Horses to Follow

PlaceBacker

PlaceBacker

Senior Jockey
Joined
Dec 3, 2003
Messages
2,844
A thread to follow horses who have carried my money recently, and under performed. But may still be of interest next time

Muckle Roe


Got run off his feet at Uttoxeter last Friday [Backed him at 5-1] when only 4th despite going off favourite.

Think he needs softer ground and or a longer trip
 
Bon Enfant

Let me down today at Wincanton when going off a well backed favourite [Backed him at 5-1]

But horse got stopped in his tracks when almost falling 3 out. Was going ok at the time, though I don't think would have beaten the impressive Nicholls winner.

I know connections think they have a well treated horse, and some small compensation today will be that he should be dropped a pound or two for finishing 8th
 
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Bells On Sunday

Finished 3rd today at Ffos Las, had backed her at 8-1. Was well punted into 5-1 for a stable who like a bet.

Looked a contender coming into the straight but got tired in the conditions after being a bit free on the first circuit.

But it was an improvement on her debut run, and did have the 6-4 favourite behind. Do think this mare will win a race and would probably benefit from a stronger ride
 
Any Drama

Only 4th today at Newbury despite being backed [Got 7-2] as if defeat was not much of an option!

But it was his first run since 8th April, and his hurdling especially early on was not fluent.

Did travel like a good horse though and when leading into the straight all looked good, but I think he got tired and a lot of the trainers horses have needed that first run this season. Jockey looked after him then and also think he needs softer ground.
 
PlaceBacker said:
A thread to follow horses who have carried my money recently, and under performed. But may still be of interest next time

Muckle Roe


Got run off his feet at Uttoxeter last Friday [Backed him at 5-1] when only 4th despite going off favourite.

Think he needs softer ground and or a longer trip
Click to expand...

Runs tomorrow [1.40 Ludlow]

Has the longer trip but not the ground

But worth an each way play @ 5-1 [Bet 365] BOG
 
2nd

Ran well, think he would have won if jumping better.

Small profit on the place terms, and will keep him in the list as should win soon especially when get proper winter going.
 
PlaceBacker said:
Bells On Sunday

Finished 3rd today at Ffos Las, had backed her at 8-1. Was well punted into 5-1 for a stable who like a bet.

Looked a contender coming into the straight but got tired in the conditions after being a bit free on the first circuit.

But it was an improvement on her debut run, and did have the 6-4 favourite behind. Do think this mare will win a race and would probably benefit from a stronger ride
Click to expand...

Runs tomorrow [2.20 Newcastle]

Same jockey but he has had a recent winner, and comes back in distance which might help. 5-1 with Bet 365, had a small win bet and be interesting to see how she goes in the market as stable have had a couple of winners this month
 
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:thumbsup:Won


She settled better under a good ride, ironically stronger than the 2nd horse got!

Job done so we can now delete Bells On Sunday from the list with thanks
 
Steelriver

Finished 5th today at Kempton. Recommended him @ 7-2 but he was weak in the betting at 5-1.

My thinking was that being dropped back to 5 furlongs that horse would be ridden with a little bit more aggression at start by a jockey I do like in Martin Harley.

But gelding was switched off straight away leaving the stalls, and was soon second last way off the pace. However when they started to come back to the field 2 furlongs out I was confident Steelriver would pick them up as he made the ground up with comfort on the outside but Harley seemed to think otherwise as he put the horse under no pressure just changing his hands giving the impression that he thought the race was lost.

He didn't realise they were stopping quickly up front, as horse ran on well to only be beaten just over a length. Though not won for a couple of years now he is becoming a well treated horse and I think will be winning again very soon probably over 6 furlongs either at Kempton or Wolverhampton. Robert Winston gets a good tune out of Steelriver so would be positive if he gets on him again.
 
Followed you in on steelriver today and when watching the race I thought I'd done my dough straight away as soon as stalls opened. Then got a glimmer of hope again as he looked to have a chance to pick them up as you say. Will keep an eye NTO. Cheers PB 👍

Sent from my EVA-L09 using Tapatalk
 
The worry with Steelriver is that he's been stopped so many times the poor horse has probably forgotten what to do when he's supposed to be trying!
 
PlaceBacker said:
Bon Enfant

Let me down today at Wincanton when going off a well backed favourite [Backed him at 5-1]

But horse got stopped in his tracks when almost falling 3 out. Was going ok at the time, though I don't think would have beaten the impressive Nicholls winner.

I know connections think they have a well treated horse, and some small compensation today will be that he should be dropped a pound or two for finishing 8th
Click to expand...

Runs Boxing Day [2.25 Wetherby]

Dropped a pound for the quoted run, and Gavin Sheehan who gets on well with the horse is back in the saddle.

The 11-1 with Bet 365 seems fair each way value
 
PlaceBacker said:
A thread to follow horses who have carried my money recently, and under performed. But may still be of interest next time

Muckle Roe


Got run off his feet at Uttoxeter last Friday [Backed him at 5-1] when only 4th despite going off favourite.

Think he needs softer ground and or a longer trip
Click to expand...

Runs tomorrow [1.35 Warwick]

Like the amateur jockey booking and he has soft ground. Should run well and taken the BOG 5-1 each way
 
​Won @ 11-2:adore:Great ride by the jockey as horse relished the conditions to win well

Job done,glad I kept the faith so we can now delete Muckle Roe from the list with thanks
 
PlaceBacker said:
Steelriver

Finished 5th today at Kempton. Recommended him @ 7-2 but he was weak in the betting at 5-1.

My thinking was that being dropped back to 5 furlongs that horse would be ridden with a little bit more aggression at start by a jockey I do like in Martin Harley.

But gelding was switched off straight away leaving the stalls, and was soon second last way off the pace. However when they started to come back to the field 2 furlongs out I was confident Steelriver would pick them up as he made the ground up with comfort on the outside but Harley seemed to think otherwise as he put the horse under no pressure just changing his hands giving the impression that he thought the race was lost.

He didn't realise they were stopping quickly up front, as horse ran on well to only be beaten just over a length. Though not won for a couple of years now he is becoming a well treated horse and I think will be winning again very soon probably over 6 furlongs either at Kempton or Wolverhampton. Robert Winston gets a good tune out of Steelriver so would be positive if he gets on him again.
Click to expand...

Runs tomorrow [4.30 Wolverhampton]

But its 5 furlongs, jockey wise George Baker rides which is good as he is in form.

As is the trainer and I like the high draw, so a good run looks on the cards and taken the early 6-1 each way [Currently best odds of 11-2]
 
PlaceBacker said:
Runs tomorrow [4.30 Wolverhampton]

But its 5 furlongs, jockey wise George Baker rides which is good as he is in form.

As is the trainer and I like the high draw, so a good run looks on the cards and taken the early 6-1 each way [Currently best odds of 11-2]
Click to expand...

I like your confidence. good luck pb
 
PlaceBacker said:
Runs tomorrow [4.30 Wolverhampton]

But its 5 furlongs, jockey wise George Baker rides which is good as he is in form.

As is the trainer and I like the high draw, so a good run looks on the cards and taken the early 6-1 each way [Currently best odds of 11-2]
Click to expand...

Ran well to get the place money in 2nd

Similar race to last time, they stopped up front while Baker kidded him into the race. However the winner who made all kept going

Dilemma now is horse is down to run in ideal race at Kempton tomorrow [4.30] over 6 furlongs. He probably wont run, but did take the opening 9-2 [win] before todays race just in case.
 
George Baker got 2 day whip ban for not giving Steel River time to respond inside the final furlong.....
 
PlaceBacker said:
Ran well to get the place money in 2nd

Similar race to last time, they stopped up front while Baker kidded him into the race. However the winner who made all kept going

Dilemma now is horse is down to run in ideal race at Kempton tomorrow [4.30] over 6 furlongs. He probably wont run, but did take the opening 9-2 [win] before todays race just in case.
Click to expand...
Looks like he's going to run alright PB. Now 5/2 clear fav. Sorry I didn't take a price last night as I've been on him past 2 runs. Really not sure what to do now. A disciplined punter would accept he has missed the price and leave it alone, but gigilo has put him up on the other thread too and I'd hate to miss out!
 
Money was down for sure....2-1 fav!

But sadly did not get the fast pace he needs, this race 2 seconds slower than the other division. But he ran well enough despite that to finish 3rd.

Can understand now why connections have been trying him over 5 furlongs, and he is a horse to keep the faith in
 
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