Class.
Glorious Goodwood 2021
- Thread starter reet hard
- Start date
Class.
Colin Phillips
At the Start
Well done, all.
Nice one Marb.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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- Aug 2, 2005
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I won't transfer my Stewards' Cup ratings here as it's too much of a faff but this is the synopsis I put up elsewhere earlier today:
The Stewards’ Cup… be still my beating heart. This is a fabulous renewal, with almost half the runners rated at least 100. The target figure for the race [126] can only be regarded as notional and in my head I am setting the bar at 130 to try to narrow the field down to a manageable number of contenders. I have no idea how the draw is going to pan out either so I’ll probably cover both sides too.
While cases can be made for just about everything, the ones I’m most drawn to are (in table order): Summerghand, Hurricane Ivor, Great Ambassador, Hey Jonesy, Gulliver, Fresh, Meraas and Major Jumbo. Others with decent possibilities could be Ejtilaab, Motagally and Chil Chil.
Taking them in turn:
Summerghand (18/1) – after winning this for us last year off 108 and earlier this season beating Oxted at level weights in a G3 I would never have imagined him ending up here still off just 109. He’s been here, done it and got the T-shirt so has to be a bet at the price.
Hurricane Ivor (8/1) – was over four lengths clear on his side behind Significantly at Ascot last time. Calculating that side as a race in its own right by my normal methods gives him a very high rating and makes him the most likely winner. I reckon the price is worth taking (I have) as I can see him being heavily backed.
Great Ambassador (16/1) – looks to have been laid out for this, having been kept off the track for three months, presumably to protect a very good mark. I’ve taken the price.
Hey Jonesy (25/1) – won the Wokingham for us last year at 50/1 so I have a soft spot for him. I can wait until tomorrow to decide about a bet since he might be vulnerable to the others if they are as good as I think they might be.
Gulliver (33/1) – was impressive off 102 at York (soft) in October and is now 3lbs lower. He is entitled to go close on that York form and a value bet.
Fresh (13/2f) – was a job horse foiled in the Wokingham and has been kept back for this. He was well punted that day and a decent enough favourite for this but I’m not sure if he’s value. I might put enough on him to cover the other bets.
Meraas (14/1) – is quite intriguing. He had a progressive profile last season and has had two modest starts this time and turns up with the ex-champion jockey, who would presumably have been offered several of this field, booked. His price might be about right but there’s a chance he is some way better than we’ve seen.
Major Jumbo (25/1) – was 40/1 the other day but Paul Kealy put paid to that. He was rated 107 this time last year so his campaign has been a bit Hey-Jonesy-esque. Apprentice-ridden (and badly ridden) so far this season, he’s now down to 95 and just scrapes in.
Ejtilaab (14/1) – is on a serious curve so a sudden change of trainer is surprising but I think his price is about right.
Motagally (25/1) – Shadwell’s only runner and the trainer has a great record when he targets big handicaps. He might need faster ground but is probably worth a pop anyway as he’s probably been trained all season for the race.
But I wouldn’t put anyone off anything!
Barbill isn't actually mentioned but he's in the top 10 on the ratings so shouldn't be anything like 100/1. I was holding off until the morning to see if he went longer than that.
The Stewards’ Cup… be still my beating heart. This is a fabulous renewal, with almost half the runners rated at least 100. The target figure for the race [126] can only be regarded as notional and in my head I am setting the bar at 130 to try to narrow the field down to a manageable number of contenders. I have no idea how the draw is going to pan out either so I’ll probably cover both sides too.
While cases can be made for just about everything, the ones I’m most drawn to are (in table order): Summerghand, Hurricane Ivor, Great Ambassador, Hey Jonesy, Gulliver, Fresh, Meraas and Major Jumbo. Others with decent possibilities could be Ejtilaab, Motagally and Chil Chil.
Taking them in turn:
Summerghand (18/1) – after winning this for us last year off 108 and earlier this season beating Oxted at level weights in a G3 I would never have imagined him ending up here still off just 109. He’s been here, done it and got the T-shirt so has to be a bet at the price.
Hurricane Ivor (8/1) – was over four lengths clear on his side behind Significantly at Ascot last time. Calculating that side as a race in its own right by my normal methods gives him a very high rating and makes him the most likely winner. I reckon the price is worth taking (I have) as I can see him being heavily backed.
Great Ambassador (16/1) – looks to have been laid out for this, having been kept off the track for three months, presumably to protect a very good mark. I’ve taken the price.
Hey Jonesy (25/1) – won the Wokingham for us last year at 50/1 so I have a soft spot for him. I can wait until tomorrow to decide about a bet since he might be vulnerable to the others if they are as good as I think they might be.
Gulliver (33/1) – was impressive off 102 at York (soft) in October and is now 3lbs lower. He is entitled to go close on that York form and a value bet.
Fresh (13/2f) – was a job horse foiled in the Wokingham and has been kept back for this. He was well punted that day and a decent enough favourite for this but I’m not sure if he’s value. I might put enough on him to cover the other bets.
Meraas (14/1) – is quite intriguing. He had a progressive profile last season and has had two modest starts this time and turns up with the ex-champion jockey, who would presumably have been offered several of this field, booked. His price might be about right but there’s a chance he is some way better than we’ve seen.
Major Jumbo (25/1) – was 40/1 the other day but Paul Kealy put paid to that. He was rated 107 this time last year so his campaign has been a bit Hey-Jonesy-esque. Apprentice-ridden (and badly ridden) so far this season, he’s now down to 95 and just scrapes in.
Ejtilaab (14/1) – is on a serious curve so a sudden change of trainer is surprising but I think his price is about right.
Motagally (25/1) – Shadwell’s only runner and the trainer has a great record when he targets big handicaps. He might need faster ground but is probably worth a pop anyway as he’s probably been trained all season for the race.
But I wouldn’t put anyone off anything!
Barbill isn't actually mentioned but he's in the top 10 on the ratings so shouldn't be anything like 100/1. I was holding off until the morning to see if he went longer than that.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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- Aug 2, 2005
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- 25,726
My only bet outside of the Stewards' Cup today is Prince Alex in the 2.30. I'm kicking myself a wee bit for not taking 10/1 yesterday but I thought he'd stay under the radar until today. I've had to settle for 8/1.
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
My main fancy today was Royal Scimitar in the consolation race but he's been pulled this morning. I think the amount of non-runners this week at this meeting on ground that has never hit extremes is ridiculous.
Ante-post bets in the Stewards are Chil Chil and Hurricane Ivor. The former also pulled.
It's been a good meeting but strangely the Saturday card is arguably the worst of the entire week.
Ante-post bets in the Stewards are Chil Chil and Hurricane Ivor. The former also pulled.
It's been a good meeting but strangely the Saturday card is arguably the worst of the entire week.
Maxbet
Journeyman
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- Dec 31, 2013
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Power Over Me 1.55G
Disqualified last time out at Epsom for weighing in 2Lb light.
Cruised down the hill getting the whole field off the bridle 2 furlongs out and strolling home (only 4Lb higher than the horse he beat 3 Lengths giving 12Lb) for a 102 RPR.
Still very unexposed on turf, the 7Lb penalty still allows a potential 107 RPR performance (less the 2Lb low weight disqualification) carrying only 9-07LB, having run with 10 stone on his back at Epsom.
Downhill free-wheeling, tack across to the stands rail while 4 length's clear, have em all off the bridle, wins doing handstands....
Disqualified last time out at Epsom for weighing in 2Lb light.
Cruised down the hill getting the whole field off the bridle 2 furlongs out and strolling home (only 4Lb higher than the horse he beat 3 Lengths giving 12Lb) for a 102 RPR.
Still very unexposed on turf, the 7Lb penalty still allows a potential 107 RPR performance (less the 2Lb low weight disqualification) carrying only 9-07LB, having run with 10 stone on his back at Epsom.
Downhill free-wheeling, tack across to the stands rail while 4 length's clear, have em all off the bridle, wins doing handstands....
Tout Seul
Senior Jockey
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- May 2, 2003
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- 2,628
Last edited:
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Good shout, DO. I should have done him again after backing him at Newmarket. My fault. Never mind.
Last edited:
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
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Great Ambassador goes straight into the notebook. Got involved in an over-fast pace on the far side, came over to the near side later and not beaten at all far. Probably worth a good 10lb mark-up and right now is my idea of the Ayr Gold Cup winner. Pity there's no ante-post betting up yet.
Settled
Well done DO