It happens at your age
Good Bet For Cheltenham Thread
- Thread starter Slim
- Start date
There's a lot of dross amongst the request a bet offers around but the one that really stands out to me, especially as its NRNB is Sky's 66/1 about
Benie Des Deaux, Tiger Roll, Appreciate It and Paisley Park all winning any race and Epatante and Min both placing any race
The first four in a straight line acca (with Benie any race) is best priced 12/1 with NRNB so you're getting 9/2 a Epatante/Min place double
Benie Des Deaux, Tiger Roll, Appreciate It and Paisley Park all winning any race and Epatante and Min both placing any race
The first four in a straight line acca (with Benie any race) is best priced 12/1 with NRNB so you're getting 9/2 a Epatante/Min place double
I like this and I've just done it. Thanks.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 25,651
Me too. Immediately after, while I was copying the bet across to my log, the screen refreshed and 'suspended' came up.
Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 25,651
By the way, I'm reading it as NRNB = bet is void if any don't run. I don't see how they can calculate a R4 equivalent when there are no individual odds.
swedish chef
At the Start
RSA - Allaho - Easy Game? - Faugheen? - Salsaretta?
Marsh Nov - Melon - Tornado Flyer - Royal Rendezvous - Faugheen? - Easy Game? - Salsaretta? - Bapaume?
Euronymous
Senior Jockey
If the Marsh principals are:
Itchy Feet
Mister Fisher
Samcro
Easy Game
Black Op
Melon
Melon wouldn't be a terrible ew bet at 20s. Loves the track but needs further than 2 mile as a chaser.
Itchy Feet
Mister Fisher
Samcro
Easy Game
Black Op
Melon
Melon wouldn't be a terrible ew bet at 20s. Loves the track but needs further than 2 mile as a chaser.
DannyB
At the Start
Of course my own opinion, but I reckon Mullins will have no more than 4 winners over the week.
Fancy Henderson to have more winners.
no rule 4
I posted this on my blog earlier. For anyone interested.
My first key horse is in the Arkle. I reckon (1) ESPRIT DU LARGE will be a live hope for trainer Evan Williams and owner Mr and Mrs William Rucker. They rightly have not ran him again since he battled well and got up late to win at Sandown. That was his third run over fences. He is now rated 155 and has what it takes to win this years Arkle. A best priced 12/1 at present.
Irish horse (2) RONALD PUMP will hopefully contest the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle for trainer Matthew Smith. He will likely carry top or joint top weight. We should find out whether he will run on a mark of 150 or higher tomorrow. In any event his form stacks up.
He was second to Treacyenniscorthy the last time he ran over hurdles giving away absoloutely bags of weight - nearly two stone it was. He is very good over hurdles on his day and a big weight isn't a reason you shouldn't fancy a horse, especially if their form is excellent like Ronald Pump. He is currently top price 14/1.
My third key horse who is very much a value selection against a short priced favourite in Paisely Park is the Warren Greatrex trained (3) EMITOM.
A decent novice hurdler, he really bounced back to form last time winning handsomely by about 8 lengths on heavy ground. I actually think he might be even better on better ground. I mentioned him on the main forum when people were asking for each way alternatives and said he was a big price at 50/1 for the Stayers before the Rendlesham Hurdle.
He is now best priced 10/1 for the Stayers and is a realisitic contender. Warren Greatrex reckons he will keep improving. That's good enough for me.
I now proceed to my other key horses, who I intend to back but not to the extent of the three above.
Ultima Chase - VINNDICATION hasn't done a lot wrong over fences and he is a worthy favourite for the Ultima in my book. He sustained an injury so has been off the track a few months, but has an excellent record first time or 'running fresh'. I am happy to have him on my side in this event.
Kim Muir Chase - For some reason I couldn't find him on oddschecker but QUARENTA could go very well for trainer Jonjo O Neill and owner Martin Broughton. This combination have had winners throughout the years. This horse has the credentials to run a massive race in the Kim Muir.
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle - I thought PALMERS HILL looked like he would improve for the run a few days ago. He definately has the scope to go on again from that. He is not overlooked in the betting.
The bookmakers already have him at 14/1, but rightly so. He is another live chance for Jonjo O Neill and Jackdaws Castle. I can't stress enough he is no certainty but will do for a fun bet in this race.
Finally, I might chance MIGHT BITE in the Cross Country and PRESENTING PERCY in the Gold Cup, as it is always nice to see top horses bounce back.
Betfair Hurdle 7th OAKLEY could run a big race in either the County or Coral Hurdle, but is entered in the Imperial Cup the weekend before, so we will see if he runs in that first, then what engagement he takes up at the festival. There is a bonus for any horse who can win the Imperial Cup and at Cheltenham.
DRUMCONNOR LAD is a last time out winner in Ireland. He recently changed stable to Tony Coyle and is entered in the Brown Stable Plate off a mark of 135. I could see him running well. He could out run odds of 33/1 on the day.
Good luck everyone.
My first key horse is in the Arkle. I reckon (1) ESPRIT DU LARGE will be a live hope for trainer Evan Williams and owner Mr and Mrs William Rucker. They rightly have not ran him again since he battled well and got up late to win at Sandown. That was his third run over fences. He is now rated 155 and has what it takes to win this years Arkle. A best priced 12/1 at present.
Irish horse (2) RONALD PUMP will hopefully contest the Pertemps Handicap Hurdle for trainer Matthew Smith. He will likely carry top or joint top weight. We should find out whether he will run on a mark of 150 or higher tomorrow. In any event his form stacks up.
He was second to Treacyenniscorthy the last time he ran over hurdles giving away absoloutely bags of weight - nearly two stone it was. He is very good over hurdles on his day and a big weight isn't a reason you shouldn't fancy a horse, especially if their form is excellent like Ronald Pump. He is currently top price 14/1.
My third key horse who is very much a value selection against a short priced favourite in Paisely Park is the Warren Greatrex trained (3) EMITOM.
A decent novice hurdler, he really bounced back to form last time winning handsomely by about 8 lengths on heavy ground. I actually think he might be even better on better ground. I mentioned him on the main forum when people were asking for each way alternatives and said he was a big price at 50/1 for the Stayers before the Rendlesham Hurdle.
He is now best priced 10/1 for the Stayers and is a realisitic contender. Warren Greatrex reckons he will keep improving. That's good enough for me.
I now proceed to my other key horses, who I intend to back but not to the extent of the three above.
Ultima Chase - VINNDICATION hasn't done a lot wrong over fences and he is a worthy favourite for the Ultima in my book. He sustained an injury so has been off the track a few months, but has an excellent record first time or 'running fresh'. I am happy to have him on my side in this event.
Kim Muir Chase - For some reason I couldn't find him on oddschecker but QUARENTA could go very well for trainer Jonjo O Neill and owner Martin Broughton. This combination have had winners throughout the years. This horse has the credentials to run a massive race in the Kim Muir.
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle - I thought PALMERS HILL looked like he would improve for the run a few days ago. He definately has the scope to go on again from that. He is not overlooked in the betting.
The bookmakers already have him at 14/1, but rightly so. He is another live chance for Jonjo O Neill and Jackdaws Castle. I can't stress enough he is no certainty but will do for a fun bet in this race.
Finally, I might chance MIGHT BITE in the Cross Country and PRESENTING PERCY in the Gold Cup, as it is always nice to see top horses bounce back.
Betfair Hurdle 7th OAKLEY could run a big race in either the County or Coral Hurdle, but is entered in the Imperial Cup the weekend before, so we will see if he runs in that first, then what engagement he takes up at the festival. There is a bonus for any horse who can win the Imperial Cup and at Cheltenham.
DRUMCONNOR LAD is a last time out winner in Ireland. He recently changed stable to Tony Coyle and is entered in the Brown Stable Plate off a mark of 135. I could see him running well. He could out run odds of 33/1 on the day.
Good luck everyone.
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For anybody with an 888 account they have a major rick at 8/1
All four winners of the championship races to be trained in Britain - NO.
The Stayers is most likely a given for Britain and they have a 2/1+ advantage over the Irish in the QMCC and admittedly they're not that strong in the Champion Hurdle market but Benie or Honeysuckle could still show up there and they still have chances in a weak race if not. But the Gold Cup gives you current fav Al Boum Photo, Delta Work, Kemboy.
Surely it should be odds on that the British DO NOT train the winner of the Gold Cup, let alone all 4 races and 8/1 available :blink:
All four winners of the championship races to be trained in Britain - NO.
The Stayers is most likely a given for Britain and they have a 2/1+ advantage over the Irish in the QMCC and admittedly they're not that strong in the Champion Hurdle market but Benie or Honeysuckle could still show up there and they still have chances in a weak race if not. But the Gold Cup gives you current fav Al Boum Photo, Delta Work, Kemboy.
Surely it should be odds on that the British DO NOT train the winner of the Gold Cup, let alone all 4 races and 8/1 available :blink:
That will get palped.
swedish chef
At the Start
Well that was easy :lol: didn't check the prices but should have been 50/1 before the day started.