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Irish Derby

We had rain of biblical proportions last night in the Cork area...did the Curragh get it?? I see Tipperary is waterlogged. What a country.....
 
some surprises for me

Akeed Mofeed,was the horse I most like last season, but surprsing to see Oxx running here being such a patient man, especially with Murtagh not on him and having the chance even to run a listed without a penalty


the other one is Light HEavy
when you see a Bolger horse 45 days without a run, there must have been seriously injured.



Speaking Of Which, looked a good horse last tyime out but ground and distance should not suit.


Imperial Monarch will be suited by the conditions.
 
Obrien should not be very confortable
Camelot likely to win ,but not sure how 12f and heavy will suit,
I dont think Camelot will go to GP Paris and I imagine they will not want to see Frankel at York, they also want So You Think to win the Eclipse and difficult to see Obrien seeing the Leger as ideal to prepare the Arc.
Imperial Monarch will want soft ground and could not have it iin the GP Paris.

Maybe the best plan for Camelot would be GP Paris, Irish Champion and BC Turf and try to retire him unbeaten.
 
A poor looking race, I couldn't have Light Heavy at any price as the form of the Derrinstown is working out badly. Akeed Mofeed has had problems, is the stable's second choice and last season's Beresford is working out badly. That leaves Born to Sea who may or may not get 12f and Speaking of Which to make a race of it with the Ballydoyle horses.

PS I don't know why Astrology is running, he looked a tired horse at Ascot.
 
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Imperial Monarch now as short as 5/1 in places...Camelot out to 1/3.......Could it be that they don't want to bottom the great horse on heavy ground??
 
They might feel obliged to race on Saturday even though it's against the horses best interests.I like the Imperial Monarch angle.
The Leger could be off the agenda if he gets beaten or has a hard race on Saturday.
 
chroniclandlord said:
I don't know why Astrology is running, he looked a tired horse at Ascot.
Click to expand...

Maybe because he'll earn 3X as much for 2nd place than he would have if winning at Ascot?
For mine, he was given a half-hearted ride, setting nothing like the pace he had at Epsom and being given just 2 smacks when outsped by his opposition.
No surprise to see him set a stronger pace here, and at 25/1 for the horse with the clear 2nd best form in the race, not altogether a daft each way bet either.
 

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