Originally posted by Galileo@Feb 28 2008, 09:46 PM
What we do know is the Odgen was talking to Jonjo O'Neill during the day....as was confirmed by the owner. That same day the horse was taken out of bookies lists and went out to near 30/1 on Betfair. Then that very same evening O'Neill gave the RP an interview stating he was "mystified".
As I understand it the sequence of events is somewhat different??
Tuesday - horse starts drifting on Betfair and is removed from the betting by the Magic Sign.
Wednesday Morning - reports in RP of injury to ED. JO'N "mystified".
Later Wed Morning - Barry Simpson talks to JO'N about the injury following the reports and then speaks to Ogden.
Wed Afternoon - RP publishes the piece which heads this thread.
That would then leave the explanation of Ogden's difficulty as being perfectly plausible in the sense of
explaining JO'N's original "mystified" comments.
Leaving us with the question of how the horse came to start drifting. Without knowledge of who was doing the original laying it is impossible to determine precisely why or even to come close to a reason by anything other than luck. It
could have been a malcontent (the least satisfactory suggestion to me), it
could have been a hard up opportunist (the most likely suggestion) or it
could have been a deliberate and concerted attempt to make substantial sums of money by someone in a more senior position. None of the information that we have points definitely in any of these directions IMO.
Why did Ladbrokes chose to remove the horse from the betting? What did they stand to gain - "good guy" publicity or Highlighting the original issue of the horse being laid? They could give a million pounds to charity and they still wouldn't be the good guys. As someone else pointed out, they stood to gain financially from leaving the horse in the betting. Therefore the reason we want lies elsewhere - my suggestion is that they wanted to highlight the horse being laid to a greater extent than would have been the case had it simply been a drift on Betfair.