skybet 4 places 10/30 Golden Duke 13/2 365 skybet 4 places 5/1

I put Rayfdoun on my to follows back in October eyecatcher at Newcastle,went onto win a little race there over 6fs then got switced to the turf
ran a terrible race here and that could be the negative,just never went the pace in what wasn't a great race hoping it was just a one off..It's last two runs have been eyecatchers,so am also hoping he's not one of those horses that just keeps missing the break and then looks unlucky in running,thats happened the last twice at Haydock in a 0-75 and at Ripon last time out in a 0-75 now in a 0-70 tomorrow although most of the runners in here are unexposed,Jonny Peate takes off 5 so down to 63 below that winning mark at newcastle..I probably will avoid the horse if it does the same thng again,the other Golden Duke was second in the race Raydoun was 4th in at Ripon also came from off the pace and had to come wide while the 1,2 were up with the pace throughout..If they transfer that run to this race then obvious place chances at worst,although the latter i might keep in notebook for ripon as that ones run two really good races there and miht have a preferece for the track..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!8.7 Raydoun the form worked out exactly as it shouldv'e done on the Ripon form,incredible and the forecast,absolutey hacked up..:lol: The ground was an absolute joke there today gd/fm they must be insane,the clss 2 5f race was slow by 2 seconds,luckily my two picks in this race had run well on good ground,i also laid bicep as well had no chance on its form with Raydoun at Haydock,Raydoun shouldv'e been favourite and the other 2nd fav 8.7 lol i got evens for 4 places:lol::lol: csf £30 exacta £37..

 

[gigilo]

Ascot Wednesday Hunt Cup

5.0


Astro King 9/1 hills/365 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 7 places generally 15/2 hills 6 places 7/1 365 8 places

Astro King was runner up in this last season to Real World now rated 118 had to give it 7 pound beaten 4 3/4ls obviously had no chance looking back,Astro Kings still gone up in the weights despite not winning since followed up with a 3rd at York off 102 and is on that mark having finished 26/27 at Newmarket and then on reappearence only 9/15 in the Thirsk Hunt Cup..Never got a run in that race near finish and wouldv'e been second although the form of that race nowhere near good enough to win this the run was respectable,there's not loads of c/d form in wednesdays race quite unusual for a specialists track and Astro King can't really say well handicapped 4 pound higher than last years second but will prefer the ground quick as long as not overwatered similar to last years ground looking at the forecast..The improvers in this race don't have any track form yet and some have not been on fast ground,as long as the ground is genuine gd/gdfm and the draws not a disadvantage then no reason to see a respectable run..Will have another look when the decs are up but this might go off a silly price if it gets what looks an advantageous draw ,certainly can't see it being 8-9/1 on the day.

 

[gigilo]

Carlisle monday 2.45

Singe Anglais 12/1 hills

Mr Trevor and Stone Circle look the ones to beat,Stone Circle rated 87 12 months ago was different class to these plummetted in weights and gets to run in a 0-60 for the first time,even though massive regression must have a great chance in this race also goes on faster and slower ground..The same applies to Mr Trevor although desperately hard to win with runs off 57 just 1/18 but down to that winning mark,was recently 4th in a 0-75 at Catterick so the obvious alternatuves to the main pick Singe Anglais..
Singe Anglais has a great record over this c/d 1/1/2/4 off marks of 61/62,62,62 and won a 0-70 at Ripon later in the season off 58,only second time in a 0-60 since June 2021, was running ok till last time out at ponte in a class 5 so maybe not ready to strike yet but jock takes off 7 so only running off 55 lowest ever mark..If the horse was running to its best would only be 7/2 -4/1 to win this,think the draw could be a negative as always gets outpaced early so being in the 1 draw could be a big negative but the prices are big on previous c/d form..if it diesn't get backed in this grade then i'd be surprised if it shows but really should be getting bet in this and could well go off 4-5/1.. even if no show..I expect punters to back this at these prices..

16/1 365...should be a cracking trade,if it doesn't get backed at these prices must be a non trier

Decent place and did what i said miised the beat from the 1 draw and ends up on the stands side,got 2.4 for 4 places as well,settle fir that.. looks overwatered again to me the ground ace was slow by 3.39 seconds supposedly gd/fm..It's virtualy every meeting they are doing it,was a definite negative against Singe Anglaise..

 

[gigilo]

Just going to try some thieving bets for an interest tomorrow,small stakes..

Nottingham 6.50

Brute Force 7/2 Infinitu 2/1 365

7.50

Exciting News 3/1 365 5/1 generally

8.20


Devon Envoy 10/30 hills/victor 3/1 generally 365 Tiberio Smile 20/1 generally


Hamilton

4.10

Autumn Festival 9/2 victor skybet 4 places Shoemedemoney 9/1 365 7/1 generally skybet 4 places Shaladar 10/1 generally


4.40


May Punch 7/2 generally

Ascot


2.30

Dramatised 4/1 skybet 7 places All The Time 20/1 skybet 7 places

5.35


Little Big Bear 5/2 generally skybet 7 places generally 5/6 places Rocket Rodney 16/1 skybet 7 places


Ripon


6.0


Boom Boom Pow 3/1 365 11/4 Generally



8.10

True Courage 7/1 victor/corals 13/2 generally Where's Jeff 4/1 generally

 

[gigilo]

Will have alittle bet on this ran ok here two races ago,but don't understand why its dropped to 5f,will do it just because of the pricee.

Ripon 6.40

Brazen Belle 33/1 365/hills/sportsbook 5 places

Even though only a 4yr old Brazen Belle has had loads opf runs won 4 races and if was anywhere near the form of last seasons best would be fav to win this,but has regressed from being a 70s horse to now just rated 51,has also changed trainers to Colin Teague and when he takes over horses you know somethung has gone wrong or temperament..Going off huge pruces all runs for this trainer,the only decent run being two runs back here over 6fs in a slightly better race finishing 5th in a 0-65,was never really involved and tomorrow drop to 5fs looks very strange although dropped into a 0-55..Next time out raised in class and back to type,althoigh trainer said ground was too slow and that could well be the case as it may just need faster ground,no way ypu could have any confidence in the horse but back to the track it's shown one glimpse of form and ar 33s worth trying a little bet..Maybe worth following this fir a few runs as long as grounds fast as one day it might just pop u at 50/1 in an even weaker race..

 

[gigilo]

Ascot Wednesday Hunt Cup

5.0


Astro King 9/1 hills/365 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 7 places generally 15/2 hills 6 places 7/1 365 8 places

Astro King was runner up in this last season to Real World now rated 118 had to give it 7 pound beaten 4 3/4ls obviously had no chance looking back,Astro Kings still gone up in the weights despite not winning since followed up with a 3rd at York off 102 and is on that mark having finished 26/27 at Newmarket and then on reappearence only 9/15 in the Thirsk Hunt Cup..Never got a run in that race near finish and wouldv'e been second although the form of that race nowhere near good enough to win this the run was respectable,there's not loads of c/d form in wednesdays race quite unusual for a specialists track and Astro King can't really say well handicapped 4 pound higher than last years second but will prefer the ground quick as long as not overwatered similar to last years ground looking at the forecast..The improvers in this race don't have any track form yet and some have not been on fast ground,as long as the ground is genuine gd/gdfm and the draws not a disadvantage then no reason to see a respectable run..Will have another look when the decs are up but this might go off a silly price if it gets what looks an advantageous draw ,certainly can't see it being 8-9/1 on the day.

Ran about how i expected gettig 4th some lovely place bets on 6& 7 places 2.5 and 2.7 ,driftd like a barge which made the places great on the betfair..