Euronymous
Senior Jockey
All the fuss made about the first big race of the season and really it's just a ho hum handicap.
Spiritofthegames more than once (essentially when I've backed him) has struck me as unwilling to engage in a tough battle.
He might have the winning of a big race if he drops a bit in the weights and can be brought wide and late, maybe even on a short run-in, but if it comes to a battle of bottle my money would be on him as the first to crash.
All the fuss made about the first big race of the season and really it's just a ho hum handicap.
This is a race on it's own with three pages here. I dont see any thread for the Betfair next week which features proper top class horses.
The Magic Saint/Fanin Destruval handicap yesterday was better quality than that.
This is a race on it's own with three pages here. I dont see any thread for the Betfair next week which features proper top class horses.
The Magic Saint/Fanin Destruval handicap yesterday was better quality than that.
Maybe I'm being harsh. I think we like different sort of races. You love these handicaps where you can look into all the form and work out your bets. I'm much more of an instinct punter and for me that novice chase at Punchestown with Asperion Follonge and Conflated was way more interesting than the PP today
Siruh entered in the Ladbrokes in a fortnight strangely enough.
I imagine most horses would run with much more enthusiasm, after dumping Tom Scu out the side door.
I've had another look at the race with a view to anticipating what the handicapper might do, mainly with the Massey-Ferguson back at the course next month in mind.
As I said before, you could argue that the race fell apart or that Coole Cody made it fall apart.
I favour the latter angle but suspect the handicapper will favour the former. He'll probably assume he had a grip on Spiritofthegames, especially since the market seemed to agree, allowing it to go off at 14/1, while Happy Diva (16/1) was well there when falling two out, probably falls into a similar category.
I reckon he'll presume others haven't run their race and, given the winner's age, will err on the side of caution. I'll be a little surprised if he raises Coole Cody any more than 6lbs and can see him settling for 5lbs.
I reckon SOTG will go up 1lb and Al Dancer will stay on his mark.
My own ratings will put them some way higher but the lack of suitable races for time comparisons makes life more difficult.
We'll find out on Tuesday.
Good call, 6lb it is