Irish Champion Stakes Day

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SlimChance

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Coolmore Fusaichi Pegasus Matron Stakes
Paddy Power: 7-2 Emulous, 5 Duntle, 6 Chachamaidee, Maybe, 9 Laugh Out Loud, 10 Alanza, Ishvana, Nahrain, Up, 16 Ballybacka Lady, 20 La Collina, 25 After, Soon, 33 Marvada

Emulous will start around 15/8 in this. Duntle is not Group 1 class and the Cecil filly needs 7f. Maybe has not trained on. For me Alanza is the danger to the fav and I'm certain she can leave her previous runs behind her and out run her 10/1 quote.
 
SlimChance said:
Coolmore Fusaichi Pegasus Matron Stakes
Paddy Power: 7-2 Emulous, 5 Duntle, 6 Chachamaidee, Maybe, 9 Laugh Out Loud, 10 Alanza, Ishvana, Nahrain, Up, 16 Ballybacka Lady, 20 La Collina, 25 After, Soon, 33 Marvada

Emulous will start around 15/8 in this. Duntle is not Group 1 class and the Cecil filly needs 7f. Maybe has not trained on. For me Alanza is the danger to the fav and I'm certain she can leave her previous runs behind her and out run her 10/1 quote.
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Why not back the Weld filly in that case? Sometimes the obvious solution is the correct one.
 
Good spot this Slim. Even worth the hassle of a shop visit. She should certainly be a strong favourite for this. The 3yos just don't look good enough and her 1m form is better than Chachamaidee's at 7f anyway.
 
davidjohnson said:
Good spot this Slim. Even worth the hassle of a shop visit. She should certainly be a strong favourite for this. The 3yos just don't look good enough and her 1m form is better than Chachamaidee's at 7f anyway.
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If you agree than I'm doubling my bet. I can't see anything bar Alanza that can run to 114-117.
 
Soft at the Curragh and due to dry this week in advance of the Moyglare on Sunday. No doubt Hensey is considering watering! Seriously, if either they or Leopardstown mention the W word, I will cry.
 
He's not a bad price but Snow Fairy holds him on form and if she runs as well as she did in this last year she wins.
 
Euronymous said:
He's not a bad price but Snow Fairy holds him on form and if she runs as well as she did in this last year she wins.
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not for me

St Nicholas is a 128 in my figures,
Snow Fairy never better than 124 for me

she has had a tendon injury and can bounce+
of the big 3 , she is the last I would side with
 
Couple of pounds maybe. And that was an extended mile and a quarter with a long straight. Leapardstown won't suit him as much. With her sex allowance SF has the beating of the colts quite comfortably if she runs to form.
 
Euronymous said:
Couple of pounds maybe. And that was an extended mile and a quarter with a long straight. Leapardstown won't suit him as much. With her sex allowance SF has the beating of the colts quite comfortably if she runs to form.
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It’s a little unusual in that Snow Fairy’s three highest rated performances have been defeats. I was impressed with her comeback, which wasn’t too far off her best. She battled well. However, I’m not so sure that even with her allowance she has the “comfortable” beating of Nathanial, although she did have that one a couple of lengths behind at Ascot giving him a couple of pounds last season, which supports your argument. On RP ratings she comes out similar to both Nathanial and SNA with her allowance factored in. I’d agree that SNA typically finds at least one too good at this trip, but is nevertheless very capable. Looks like a good race to me.
 
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