My Daily Pick
- Thread starter Willi
- Start date
Desperate Dan
Senior Jockey
Nice one...again
G
Gearoid
Guest
Well done
Colin Phillips
At the Start
Excellent stats, Willi.:adore:
Funnily I was just going to make a post with regard to your results, wins, profit and such.
Funnily I was just going to make a post with regard to your results, wins, profit and such.
Thank you Collin! I must admit I feel a bit under pressure now with such stats as the distance from the throne to the gallows can be very short if you don't serve your followers as expected 
Nevertheless will do my very best to keep 'em coming.
PRICEWISE2008
At the Start
Nevertheless will do my very best to keep 'em coming.
Excellents strike rate Willi, keep 'em coming..No pressure now
A bit tough today, gone for the obvious and a long shot stable mate.
5.00 Towcester – Crystal Prince
A competent chaser who’s in decent form of late and will benefit the current race conditions. No disgrace in his last at Huntingdon but seems to belong in class 5 so this drop in class a big plus. Past stats show no real spark in him up until Felix De Giles came on board around early April delivering promising results in face of previous failures, booked with him once more which is one of the most significant factors here. Yet to prove on course or distance however gave a good 2nd here in October, now running 19 and half furlong as oppose to latest starts where running 21 to 22 furlongs and might benefit this slight drop in trip as made nice impression over these distances. Weighted same as his January races where running well so no issue here and having the going to his liking. Opposed by Ilongue which shows improvement but is far from consistent and now experiences a rise in allocated weights which might hold him back. Another possible rival is Bohemian Rock which came 3rd in last two starts but is obviously affected by carried weights and current rise will surely make it difficult for him.
Mister Watzisname, stable mate for Crystal Prince, had things going very wrong for him since falling late October but showed a spark of returning in his last and cannot be denied from his past form. A small e/w saver on him would be appropriate as will probably hang around 13/1 - 14/1.
Crystal Prince 4th
Mister Watzisname PU
Good luck!
5.00 Towcester – Crystal Prince
A competent chaser who’s in decent form of late and will benefit the current race conditions. No disgrace in his last at Huntingdon but seems to belong in class 5 so this drop in class a big plus. Past stats show no real spark in him up until Felix De Giles came on board around early April delivering promising results in face of previous failures, booked with him once more which is one of the most significant factors here. Yet to prove on course or distance however gave a good 2nd here in October, now running 19 and half furlong as oppose to latest starts where running 21 to 22 furlongs and might benefit this slight drop in trip as made nice impression over these distances. Weighted same as his January races where running well so no issue here and having the going to his liking. Opposed by Ilongue which shows improvement but is far from consistent and now experiences a rise in allocated weights which might hold him back. Another possible rival is Bohemian Rock which came 3rd in last two starts but is obviously affected by carried weights and current rise will surely make it difficult for him.
Mister Watzisname, stable mate for Crystal Prince, had things going very wrong for him since falling late October but showed a spark of returning in his last and cannot be denied from his past form. A small e/w saver on him would be appropriate as will probably hang around 13/1 - 14/1.
Crystal Prince 4th
Mister Watzisname PU
Good luck!
Last edited:
Southwell
4.00 Southwell - Parahelion
A recent course and distance winner, consistent and running well in his last starts and should be involved here once more. At least one contender in this field he's superior to, Calculating which he beat last start under tougher conditions now and though the latter is an outsider for this run still poses a threat to the entire group of runners. Booked with Jack Mitchell, lead him to win last time and shows excellent stats for distance, course and race type alike which all together with last success and Parahelion's consistent character will surely guarantee a good run for these two. Up 4lb for latest win but dropped significantly in allocated weights for this run and should benefit this ease. Several rivals in this race including Calculating, Mush Mir, Exemplary and La Estrella. Mush Mir, top contender and brilliant runner now carrying same weights as last run where he won and biding for a fourth timer, high chances for him but proved over 12f and 16f but never in between as this run of 14f and not of the question he'll go lost in the margin, also booked with a mild jockey which might comply with stats and fail this run. Exemplary, winning last two at class 4 and booked with Silvestre De Sousa once more but is yet prove on course and distance and comes off a short break, same as Mush Mir. Last but not least, La Estrella, course and distance winner with 4 claimer wins in a row and not much hope for the 8 year old in this highly competitive handicapper.
That said, also going for a small e/w on Calculating for coming close to both Parahelion and Mush Mir who's a fav for this run.
Good luck!
Parahelion 3rd @ 5/1
Calculating 4th
Came rather far from the first two, 5 and 6 lengths respectively.
4.00 Southwell - Parahelion
A recent course and distance winner, consistent and running well in his last starts and should be involved here once more. At least one contender in this field he's superior to, Calculating which he beat last start under tougher conditions now and though the latter is an outsider for this run still poses a threat to the entire group of runners. Booked with Jack Mitchell, lead him to win last time and shows excellent stats for distance, course and race type alike which all together with last success and Parahelion's consistent character will surely guarantee a good run for these two. Up 4lb for latest win but dropped significantly in allocated weights for this run and should benefit this ease. Several rivals in this race including Calculating, Mush Mir, Exemplary and La Estrella. Mush Mir, top contender and brilliant runner now carrying same weights as last run where he won and biding for a fourth timer, high chances for him but proved over 12f and 16f but never in between as this run of 14f and not of the question he'll go lost in the margin, also booked with a mild jockey which might comply with stats and fail this run. Exemplary, winning last two at class 4 and booked with Silvestre De Sousa once more but is yet prove on course and distance and comes off a short break, same as Mush Mir. Last but not least, La Estrella, course and distance winner with 4 claimer wins in a row and not much hope for the 8 year old in this highly competitive handicapper.
That said, also going for a small e/w on Calculating for coming close to both Parahelion and Mush Mir who's a fav for this run.
Good luck!
Parahelion 3rd @ 5/1
Calculating 4th
Came rather far from the first two, 5 and 6 lengths respectively.
Last edited:
Not doing well in last two picks, flat kicked off but horses need some time to prove themselves on turf once more before it's safe to go about picking.
A long shot e/w,
2.00 Lingfield – Jonny Ebeneezer
Failed last time following a row of 3 decent starts, ran without the usual eye shields and blinkers from a wide draw which is probably why he ran so poor. Not a Lingfield star but with refitted headgear and mid draw stands a chance of placing and even winning if getting on a got break. Jockey bears mild stats nevertheless had a relatively small number of starts so all in all not too bad.
Good luck!
A long shot e/w,
2.00 Lingfield – Jonny Ebeneezer
Failed last time following a row of 3 decent starts, ran without the usual eye shields and blinkers from a wide draw which is probably why he ran so poor. Not a Lingfield star but with refitted headgear and mid draw stands a chance of placing and even winning if getting on a got break. Jockey bears mild stats nevertheless had a relatively small number of starts so all in all not too bad.
Good luck!
3.00 Kelso - Carrietau
A competent chaser and a course and distance winner here in May under current class, went up one class higher since last win and been struggling a bit though a slow but notable improvement from run to run suggesting he's one to progress and adjust to terms. Current course seem to have a positive affect on him as running well in most of his previous starts here including a modest yet not disgracing 4th in his last. Few factors catching the eye making him an interesting contender for this chase. Dropped in class after a serious of tough class 3 challenges, blinkers back on which suits him best having most of his wins and placing in the last couple of years done when fitted with the set of tongue tie and blinkers. Change of jockey, first time for this team with Jason Maguire which bears excellent stats for chase rides and in current course. All these in addition with top speed figures, highest rating and going to his liking make him the one to watch out for. Carries top weights, naturally, however managed such in the past with some satisfying results and no reason why shouldn't go forward under current. Sheriff Hall the danger, consistent form of last and weighted to handle but is less experienced and Kelso not his favorite grounds.
Good luck!
PU
A competent chaser and a course and distance winner here in May under current class, went up one class higher since last win and been struggling a bit though a slow but notable improvement from run to run suggesting he's one to progress and adjust to terms. Current course seem to have a positive affect on him as running well in most of his previous starts here including a modest yet not disgracing 4th in his last. Few factors catching the eye making him an interesting contender for this chase. Dropped in class after a serious of tough class 3 challenges, blinkers back on which suits him best having most of his wins and placing in the last couple of years done when fitted with the set of tongue tie and blinkers. Change of jockey, first time for this team with Jason Maguire which bears excellent stats for chase rides and in current course. All these in addition with top speed figures, highest rating and going to his liking make him the one to watch out for. Carries top weights, naturally, however managed such in the past with some satisfying results and no reason why shouldn't go forward under current. Sheriff Hall the danger, consistent form of last and weighted to handle but is less experienced and Kelso not his favorite grounds.
Good luck!
PU
Last edited:
4.20 Kempton – Perfect Chi
Won her last twice over course and distance and obviously a Kempton player thriving under James Doyle. Her last failing Lingfield run where 8th can be excused for rider falling off in the preceding starts which may have caused the filly a bit unease in the following start where, as mentioned, finished last. Bounced back from that setback in her last mid March Kempton run beating the tough Avonrose by a neck and leaving Sunset Kitty and Cape Melody behind, both up against the 4 year old filly once more for this run. Draw is low but not too significant as running small field and proven over low and high alike. Up 3 lbs for latest win, fair rise and allocated weights not to hold her back. James Doyle on board once more, seems to have his way with this filly, won twice with her over course and distance and shows fair stats for course, distance and race type.
Good Luck!
Won her last twice over course and distance and obviously a Kempton player thriving under James Doyle. Her last failing Lingfield run where 8th can be excused for rider falling off in the preceding starts which may have caused the filly a bit unease in the following start where, as mentioned, finished last. Bounced back from that setback in her last mid March Kempton run beating the tough Avonrose by a neck and leaving Sunset Kitty and Cape Melody behind, both up against the 4 year old filly once more for this run. Draw is low but not too significant as running small field and proven over low and high alike. Up 3 lbs for latest win, fair rise and allocated weights not to hold her back. James Doyle on board once more, seems to have his way with this filly, won twice with her over course and distance and shows fair stats for course, distance and race type.
Good Luck!
Last edited:
As outsiders rule the grounds and my efforts to pick those in between the favs and outsiders seem to fail lately, I've decided to try a long shot outsider for a change.
2.30 Lingfield - Lend A Grand
Course and distance winner in November and fair effort in his last February start when coming off a 3 months break. Well drawn in small field, carrying 5 lbs less than in his last. Booked with Ian Mongan who has good stats and showed abilities mount the horse in previous starts. 75% of stable mates running into form, a good sign.
3rd @ 11/1
2.30 Lingfield - Lend A Grand
Course and distance winner in November and fair effort in his last February start when coming off a 3 months break. Well drawn in small field, carrying 5 lbs less than in his last. Booked with Ian Mongan who has good stats and showed abilities mount the horse in previous starts. 75% of stable mates running into form, a good sign.
3rd @ 11/1
Last edited:
6.55 Kempton – Futurism
Not without chance here and stands in one line with both rivals Musawama and Swindy as the trio are all recent class 5 maiden winners and rated much the same. Futurism however bit more exposed than these two and has a recent course and distance achievement which will give him an edge. Top jockey Richard Hughes on board, a definite advantage for the 3 year old.
8.25 Kempton – Punching e/w
Struggles over polytrack however of interest as trainer decides to have another shot at it. Proven on distance and not out of it showing some nice results for winning and placing.
Good Luck!
Not without chance here and stands in one line with both rivals Musawama and Swindy as the trio are all recent class 5 maiden winners and rated much the same. Futurism however bit more exposed than these two and has a recent course and distance achievement which will give him an edge. Top jockey Richard Hughes on board, a definite advantage for the 3 year old.
8.25 Kempton – Punching e/w
Struggles over polytrack however of interest as trainer decides to have another shot at it. Proven on distance and not out of it showing some nice results for winning and placing.
Good Luck!
Not much with last two picks...
Trying a bit of jumps now,
2.45 Wincanton – Just About
Impressive when returning from a two and a half months break winning a class 3 chase, now facing a similar field but dropped in class and trip which may be of benefit. 3lb higher for winning latest chase but fair rise which won’t interfere with chances to win this race, allocated weights well within his abilities. Going to his liking and dwells on highest top speed figures. Joe Tizzard on board, a decent jockey which lead te 8 year old well throughout his career showing a notable progression since first mount and all the way to nowadays. Although not bearing stats same as A P McCoy which rides the fav Local Present, Tizzard is having the edge of riding a fresh horse whereas McCoy must be tuned with Local Present coming off a 235 day break. Last start cheekpieces off running with tongue tie only, same for this run.
Good luck!
PU
Trying a bit of jumps now,
2.45 Wincanton – Just About
Impressive when returning from a two and a half months break winning a class 3 chase, now facing a similar field but dropped in class and trip which may be of benefit. 3lb higher for winning latest chase but fair rise which won’t interfere with chances to win this race, allocated weights well within his abilities. Going to his liking and dwells on highest top speed figures. Joe Tizzard on board, a decent jockey which lead te 8 year old well throughout his career showing a notable progression since first mount and all the way to nowadays. Although not bearing stats same as A P McCoy which rides the fav Local Present, Tizzard is having the edge of riding a fresh horse whereas McCoy must be tuned with Local Present coming off a 235 day break. Last start cheekpieces off running with tongue tie only, same for this run.
Good luck!
PU
Last edited:
2.10 Wolverhampton – Mr Maximas
Consistent in form and progressive since last November proving he’s here too stay. Done well on course including a close 2nd in his last running a 10 runner class 6. 2lb rise fair, not officially proven on distance but will definitely handle. Drawn wide yet had past runs where managed to over come such high stall positions, Allocated weights of no issue. Two interesting factors here, cheekpieces on and first time tried with tongue tie as well, and Richard Kingscote on board, which had the 4 year old in his last four starts and shows brilliant stats for course, race type and distance. Left Kielty’s Folly behind in a recent class 6 but is facing a tough opposition from Pie Poudre and Barton Bounty.
Good luck!
2nd @ 9/2 beaten by a nose
Consistent in form and progressive since last November proving he’s here too stay. Done well on course including a close 2nd in his last running a 10 runner class 6. 2lb rise fair, not officially proven on distance but will definitely handle. Drawn wide yet had past runs where managed to over come such high stall positions, Allocated weights of no issue. Two interesting factors here, cheekpieces on and first time tried with tongue tie as well, and Richard Kingscote on board, which had the 4 year old in his last four starts and shows brilliant stats for course, race type and distance. Left Kielty’s Folly behind in a recent class 6 but is facing a tough opposition from Pie Poudre and Barton Bounty.
Good luck!
2nd @ 9/2 beaten by a nose
Last edited:
3.10 Southwell – Bonnie Prince Blue
A busy runner who’s up for another chance at the claimers under Tom Queally which lead him to a win in a recent seller at Lingfield. Course and distance winner and an able runner if to judge by winters form, had troubles tried at class 4 but was soon brought back to where he belong. Running Southwell again, hadn’t been running here for quiet sometime and will appreciate return to favorite field. Small field so no issue on the draw and carries less weights than last two sellers, should probably appreciate. Up against his rival Ingleby Arch, a back and fourth between the two and great chances for Ingleby to conquer under Philip Makin but carries 6lbs more than his last run and seems not to have it on the good side when coming off a break. If Bonnie is to prove on late 2010 form than good chances he’ll leave the rest of them behind.
Good luck!
Won @ 9/2
A busy runner who’s up for another chance at the claimers under Tom Queally which lead him to a win in a recent seller at Lingfield. Course and distance winner and an able runner if to judge by winters form, had troubles tried at class 4 but was soon brought back to where he belong. Running Southwell again, hadn’t been running here for quiet sometime and will appreciate return to favorite field. Small field so no issue on the draw and carries less weights than last two sellers, should probably appreciate. Up against his rival Ingleby Arch, a back and fourth between the two and great chances for Ingleby to conquer under Philip Makin but carries 6lbs more than his last run and seems not to have it on the good side when coming off a break. If Bonnie is to prove on late 2010 form than good chances he’ll leave the rest of them behind.
Good luck!
Won @ 9/2
Last edited:
Desperate Dan
Senior Jockey
Another nice one!!
Irish Stamp
Forum Moderator
Good stuff Willi - keep it up
PRICEWISE2008
At the Start
Must admit I've been having it rough lately caught up in a losing run and near win picks but hey winning won’t be the same without the occasional bitter taste of losing
Cheers fellows!
Well done again fella
7.00 Kempton – Camera Shy
Two last starts were mild but non disgracing considering the 7 year old just got back from an almost two years break so all in all can be said to have gone fresh. Proven on distance by past form and showed abilities in last two starts, narrowing distance from winner from one race to another though going down in finishing position. Booked with Andre Atzeni a decent AW player which had him in last couple starts and may be ready for to win this time as past results show the gelding requires a race or two of stretching out limbs before going full power. Behind Lytham beginning of March and good chances fro him to reverse form as the latter is two lbs up and carries 7lbs more than last run. Also a 35 day break may not be of advantage for this 10 year old and lack of proof on distance may add in preventing him from the win.
Also a small e/w saver on Largem might be worth a try @ 16/1
Good luck!
Won @ 6/1
Largem 4th
Two last starts were mild but non disgracing considering the 7 year old just got back from an almost two years break so all in all can be said to have gone fresh. Proven on distance by past form and showed abilities in last two starts, narrowing distance from winner from one race to another though going down in finishing position. Booked with Andre Atzeni a decent AW player which had him in last couple starts and may be ready for to win this time as past results show the gelding requires a race or two of stretching out limbs before going full power. Behind Lytham beginning of March and good chances fro him to reverse form as the latter is two lbs up and carries 7lbs more than last run. Also a 35 day break may not be of advantage for this 10 year old and lack of proof on distance may add in preventing him from the win.
Also a small e/w saver on Largem might be worth a try @ 16/1
Good luck!
Won @ 6/1
Largem 4th
Last edited: